2025 Golf Handicapping Thread....

[laopadak]

Faded the wrong players, early wave. Rd.2 add- Glover under 70.5 +115 4u (FD)
Rd.2 add- Glover ERL (dead heat) boosted 20-1 .5u (FD)
Add- another 4u Glover 70.5 +105 (DK)

Don’t shit the bed Glover

 

[gps_3]

Saw a tweet that said 14 of last 16 winners were early/late with their Th/Fri tee times

This appears to be the wrong angle to have based my picks on

 

[RBTrojan]

The Players round 3 only:

Dahmen-115 vs Kitayama: Kitayama had the benefit of a late Thursday/ early Friday start, Dahmen did not. Kitayama has had 3 doubles or worse so far this week. Conditions shoukd be tougher as the day wears on. I’ll take the fairway finder who generally putts very well overall in this spot.

2-0 full tourney bets this week. Trying to ride this momentum… fade or follow best of luck with your wagers.

 

[laopadak]

4-2 rd.2 players, +14.25, +9.7 tourney.

Rd.3
Theegala-120 v cam Young 4u (DK)
Smalley under 73.5 -115 4u (FD)

GL on your plays

 

[laopadak]

2-0 +7.65, +17.35u for tourney.

fyi- 8am, 3-way start on both 1 and 10 tomorrow, avoiding late afternoon storms. Suppose to get nasty. Winds similar to today, another challenging battle with a few able to play inspiring golf in this stuff.

Need 1 more leg tonite for a Glover or Smalley outright parlay. Lost

GL tomorrow

 

[laopadak]

Rd.4 Players

Glover under 73.5 -125 5u (FD)
Smalley under 73.5 +105 4.75u (FD)

 

[B.A.R.]

Rd.4 Players

Glover under 73.5 -125 5u (FD)
Smalley under 73.5 +105 4.75u (FD)

GL today.

I've had no feel this tourney since RD 1.

Just going to stalk live today.

 

[laopadak]

1-1 rd.4 -.75u, +16.6u Players. Exciting final round, less delay.

Hoping for some JJ magic this morning. Not counting towards record. Leggo Aztecs!

 

[laopadak]

Well that was quick- Onto Valspar

 

[B.A.R.]

Oh Phil...

 

[laopadak]

Maybe you guys have been aware but I stumbled across this today. On the PGA tour website, I've always looked at past results to gauge how the course played out (average scores, weather dependent). Individual scores over the four rounds etc. Current form, past results and course fit are now available. We've referenced these points on X feeds, Ron Klos/Rabbit Hole etc., but similar data points readily available on the PGA website. Good stuff if you ask me.

 

[B.A.R.]

Maybe you guys have been aware but I stumbled across this today. On the PGA tour website, I've always looked at past results to gauge how the course played out (average scores, weather dependent). Individual scores over the four rounds etc. Current form, past results and course fit are now available. We've referenced these points on X feeds, Ron Klos/Rabbit Hole etc., but similar data points readily available on the PGA website. Good stuff if you ask me.

View attachment 94780

Thanks man.

 

[B.A.R.]

Watch your splits this week.

As of now, you want guys AM/PM.

Wicked weather coming.

 

[chipnotized]

Valspar

2u

Hovland--Miss Cut +115

0.1u

FRL--Spieth +6000

0.2u each

Rd1 Top 10

Conners +375
Glover +475
Sigg +600
Putnam +600
Shipley +800

Swing it easy boys.

 

[RBTrojan]

Laying off full tourney bets this week. Not seeing much I like, plus the weather is a big question mark. I will probably get involved with individual rounds later in the week.

Best of luck this week guys

 

[laopadak]

been patiently waiting for over/under round props and none of my outs are offering right now. It’s madness

A couple of top 10’s, ties paid, round 1, all small, .5u each. Early wave guys, MGM

Hoey +550
M Kim +350
Schenk +650
Malnati +1400
Pan +800

Tommy -150 v Tom / Zags ML +121 3u (DK)

GL this week

 

[B.A.R.]

Laying off full tourney bets this week. Not seeing much I like, plus the weather is a big question mark. I will probably get involved with individual rounds later in the week.

Best of luck this week guys

Ditto.

I took two long shot fliers on Davis Riley 15,000 and Nicolai Hojgarrd 11,000

Hojgarrd #s been great till last week.

Riley was awful but Mexico and a few weeks ago much better.

 

[B.A.R.]

been patiently waiting for over/under round props and none of my outs are offering right now. It’s madness

A couple of top 10’s, ties paid, round 1, all small, .5u each. Early wave guys, MGM

Hoey +550
M Kim +350
Schenk +650
Malnati +1400
Pan +800

Tommy -150 v Tom / Zags ML +121 3u (DK)

GL this week

Nice.

Hoey and Auto Kim in my main lineup.

 

[B.A.R.]

Hey, don't fix what is not broken, right?

 

[laopadak]

1-5 rd.1 +1.13u. Missed all top 10 but hit the parlay. BS that books still aren't offering round scores.

Rd.2:

CSU ML -120 / X 3-way v. Straka & Scott +130, +321 3u (MGM)

 

[Gandolf]

Oh Phil...


