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CFL Syndicate 2025

0.5* Live Montreal +10 -110

Taken at the half, with Montreal down 16-10. Aiming for a small middle.
 
Now that Winnipeg won, I have Sask +7 in the back half of a teaser. So I'm going for a middle with this bet. I think Calgary prevails in a close one at home off the bye.

0.5* Calgary pk -101
 
last night was a really difficult game to win. Close all game and the better team kept getting more players hurt.

Most of the data also lost on the dog. Well I don’t look at favorite trends so maybe I’m not being fair or balanced. Even still from my best winning seasons the dogs rule and this season is congruent with that pattern.

I pushed. So on to the next.
 
Money has come in on Ottawa and I don't see any particular reason for it but its moved EDM to 2.5 so I am taking some ML...

0.5* Edmonton ML -149
 
Results through Week 12

Sides 10-11 -2.765*
Totals 6-7 -2.94*
Parlays 5-6 +0.385*
Props 0-1 -1.15*
Live 8-13 -0.715*
Futures 1-0 +0.25*

Overall 30-38 -6.935*

Including the Ottawa future that came in, 7-3 this week for a pickup of 2.3 units. Grinding my way back to the mendoza line.


Futures
0.5* Hamilton to win season series vs Toronto +200 - Hamilton leads 1-0, next game labour day
0.25* Ottawa under 10.5 RSW -104 - 3-8 after 10 games - winner winner chicken dinner.
0.5* BC Lions to win Grey Cup +750
0.2* Hamilton to win Grey Cup +1000 - not looking as dumb as it once did
0.25* Justin McInnis under 1200.5 rec yards - 667 yards through 11 games - on pace for 1092 yds
0.25* Shemar Bridges under 1050.5 rec yards - 184 yards through 10 games - on pace for 331 yds
 
The total in Hamilton will likely be the highest of the season and no matter where they put it, the public will bet it up like crazy. We could see the first 60 since probably 2018 or so.

But I make the game 54.5 and I will likely be taking it under if it gets to that kind of rarefied air. Hamilton's defense has been steadily improving as the season wears on but more importantly, if you look at Toronto's home/road scoring, their games are averaging 71.7 points at home but only 50.6 on the road. A full 3 TDs less, 2 of those from less offensive output. Arbuckle and co are just not moving the ball the same way when away from their digs and a sold-out Hamilton is not the easiest place to correct that. This looks like a 32-23 kind of game to me.
 
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