BMW Discussion

gps_3

Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
A little late to the party with the holiday on Monday. Next to last event of the season. New course, Aronimink, for this event, a couple of Quicken Loans Nationals were played here, but I've read that the renovations since then most likely render course history a moot point. Though Justin Rose won one of those previous tournaments, he'll be on the short list of favorites.

So far I've played:

Leishman -110 vs Stenson
Molinari +105 vs Fowler

Both are injury fades. One and done, I'm looking at Spieth, Molinari, Casey or Bryson. Can he go 3 in a row? Need a big finish in these last 2
 
I bet four tourney match plays so far. that will probably be it for this week (bet/return)

Francesco Molinari even over Rickie Fowler (50/100)
as you stated, Fowler coming off injury

Aaron Wise +125 over Emiliano Grillo (40/90)
Wise: T-69th Dell Tech (shot [+6] 3rd round then [-7] final) T-5th Northern [-12] CUT PGA T-6th Bridgestone [-8]
Grillo: 7th Dell Tech [-11] T-48th Northern [-3] T-31st PGA [-5] T-66th Bridgestone [+8]

Cameron Smith +125 over Tyrrell Hatton (40/90)
Smith: solo 3rd Dell Tech [-13] T-3rd Northern [-13] T-56th PGA [-1] solo 23rd Bridgestone [-4]
Hatton: T-12th Dell Tech [-10] T-20th Northern [-8] T-10th PGA [-9] T-28th Bridgestone [-2]

CT Pan +125 over Louis Oosthuizen (40/90)
Pan: T-4th Dell Tech [-12] T-60th Northern [-1] T-2nd Wyndham [-18]
Oosthuizen: T-31st Dell Tech [-6] T-28th Northern [-6] T-24th Bridgestone [-3]

my tourney to win "cats & dogs" this week (bet/return)

Jon Rahm 35-1 (15/540) T-4th PGA [-11]
Cameron Smith 50-1 (10/510) solo 3rd Dell Tech [-13] T-3rd Northern [-13]
CT Pan 80-1 (6.25/506.25) T-4th Dell Tech [-12] T-60th Northern [-1] T-2nd Wyndham [-18]
Aaron Wise 100-1 (5/505) T-69th Dell Tech (shot [+6] 3rd round [-7] final) T-5th Northern [-12] CUT PGA T-6th Bridgestone [-8]
Abraham Ancer 100-1 (5/505) T-7th Dell Tech [-11] 3rd round leader
Byeong-Hun An 125-1 (4/504) T-2nd Canadian [-20] T-2nd Memorial [-15] playoff
Ryan Palmer 200-1 (2.50/502.50) CUT Dell Tech BUT T-5th Northern [-12]
Brian Yag 250-1 (2/502) T-6th Wyndham [-16] solo 6th Barbasol [-20]
Brice Garnett 250-1 (2/502) T-12th Dell Tech [-10] WIN Corales [-18]
Ryan Armour 300-1 (2/602) T-8th Wyndham [-15] solo 2nd National [-13] WIN Sanderson Farms [-19]
Andrew Landry 300-1 (2/602) T-8th National [-9] WIN Valero [-17] solo 2nd La Quinta [-22] playoff
Patton Kizzire 500-1 (2/1002) early season WIN OHL [-19] and WIN Sony [-17] playoff
 
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gonna steal RBTrojan's Marc Leishman +105 over Henrik Stenson (50/102.50). just makes sense with Stenson fighting injury

Leishman: T-21st Dell Tech [-8] T-34th Northern [-5] T-71st PGA [+2] T-14th Bridgestone [-6]
Stenson: T-69th Dell Tech [+1] T-20th Wyndham [-13] CUT PGA T-39th Bridgestone [+1]
 
Tiger with a shot at 59. Needs birdie-eagle finish. I've been watching a little, and he is dialed in tee to green. Most of the news is focusing on him switching back to his trusty Scotty, but when you hit your irons as close as he has today, you could putt with a shovel and shoot a score
 
well Rory went bogie, bogie, birdie to finish [-8] TIED with Tiger for the lead. "X" Schauffele solo 3rd one shot back. four at [-6] including Justin Thomas (one tourney too late for me) and the Swede Alex Noren who was pre-tourney "to win" 100-1 this week :confused:
 
