August ~ Bases

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
---- MLB ----
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Finished month strong on last 5 days to partially overcome that dreadful 12 day stretch right after the break. Up slightly on the season. :p

TODAY:
  • 4/6.72 Reds +168
  • 5/4.07 REDS (CIN) +1½-123
  • 5/6.90 Brewers +138
  • 5/3.45 Brewers +1½ -145
  • 7/3.11 Dodgers -225
  • 5/3.57 DODGERS (LAD) -1½-140
  • 5/6.85 Red Sox +137
  • 6/4.00 Red Sox +1½ -150
  • 5/6.65 Twins +133
  • 6/3.87 TWINS (MIN) +1½-155
  • 5/5.05 Astros +101
  • 6/3.16 Astros +1½ -190


Pend;
CHW & 1'
CHC & 1'
PIT & 1'


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 4-2 UNDER; 2-1 OVER; 1-1

CHASIN TODAY...
LAD
NYM
DET
PIT
LAA O
SD O
PIT O
DET O

randoms...

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Last edited:
adds
  • 5/5.15 CUBS (CHC) +103
  • 6/3.24 CUBS (CHC) +1½-185
  • 5/7.20 Pitates +144
  • 5/4.35 PIRATES (PIT) +1½-115
  • 5/11.1 Royals +222
  • 5/7.80 Indians +156
  • 5/3.60 Indians Team Total Over 3½ -139
  • 5/5.50 Royals Team Total Over 3½ +110
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [8-12 -26.28u]

TODAY:
  • 5/3.45 Nationals +1½ -145
  • 4/8.20 Pirates +205
  • 5/4.85 PIRATES (PIT) +1½-103
  • 5/3.60 BLUE JAYS (TOR) -1½-139
  • 6/4.00 Rays -150


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 5-2 UNDER; 2-1 OVER; 3-1

CHASIN TODAY...
AZ


randoms...

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NoNo in TOR ...This seems like a high value scenario NRFI pitcher match up. Eli Morgan is yet to allow even a hit or walk anyone in the first inning in 3 away games so far this year, while averaging almost 2 strikeouts per 1st inning. Robbie Ray has not allowed a 1st inning run in 9 home games thus far, and has only given up 3 total 1st inning hits in those 9 games. The Indians have not allowed a 1st inning run in 7 of their last 10 road games, including their last 4, while the Blue Jays have not allowed a 1st inning run in 16 of their last 19 home games. Both teams are in the top 10 in 1st inning defense. Unfortunately none of my 3 books has posted a line yet, but I will be watching for it.

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---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [1-6 -25.28u]

TODAY:
  • 5/4.46 BREWERS (MIL) -1½-112
  • 5/4.10 Braves -122
  • 6/4.00 Giants -150
  • 5/4.81 BLUE JAYS (TOR) -1½-104
  • 5/3.94 Reds -127


Pend;
NYY & 1'
OAK
CHW


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 0-0 UNDER; 0-0 OVER; 0-0

CHASIN TODAY...
CLE
NYM
PHI
WAS U
MIA O


randoms...

1627984938926.png
 
adds
  • 5/4.35 Mariners Team Total OVER 3½ -115
  • 5/5.00 Royals Team Total OVER 3½ +100
  • 5/7.20 Mariners +144
  • 5/5.50 Royals +1½ +110

Pend;
NYY & 1'
OAK

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---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [4-5 -5.54u]

TODAY:
  • 7/2.60 BREWERS (MIL) -269
  • 5/3.97 BREWERS (MIL) -1½-126
  • 5/6.95 CUBS (CHC) +139
  • 6/6.65 TIGERS (DET) +133
  • 5/6.95 MARINERS (SEA) +139
  • 5/3.52 MARINERS (SEA) +1½-142

Lean;
TOR & 1'
LAD & 1'
CHW & 1'
NYY & 1'
AZ & 1'
MIA & 1'
TEX & 1'
ATL & 1'
OAK


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 1-2 UNDER; 1-1 OVER; 1-0

CHASIN TODAY...
MIL
SL
MIA
LAD
CIN
COL
BOS
NYY
AZ U
NYY U
TOR O
WAS O


randoms...

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Top 10:

1. San Francisco Giants


What they did: Dropped Kris Bryant into the middle of their lineup and brought back Tony Watson for the bullpen.

