BAW Nation 2024-2025 Season...

[B.A.R.]

Should be an auto play UNDER in 2h in Portland.

The big favorite facing a deficit turns this into a wait and see situation as far as the total goes.


2h Minnesota -9.5


Start with this and go from there. Portland three barrage in 1h should regress.

Rare side but I'll do this with good teams -- like that Celtics bet earlier in season.

I'd lean Port 2h TT under as well.

 

[B.A.R.]

Everything spot on in Phoenix and Utah.

I don't see an advantage on this 2h either way.

Guess I didn't post it but I played live over here late 3rd at a nice discount.

Helluva finish there.

 

[B.A.R.]

Yeah I remember all the situational and scheduling plays

For sure!

The biggest thing I miss with the new NBA schedule.

Tbh, the best "situation" plays now are star player out angles (as alluded to above).

Hope all is well GG -- a true OG @ CTG!

 

[B.A.R.]

Close to a 2h over in GS ..


Will stalk...

 

[B.A.R.]

Should be an auto play UNDER in 2h in Portland.

The big favorite facing a deficit turns this into a wait and see situation as far as the total goes.


2h Minnesota -9.5


Start with this and go from there. Portland three barrage in 1h should regress.

Rare side but I'll do this with good teams -- like that Celtics bet earlier in season.

I'd lean Port 2h TT under as well.

Good golly.

Weeks of frustration coming out for Portland.

This one's over. We see a few of these from time to time from Minnesota (I was caught on the wrong end last year).

 

[B.A.R.]

No clue how any team in this league could be losing by 20 to this Blazer's team -- but these are professionals -- the embarrassment finally got to them I guess.

 

[B.A.R.]

Not to harp on this game ...

But just wild watching it...

Portland shot 12-20 on threes in the 1st half.

A perfect 5-5 in the 3rd.

 

[B.A.R.]

Two West matchups right now...

2 huge HT leads.

The game in GS has great pace but that margin isn't conducive to a 2h over... Just yet..

We'll track that one.

We're starting 2h with the total @ 227.

Let's see how things go in this 3rd

Knicks with a rowdy 1h in Phoenix.

Now, perhaps the Suns make a run but we most likely do not see 19-41 combined on 3s again.

Start 2h with an under. Might play with this later.

New York 2h u110 -110

(So our starting number is 244).

 

[B.A.R.]

210 is our starting # in LA.

I lean under, but will watch a bit here in the 3rd.

 

[B.A.R.]

Live - Golden State o221.5 -112

Game is a bit tighter.... Discount I want here....

 

[B.A.R.]

Knicks and Suns just destined to fly over.

Maybe a drought to start the 4th allows a buy off? We need a big one.

This happens at times in the NBA. I remember a Wizards and Rockets game a few years back that never had a lull. The live total was over 300 at one point.

My premise here is I won't chase an under in this situation.

 

[B.A.R.]

Still tracking the Clippers and Magic.

I did chase the over in the Bay (unposted). Gonna be tight!

 

[B.A.R.]

Lean under in LA but never got the # I wanted.

See how tomorrow shakes out.

0-2 posted, but did hit the 2nd GS bet at least.

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's try posting one.

Minnesota 2h u115.5

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's try posting one.

Minnesota 2h u115.5

This has looked incredible all 2h until that 20 points in 3 mins.

My instincts say take over 216.5 -102 and create a middle but I'll trust how the last few quarters had went as far as pace.

Shall see.

Won 3 units in Charlotte with OT luck so let this one ride.

Tracking game in Utah.

 

[B.A.R.]

We'll see if I learn a lesson or not...

Live - Utah TT o115.5 -103

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's try posting one.

Minnesota 2h u115.5

Easy peasy.

 

[B.A.R.]

Jazz going cold late!

Fudge.

We needed 8 points in 4:15 to end this game.

Spurs big run. I need some extension here hopefully.

 

[B.A.R.]

Wild first half at Staples.

They painted the 2h at 105

That number was 103.5 to 104.5 all first half watching the live market.

Anyways, I'm just going to track this for a bit.

Very happy with NBA tonight -- but also willing to get one more bet in.

 

[B.A.R.]

Stalking 2h in Sacto.

Had a middle opp in Cleveland earlier that didn't close...

Need to see how this 3Q gets called at Arco.

231.5 our starting # for 2nd half

 

[B.A.R.]

Nothing ever developed there

Big card tomorrow night -- be stalking while watching the Harbaugh Bowl

 

[B.A.R.]

Rare live side --

Toronto ML -125

 

[B.A.R.]

Rare live side --

Toronto ML -125

Cade out again. I saw -5 at mid afternoon and figured he was playing. Way too much respect for Detroit without Cade. He's the straw that stirs the drink.

So, I'll grab Raps now with the lead.

 

[B.A.R.]

2h Pacers Pelicans U115.5 -110

Didn't get the inflated one but still like this number. Too much.

As always, will monitor and a middle/hedge could be in order

 

[B.A.R.]

Maybe pop Magic Hornets under if a big 3rd...

Stons and Raps is tougher. Same idea though if a big 3rd.

 

[B.A.R.]

Trying to stay away from live totals early but this pace dictates a play right now.


Live - Dallas o240.5 -107 2 units

 

[B.A.R.]

Celtics crushing LA in Boston tonight.