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Holy SHIT!!! my tourney match plays 1st round

Francesco Molinari [even] over Rickie Fowler [-5]
Aaron Wise [-5] over Emiliano Grillo [-3]
Cameron Smith [+1]
over Tyrrell Hatton [-1]
CT Pan [-3] over Louis Oosthuizen [+3]
Marc Leishman [+4]
over Henrik Stenson [-4]

"The Mole" and Leishman look like THEY are the players coming off injury. "The Mole" DID skip last week. at least "Wise Guy" and "Pan Puss" with good starts :confused:
 
adjusted "to win" odds after 1st round @ William-Hill [score] position
Rory McIlory 7-2 [-8] T-1st
Tiger Woods 4-1 [-8] T-1st
Justin Thomas 7-1 [-6] T-4th
Xander Shauffele 12-1 [-7] solo 3rd
Justin Rose 15-1 [-4] T-12th
Rickie Fowler 15-1 [-5] T-6th
Hideki Matsuyama 20-1 [-4] T-12th
Alex Noren 22-1 [-6] T-4th
Jordan Spieth 25-1 [-3] T-20th
Jon Rahm 25-1 [-4] T-12th
Billy Horschel 25-1 [-6] T-4th
Bryson DeChambeau 30-1 [-3] T-20th
Peter Uihlein 35-1 [-6] T-4th
Jason Day 40-1 [-3] T-20th
Henrik Stenson 40-1 [-4] T-12th
Aaron Wise 40-1 [-5] T-8th
Byeong-Hun An 40-1 [-5] T-8th
Dustin Johnson 45-1 [even] T-49th
Brooks Koepka 50-1 [-1] T-38th
Tony Finau 55-1 [-2] T-30th
Gary Woodland 60-1 [-4] T-12th
Keegan Bradley 65-1 [-4] T-12th
CT Pan 75-1 [-3] T-20th
Emiliano Grillo 75-1 [-3] T-20th
Francesco Molinari 90-1 [even] T-49th
Paul Casey 90-1 [-1] T-38th
Kyle Stanley 90-1 [-3] T-20th
Beau Hossler 100-1 [-3] T-20th
Zack Johnson 125-1 [-2] T-30th
Ian Poulter 125-1 [-2] T-30th
Tommy Fleetwood 150-1 [+1] T-57th
Tyrrell Hatton 150-1 [-1] t-38th
Patrick Reed 150-1 [-1] T-38th
Abraham Ancer 150-1 [-1] T-38th
Patrick Cantlay 250-1 [+1] T-57th
Cameron Smith 250-1 [+1] T-57th
Marc Leishman 250-1 [+4] T-67th
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 250-1 [even] T-49th
Bubba Watson 250-1 [+1] T-57th
Brandt Snedeker 250-1 [+1] T-57th
Louis Oosthuizen 250-1 [+3] T-65th
Adam Hadwin 250-1 [-1] T-38th
Kevin Na 250-1 [even] T-49th
Luke List 250-1 [even] T-49th
Chris Kirk 250-1 [-1]
Kevin Kisner300-1 [+2] solo 64th
Adam Scott 350-1 [+4] T-67th
Phil Mickelson 450-1 [+3] T-65th
FIELD 12-1
Ryan Armour [-5] T-8th
Brian Yag [-4] T-12th
Andrew Putman [-3] T-20th
JJ Spaun [-3] T-20th
Kieth Mitchell [-3] T-20th
Charles Howell III [-2]
Patton Kizzire [-2] T-30th
Ted Potter, Jr [-2] T-30th
Andrew Landry [-2] T-30th
Chez Reavie [-2] T-30th
 
btw, his last two tourneys "Dr Strange Clubs" Bryson DeChambeau shot a 3rd round 63 [-7] & [-8] to WIN from being middle of the pack after the CUT

AND last year "X" Schauffele "squeeked in" to the final Tour Championship with a T-20th [-10] in the BMW then WON that tourney with a [-12] by one shot over Justin Rose
 
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"E to the X, D-X D-X. E to the X, D-Y. Cosine, Secant, Sign of Pi. DISINTEGRATE THEM, Schauffele guy!!!"