What they could have done: Mortgaged more of the future for Max Scherzer to headline their rotation, if Scherzer was cool with that. Added someone like Raisel Iglesias to the bullpen.

What they’re going to do: Make the NL West as exciting a divisional race over the final two months as the sport has seen in quite a few years and hope like hell it doesn’t turn out like 1993.

2. Los Angeles Dodgers


What they did: Brought in Max Scherzer, Trea Turner and Danny Duffy, demoralizing everyone else in the National League.

What they could have done:Shohei Ohtani is still on a different team, and why haven’t the Dodgers gotten him yet? My column:”

What they’re going to do: Win the World Series, re-sign Scherzer and Corey Seager, swing a deal for Ohtani and Mike Trout, and then spend at least the first four months of next season behind the Giants in the standings but ahead of them in the power rankings. (Seriously, that NL West race is going to be a lot of fun.)

3. Houston Astros


What they did: Without spending a ton of money, they addressed their bullpen issues primarily with Kendall Graveman and Yimi García, each of whom was closing for his previous team. They also gave up on Myles Straw as their answer in center field.

What they could have done: Spent more money, basically. But the Astros really had only one glaring need, and that was in their bullpen. Their rotation is deep, their lineup is good, and their grip on the American League West is tight. The Astros run isn’t over just yet.

What they’re going to do: Make one more World Series run before Carlos Correa, Zack Greinke and the injured Justin Verlander become free agents in a few months. Their offensive depth is suspect, but if they stay healthy down the stretch, they’ll reach October with a real chance at another title. Which, I’m sure, will be very popular throughout baseball. Everyone loves the Astros, right?

4. Tampa Bay Rays


What they did: Got their big bat in Nelson Cruz, but also did some Rays-ish things like trading away Willy Adames, Rich Hill and Diego Castillo to keep opening doors for another wave of young talent.

What they could have done: If they’d gotten a Cruz-like hitter in the offseason, they might already have full control of the division, but then they wouldn’t be the Rays. They could also have added a starting pitcher to make up for Tyler Glasnow’s injury, but they of course have young arms who will get the first crack at it.

What they’re going to do: After winning their second-ever American League pennant, the Rays now find themselves in a dogfight for the American League East, where four teams are legitimately trying to win the division. The guess here is the Rays will be the ones to actually win it, but they won’t get past the division series in the postseason. Of course, we’ve all underestimated them before.

5. Chicago White Sox


What they did: Built the best bullpen on the planet by getting both Ryan Tepera and Craig Kimbrel from the Cubs to go with Liam Hendriks, Michael Kopech, Garrett Crochet and others. Oh, and they got a César Hernández to play second.

What they could have done: Really, they could have done nothing and been a shoo-in for the playoffs. Only one other team in the Central (the Indians) is even flirting with a .500 record, and the White Sox were already getting a boost from Eloy Jiménez’s return from injury. Luis Robert doesn’t seem far behind.

What they’re going to do: Run away with the division and be a real force in the playoffs. We’re ranking the White Sox among the elite teams in the sport, but even this ranking might be too low.

6. Boston Red Sox



What they did:
Less than the other contenders in their division. The Red Sox added a big bat in Kyle Schwarber (but he’s hurt, and where does he play?) and they added a couple of relievers (but they’re basically depth pieces).

What they could have done: For one, they could have sacrificed bigger prospects to address the struggling rotation. Or they could have traded for an actual first baseman instead of a left fielder who might be able to moonlight at first. But Chaim Bloom stuck to his long-term plan of patience and sustainability.

What they’re going to do: Try to keep the wheels from falling off. Even after falling into second place on Saturday, the Red Sox were still heavy favorites to make the playoffs (88.6 percent chance according to FanGraphs), but the AL East has reloaded and the Red Sox might need down-the-stretch impact from coming-off-Tommy John-surgery Chris Sale to keep pace.

7. Milwaukee Brewers


What they did: Acquired Eduardo Escobar for the infield alongside Daniel Norris and John Curtiss for the bullpen. Made as important an in-season acquisition as anyone back in May with Willy Adames.

What they could have done: Added one more starting pitcher to ease the workloads on their trio of aces, though if their recent history with Jordan Lyles and Drew Pomeranz holds, Norris will be lights-out for them.

