MLB in July ⚾

TUESDAY
❌5/6.30 Tigers +126
✅2/2.84 Rays +142
❌8/4.57 Mariners -175
❌8/5.41 Yankees -148
❌2/2.80 Twins +140
❌5/5.25 Royals +105
✅2/1.29 RED SOX -155

✅3/2.40 Cardinals +1½ -125
⛅3/2.73 Braves u8 -110
❌3/5.10 Rangers -1½ +170
✅3/2.86 Rangers u7½ -105
✅3/3.00 Mariners u7 +100
✅3/2.73 ORIOLES o8½ -110
❌3/2.83 METS o9 -106
❌2/1.54 Twins +1½ -130
❌5/5.00 Phillies o8 +100
✅3/2.68 Royals u10 -112
✅2/2.00 Red Sox -1½ +100
✅3/2.63 ROCKIES u11 -114

⛅8/4.55 Braves -176
✅2/1.21 Rays +1½ -165
❌3/2.61 Rays o8½ -115

JULY [179-174 -43.60u]
LAST [10-10-2 -20.36u]️

WEDNESDAY​

  • 3/3.33 NATIONALS +111
  • 8/4.32 Dodgers -185
  • 5/2.78 Mariners -180
  • 3/3.99 Tigers +133
  • 9/3.81 Rangers -236
  • 3/2.08 PHILLIES -144
  • 3/4.53 Mets +151
  • 3/2.40 ROYALS -125
  • 8/4.91 G2-Braves -163
1721819846182.png

randoms...
  • STREAKS: CHW -9
  • UNDERS 40-29 58% FOR +10.5% ROI SINCE BREAK
  • HOME DOGS 14-9 SU FOR +35.6% ROI SINCE BREAK
  • HOME DOGS 16-7 ON RL FOR +23.3% ROI SINCE BREAK
  • NOLA 13-3 +21.8% W/FAV -150 OR MORE L3 YEARS AFTER LOSS (13-1 IN L14)
  • MODEL PLAYS: *LAD *TEX *2ATL SEA NYM

 
SEA becomes a top play with lower juice so I added a bit, along with all the RL/TOT action at reduced juice...
  • 3/2.73 Braves u8½ -110
  • 3/3.15 Nationals u8½ +105
  • 3/2.73 Dodgers u8 -110
  • 3/2.73 ATHLETICS u8½ -110
  • 3/1.71 Mariners -175
  • 2/2.40 Mariners -1½ +120
  • 3/2.50 Mariners u7½ -120
  • 3/2.86 Rays o8 -105
  • 2/1.82 Rangers -1½ -110
  • 3/3.00 Rangers u8 +100
  • 3/2.86 Twins u8 -105
  • 3/3.90 Orioles -1½ +130
SiQTFm.jpg
 
Mark's Moneymakers said:
Any chance you will share where you found this info?
Click to expand...
It's all imported from killersports.com using various queries. SDQL will give you almost any info you can figure out a query for. I import it into Excel and run calculations from it, it adds to my model and trend library and many other things. Very useful tool.

2 other sites with similar SDQL type stuff, that I use for backup
gimmethedog.com

Other sites I use at times
baseballsavant.mlb.com

Baseball Savant

Baseball Savant
baseballsavant.mlb.com baseballsavant.mlb.com
www.fangraphs.com

FanGraphs Baseball | Baseball Statistics and Analysis

Baseball statistics for Major League baseball and Minor League baseball with statistical analysis, graphs, and projections.
www.fangraphs.com www.fangraphs.com
...and many others like espn, sportsline, x

I used to use statfox a lot, but it has gone away, and I haven't found a good replacement yet.

Cheers...
 