"X" with a 2nd round [-6] for tourney [-13] and a two shot lead on Justin Rose [-7] for [-11] and three over Bradley, Noren, Fowler and Matsuyama. had a number of [-6] and [-7] rounds with Tommy Fleetwood and Kevin Na both shooting [-8] while Tiger shot [even] after his first round [-8]. with the low scoring ANYONE'S tourney down to the [-8] players. probably NO "Dr Strange Clubs" DeChambeau this week at [-3] but Hey!!! Ya Never KNOW!!!:rolleyes:
 
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<<adjusted "to win" after 2nd round>> Westgate/William-Hill best odds
[2nd round/tourney scores]
Justin Rose 4-1 / 5-1 [-7 /-11] solo 2nd
Xander Schauffele 9-2 / 5-1 [-6/-13] solo 1st
Hideki Matsuyama 8-1 / 8-1 [-6/-10] T-3rd
Riskie Fowler 10-1 / 10-1 [-5/-10] T-3rd
Justin Thomas 10-1 / 10-1 [-3/-9] T-7th
Rory McIlroy 10-1 / 10-1 [-1/-9] T-7th
Alex Noren 14-1 / 15-1 [-4/-10] T-3rd
Jason Day 18-1 / 15-1 [-6/-9] T-7th
Keegan Bradley 20-1 / 22-1 [-6/-10] T-3rd
Tiger Woods 20-1 / 15-1 [even/-8] T-12th
Tony Finau 25-1 / 22-1 [-6/-8] T-12th
Billy Horschel 40-1 / 35-1 [-3/-9] T-7th
Francesco Molinari 40-1 / 30-1 [-7 /-7] T-20th
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1 / 40-1 [-8 /-7] T-20th
Aaron Wise 50-1 / 50-1 [-3/-8] T-12th
Gary Woodland 50-1 / 50-1 [-4/-8] T-12th
Kevin Na 60-1 / 65-1 [-8/-8] T-12th
Byeong-Hun An 60-1 / 65-1 [-3/-8] T-12th
Webb Simpson 60-1 / 50-1 [-3/-7] T-20th
Jon Rahm 80-1 / 60-1 [-1/-5] T-31st
<<westgate only>>
Charles Howell III 50-1 [-7/-9] T-7th
Ryan Armour 80-1 [-3/-8] T-12th
Ted Potter, Jr 150-1 [-6/-8] T-12th
Westgate FIELD 30-1
Andrew Putnam [-4 /-7] T-20th
Kieth Mitchel [even/-6] T-24th
Jason Kokrak [-5/-6] T-24th
JJ Spaun [-2/-5] T-31st
Brice Garnett [-3/-3] T-38th
<<william-hill only>>
Patrick Reed 80-1 [-5/-6] T-24th
Henrik Stenson 80-1 ]-1/-5] T31st
Brooks Koepka 125-1 [-2/-3] T-38th
Bryson DeChambeau 125-1 [even/-3] T-38th
CT Pan 125-1 [-3/-6] T-24th
Beau Hossler 125-1 [-3/-6] T-24th
Peter Uihlein 125-1 [even/-6] T-24th
Patrick Cantlay 150-1 [-4/-5] T-34th
Tyrrell Hatton 150-1 [-2/-3] T-38th
Bubba Watson 150-1 [-2/-3] T-38th
Jordan Spieth 175-1 [+1/-2] T-48th
Zack Johnson 175-1 [-2/-4] T-34th
Dustin Johnson 175-1 [-2/-2] T48th
Paul Casey 250-1 [-2/-3] T38th
Emiliano Grillo 250-1 [even/-3] T-38th
Ian Poulter 250-1 [even/-2] T-48th
Luke List 250-1 [-4/-4] T-34th
Kyle Stanley 290-1 [even/-3] T-38th
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 350-1 [-2/-2] T-48th
Abraham Ancer 350-1 [-2/-3] T-38th
Chris Kirk 350-1 [-2/-3] T-38th
Marc Leishman 450-1 [-4/even] T-62nd
Brandt Snedeker 450-1 [even/-1] T-62nd
Adam Hadwin 450-1 [-1/-2] T-48th
Kevin Kisner 500-1 [-3/-1] T-57th
Adam Scott 750-1 [-2/+2] T-66th
Phil Mickelson 750-1 [+2/+5] solo 69th
Cameron Smith 750-1 [+1/+1] T-66th
Louis Oosthuizen 750-1 [+1/-2] T-64th