What they’re going to do: Start scaring NL contenders the more they contemplate facing the Brewers in October — so long as those starters pitch like this. Escobar costs a lot less than guys who aren’t that much better than him — hey, his slugging percentage is right in line with those of Joey Gallo and Javy Báez — and helps solidify the offense.

8. San Diego Padres


What they did: Acquired Daniel Hudson and Jake Marisnick to go along with their earlier pick-up of Adam Frazier. Placed Fernando Tatis Jr. on the injured list.

What they could have done: Gotten across the finish line on a Max Scherzer trade.

What they’re going to do: They’re closer to Cincinnati than they are to San Francisco — don’t tell a geography student that — and a wild-card berth is far from assured, especially with Tatis out. The Padres are also within striking distance of the division, though, with 19 games left against the two teams in front of them. There’s good and bad in that schedule, which Homer Simpson might call a crisi-tunity.

9. Oakland Athletics


What they did: Enhanced their lineup (Starling Marte), their bullpen (Andrew Chafin) and their bench (Yan Gomes and Josh Harrison) to go with an already solid rotation.

What they could have done: Oh, I don’t know, maybe not sold low on 23-year-old Jesús Luzardo for a two-month rental? Or maybe Luzardo’s constant health issues make his inclusion in the Marte deal far less damning than it seems. At the very least, it’s cool to see the A’s making a win-now move.

What they’re going to do: Try to actually win a wild-card game this time. They’re probably not catching the Astros for the division, so the A’s are all-in on their third wild card in four years. Of course, they’ve played in three wild-card games already and never actually won one.

10. New York Yankees


What they did: Got the left-handed bats they needed in Joey Gallo and Anthony Rizzo — the latter of whom could have fit their division rivals in Boston — and took a shot on some less-established pitching help with Andrew Heaney, Clay Holmes and Joely Rodríguez. (They also stayed under the luxury tax threshold.)

What they could have done: They could have traded one of their better prospects to fortify their rotation — and they could have had a better backup plan in center field from the beginning — but their lineup does look awfully menacing, and Luis Severino’s return from the IL may be the rotation upgrade they need.

What they’re going to do: Hit so many home runs. So, so many home runs. This weekend in Miami, their starting outfield was Gallo, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Has any outfield ever had that much raw power? And that’s not to mention Gary Sánchez, Gleyber Torres, DJ LeMahieu and injured bench player (and reigning home run champ) Luke Voit.
 
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  • 7/2.82 YANKEES (NYY) -248
  • 5/3.88 YANKEES (NYY) -1½-129
  • 5/8.20 DIAMONDBACKS (ARZ) +164
  • 5/5.00 DIAMONDBACKS (ARZ) +1½+100
  • 5/7.10 MARLINS (MIA) +142
  • 5/4.10 MARLINS (MIA) +1½-122
  • 5/4.67 RANGERS (TEX) +1½-107
  • 5/7.85 RANGERS (TEX) +157
  • 6/2.90 DODGERS (LAD) -207
  • 5/4.81 DODGERS (LAD) -207
 
---- MLB ----1628158873803.png
YESTERDAY [10-7 +5.32u]

TODAY:
  • 5/4.35 Reds -1½ -115
  • 5/5.25 PIRATES / REDS o9½+105
  • 5/3.13 Giants -160
  • 5/5.75 Cardinals +115
  • 5/6.00 Tigers +120
  • 5/4.90 RANGERS (TEX) -102
  • 5/5.05 BLUE JAYS (TOR) -1½+101
  • 5/4.72 INDIANS (CLE) o9½-106
  • 6/3.14 White Sox -191
  • 5/4.81 WHITE SOX (CWS) -1½-104
  • 5/5.05 ROYALS / WHITE SOX o9½+101
  • 7/2.98 Astros -235
  • 5/3.85 Astros -1½ -130
  • 5/5.25 Twins / Astros over 9½ +105