S-24478DET

WEDNESDAY
❌3/3.33 NATIONALS +111
❌8/4.32 Dodgers -185
❌5/2.78 Mariners -180
❌3/3.99 Tigers +133
✅9/3.81 Rangers -236
❌3/2.08 PHILLIES -144
✅3/4.53 Mets +151
❌3/2.40 ROYALS -125
⛅8/4.91 G2-Braves -163

⛅3/2.73 G2-Braves u8½ -110
❌3/3.15 Nationals u8½ +105
❌3/2.73 Dodgers u8 -110
❌3/2.73 ATHLETICS u8½ -110
❌3/1.71 Mariners -175
❌2/2.40 Mariners -1½ +120
✅3/2.50 Mariners u7½ -120
✅3/2.86 Rays o8 -105
✅2/1.82 Rangers -1½ -110
❌3/3.00 Rangers u8 +100
❌3/2.86 Twins u8 -105
❌3/3.90 Orioles -1½ +130

1721913914627.png

THURSDAY​

  • 2/2.98 Nationals +149
  • 2/2.00 Nationals +1½ +100
  • 3/4.65 Dodgers -1½ +155
  • 5/4.59 Braves -109
  • 2/3.10 Braves -1½ +155
  • 6/9.90 Tigers +165
  • 2/4.68 WHITE SOX +234
  • 3/3.00 Rangers u8 +100
  • 5/4.67 Jays -107
  • 3/2.86 Jays u7½ -105
  • 3/2.75 Angels -109
  • 2/3.98 Marlins +199
  • 2/2.50 Marlins +1½ +125
  • 3/2.57 Marlins u8½ -117
43/54.2 +126​

He's back, anything left? That's the question.

kershaw-getty-4.png


randoms...
STREAKS: CHW -10​
HOME DOGS 26-19 SU FOR +26.7% ROI LAST 14 DAYS​
HOME DOGS 30-15 ON RL FOR +16.3% ROI LAST 14 DAYS​
MODEL PLAYS: SF ATL DET TOR​

169187.jpg
 
THURSDAY
❌2/2.98 Nationals +149
❌2/2.00 Nationals +1½ +100
✅3/4.65 Dodgers -1½ +155
❌5/4.59 Braves -109
❌2/3.10 Braves -1½ +155
✅6/9.90 Tigers +165
❌2/4.68 WHITE SOX +234
✅3/3.00 Rangers u8 +100
❌5/4.67 Jays -107
❌3/2.86 Jays u7½ -105
❌3/2.75 Angels -109
❌2/3.98 Marlins +199
✅2/2.50 Marlins +1½ +125
❌3/2.57 Marlins u8½ -117
43/54.2 +126

JULY [188-198 -85.03u]
LAST [4-10 -8.98u]️

FRIDAY​

  • 3/1.76 Braves +1½ -170
  • 5/2.33 Brewers -214
  • 3/4.50 Nationals +150
  • 5/7.40 Pirates +148
  • 3/3.15 Pirates o8½ +105
  • 3/2.61 Tigers u8 -115
  • 3/2.73 Rangers o8 -110
  • 3/2.65 Yankees -113
  • 5/3.33 Mariners -150
  • 5/4.17 WHITE SOX u7½ -120
  • 5/4.46 ATHLETICS -112
  • 3/1.88 Phillies -160
  • 3/2.97 Phillies u8 -101
  • 5/2.79 Orioles -179
54/46.7 -116​

randoms...
STREAKS: TEX 5, SD 5, ATL -5, CHW -11​
HOME DOGS 19-12 SU FOR +35.2% ROI LAST 7 DAYS​
HOME DOGS 22-9 ON RL FOR +26.1% ROI LAST 7 DAYS​
MODEL PLAYS: MIL PIT SEA PHI BAL KC​
 
FRIDAY
❌3/1.76 Braves +1½ -170
❌5/2.33 Brewers -214
✅3/4.50 Nationals +150
❌5/7.40 Pirates +148
❌3/3.15 Pirates o8½ +105
❌3/2.61 Tigers u8 -115
✅3/2.73 Rangers o8 -110
❌3/2.65 Yankees -113
✅5/3.33 Mariners -150
❌5/4.17 WHITE SOX u7½ -120
✅5/4.46 ATHLETICS -112
❌3/1.88 Phillies -160
✅3/2.97 Phillies u8 -101
❌5/2.79 Orioles -179
54/46.7 -116