Likely an under, in 2h, but we need to see how long the hot Celtics shooting from deep holds on for tonight.

Stalking...

 

[B.A.R.]

Pace still terrific in Atlanta, even with 21 combined turnovers!

The early play on live # gives us 3 points of value on this 2h line.

 

[B.A.R.]

2h Pacers Pelicans U115.5 -110

Didn't get the inflated one but still like this number. Too much.

As always, will monitor and a middle/hedge could be in order

First few mins of 3rd, this was down 7 points from HT... Then the barrage started!

Luckily slowed a bit. Tight game should slow up, but I'm not comfortable with this anymore...

Live - Pacers o227 +100

 

[B.A.R.]

Hornets and Magic live # in the low 170s

Darn it for waiting. That's okay though.

Lamelo with a fantastic game so far too.

 

[B.A.R.]

First few mins of 3rd, this was down 7 points from HT... Then the barrage started!

Luckily slowed a bit. Tight game should slow up, but I'm not comfortable with this anymore...

Live - Pacers o227 +100

Boo.

I had the right play.

Other than the burst in the middle of 3rd this was an under half.

Happy I capped it correctly.

Now, need to cash these other two bets.

 

[B.A.R.]

Alright, tough loss on the Raptors ML but the lesson there was to play the +5 pregame.

Helluva game by Ivey.

Raps with over 100 FGAs and 23 offensive boards and still only mustered 100 points.

Bad team.

Big win for Detroit w/o Cade

 

[B.A.R.]

Celtics crushing LA in Boston tonight.

Likely an under, in 2h, but we need to see how long the hot Celtics shooting from deep holds on for tonight.

Stalking...

Seeing it well, this went under in 2h by 19.

I honestly wasn't aggressive enough here in making a play.

 

[KJ]

Good morning

 

[B.A.R.]

Dallas cashes

We're officially up for the night.

Maybe find something in these last 3 games.

 

[B.A.R.]

Live - New York u245.5 -103

Possibly middling

 

[B.A.R.]

We'll see. This game in Denver just won't stop.

Need reserves on the floor...

The shot clock has not been a factor in this 3rd. A lot of times after a huge 1st half and a big lead you see a slower pace in the 3rd, especially on the road.

Not these Knicks tonight.

 

[KJ]

We'll see. This game in Denver just won't stop.

Need reserves on the floor...

This is a huge problem for me with NBA

Do we know their contract clauses/escalators before common sense takes over?

I'm still bitter that I needed 12 yards from Monty yesterday before he got -2 on a carry and it was Gibbs the rest of the way. Really didn't think o50.5 was in doubt at HT but this shit is all on powers that are higher than me

 

[B.A.R.]

This is a huge problem for me with NBA

Do we know their contract clauses/escalators before common sense takes over?

I'm still bitter that I needed 12 yards from Monty yesterday before he got -2 on a carry and it was Gibbs the rest of the way. Really didn't think o50.5 was in doubt at HT but this shit is all on powers that are higher than me

Monty got hurt.

Shoulder.

They took off pads and he went to the locker room.

He could have played in the 2h if this was a playoff game.

 

[KJ]

Monty got hurt.

Shoulder.

They took off pads and he went to the locker room.

He could have played in the 2h if this was a playoff game.

I lost a significant parlay with o50.5 and TD

Should have stayed asleep

 

[B.A.R.]

I lost a significant parlay with o50.5 and TD

Should have stayed asleep

Sorry bro.

Yeah, Lions accumulated a lot of bruises yesterday.

Knuckles was out there popping guys on runs and catches. He caught a stinger I'm guessing.

 

[B.A.R.]

Knicks up 26 with 7ish left bringing starters back.

*noted for future bets.

 

[KJ]

Sorry bro.

Yeah, Lions accumulated a lot of bruises yesterday.

Knuckles was out there popping guys on runs and catches. He caught a stinger I'm guessing.

The amount of internal upchuck of street corn was not ideal

 

[B.A.R.]

Shot attempts flying in DC... Trying to get a total here...

 

[B.A.R.]

Live -

Chicago/Washington 1h o110.5 -116

2 units

 

[B.A.R.]

Live -

Chicago/Washington 1h o110.5 -116

2 units

Extremely irritating loss here.

Now, the pace slowed up slightly in the 2nd but overall the #s I would want for a 115-120 point half were there.

Chicago scored 40 in the 2nd!

Washington nearly needed 21 frickin points.

Embarrassing.

I have a history with these two teams when they play in Washington the last few years. I think I've lost multiple overs due to one team bricking everything in a faster paced game.

Did I remember that after I submitted the bet? Yep. Key word 'after'

 

[B.A.R.]

2h

Phoenix/San Antonio u117 -110

As always, subject to a middling...

Our # is 208 to start the 2h.

Pace is average right now. Hopefully things stay that way.

 

[B.A.R.]

9:30 left and live total is 200.5

Holding for now

 

[B.A.R.]

2h

Houston/Sacramento u117 -110

More than likely subject to a middle. I'll try for plus juice here to make it a freebie if poss. The pace isn't there for a 120 point half imo. We'll see.

Our starting # is 226

 

[B.A.R.]

1st bet of the night was simple.
2nd one, not at all. A good ole fashioned 71 point 3rd. Pace was much faster.

Oh well.

Kiss the sister unless they pull a Milwaukee and Detroit and score under 40 here.