Pend;
SEA


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 7-4 UNDER; 1-1 OVER; 3-0


CHASIN TODAY...
MIL
MIA
TEX
DET
KC
AZ O
TEX O
CHW O

randoms...
  • Rockies -1½ ...Rox are a solid 34-21 at home while the Cubs are a mere 21-36 away.. keep in mind this was before they traded just about every star they had.. Cubs away record is really bad and I can see why with a .655 ops/ .218avg/ .290obp/ .365slg. That’s absolutely terrible as they are bottom 5 in every major batting statistic. Rockies starter is back after being a little less than a month away and has a little shaky era but before being away, he held teams to 3 or less runs in 10 of his L14 starts! NOW, about them Rockies home bats! 2nd in the league with a .805 OPS, 1st in the league with a .278 AVG, 5th In the league with a .340 OBS and 2nd in the league with a .465 SLG as well as 1st in the league with 306 runs next closest is 292! Also to add the icing on the cake they are facing Jake Arrieta who’s 5-10 with a 6.20 ERA!! This game to me looks like the worst team in the league vs the best team in the league batting wise with Colorado also having the better pitcher on the mound! I love this play almost too much and want to get after if, but I'll remain flat here, but still waiting for a line to be posted.

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Last edited:
"Chasin" is having the best season I've tracked so far at an exceptional 16.2% ROI and 64.4% wins :tiphat:


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Chasin unders almost as good as 14.3% ROI and 59.4% wins

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Chasing overs
is profitable too, but only at 6.1% ROI
 
pick from theathletic, not mine..I'm fading this play

MATCHUP OF THE DAY
Last Updated: Today, 12:44PM ET

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

Game Time: 8/5 at 3:10PM ET

The Chicago Cubs (52-57) faceoff against the Colorado Rockies (47-61). Projected to start on the mound for the Cubs will be Jake Arrieta (5-10, 6.20 ERA), while the Rockies will likely strut out Antonio Senzatela (2-8, 4.58 ERA). Pitching is often the most influential part of the game and THE BAT has Jake Arrieta as the #259 ranked best pitcher in MLB while Antonio Senzatela is graded as the #107 best pitcher.

On the offensive side the Chicago Cubs have the #30 ranked offense, while the Rockies are the #25 best offense. These rankings are based on THE BAT's context-neutral projected 'true talent' wOBA. These rankings are often more predictive than raw stats, because THE BAT adjusts for a multitude of contextual data that raw stats fail to account for. The Rockies (27.8 K%, via THE BAT X) have the #2 most strikeout-heavy projected lineup today. The Rockies opened as a -155 home favorite, but their Moneyline is currently sitting at -160. THE BAT is projecting a game total of 10.64 runs with a projected team total for the Cubs of 4.93 runs, while the Rockies to score 5.71 runs.

DAILY VALUE GAME PLAY
Advice: Chicago Cubs Moneyline @ +148
Win Probability: 42.02%
Expected Value: $4.21
Time of pick: 8/5 at 10:13AM ET
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [8-10 -18.15u]

TODAY:
  • 5/4.76 METS (NYM) -105
  • 5/4.81 METS (NYM) o9-104
  • 5/4.76 Pirates / Reds over 9 -105
  • 5/6.95 Marlins +139
  • 5/9.40 Diamondbacks +188
  • 5/5.25 Diamondbacks / Padres over 9 +105
  • 5/5.05 RAYS (TB) o10+101
  • 5/4.76 RED SOX (BOS) o9-105
  • 4/5.76 Tigers +144
  • 5/5.05 TIGERS (DET) o9½+101
  • 6/2.97 Astros -202
  • 4/7.36 Angels +184

Pend;
SEA
SL
WAS & O
SF


Lean;


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 3-1 UNDER; 0-0 OVER; 0-3

CHASIN TODAY...
AZ
MIL U
CLE O
SD O


randoms...

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adds
  • 4/6.24 MARINERS (SEA) +156
  • 4/7.24 NATIONALS (WAS) +181
  • 5/4.76 NATIONALS (WAS) o9-105
  • 6/3.51 CARDINALS (STL) -171
  • 5/3.45 BREWERS (MIL) -145
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [9-8 +10.3u]

TODAY:
  • 5.25/5 Phillies -105
  • 7/2.97 Braves -236
  • 7/2.52 PADRES (SD) -278
  • 6/3.24 Yankees -185
  • 5/7.30 RED SOX (BOS) GM-1 +146
  • 5/6.35 RED SOX (BOS) GM-2 +127
  • 5/4.95 ORIOLES (BAL) u10-101
  • 5/6.15 Tigers +123
  • 5/4.95 ASTROS (HOU) u9-101
  • 6/3.00 White Sox -200
  • 4/6.52 Royals +163
  • 5/4.46 CARDINALS (STL) u8½-112
  • 7/2.49 DODGERS (LAD) -281


Pend;
OAK
SF


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 3-1 UNDER; 1-0 OVER; 1-2

CHASIN TODAY...