JULY [193-207 -102.04u]
LAST [5-9 -17.01u]️

SATURDAY​

  • 3/1.91 Brewers -157
  • 2/2.70 Brewers -1½ +135
  • 3/2.34 Cardinals -128
  • 3.51/3 PIRATES o8 -117
  • 3/2.31 Jays -130
  • 3/2.86 Jays u8½ -105
  • 8/8.00 TIGERS +100
  • 3/3.15 Twins o7 +105
  • 5/4.41 WHITE SOX o7½ -113
  • 3/3.09 Orioles +103
  • 2/3.84 ORIOLES -1½ +192
  • 3/5.31 Rays -1½ +177
  • 3/2.97 Rays u7½ -101
  • 3/2.19 Phillies -137
  • 3/2.73 Guardians o9 -110
  • 3/2.86 Royals u8 -105

TRADE DEADLINE PRIZE HEADING TO YANKEES?
ad24f2a1-9535-48c5-a78b-22c2accf4fce-USATSI_14967148.jpg


randoms...
STREAKS: NYM 5, SD 6, ATL -6, CHW -12​
DOGS BEEN BARKING; 46-42 SU +17.9% ROI / 62-26 RL +18.3% LAST 7 DAYS​
MODEL PLAYS: *DET TOR​
​

ah5xwohqa0fd1.jpeg
 
tigers please don't trade skubal to yankees! i guess the bright side is yankees lineup after the 3 spot will still be straight garbage!
 
SATURDAY
❌3/1.91 Brewers -157
❌2/2.70 Brewers -1½ +135
❌3/2.34 Cardinals -128
✅3.51/3 PIRATES o8 -117
✅3/2.31 Jays -130
❌3/2.86 Jays u8½ -105
✅8/8.00 TIGERS +100
✅3/3.15 Twins o7 +105
✅5/4.41 WHITE SOX o7½ -113
❌3/3.09 Orioles +103
❌2/3.84 ORIOLES -1½ +192
✅3/5.31 Rays -1½ +177
✅3/2.97 Rays u7½ -101
✅3/2.19 Phillies -137
❌3/2.73 Guardians o9 -110
❌3/2.86 Royals u8 -105

JULY [201-215 -92.7u]
LAST [8-8 +9.34u]️

SUNDAY​

  • 2/2.72 Nationals +136
  • 8/7.77 Red Sox -103
  • 3/3.00 Jays +100
  • 3/2.88 WHITE SOX -104
  • 3/4.29 Padres +143
  • 3/1.82 Royals -165
usatsi_20672452_168388303_lowres.jpg


randoms...
STREAKS: SD 7, CHW -13​
DOGS BEEN BARKING; 42-42 SU +12.7% ROI / 56-28 RL +10.9% LAST 7 DAYS​
OVERS 29-15 65.9% LAST 4 DAYS FOR +26.3% ROI​
CHW A MONEY BURNING 10-44 SU LAST 10 WEEKS(70 DAYS) FADE FOR +23% ROI​
CHW HAS LOST 13 STRAIGHT FOR THE 2ND TIME THIS SEASON (ONLY THE 8TH -13 IN MLB IN 10 YEARS)​
MODEL PLAYS: *BOS KC​

TEX 4-12 SU AWAY IN CLOSE LINED(-125 TO +125) GAMES L12 WEEKS, FADE FOR +39.4%​
​
1722166986584.png​

1722049381973-png.244596
 
Last edited:
...rest of my card
  • 4/4.36 Braves +109
  • 2/1.05 Braves +1½ -190
  • 2/1.33 Nationals +1½ -150
  • 3/3.15 Pirates +105
  • 3/2.86 Pirates o8½ -105
  • 3/3.00 Rangers o8½ +100
  • 3/2.40 Tigers +1½ -125
  • 3/3.15 Phillies u9 +105
  • 6/4.69 ORIOLES -128
  • 3/3.00 Orioles u9 +100
After line changes, model plays changed a bit: *BOS ATL PIT BAL
so I flipped off pads, lucky had awesome line move in my favor

casting-couch-v0-dxdfeul6spdd1.jpg
 
SUNDAY
❌2/2.72 Nationals +136
❌8/7.77 Red Sox -103
✅3/3.00 Jays +100
❌3/2.88 WHITE SOX -104
❌3/4.29 Padres +143
❌3/1.82 Royals -165

