CFL Syndicate 2025

0.5* Live Montreal +10 -110

Taken at the half, with Montreal down 16-10. Aiming for a small middle.
 
Now that Winnipeg won, I have Sask +7 in the back half of a teaser. So I'm going for a middle with this bet. I think Calgary prevails in a close one at home off the bye.

0.5* Calgary pk -101
 
last night was a really difficult game to win. Close all game and the better team kept getting more players hurt.

Most of the data also lost on the dog. Well I don’t look at favorite trends so maybe I’m not being fair or balanced. Even still from my best winning seasons the dogs rule and this season is congruent with that pattern.

I pushed. So on to the next.
 
Money has come in on Ottawa and I don't see any particular reason for it but its moved EDM to 2.5 so I am taking some ML...

0.5* Edmonton ML -149
 
Nice call on BC today you’re climbing the hill nicely. Notice I didn’t say mountain because you’re not that far down. Love to see it 👍
 
Results through Week 12

Sides 10-11 -2.765*
Totals 6-7 -2.94*
Parlays 5-6 +0.385*
Props 0-1 -1.15*
Live 8-13 -0.715*
Futures 1-0 +0.25*

Overall 30-38 -6.935*

Including the Ottawa future that came in, 7-3 this week for a pickup of 2.3 units. Grinding my way back to the mendoza line.


Futures
0.5* Hamilton to win season series vs Toronto +200 - Hamilton leads 1-0, next game labour day
0.25* Ottawa under 10.5 RSW -104 - 3-8 after 10 games - winner winner chicken dinner.
0.5* BC Lions to win Grey Cup +750
0.2* Hamilton to win Grey Cup +1000 - not looking as dumb as it once did
0.25* Justin McInnis under 1200.5 rec yards - 667 yards through 11 games - on pace for 1092 yds
0.25* Shemar Bridges under 1050.5 rec yards - 184 yards through 10 games - on pace for 331 yds
 
The total in Hamilton will likely be the highest of the season and no matter where they put it, the public will bet it up like crazy. We could see the first 60 since probably 2018 or so.

But I make the game 54.5 and I will likely be taking it under if it gets to that kind of rarefied air. Hamilton's defense has been steadily improving as the season wears on but more importantly, if you look at Toronto's home/road scoring, their games are averaging 71.7 points at home but only 50.6 on the road. A full 3 TDs less, 2 of those from less offensive output. Arbuckle and co are just not moving the ball the same way when away from their digs and a sold-out Hamilton is not the easiest place to correct that. This looks like a 32-23 kind of game to me.
 
1* EDM / CAL under 52.5 -110

Are the bookies on glue? This number is wrong wrong wrong. I make it 47.5 and it should at least be under 50.
 
All bad dogs this week and I’m including Edmonton. After winning 3 in a row I’ll pass on them. it’s totals for me this week.
 
spottie2935 said:
All bad dogs this week and I’m including Edmonton. After winning 3 in a row I’ll pass on them. it’s totals for me this week.
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Labour day games are tough. The home team has such an advantage and it baked into the line.

I think that total might be my only bet this week unless the public bets up the hamilton game to near 60...then I'll take that under as well.
 
1* TOR / HAM over 56.5 -110

I think this is going up to 60 eventually and when it does, I will buy back for the middle.
 
1* Edmonton +8.5 -110

This number has gotten out of control. Calgary may blow them out but this is a rivalry game and 3 straight wins has the Elks believing. Given the fact that I think this game will have <50 points, I think the Elkskimos have a fair chance of keeping it within this number.
 
Hulu said:
1* Edmonton +8.5 -110

This number has gotten out of control. Calgary may blow them out but this is a rivalry game and 3 straight wins has the Elks believing. Given the fact that I think this game will have <50 points, I think the Elkskimos have a fair chance of keeping it within this number.
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I’ll look at half time thx for the post.
 
Just looked quickly and Argos still a fade and the road teams are due for a loss if the peg gets win tonight I play the cats tomorrow

Cats last game 9 points
Argos last game 52 points
 
1* Live Winnipeg +7.5 -114

Ridiculous overreaction to one score from the Riders. This game has been extremely close and the Bombers will be right in it.
 
After stubbornly sitting at 56.5 all week, money is finally starting to come in on the over in Hamilton. I'll be watching to buy back on the under at some point.
 
spottie2935 said:
Conversely my other book has over 56.5 -113 so inconsistent data
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Interesting...Pinnacle is at 57.5 now and leaning toward 58. I think once the public gets involved tomorrow, this number will continue to go up.

One way or another I will be taking the under. I def like it better than the over. I only took the over because I thought I was going to be able to score a nice middle.

Hamilton getting back 2 starting DBs this week too, CB Jamal Peters and S Stavros Katsantonis. I think this looks like a 27-24 type of affair.
 
book totals
 

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Well they aren't always classics but that one will be remembered for a long time. What an absolutely insane ending to a football game.
 
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