TOR
ATL
LAD
DET
TB
SD
MIA
NYY
ATL U
CIN O
COL O

randoms...

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adding
  • 7/6.66 Mariners +1½ -105
  • 5/5.75 Mariners Team Total OVER 4½ +115
I'm fudging on Yanks and leaning M's, but still leaving some middle room to possibly win both sides ;)

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adding
  • 5/5.00 Mets / Phillies UNDER 9½ +100
  • 5/4.76 Mets Team Total UNDER 4½ -105
  • 5/5.50 Red Sox / Blue Jays OVER 7 +110

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adds
  • 3/8.19 DIAMONDBACKS (ARZ) +273
  • 5/4.17 Padres Team Total UNDER 5½ -120
  • 5/4.00 Diamondbacks Team Total OVER 2½ -125
  • 5/5.25 Pirates Team Total OVER 4½ +105
  • 4.5/8.1 Pirates +180
Includes buying out of that stupid SD play I made earlier...dont know wtf I was thinking :rofl:
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [12-11 +1.08u]

TODAY:
  • 6/3.82 Phillies -157
  • 7/3.00 REDS (CIN) -233
  • 5/4.17 Reds -1½ -120
  • 7/3.29 Braves -213
  • 5/5.10 Giants +102
  • 6/3.24 Giants +1½ -185
  • 4/6.80 Diamondbacks +170 for Game
  • 5/4.17 Diamondbacks +1½ -120
  • 4/6.44 Orioles +161
  • 5/5.30 ORIOLES (BAL) +1½+106
  • 5/6.60 Mariners +132
  • 5/3.57 Mariners +1½ -140
  • 7/3.48 BLUE JAYS (TOR) -201
  • 5/4.76 Blue Jays -1½ -105
  • 6/3.87 Indians -155
  • 5/4.55 Twins +1½ -110
  • 4/7.12 Twins +178
  • 7/2.73 Athletics -256
  • 5/3.85 Athletics -1½ -130 for Game
  • 5/7.00 Royals +140
  • 5/3.73 ROYALS (KC) +1½-134
  • 7/2.46 Dodgers -285
  • 5/3.45 DODGERS (LAD) -1½-145
  • 4/6.52 CUBS (CHC) +163


Pend;
MIA & 1'


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 7-1 UNDER; 2-0 OVER; 2-0

CHASIN TODAY...

MIN
TOR
WAS
SF
KC
CLE
BAL
AZ
PHI
CIN
PHI U
CIN U
MIL O
SL O
CHC O

randoms...

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---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [18-8 +39.36u]

TAXSfsn.gif


TODAY
  • 5/4.72 PADRES (SD) -1½-106
  • 5/4.55 Yankees / Royals under 10 -110

Pend;
CIN
CHW 1'


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 9-4 UNDER; 2-0 OVER; 2-0-1

CHASIN TODAY...

NA

randoms...

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Last 20 Games

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Yanks & Rays lead way in AL with Rays offense blistering hot averaging over 6 rpg.

While in the NL, the Brewers, Reds & Giants have shown the way, Reds offense the best at nearly 6 rpg. Braves pitching has been stellar allowing less than 3 rpg over their last 20 games.

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"Chasing the Line" has been red hot since June lifting the season to 60.9% wins for 11.1% ROI. (19-5 last 3 days)

No plays indicated for today's short board.

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This tallies our 7 year running total to 59.5% wins and 8.9% ROI :cool:

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"Chasing the Unders" has still shown most profit over the 7 year totals...or at least the highest ROI at 13.3%

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Even this season has become amazing after first 2 months were poor. Has rebounded to 60.5& winners and 16.3% ROI on the year. (24-8 last 32)

None indicate today

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"Chasing the Overs" are still the lowest performing Chasin metrics, but even at 56.3% winners & 7.7% ROI...that's not bad over 7 years!

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Even a little less this season at 55.6% winners at 6.2% ROI. Considering the overs were in a sizeable hole in late Mat, to bounce back to this level is formidable. (12-6 in AUG)

None indicated today.

