2025 Golf Handicapping Thread....

[laopadak]

Faded the wrong players, early wave. Rd.2 add- Glover under 70.5 +115 4u (FD)
Rd.2 add- Glover ERL (dead heat) boosted 20-1 .5u (FD)
Add- another 4u Glover 70.5 +105 (DK)

Don’t shit the bed Glover

 

[gps_3]

Saw a tweet that said 14 of last 16 winners were early/late with their Th/Fri tee times

This appears to be the wrong angle to have based my picks on

 

[RBTrojan]

The Players round 3 only:

Dahmen-115 vs Kitayama: Kitayama had the benefit of a late Thursday/ early Friday start, Dahmen did not. Kitayama has had 3 doubles or worse so far this week. Conditions shoukd be tougher as the day wears on. I’ll take the fairway finder who generally putts very well overall in this spot.

2-0 full tourney bets this week. Trying to ride this momentum… fade or follow best of luck with your wagers.

 

[laopadak]

4-2 rd.2 players, +14.25, +9.7 tourney.

Rd.3
Theegala-120 v cam Young 4u (DK)
Smalley under 73.5 -115 4u (FD)

GL on your plays

 

[laopadak]

2-0 +7.65, +17.35u for tourney.

fyi- 8am, 3-way start on both 1 and 10 tomorrow, avoiding late afternoon storms. Suppose to get nasty. Winds similar to today, another challenging battle with a few able to play inspiring golf in this stuff.

Need 1 more leg tonite for a Glover or Smalley outright parlay. Lost

GL tomorrow

 

[laopadak]

Rd.4 Players

Glover under 73.5 -125 5u (FD)
Smalley under 73.5 +105 4.75u (FD)

 

[B.A.R.]

Rd.4 Players

Glover under 73.5 -125 5u (FD)
Smalley under 73.5 +105 4.75u (FD)

GL today.

I've had no feel this tourney since RD 1.

Just going to stalk live today.

 

[laopadak]

1-1 rd.4 -.75u, +16.6u Players. Exciting final round, less delay.

Hoping for some JJ magic this morning. Not counting towards record. Leggo Aztecs!

 

[laopadak]

Well that was quick- Onto Valspar

 

[B.A.R.]

Oh Phil...

 

[laopadak]

Maybe you guys have been aware but I stumbled across this today. On the PGA tour website, I've always looked at past results to gauge how the course played out (average scores, weather dependent). Individual scores over the four rounds etc. Current form, past results and course fit are now available. We've referenced these points on X feeds, Ron Klos/Rabbit Hole etc., but similar data points readily available on the PGA website. Good stuff if you ask me.

 

[B.A.R.]

Maybe you guys have been aware but I stumbled across this today. On the PGA tour website, I've always looked at past results to gauge how the course played out (average scores, weather dependent). Individual scores over the four rounds etc. Current form, past results and course fit are now available. We've referenced these points on X feeds, Ron Klos/Rabbit Hole etc., but similar data points readily available on the PGA website. Good stuff if you ask me.

View attachment 94780

Thanks man.

 

[B.A.R.]

Watch your splits this week.

As of now, you want guys AM/PM.

Wicked weather coming.

 

[chipnotized]

Valspar

2u

Hovland--Miss Cut +115

0.1u

FRL--Spieth +6000

0.2u each

Rd1 Top 10

Conners +375
Glover +475
Sigg +600
Putnam +600
Shipley +800

Swing it easy boys.

 

[RBTrojan]

Laying off full tourney bets this week. Not seeing much I like, plus the weather is a big question mark. I will probably get involved with individual rounds later in the week.

Best of luck this week guys

 

[laopadak]

been patiently waiting for over/under round props and none of my outs are offering right now. It’s madness

A couple of top 10’s, ties paid, round 1, all small, .5u each. Early wave guys, MGM

Hoey +550
M Kim +350
Schenk +650
Malnati +1400
Pan +800

Tommy -150 v Tom / Zags ML +121 3u (DK)

GL this week

 

[B.A.R.]

