CFL Syndicate 2025

Under Ott/BC 56.5 tread lightly because I expected north of 57 and these games are not to successful when not north of 57 so it’s close but 58 is the best target line.

Under Argos 56.5
 
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Hulu said:
Sammy I hope you stick around because the place is more fun with you here than not here.
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I will be around now bro! It’s time for us to ramp up the syndicate to the next level!

I also hit minny bears 1st half under::

I took a long break from wagering and sat on the sidelines for 2 years while we moved back to the West coast.

I came back refreshed and energized and entered the Mma betting world also.

Let’s get after the Cfl and Nfl and do what we do best: WIN
 
Sammy Meatballs said:
I will be around now bro! It’s time for us to ramp up the syndicate to the next level!

I also hit minny bears 1st half under::

I took a long break from wagering and sat on the sidelines for 2 years while we moved back to the West coast.

I came back refreshed and energized and entered the Mma betting world also.

Let’s get after the Cfl and Nfl and do what we do best: WIN
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I can't make money in the NFL anymore. Even the CFL is getting tougher...no more lines off by 7 points or more at open. That's a thing of the past. But there is still money to be made. There's been a flood of money into CFL betting since legalization but still not a lot of people who truly understand this league.
 
Hulu said:
I can't make money in the NFL anymore. Even the CFL is getting tougher...no more lines off by 7 points or more at open. That's a thing of the past. But there is still money to be made. There's been a flood of money into CFL betting since legalization but still not a lot of people who truly understand this league.
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I agree bro!

The Cfl has been fairly predictable this season/ the usual fade backups and fade Bc lions and Ottawa at home etc.

You can find an edge in cfl and some value on your bets.

For this reason this is why i discovered mma ufc betting. It’s 1vs 1 instead of 44 vs 44 like in football. refs have no impact in outcome of fights. Guys fight once a year so you know they give full effort. Styles makes fights and i follow the fighters camps, diet, who they ars training with etc.
Wrestling beats striking mostly
Cardio high pace wrestling is best style
Durability matters:

It’s just a lot more predictable to figure out who will win a fight between 2 people!
 
spottie2935 said:
Under Ott/BC 56.5 tread lightly because I expected north of 57 and these games are not to successful when not north of 57 so it’s close but 58 is the best target line.

Under Argos 56.5
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I'm not sure if we even know who's starting for Ottawa. Dru Brown practised lightly all week and is listed as questionable so he could get the start and if he does, I would love this under. If its Crum, I wouldn't know what to think.

I'm glad to see you on the under in Toronto. I was going to buy out if Arbuckle started but I think I hold my position now. Arbuckle has played great for the past 6 games but now that Kerlly is off the 6gm, I think he might regress a bit.

Arbuckle 1st 6 games: 150/210 71% 281yds/gm 8.25avg 9 TDs to 8 INTs
Arbuckle last 6 games: 166/224 74% 356 yds/gm 9.63avg 14 TDs to 2 INTs

The numbers bear it out but you could see it in real time. His confidence level grew as soon as Kelly went on the 6gm. And now that's over and Kelly is posting shit on insta and its all about him.

Maybe I'm reading too much into this but I think Nick struggles.
 
Hulu said:
I'm not sure if we even know who's starting for Ottawa. Dru Brown practised lightly all week and is listed as questionable so he could get the start and if he does, I would love this under. If its Crum, I wouldn't know what to think.

I'm glad to see you on the under in Toronto. I was going to buy out if Arbuckle started but I think I hold my position now. Arbuckle has played great for the past 6 games but now that Kerlly is off the 6gm, I think he might regress a bit.

Arbuckle 1st 6 games: 150/210 71% 281yds/gm 8.25avg 9 TDs to 8 INTs
Arbuckle last 6 games: 166/224 74% 356 yds/gm 9.63avg 14 TDs to 2 INTs

The numbers bear it out but you could see it in real time. His confidence level grew as soon as Kelly went on the 6gm. And now that's over and Kelly is posting shit on insta and its all about him.

Maybe I'm reading too much into this but I think Nick struggles.
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It’s funny how little respect Arbuckle gets after he won the Grey Cup last year!

He isn’t flashy but he is smart and a winner who consistency executes Dinwuddies offense!

Put some respect on that man’s name!
 