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adds
  • 6/3.49 Reds -172
  • 5/4.76 REDS (CIN) o9½-105
  • 5/4.17 White Sox -1½ -120
  • 5/5.25 Brewers / Cubs OVER 9 +105
  • 5/4.76 Cubs Team Total OVER 3½ -105
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [3-1-1 +7.65u]

TODAY
  • 5/5.75 Pirates +115
  • 5/3.57 PIRATES (PIT) +1½-140
  • 7/3.04 Mets -230
  • 5/4.63 METS (NYM) -1½-108
  • 5/3.52 Jays -142 (G1)
  • 5/6.50 JAYS (TOR) GM-1 -1½+130 (G1)
  • 5/5.60 Rays +112
  • 5/3.36 Athletics -149
  • 5/4.90 ATHLETICS (OAK) -1½-102
  • 5/3.52 White Sox -142
  • 5/5.10 WHITE SOX (CWS) -1½+102
  • 6/2.97 Mariners -202
  • 5/5.05 MARINERS (SEA) -1½+101
  • 5/3.60 Jays -139 (G2)
  • 5/6.00 Jays -1½ +120 (G2)


Pend;
SF
CHC
MIA


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 0-0 UNDER; 0-0 OVER; 1-0

CHASIN TODAY...

TOR
MIN
TOR U


randoms...

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Power Ranking ~ NYY moving on up. CHW maybe team to beat in AL though.​


1. San Francisco Giants

The Giants are playing almost ideal baseball. They do nothing especially out of the ordinary, but they do everything at least well. They were the first team to reach 70 wins, last week. They will be the first to reach 80 wins. And they will probably be the first to 90 wins. They haven’t won 100 games since 2003, the only time the Giants have done it this century. That should be their bar.

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2. Los Angeles Dodgers

On paper, the Dodgers are a force, even more now than two weeks ago. Not content with one of the best shortstops in the majors, they went and added another one. And a generational ace of a pitcher. It’s enough to make your head spin. But we’ve learned something about the Dodgers in recent years that finally came to a head this year. Sometimes, too much really is too much. Hubris and wealth aren’t a good combination. Three years ago, the Dodgers staked their roster so deep, they could make a full line change and still have a lineup better than most teams. And yet, the Rockies pushed them to a Game 163, because among all those swell pieces, they were bloated.

3. Houston Astros

The Astros are probably fine. They have the skins on the wall, and while they’ve lost a few players to free agency or trades, they’re still the favorites until they’re not. If the new bullpen can pull things together, they’re going to be fine. Probably.

4. Tampa Bay Rays

Time to check in on the Rays. What weird magic do they have in store for us this week? Ah yes, we have Brett Phillips — he of 16 career home runs in his previous 240 games over five big-league seasons — hitting two in one game, including a go-ahead grand slam. There’s also the fact that Randy Arozarena seems to be back in the driver’s seat for AL Rookie of the Year. Even former Ray Scott Kazmir got in on the action, pitching well for Team USA in his one Olympic outing. It is surprising that there was a bit of magic that somehow didn’t happen for them.

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5. Milwaukee Brewers

COVID is wrecking their clubhouse and the Reds are breathing fire behind them, but if they can get whole in August, there should be time for the Brewers to hit stride. They’ve led the Central for the bulk of this season for a reason: It’s Milwaukee’s to lose. They remain a sneaky problem for the flashier NL heavyweights. One other Crew note: Godspeed to pitcher John Axford, whose extraordinary comeback at 38 ended after just one out when he blew out his elbow this week. It stings, surely. But Axford was working in a TV booth to start this season, then rallied all the way back to the bigs. He gave it a go. Axford will probably end up in the Canadian Baseball Hall of Fame, and his legend will live as a true baseball character, in Milwaukee and Colorado and Oakland and Toronto and points between.

6. Chicago White Sox

Well, better days are here. So here’s… James Fegan on prospects and the draft. Fine, fine, you’ve eaten your cake, but guess what? There’s more cake — James also wrote about Tim Anderson, Dylan Cease, Brian Goodwin, and the trio of Eloy Jiménez, Luis Robert and Andrew Vaughn. The promising days are indeed here. And hey, look at who’s up next: our voters paired up the Sox for us this week. Thanks, y’all.

7. Boston Red Sox

Look: the Red Sox are still in a playoff position, but it has not been a great August for them so far. To make matters worse, Jerry Remy has stepped away due to his health. Things are not going well in Boston right now. It’s not that there hasn’t been any cause for optimism. Chris Sale is back. Triston Casas was fun in the Olympics. And hey, maybe moving Martin Pérez to the bullpen will be beneficial? (On second thought, keep him away from bull pens).

