CFL Syndicate 2025

1* Edmonton +7 -110

I was hoping a 7 would pop on this game because the public is all over Montreal's nuts right now and not without reason. They have looked exceptionally good through the first 2 games.

But there are a few reasons I think the Elks compete here.

First Montreal is on a 6 day week with travel out west on B2B road games. That is always a tough spot. Edmonton is at home and off a bye and had a lot of time (and plenty of film) to prepare for this game. Looking at ticketmaster, the lower bowl looks 80-90% sold and its been years since that happened in Edmonton. I think this team will have a bigger HFA than they've enjoyed recently.

Second, even though Montreal has looked dominant, who have they played? A revenge game vs Toronto without their starting QB and a close road game vs Ottawa without their starting QB. Not exactly a murders row. Even though the Elks are a middling or even below avg team, I think they will put on a better showing than either of those 2.

Third, I think the Elks have more talent than they showed in week 1 vs BC. That was a tough spot travelling in week 1 with a ton of new pieces on defence especially but also on offence. I would hope they look substantially better after they've had the chance to clean some things up over the bye week. Its a bit early to expect them to be as good as I expect they can be later on, I still think they will look better than week 1.

EDM also gets back RT Brett Boyko from injury which will help bolster the OL (not that Tre Ford needs an OL at all).

My line on this game was EDM +4.5 so I will take a 7 all day. Not that 7 is a key number in the CFL, its not but that was my target for a bet here.

Good luck too all and I'll see ya later in the in-game.
 
I was waiting to get some interaction with you this week. Now I see you’re on Edm too. My buddy likes them as well. I’m gun shy keeping my record at 5-2 and know Edmonton can gang and blow it.

I’ll wait for I game with the hope Montreal gets out first.

Edm hung with Bc for 3 quarters do we get that team or the 4th qtr team that got pummeled on the score board.

Best wishes and I agree on Montreal opponent tge problem I have with that is Edm could fall into the same category
 
After week 2 o/u is 4-4. I have the avg total at 50.1 and the avg score at 51.5.

One thing I've noticed is there are a lot of FG kickers struggling to start the season. Collectively kickers are 33/44 or 75% which is well below last years avg which was around 83% IIRC. If they had hit at that rate this year, that would be an additional 1.3 pts/game.

I stand by my prediction that scoring will be up again this year and the market will be slow to adjust. As long as we don't have a rash of QB in injuries. We just have to pick our spots to go over.
 
Guys I’m posting the rest of my plays in my thread. I’m concerned we might disagree and for that reason I don’t want to influence you. I’ve been having difficulty in the past with CFL so I know how maddening it can be. I’m confident in your mind set and the is just part of meandering through early lines and weird scheduling

This weeks opening lines had all 4 home dogs? That’s so rare. Toronto and Winnipegs starting QBs have not played yet. There is a lot to sort out. It will all normalize and come to you.
 
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I don't think I'll have any further pre-flop plays this week. Just a horrible start to the season for me. Need to recalibrate.
 
Assuming parody, fail again. Toronto is completely injured. 70 yard play proves that. I need to in grain this in my head.
 
spottie2935 said:
Well that’s an interesting way to lose. Oh well serves me right for betting a team in regression. Oh these dogs.
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That was an unbelievable ending. What a way to lose a game after coming back like that.

Like my dad used to say, if you live long enough you'll see everything.
 
0.5*/0.5* Live Calgary +2/ML -102/+120

Taken at the half. Ottawa up 6-2

eta...traded for a better number
 
All 4 favorite lined at the open were road favorites. All road teams covered. Where is the parody in that.? No fluctuations and meanderings ?

I was search for data since 2021 and found huge trends on the overs. Of course right because they need eyeballs to watch exciting and interesting scoring games. If it just unders and lots of blunders and penalties? Nobody watches.

The league is on the way back but the way I play this is and won’t be to my advantage. Until the over lines inflate and the dogs start scoring and covering consistently it’s too difficult.
 
I can’t trust overs even with good qbs I feel tense the floor will drop out. I can’t reverse the way my mind thinks. I’m successful with parody and if the parody isn’t present then I’m screwed.

