European basketball season 2015/2016

Braunschweig is 0-4-1 ATS in their L5 road games in Bundesliga. This pick is graded A.

No Euroleague picks today - imo best value is on Bamberg +5 and Darussafaka -2.5. I doubt Fenerbahce will be able to cover in Athens​
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Crvena Zvezda -2 (1.96)

Crvena Zvezda is 4-0 ATS in Euroleague as home favorite. On December 30th Crvena have lost with Anadolu at Istanbul 85:84. A win over Efes is possible but it will require extra effort - Efes is 4-1 ATS as road dog in Euroleague. Crvena Zvezda -2 (B)

ProA: Monaco +4.5 (1.99)

Le Mans is 2-6 ATS as home favorite in ProA. Monaco confidence should get a boost after winning Leaders Cup during last week-end. Monaco won their last 4 against solid teams (Nancy, Nanterre, Strasbourg, Chalon). Le Mans 84, Monaco 82. Monaco +4.5 (B)
 
Barcelona may go down 2day. also leaning

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utfootball4 said:
Barcelona may go down 2day. also leaning

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Big move on Wrocław (from -1 to -3). Be careful with Lublin.

Crailsheim is 6-3 ATS at home in BBL.
 
ABA: Mega -1 (1.98)

Team from Mitrovica is 8-2 SU in L10, 16-8 on the season and already had exceeded expectations after winning just 11 games in previous campaign. Mega is coming off big Korac Cup final (85:80 win over Partizan). Mega is 4-1 SU/ATS in their L5 Adriatic League gms and 7-1 ATS in their L8. Krka is 4-5 ATS at home. Krka have lost 4 of last 5 meetings with Mega. Krka will be playing its 6th game in 2 week span. Public is on Krka side - line dropped from +2.5 to +1. Mega -1 (A)

ProA: Dijon/Antibes Under 148 (1.97)

Antibes have won first meeting with Dijon 74:63, the total for that game was set up at 144.5 and stayed under. Last 5 meetings between Antibes and Dijon were very low scoring (with one exception). Antibes is having trouble scoring on the road (64.6 ppg in their L3 outings). Dijon is known for its stingy defense. Dijon/Antibes Under 148 (B)

ProA: Le Havre +9 (1.98)

Nancy is 2-6 ATS as home favorite. Home team is favored by 9 points and in Nancy case it is the biggest point spread of the season. Only once in last 5 meetings with Le Havre Nancy won by 9 or more points. Le Havre +9 (C)

Winner: Holon -1.0 (1.98)

Holon is close to relegation from Winner League (6-14, last place) - they should play with great sense of urgency today. Two win could get them back at safe 9th spot in the standings. Holon is 4-1 SU in L5 meetings with Hapoel Tel Aviv. Hapoel is 3-5 SU on the road. (C)

BSL: Gaziantep/Banvitspor Over 152 (1.97)

Gaziantep have lost first meeting at Bandirma 83:76. Total for that game was at 150.5. Banvit is 7-1 O/U in away games and 4-1 O/U as road favorite in Turkish league. Gaziantep is 5-2 O/U at home this season in Turkey. Total for this game opened at 154.5 and drop to 152. This play is in contrary to market expectations. Over 152 (B)
 
Close to 3-2 but not quite there yet.

Mega -1 - L
Dijon/Antibes Under 148 - W
Le Havre +9 - L
Holon -1 - P
Gaziantep/Banvitspor Over 152 - w

Feb.27th; 2-2-1 (-0.06u)

Season: 250-220-10 (+15.13u)
 
All right let's do it one more time.

VTB: Nizhny Novgorod -5.5 (1.95)
BSL: Kolejliler/Darussafaka Under 152.5 (1.95)
A1: Aris -4.5 (1.92)
BBL: Frankfurt +14 (1.95)
ACB: Zaragoza +9.5 (1.95)
 
Nizhny Novgorod -5.5 - W
Kolejliler/Darussafaka u152.5 - L
Aris -4.5 - L
Frankfurt +14 - W
Zaragoza +9.5 - L
Yesilgiresun +6 - L

Feb.28th: 2-4 (-2.10u)

Season: 252-223-10 (+13.03u)
 
Can't find anything interesting today. I will take a shot at Ashdod - it should be a close game.

Winner: Ashdod +3 (1.94)
 
utfootball4 said:
le mans
knights
KK ced
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Not the best idea to bet on Adriatic league games when everything (first four play-off spots) is basically decided - I already did made a mistake on Friday when I picked Mega to win on the road in Krka when they had no business being there at all. Cedevita and Crvena will be in lookahead spots before Thu games in Euroleague. Don't think Cibona and Partizan care that much - doesn't matter that much if they finish 7th or 8th - in both cases they will be playing no 1 and no 2 seed in first round.

Knights - I'm not familiar with ABL league. No bet.

Le Mans - Monaco will be interesting to watch but not to bet - I don't trust Le Mans players bc of their broken shooting mechanics and stubbornness in taking all kind of long 2's on very low percentage - the worst type of shots in basketball. Plus Monaco after addition of new players can spank them easily, this is now a completely new, reshaped, better team. Kind of coin toss game - it is possible that none of this teams is caring about French Cup as they will prefer for sure not to play and rest a little bit before week-end meetings. Monaco is already sure of competing in int. cups next year (Leaders Cup winner has it guaranteed.)
 