8. New York Yankees

Heads up: the Yankees have now won four series in a row. That doesn’t carry the weight it would if they were in, say, the NL East, where a few exceptional games of Mario Kart could land you in first place — they’re still 6.5 games back in the division, and the Rays (and for that matter, the Blue Jays) have matched the Yankees’ 8-2 mark in their last 10 games. But they didn’t take big swings at the trade deadline to finish their season on Oct. 3. The Yankees and Brian Cashman clearly believe the postseason is more than just a (I am so sorry for this one) … dream.
USATSI_16499593-1-2048x1365.jpg

9. Oakland Athletics

What a weird week in Oakland. Hearts were warmed by the news that Khris Davis was back in the organization on a minor-league deal, and broken by news of Ray Fosse’s 16-year battle with cancer and Ramón Laureano’s 80-game PED suspension. But hey, they swept the Rangers, taking the lead in the AL Wild Card race as they try to make the postseason for the fourth straight year (and seventh out of the last ten).

10. San Diego Padres

Just about a week ago, the Padres hit their low point, when, in a single day, they whiffed on any big trades, got blown out by the road-weak Rockies in San Diego, and lost Fernando Tatis Jr. to another shoulder injury. But they won four of their next six, and their next 10 games will come against the Marlins at home and Diamondbacks and Rockies on the road. It’s the perfect stretch to get right. Tatis and his shoulder are still a capital Q Question in San Diego, but if the Padres play it safe and don’t rush him back, is that really the worst risk? They’re at least getting by and they won’t see the Dodgers against until Aug. 24.

11. Toronto Blue Jays

It’s not just because the pitching and defense — *ahem* defence have improved. And it’s not just because George Springer is finally playing like the difference-maker the Blue Jays thought they were getting this past off-season.

12. Cincinnati Reds

Their best route to the playoffs says the Reds should overtake the Brewers, considering the Padres are the team immediately ahead of them in the wild card standings and the Dodgers, for now, are well ahead for the first spot. And, despite getting swept by Milwaukee to start the second half, the Reds have an extremely favorable schedule down the stretch.
AP21214111938612.jpg
 
Last edited:
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [6-11-2 -22.14u]

TODAY
  • 4/6.08 Marlins +152
  • 4/6.32 Pirates +158
  • 7/2.92 Giants -240
  • 5/4.35 Giants -1½ -115
  • 5/4.81 GIANTS (SF) u7½-104
  • 5/4.67 Braves -107
  • 4/7.16 Braves -1½ +179
  • 5/3.79 Dodgers -132
  • 5/5.75 DODGERS (LAD) -1½+115
  • 4/6.40 Twins +160
  • 5/3.76 Athletics -133
  • 5/5.75 Athletics -1½ +115
  • 5/4.46 Tigers -112
  • 7/3.04 Astros -230
  • 5/4.03 ASTROS (HOU) -1½-124

Pend;
NYM
CHC
WAS
BOS & 1'
NYY & 1'


Lean;


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 1-2 UNDER; 0-1 OVER; 0-0

CHASIN TODAY...

HOU
TEX
MIA
PHI
SL
KC
CHW
KC U
MIN U
PHI O


randoms...

1628672957803.png

rrqcjyyjckg71.jpg
 
Random trends...
MLB
  • 901 MIAMI -902 SAN DIEGO
    MIAMI is 5-14 SU (-14.3 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
  • 903 ST LOUIS -904 PITTSBURGH
    PITTSBURGH is 43-58 SU (-27.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.
  • 905 LA DODGERS -906 PHILADELPHIA
    LA DODGERS are 4-17 SU (-13 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.
  • 907 WASHINGTON -908 NY METS
    NY METS are 5-17 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.
  • 909 CINCINNATI -910 ATLANTA
    CINCINNATI is 0-9 SU (-10.4 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.
  • 911 MILWAUKEE -912 CHICAGO CUBS
    MILWAUKEE is 12-0 SU (12 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.
  • 913 ARIZONA -914 SAN FRANCISCO
    ARIZONA is 3-19 SU (-19.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.
  • 915 CHI WHITE SOX -916 MINNESOTA
    CHI WHITE SOX is 14-1 SU (12.9 Units) in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
  • 917 NY YANKEES -918 KANSAS CITY
    KANSAS CITY is 13-32 SU (-22.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.
  • 919 DETROIT -920 BALTIMORE
    BALTIMORE is 11-25 SU (-18.3 Units) in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
 
adds
  • 5/4.35 Twins Team Total OVER 3½ -115
  • 5/3.76 YANKEES (NYY) -133
  • 5/5.75 Yankees -1½ +115
  • 5/4.39 RED SOX (BOS) -114
 