✅4/4.36 Braves +109
✅2/1.05 Braves +1½ -190
✅2/1.33 Nationals +1½ -150
✅3/3.15 Pirates +105
✅3/2.86 Pirates o8½ -105
✅3/3.00 Rangers o8½ +100
❌3/2.40 Tigers +1½ -125
✅3/3.15 Phillies u9 +105
✅6/4.69 ORIOLES -128
❌3/3.00 Orioles u9 +100

1722250480744.png

MONDAY​

  • 3/4.50 Nationals +150
  • 6/6.36 Tigers +106
  • 8/5.67 Phillies -141
  • 3/2.08 PIRATES -144

randoms...
STREAKS: CHW -14​
DOGS BARKING; 46-43 SU +15.8% ROI / 58-31 RL +10.3% LAST 7 DAYS​
OVERS 43-25 63.2% LAST 5 DAYS FOR +20.6% ROI​
CHW A MONEY BURNING 4-20 SU AS HOME DOG LAST 10 WEEKS(70 DAYS) FADE FOR +25% ROI​
CHW HAS LOST 14 STRAIGHT FOR THE 2ND TIME THIS SEASON​
ONLY SIX 14 GAME LOSING STREAKS IN MLB L10 YEARS-TEAMS WENT 3-2 & 3-1 @HOME​
NATS BEST MONEY TEAM (+16.7% ROI) L365 DAYS OMITTING SEP-OCT​
NATS BEST MONEY TEAM VS LEFTIES (24-16 +42.9%) L365 DAYS OMITTING SEP-OCT​
MODEL PLAYS: *PHI DET​

Here's the top day of the week records by ROI for last 365 days, omitting Sep-Oct

1722250841003.png

8 of top 20 best are on Monday

post-5725-1164210402.jpg

post-8181-1170699700.jpg
 
fpGz9S.jpg


a few more
  • 3/2.80 NATIONALS o9 -107
  • 3/2.73 Mariners o8½ -110
  • 3/3.15 Royals -1½ +105
  • 3/2.73 Phillies u9 -110
  • 3/1.56 Twins +1½ -192
  • 2.54/2 Pirates -127
  • 3/2.73 Astros u7½ -110

Pirates line dropped, so I had to add a little. Also, PIT is now a model play at 130 or less.

GMDEwo.jpg
 
Detroit_Tigers_Nike_Mens_Home_Replica_Jersey_1.jpg


MONDAY
❌3/4.50 Nationals +150
❌6/6.36 Tigers +106
❌8/5.67 Phillies -141
⛅3/2.08 PIRATES -144

✅3/2.80 NATIONALS o9 -107
✅3/2.73 Mariners o8½ -110
✅3/3.15 Royals -1½ +105
❌3/2.73 Phillies u9 -110
❌3/1.56 Twins +1½ -192
✅2.54/2 Pirates -127
❌3/2.73 Astros u7½ -110

JULY [214-228 -106.44u]
LAST [4-6-1 -15.32u]️

TUESDAY​

  • 3/2.61 Braves o9 -115
  • 3/5.10 Nationals +170
  • 3/3.15 Nationals o9½ +105
  • 3/2.86 Dodgers o7½ -105
  • 6/8.58 Tigers +143
  • 5/4.35 Red Sox u10 -115
  • 3/3.00 White Sox +1½ +100
  • 5/4.42 Phillies -113
  • 3/3.15 Phillies u9 +105
  • 3/4.65 Marlins +155
  • 3/2.85 Rays u7½ -105
  • 5/4.31 Mets -116
  • 5/5.50 Cardinals +110
  • 3/3.75 Rockies +125