Eurocup: Trento/Zaragoza Under 159 (1.96)

O/U in second leg games last season in Eurocup first round play-offs was 2-6. 159 is a lot for a decisive game. Under 159 (B)

Eurocup: Galatasaray/Pinar Under 150.5 (1.93)

Under in L5 Galatasaray games in Eurocup is 5-0. (C)

Eurocup: Trento -3.5 (1.95)

If Trento keeps playing like they did in first leg, they don't have to worry about Zaragoza. Trento -3.5 (B)

Eurocup: Oldenburg -1 (1.99)

Strasbourg is 2-6 against the spread on the road in international cups. Oldenburg won 1st leg on the road and I don't see them losing today. Oldenburg -1 (A)
 
utfootball4 said:
They been good to me in big situations... I hope gala can win
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Strasbourg is horrible in comparison to last season - the club let their most talented players go away and signed dudes that can't shoot or defend. I don't trust them.
Pinar is 5-0 SU against Galatasaray in L5 meetings. Galatasaray lost its last three... but yeah everybody is on Gala, big line movement: -5.5 to -6.5.

I forgot: Dorsey signed with Barca.
 
What a sh&%#^ performance by Oldenburg. They played so hard in France, just to made fools out of themselves in front of home crowd. Completely wasted effort from 1st leg. I have no idea how to explain such a change during a week span. It is not the first time Oldenburg doesn't show up to play. It's very frustrating to bet on them sometimes - pity bc they had size advantage under the basket but were constantly refusing to roll to the basket or pass inside for easy two.

Trento/Zaragoza Under 159 - W
Galatasaray/Pinar Under 150.5 - L
Trento -3.5 - W
Oldenburg -1 - L

March 1st: 2-2 (-0.09u)

Seson: 254-226-10 (+11.94u)
 
FIBA Europe Cup: Chalon -5 (1.91)
FIBA Europe Cup: Cibona -6.5 (1.95)
Eurocup: Zielona Góra +8 (1.91)
Baltic League: Nevezis +13 (2.10)
 
Chalon -5 - W
Cibona -6.5 - L
Zielona Góra +8 1H - W
Nevezis +13 - L

Mar. 3rd: 2-2 (-0.18u)

Season: 256-228-10 (+11.76u)
 
Euroleague: Kuban/Andaolu Over 154.5 (1.93)

Anadolu Efes is 16-2 O/U in Euroleague this season. Over 154.5 (A)

Euroleague: Darussafaka +2 (1.95)

Darussafaka is 4-1 SU since Lokomotiv Kuban trashed Dogus on February 24th. There were some radical changes in Dogus starting five (two players demoted to reserve role) which resulted in general improvement in playing style and wins over Usak, Trabzon, Banvit, Malaga, Ankara. Cedevita is 2-6 ATS at home in Euroleague. Darussafka +2 (A)

Euroleague: Cedevita/Darussafaka Over 149.5 (1.96)

Cedevita is 6-1 O/U at home in Euroleague and 9-2 O/U in their last 11 meetings in Euroleague. Over 149.5 (B)
 
Kuban/Efes Over 154.5 - L
Darussafaka +2 - W
Cedevita/Darussafaka Over 149.5 - W

March 3rd: 2-1 (+0.91u)

Season: 258-229-10 (+12.67u)
 
Pro A: Pau +2.5 (1.92)

Pau-Lacq-Orthez is right now the hottest team in Pro A with 7-0 SU/ATS record in their L7. Antibes, after a nice first part of the season is just 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. Antibes is 6-3 ATS as home fave but Pau is 8-2 ATS as road underdog in Pro A. I capped Pau as -1 fave - wrong team is favored imo. Pau +2.5 (A)

BBL: Ludwigsburg -6.5 (1.95)

Wurzburg is struggling recently: 1-5 SU/ATS in their L5. Wurzburg is 3-9 ATS after a win in Bundeslliga and 4-7 ATS as an underdog. Ludwigsburg is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their L7. Ludwigsburg -6.5 (B)

BBL: Braunschweig/Bremerhaven Under 151.5 (1.95)

Braunschweig is coming off 69:68 road loss at Wurzburg. In this kind of situation O/U in next Braunschweig game is 3-8 (trending under). Braunschweig has 5th best defense in BBL (102.9 DRtg), opposing teams score 73.3 ppg against them (in L6 gms). Three days ago Bremerhaven changed their head coach (for the third time this season!). Bremerhaven is 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 gms in BBL. Under 151.5 (C)
 
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Pau wins outright.

Pau +2.5 - W
Ludwigsburg -6.5 - W
Braunschweig/Bremerhaven Under 151.5 - L

March 4th: 2-1 (+0.87u)

Season: 260-230-10 (+13.54u)
 
Pro A: Limoges +4.5 (1.98)
BSL: Besiktas -4.5 (1.92)
Winner: Rishon -4.5 (1.97)
Winner: Ashdod/Haifa Over 161.5 (1.90)
TBL: Kutno +8.5 (1.90)
 
Limoges +4.5 - L
Besiktas -4.5 - W
Rishon -4.5 - W
Ashdod/Haifa Over 161.5 - W
Kutno +8.5 - W

March 5th: 4-1 (+2.69u)

Season: 264-231-10 (+16.23)
 
BBL: Giessen +2 (1.99)
Lega A: Pesaro +9 (1.95)
Lega A: Trento -1.5 (1.93)
Winner: Maccabi Tel Aviv/Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 158.5 (1.92)
 
Too many plays and too many favs.

Lietkabelis -4 - L
Ulm +4 - L
Giessen +2 - W
Pesaro +9 - W
Trento -1.5 - L
Maccabi Tel Aviv/Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 158.5 - L

March 6th: 2-4 (-2.06u)

Season: 266-235-10 (+14.17u)
 
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Pro A: Strasbourg/Monaco Over 152.5 (1.95)
Winner: Bnei +7.5 (1.98)
BSL: Banvit/Fenerbahce Under 159 (1.94)
ABA: Zadar +3 (1.96)
 
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