Excellent night at 16-3 and Chasin near perfect as well at 8-0-1 combined sides/tots :breakdance:

:cheers3:


---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [16-3 +62.06u]

TODAY
  • 5/5.70 Pirates +114
  • 5/3.60 PIRATES (PIT) +1½-139
  • 5/5.00 Cardinals / Pirates over 9 +100
  • 5/3.50 Braves -143
  • 5/7.90 Rockies +158
  • 5/3.60 TIGERS (DET) +1½-139
  • 5/4.76 Tigers / Orioles over 10½ -105
  • 5/5.75 ANGELS (LAA) +115
  • 5/3.70 Angels +1½ -135
  • 5/2.91 Athletics -172
  • 5/4.55 ATHLETICS (OAK) -1½-110
  • 6/3.13 Mariners -192
  • 6/3.95 White Sox -152


Pend;
NYM
LAD & 1' & O
SD


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 6-0 UNDER; 1-0 OVER; 1-0-1

CHASIN TODAY...

LAA
ATL
LAD
PIT
LAA U
CLE O
BOS O


randoms...

1628764675977.png

wbq4svkefrg71.jpg
 
not really understanding this line, but I will still have to bite...
\
  • 5/3.70 Dodgers -135
  • 5/5.75 Dodgers -1½ +115
  • 5/4.90 DODGERS (LAD) o10½-102
 
adds
  • 4/6.40 Yankees +160
  • 5/3.57 Yankees Team Total OVER 3½ -140
  • 5/4.13 White Sox Team Total UNDER 5½ -121
  • 2/3.60 Rockies +180
  • 5/5.75 Rockies Team Total OVER 3½ +115
BDIPyRp.jpeg8a86c4f1db24e7d0188cf5a985910f
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [11-11 -6.24u]

GettyImages-1234643154.jpg


TODAY
  • 4/6.44 REDS +161
  • 6/3.08 BREWERS -195
  • 5/4.63 BREWERS o9-108
  • 5/5.65 CUBS +113
  • 6/3.24 CUBS +1½-185
  • 4/6.16 DIAMONDBACKS +154
  • 5/4.35 PADRES o8½-115
  • 5/6.65 INDIANS -1½+133
  • 5/5.15 INDIANS o9½+103
  • 7/3.11 RED SOX -225
  • 5/4.95 ORIOLES o11-101
  • 4/6.08 RANGERS +152
  • 5/4.55 ATHLETICS o8-110
  • 4/6.52 MARINERS +163
  • 4/6.04 TWINS +151
  • 5/3.50 ASTROS -143
  • 5/5.15 ASTROS o9+103

Pend;
WAS O


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 3-3 UNDER; 0-2 OVER; 1-1

CHASIN TODAY...

SF
AZ


randoms...

1628847418973.png

152673_2.jpg
 
---- MLB ----
YESTERDAY [9-6-2 +18.16u]

TODAY
  • 5/5.35 NATIONALS (WAS) u9+107
  • 5/4.55 Dodgers / Mets under 8½ -110
  • 6/3.05 Padres -197
  • 7/2.86 Red Sox -245
  • 4/7.40 Rangers +185
  • 5/5.50 Rangers +1½ +110
  • 5/4.55 RANGERS (TEX) u9-110
  • 5/5.90 Yankees +118
  • 5/2.89 Astros -173
  • 5/4.59 ASTROS (HOU) -1½-109
  • 5/4.50 ANGELS (LAA) u9½-111
  • 5/4.90 ROYALS (KC) -102


Pend;
MIL
SF
CHC
PHI
DET
TB


CHASIN YESTERDAY; 2-1 UNDER; 0-0 OVER; 0-0

CHASIN TODAY...

HOU
SD
ATL
OAK
KC
NYY
NYM U
BOS U
LAA O
PHI O
KC O


randoms...

1628933325429.png

GettyImages-1234629222-1-2048x1463.jpg
 
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