TWO rounds to GO ??? ANYONE within 10 shots of the lead has a chance even "Dr Strange Clubs" :)
 
well Justin Rose the leader going into Sunday [-6] for tourney [-17] one shot over Rory Mcilroy [-7] and 2nd round leader "X" Schauffele [-3] for [-16] and two over Rickie Fowler [-5] and Tommy Fleetwood [-8] for [-15]. STILL players down to [-12] with a chance IF the leaders stumble

"The Mole" [-6] for [-13] with a chance to catch "Rickie Tickie" [-5] for [-15]. "Wise Guy" [-2] for [-10] eight up on Grillo [+1] for [-2] and "Pan Puss" [+1] for [-5] four up on "Ooster" [-2] for [-1] BUT "Cammy" Smith [-2] for [even] four down to "The Mad Hatton" [-1] for [-4] and Leishman [-4] for [-4] four back of Stenson [-3] for [-8]

with the wicked low scoring ANYTHING can happen. "Cocker Tommy" Fleetwood shoots his 2nd [-8] of the tourney Saturday and moved from 20th after Friday to tied 4th while "The Mole" with a [-7] and [-6] his last two rounds who was also tied 20th now tied 7th
 
Great leaderboard....

Keegan and Billy Ho tied for lead...Rose should join in a moment...
 
Anyone that thinks he isn't back is nuts. They were arguing on the radio today whether he would win again or not. This is the best he has looked in many many years.
 
I get a GIFT from the GOLF GODS!!! Rose another BOGIE on the #18 1st playoff hole to hand it to Bradley!!! I threw $10 bucks on Keegan @ 65-1 adjusted "to win" after the first round @ William-Hill :)
 
btw, "X" Schauffele moves up 23 spots to MAKE next weeks TOUR Championship. SAME as last year when he "squeeked in" and then WON :cool:
 
I get a GIFT from the GOLF GODS!!! Rose another BOGIE on the #18 1st playoff hole to hand it to Bradley!!! I threw $10 bucks on Keegan @ 65-1 adjusted "to win" after the first round @ William-Hill

AND "The Mole" fights back with a final round [-3] for tourney [-16] "putch" with "Rickie Tickie" [-1] for [-16] so I end up with a "sister kissing" 2-2-1 on the weeks match plays. WIN with "Pan Puss" and the "Wise Guy". LOSE with "Cammy" Smith and Leishman. BETTER than LOSING :)
 
Anyone that thinks he isn't back is nuts. They were arguing on the radio today whether he would win again or not. This is the best he has looked in many many years.

He is moving in the right direction but he isn't back yet imo. He needs to make more putts and actually cross the finish line in first. Lots of mileage on that body of his... I personally think he will win again but I doubt any majors.
 
Nice hit with Keegan Rat! That birdie on 17 by Fowler hurt but 0-2-1 is better than 0-3... Onto next week!
 
Nice hit with Keegan Rat! That birdie on 17 by Fowler hurt but 0-2-1 is better than 0-3... Onto next week!

YA!!! watching the playoff was thinking "Rose, you LUCKY FUCK!!!" after he almost hit it in the gallery. THEN was saying "JACK IT" on his par put and he DID!!! just pure LUCK didn't have to go to a second round :sportsfanfinger:

AND ALL HAIL "The Mole" for at least getting the "putch" with "Rickie Tickie". after the first two rounds THAT looked like a "gone gosling" :)
 
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