randoms...
STREAKS: CHW -15​
ROAD TEAMS 42-37 SU FOR 10.5% ROI LAST 7 DAYS​
ROAD DOGS 24-25 SU +12.4% ROI LAST 7 DAYS​
OVERS 46-33 66.7% LAST 7 DAYS FOR +26.9% ROI​
CHW A MONEY BURNING 9-44 SU AS A DOG L10 WEEKS(70 DAYS) FADE FOR +25.7% ROI​
CHW HAVE NOW LOST 15 STRAIGHT, ONLY THE 5TH SUCH STREAK IN L20 YEARS(previous 4 went 0-4)​
MODEL PLAYS: *PHI *DET STL NYM​

1721336227864-png.242963
 
1722346707078.png
1722346726080.png
1722346754301.png
169282.jpg

1722346795630.png
1722346819499.png

1722346851147.png

New table next with last 10 starts, also included ERA in above table. Obviously, all starter records are team record
1722346876450.png
Note...for starters who don't have 10 starts in MLB, SDQL won't show stats with this query. (Festa has 2 starts)
 
sprigs a tad deceiving cause his last 10 starts were not this year, still think he has a good 1st outing back vs fish tho.
 
TUESDAY
❌3/2.61 Braves o9 -115
❌3/5.10 Nationals +170
✅3/3.15 Nationals o9½ +105
✅3/2.86 Dodgers o7½ -105
❌6/8.58 Tigers +143
❌5/4.35 Red Sox u10 -115
✅3/3.00 White Sox +1½ +100
❌5/4.42 Phillies -113
❌3/3.15 Phillies u9 +105
❌3/4.65 Marlins +155
❌3/2.85 Rays u7½ -105
✅5/4.31 Mets -116
✅5/5.50 Cardinals +110
❌3/3.75 Rockies +125

JULY [219-237 -121.62u]
LAST [5-9 -15.18u]️

WEDNESDAY​

  • 3/2.37 Braves -126
  • 8/5.62 Reds -142
  • 5/4.07 Padres -123
  • 8/3.72 Orioles -215
  • 3/2.62 Mariners -114
  • 9/4.19 RAYS -215
  • 5/3.87 Phillies -129
  • 3/1.49 Astros -201
  • 5/3.76 Angels -133
  • 7/3.45 GIANTS -203
Sheeit, all chalk, I'm really asking for it!

randoms...
STREAKS: CHW -16, COL -5​
ROAD TEAMS 50-46 SU FOR 8.7% ROI LAST 7 DAYS​
ROAD DOGS 28-30 SU FOR +12% ROI LAST 7 DAYS​
OVERS 61-33-2 64.9% LAST 7 DAYS FOR +24% ROI​
CHW A MONEY BURNING 9-45 SU AS A DOG L71 DAYS-FADE FOR +26.2% ROI​
CHW HAVE NOW LOST 16 STRAIGHT, ONLY THE 5TH SUCH STREAK IN L20 YEARS(previous 4 went 0-4)​
MODEL PLAYS: *CIN *BAL *TB SD PHI LAA SF​

169294.jpg
 
the rest...
  • 3/2.61 Braves o7 -115
  • 3/2.86 Nationals o8½ -105
  • 3/2.73 Reds u9½ -110
  • 3/2.73 Dodgers o7 -110
  • 2/1.75 ORIOLES -1½ -114
  • 5/4.76 Red Sox u9½ -105
  • 3/2.73 Rays u7½ -110
  • 3/2.61 Phillies u9½ -115
  • 3/2.73 Twins o8 -110
  • 2/2.00 Astros -1½ +100
  • 3/2.97 Astros u8 -101
  • 2/2.20 Giants -1½ +110
2L2TZ4Y74VG3ND7PMSC7JV6DZA.jpg


Other than one start, Sale has been unhittable!
1722435014017.png

No weak spots in splits
1722435071993.png
vd30y11ci5cd1.jpg
 
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