I do believe it will happen but the scheduling is a big problem at the moment.
 
Under 60.5 live I put this in right after the score so forgive if my line is stale

The 4th Q scoring in elks game have been wild

I’m betting against a wild 4th quarter so if I can get better lines than 60 I’ll keep adding
 
Half time line id +13.5 and 63.5

Anything can happen but my 66.5 under has 31 points remaining. At a pregame line of 52.5 on paper looks good but this game is wild
 
Sorry I've missed ya'll to this point. I usually take the first few weeks off to see how teams shake out - way too much player and coaching turnover these days for me to start from Week 1.

Some interesting news today in that if you subscribe to PFF+ they now release all grades and some stats for every player after each week! The stats and definetely the UI are a FAR cry from their NFL and CFB stuff but it's a nice start and a valuable resource going forward.

Hopefully I can fully catch up and contribute going forward.
 
Hulu said:
I saw some signs of life from this defence tonight. I think by the second half of the season, they will be good. I'm not sure if Tre Ford ever becomes a starting QB. At some point Fajardo has to start.
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Facts and when CJ starts I expect better results. It’s really just bad 4th quarters
 
I take that back the elks played a better 4thQ in game 2. I thought they got beat 22-10 but they whooped. Still wild ending in their 4th quarters is not good. It’s erratic and inconsistent. The pregame +10.5 failed line
 
Really like Montreal tonight , sure the QB is out but hasn't the backup played like 3849 games lol ??

Hamilton's defense has been atrocious, heading to the sportsbook shortly ...

What do you gents think ?
 
DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
How much longer can the CFL survive ? Believe I seen the other day that only 2 teams are making a profit ?
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Okay but if scoring stays elevated and the games are exciting things will change. They are making defense harder so more points are scored more overs are hitting and the dominate Winnipeg and Montreal defenses will not suffocate teams. The QB's are all pretty decent as well.

Sounds obvious but they are trying to make more profits. Will they ? yes but a lot of North American turmoil is taking place so as long as A recession doesnt occur they should be okay

Well see
 
DOUBLEUP4LIFE said:
How much longer can the CFL survive ? Believe I seen the other day that only 2 teams are making a profit ?
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Well only 3 teams release their financials publicly and of those 2, Winnipeg & Sask made a healthy profit while Calgary did not. We don't know the financial health of the other 6 teams because they are privately owned and don't release the info.

The league is actually in better financial shape than it has been in many years. So much so that the league revenue triggered a clause in the CBA that made an unscheduled increase to the salary cap. To me that's as good an indication as any that the league overall is healthy even if a few of the teams lose money.

There have been many times in my lifetime when the league or several teams were on the brink of financial collapse but now everything is in fairly good shape. Its never going to be a money generator like the NFL is but it will survive. Never underestimate the number of multi-millionaires and billionaires who enjoy the cache of owning a pro team even if it loses some pocket change for them.
 
1* MTL / HAM over 48.5 -110

This total has dropped due to the forecast but I actually am willing to take a chance here that the rain holds off until the end or doesn't come down heavy. Both these teams can score and I think the right number is about 52.

Good luck to all.
 
Hulu said:
Well only 3 teams release their financials publicly and of those 2, Winnipeg & Sask made a healthy profit while Calgary did not. We don't know the financial health of the other 6 teams because they are privately owned and don't release the info.

The league is actually in better financial shape than it has been in many years. So much so that the league revenue triggered a clause in the CBA that made an unscheduled increase to the salary cap. To me that's as good an indication as any that the league overall is healthy even if a few of the teams lose money.

There have been many times in my lifetime when the league or several teams were on the brink of financial collapse but now everything is in fairly good shape. Its never going to be a money generator like the NFL is but it will survive. Never underestimate the number of multi-millionaires and billionaires who enjoy the cache of owning a pro team even if it loses some pocket change for them.
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I read the headline of a piece the other day , made me sick to my stomach so I didn't open it ..From the sounds of it I should of ..

Love the CFL, my grandfather and dad used to take me to Hamilton games as a kid , we had a distant relative who played for 6 or 7 seasons ...

HATE what the NFL has become in so many ways , the CFL is so refreshing.
 
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