I think he has all the skill in the world but I think he may be a bit psychologically weak. I don't mean that in a bad way but a QB has to be a leader of men and can't fade under pressure. I feel like Arbuckle flourishes in the right situation but with Kelly looming over him to start the season, he was off his game, trying to do too much maybe.
 
0.5* Prop Kenny Lawler over 71.5 receiving yards -105

Kenny is pissed off at how the Bombers treated him before he left. I think he has a breakout night. He's gone over this number 3 out of the last 4 so its not like its sky high for him.

Heading off to the game...BOL everyone
 
Welp I did my damage and as per usual the dogs and in this season the under spots are getting tougher to find. The books are hesitant to set the overs higher than 56.5. Historically that’s overs. The book is not frustrated enough so maybe bettors are not exposing them enough. Just a guess. I’m watching these lines but I’m in a bad pattern again

Need the Argos to UNDER me tomorrow
 
So the prop that I've been stalking...Montreal to reach Grey Cup is now up to +330 (from +280) after Hamilton's win last night.

If both Toronto and Montreal lose today it would be the perfect result. Not just because I have bets on both but then all we'd need is word that Alexander is coming back to hammer it HARD.
 
Overs >=56 this season 8-2 compared with season >2000 same as this season so this season is the only season since 2020 with totals >56


Compared that with other seasons highlighted in yellow and when looking at the data consider this seasons 8-2 over.
 

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Results through Week 15

Sides 13-12 -0.365*
Totals 8-9 -3.12*
Parlays 6-8 -0.615*
Props 2-1 -0.15*
Live 12-17 -1.31*
Futures 1-0 +0.25*

Overall 43-47 -5.31*

3-4 this week for a 2.25* loss. A setback in the comeback but I am still undeterred. I WILL be back above 0 by season's end. Its not even a question for me.


Futures
0.5* Hamilton to win season series vs Toronto +200 - Series tied 1-1 after the labour day collapse. Next game Oct 4 in Toronto.
0.25* Ottawa under 10.5 RSW -104 - 4-9 after 13 games - winner winner chicken dinner.
0.5* BC Lions to win Grey Cup +750
0.5* Calgary to win Grey Cup +300
0.2* Hamilton to win Grey Cup +1000
0.25* Justin McInnis under 1200.5 rec yards - 888 yards through 13 games - on pace for 1229 yds - 2 big games have him on pace...this could be in danger
0.25* Shemar Bridges under 1050.5 rec yards - 238 yards through 13 games - on pace for 330 yds
 
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I could have had this at +350 last week but I gambled that the ALs would lose in Sask and the number would be better this week. What I stupidly missed was that Sask was starting 2 CBs who had no business starting including career special teamer Kerfalla Exume who was torched all night. And now that they play Toronto this week and the Argos are forced to start Jarrett Doege, they will probably win again so I don't think this number is getting any better.

1* Montreal to reach Grey Cup +240

Montreal is basically a lock to finish second in the east unless toronto pulls off a major upset this weekend. Once the ALs get Davis Alexander back (and by all accounts he will be back before the playoffs) they will only need to win a home game vs toronto or a crossover team and then travel to Hamilton. Despite the team's record, Hamilton is a paper tiger and a healthy Montreal team will dispatch them rather easily. I'm only betting them to reach the cup because I think either Sask or Calgary could handle the ALs in the title match.
 
For week 16...

1* Parlay Montreal ML / Calgary ML -109
1* EDM / HAM under 56.5 -108
 
With pain in this fans heart...

1* Edmonton +6 -110

Has to be done though. This is too many points. Should be 3 or 3.5 at most.

Last summer evening game of the season. Nothing better than sitting at the ballpark on a summers eve.
 
1*/.5* Live Ottawa +5.5/ML -115/+215

Taken at the half. Winnipeg leads 17-8 while only completing 1 pass and having 100 yards total offense in the 1H. That's not going to win you a game.
 
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Never in my life would I have dreamed that a team could win a game in the CFL with 2 completed passes. I wouldn't have even thought it was possible until I saw it with my own eyes.

Live long enough and you'll see everything.
 
Ottawa is done. Finished. This is a team that has given up on the season and on their coach.

Everything was setup on a platter for them to win today and they get beat by a team completing 2 passes.

Its time to blow it up. Dyce, Brown, they have to go and start again.
 