Laying off full tourney bets this week. Not seeing much I like, plus the weather is a big question mark. I will probably get involved with individual rounds later in the week.

Best of luck this week guys

Ditto.

I took two long shot fliers on Davis Riley 15,000 and Nicolai Hojgarrd 11,000

Hojgarrd #s been great till last week.

Riley was awful but Mexico and a few weeks ago much better.

 

[B.A.R.]

been patiently waiting for over/under round props and none of my outs are offering right now. It’s madness

A couple of top 10’s, ties paid, round 1, all small, .5u each. Early wave guys, MGM

Hoey +550
M Kim +350
Schenk +650
Malnati +1400
Pan +800

Tommy -150 v Tom / Zags ML +121 3u (DK)

GL this week

Nice.

Hoey and Auto Kim in my main lineup.

 

[B.A.R.]

Hey, don't fix what is not broken, right?

 

[laopadak]

1-5 rd.1 +1.13u. Missed all top 10 but hit the parlay. BS that books still aren't offering round scores.

Rd.2:

CSU ML -120 / X 3-way v. Straka & Scott +130, +321 3u (MGM)

 

[Gandolf]

Oh Phil...


View attachment 94724View attachment 94725View attachment 94726

Niemann #6 in the world according to TUGR. Scottie #1.

 

[Gandolf]

Hey, don't fix what is not broken, right?


View attachment 94871

Ditching the seasoned fries is a criminal offense....

 

[laopadak]

1-0 rd.2 +9.6, +10.73u Valspar

Rd.3
Cole -165 v Willett / St Johns ML +107 (DK boosted to +135) 5u

Add- Mitchell under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)
Add- Theegala under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

1-0 rd.2 +9.6, +10.73u Valspar

Rd.3
Cole -165 v Willett / St Johns ML +107 (DK boosted to +135) 5u

Add- Mitchell under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)
Add- Theegala under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)

Nice work so far.

GL today.

No feel at all.

Have D Riley future alive. Need him to shoot several under par to be truly in contention.

 

[laopadak]

1-2 rd.3, -6.7u, +4u Valspar. Really lucky to just win one yesterday. Needed Theegala to make a long ass putt on 18th and he came thru. Mitchell was a bad play, that guy lost his swing on the back 9, Rd.1.

That SJU loss hurt in 5 different places. Would’ve made a huge Saturday.

Rd.4
Glover over 3.5 birdies -115 5.5u (DK)
Lowry over 3.5 birdies -135 5.5u (DK)
Bridgeman under 71.5 6u (FD)

Tourney will be won on the back 9, so many scores wrecked before and post snake pit. Here’s to hoping Bridgeman hangs in there, has a little luck on the finishing holes. 25-1 open parlay with Bridgeman to win is in my prayers

GL today

 

[B.A.R.]

1-2 rd.3, -6.7u, +4u Valspar. Really lucky to just win one yesterday. Needed Theegala to make a long ass putt on 18th and he came thru. Mitchell was a bad play, that guy lost his swing on the back 9, Rd.1.

That SJU loss hurt in 5 different places. Would’ve made a huge Saturday.

Rd.4
Glover over 3.5 birdies -115 5.5u (DK)
Lowry over 3.5 birdies -135 5.5u (DK)
Bridgeman under 71.5 6u (FD)

Tourney will be won on the back 9, so many scores wrecked before and post snake pit. Here’s to hoping Bridgeman hangs in there, has a little luck on the finishing holes. 25-1 open parlay with Bridgeman to win is in my prayers

GL today

GL today.

If Riley doesn't win I hope Junior does for you.

 

[laopadak]

2-1 Rd.4 Valspar +3.6u, total for Valspar +7.6u. Let's keep the + money rolling into Texas and Masters.

 

[B.A.R.]

Gonna grind on this tournament a bit tonight...

Brutal few weeks of work not helping out my golf handicapping