CFL Syndicate 2025

[spottie2935]

digging into lines and cover teams a bit got to thinking.

Let’s talk teasers. They increase opportunities. The other thing that increases opportunities is cover fails but there are team limitations because the bottom team(s) are so dependent on the proper line or matchup week in week out they should only be played in certain games with line stipulations.

Okay I’m off topic a bit:

Premise: the future results I am looking for is teams off consecutive teasers fails. So I’ll dig into that. The other thing is in week 1 what if any team from the previous season excelled or failed using the extra points. What if a team the last 2 seasons were consistent bad or good in their teaser lines. In early weeks because the early season data base is slim this might be a benefit.

Be back in a few.

 

[spottie2935]

So going back 2 season the photo shows the teams that failed to their 6 point teasers. And the games highlighted are the number of times this failure occurred. The least amount of times means the team was really good and the opposite really bad. So we are going to find out if this has any meaning to the spreads and covers.

 

[spottie2935]

As far as tonight both of these teams are the best the last 2 seasons. Who ever covers I suspect in week 2 will fail to cover.

 

[spottie2935]

Away favorites that failed to cover a teaser last 2 games 11-4 ats and the away dogs are 43-35 55%