0.5* prop Justin Rankin over 64.5 rush yds -110
0.5* prop Greg Bell over 58.5 rush yds -110
0.5* prop Bo Levi Mitchell under 309.5 pass yds -110
 
CFL is done. The rule changes announced today are beyond ridiculous and will change the sport forever. I just cancelled my season tix and I won't even be watching the rest of the year. Stewart Johnson has killed the league once and for all.

Thanks to all who have chimed in over the years. Its been a fun ride and we made a few bucks but all good things must come to an end I guess. I wasn't ready for it to be today but I guess thats life.
 
Hulu said:
CFL is done. The rule changes announced today are beyond ridiculous and will change the sport forever. I just cancelled my season tix and I won't even be watching the rest of the year. Stewart Johnson has killed the league once and for all.

Thanks to all who have chimed in over the years. Its been a fun ride and we made a few bucks but all good things must come to an end I guess. I wasn't ready for it to be today but I guess thats life.
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100% agree. What was great about this sport is that it was unique.

Now it is going to be at no more than AA Minor League Baseball levels (at best), and probably worse.

Fuck off Stew
 
Hulu said:
Ottawa is done. Finished. This is a team that has given up on the season and on their coach.

Everything was setup on a platter for them to win today and they get beat by a team completing 2 passes.

Its time to blow it up. Dyce, Brown, they have to go and start again.
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After Henry Burris and Trevor Harris the team when the surge to open up their comeback to the league this team has disappointed.
 
spottie2935 said:
Yikes. I believe new angles are to be had but as far as traditional CFL games. You’re right.
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Its true, there will be new angles. The automatic play clock will change plays per game and totals without a doubt. One of my fav handicapping techniques is to watch how fast offences would get set before the play clock was blown in. A Trevor Harris offence gets set very quickly, a Cody Fajardo offence is slow as they can get away with. You don't have that discrepency with an auto play clock like the NFL has.

Early next year, I think unders will lead the way. You will have fewer rouges with the new rule and the auto clock can't help but speed the game and result in fewer plays.

Then in 2027 with the crazy, stupid, fucking dumbass new field dimensions, scoring should increase as teams are more inclined to take 3rd down gambles past the 55 50 because the field goal posts are 15 yards farther away. OTOH, they have completely eliminated one of the most exciting plays in the CFL, the missed FG return, and its pretty hard to run a deep out in a 15 yard end zone so maybe that balances things out a little. Offences also lose the advantage of the goal post rub play where they use the post as an extra defender.

There will be a lot to figure out and I just don't feel like I have the will to do it anymore. Like I said to my ticket rep, I might watch a bit on tv but I am not spending thousands of dollars to watch the feckless and out of touch board of governors monkey with the game in real time. The rules have evolved over 100+ years into a very entertaining game. We had 7 straight games that ended on the final drive a couple weeks ago. Just exciting finish game after game for 2 weeks. Whatever problems there are with the league, the rules and field aren't among them.

And they're shortening the field by 20 yards but leaving the width? Its gonna look like a goddamned square!
 
Also...

The best analysis of what is going on here that I have seen so far says this is basically the opening salvo in a second attempt at an xfl merger. That idea got shut down very quickly due to fan backlash the last time in 2021. But the idea never went away in the governors meetings and MLSE has been leading the charge to turn the CFL into a spring NFL feeder league.

The thought is that now they are taking a different approach. Start moving the rule set closer to a 4down game and when the time comes there is less shock when you merge the leagues and come up with a rule set. Changing the field dimensions has nothing to do with improving the game, its that a CFL size field will never fit into american built stadiums so in a merger that would have to go. Now its going in advance so people can't complain about that.

I hate to sound like a conspiracy theorist but I think this explanation holds water from everything Ive seen. Fans walking away in droves only helps them because then the BOG can throw their hands up and say "the league is dying, merging with the xfl is the only way to save it!"

I don't believe for one second that changing the field dimensions and goal post location is about making the game "faster and more dynamic". It just doesn't pass the sniff test.
 
And kudos to Nathan Rourke and Mike OShea for not toeing the line and speaking out about these stupid changes. I'm glad somebody has the balls to speak up.

I have lost tons of respect for people like Farjan Lalji and Dave Naylor for being too timid to speak their minds for fear of losing insider access. Shameful and pathetic.
 
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