View attachment 94724View attachment 94725View attachment 94726

Niemann #6 in the world according to TUGR. Scottie #1.

 

[Gandolf]

Hey, don't fix what is not broken, right?


View attachment 94871

Ditching the seasoned fries is a criminal offense....

 

[laopadak]

1-0 rd.2 +9.6, +10.73u Valspar

Rd.3
Cole -165 v Willett / St Johns ML +107 (DK boosted to +135) 5u

Add- Mitchell under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)
Add- Theegala under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

1-0 rd.2 +9.6, +10.73u Valspar

Rd.3
Cole -165 v Willett / St Johns ML +107 (DK boosted to +135) 5u

Add- Mitchell under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)
Add- Theegala under 70.5 -150 5u(DK)

Nice work so far.

GL today.

No feel at all.

Have D Riley future alive. Need him to shoot several under par to be truly in contention.

 

[laopadak]

1-2 rd.3, -6.7u, +4u Valspar. Really lucky to just win one yesterday. Needed Theegala to make a long ass putt on 18th and he came thru. Mitchell was a bad play, that guy lost his swing on the back 9, Rd.1.

That SJU loss hurt in 5 different places. Would’ve made a huge Saturday.

Rd.4
Glover over 3.5 birdies -115 5.5u (DK)
Lowry over 3.5 birdies -135 5.5u (DK)
Bridgeman under 71.5 6u (FD)

Tourney will be won on the back 9, so many scores wrecked before and post snake pit. Here’s to hoping Bridgeman hangs in there, has a little luck on the finishing holes. 25-1 open parlay with Bridgeman to win is in my prayers

GL today

 

[B.A.R.]

1-2 rd.3, -6.7u, +4u Valspar. Really lucky to just win one yesterday. Needed Theegala to make a long ass putt on 18th and he came thru. Mitchell was a bad play, that guy lost his swing on the back 9, Rd.1.

That SJU loss hurt in 5 different places. Would’ve made a huge Saturday.

Rd.4
Glover over 3.5 birdies -115 5.5u (DK)
Lowry over 3.5 birdies -135 5.5u (DK)
Bridgeman under 71.5 6u (FD)

Tourney will be won on the back 9, so many scores wrecked before and post snake pit. Here’s to hoping Bridgeman hangs in there, has a little luck on the finishing holes. 25-1 open parlay with Bridgeman to win is in my prayers

GL today

GL today.

If Riley doesn't win I hope Junior does for you.

 

[laopadak]

2-1 Rd.4 Valspar +3.6u, total for Valspar +7.6u. Let's keep the + money rolling into Texas and Masters.

 

[B.A.R.]

Gonna grind on this tournament a bit tonight...

Brutal few weeks of work not helping out my golf handicapping

 

[RBTrojan]

HoustonOpen full tourney match up:

English -120 vs Kitayama

I have other leans, but feel best about this match up. I may dabble with single round plays in rounds 2-4. Best of luck with your bets this week!

 

[laopadak]

getting a couple of early wave plays in and will watch weather / add in the late wave.

Rd.1
Greyserman under 69.5 -140 5u (DK)
McNealy under 69.5 -150 5u (DK)

GL this week

 

[B.A.R.]

Have Greyserman in my lineup.

Fliers on Nicolai (again), MinWoo and Wyndbag

Like Rai but no value

 

[laopadak]

tried to get an early jump on todays sports but failed. Greyserman no chance after a poor start. Mcnealy 1 under at 18 and had an easier up and down but missed his par putt.

Rd.1 add- Pendrith under 69.5 -145 6u (DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

Greyserman brutal. Ugh

 

[laopadak]

1-2 rd.1 -5.9u. Average score yesterday, 70.4, weather is crap but think there will be plenty of birds.

Rd.2- all at DK

JJ over 3.5 birds -135 5u
Bridgeman over 3.5 birds -135 5u
Cole under 69.5 +100 5u
Mcnealy under 69.5 -140 5u

Add- Im over 3.5 birds -135 5u

Lots vested today, mofos better come thru

GL today

 

[chipnotized]

1-2 rd.1 -5.9u. Average score yesterday, 70.4, weather is crap but think there will be plenty of birds.

Rd.2- all at DK

JJ over 3.5 birds -135 5u
Bridgeman over 3.5 birds -135 5u
Cole under 69.5 +100 5u
Mcnealy under 69.5 -140 5u

Add- Im over 3.5 birds -135 5u

Lots vested today, mofos better come thru

GL today

Tagging along on Cole and Sungjae.

May the swings be sweet and the scores be neat.

 

[laopadak]

Rd.2 add- English under 68.5 -120 3u (DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1905636922686394583

 

[chipnotized]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1905636922686394583

That reminds me:
I heard the Danes have begun putting bar codes on their warships...when they come back to shore, they Scandinavian.

 

[B.A.R.]

Rd.2 add- English under 68.5 -120 3u (DK)

Looking good.

He's -4 through 15 and has 10 feet for birdie tomorrow morning.

Should be good.

He needs a few more to make the cut.

 

[laopadak]

5-1 rd.2, +13.5u. +7.6u tourney. Catching live action now and patiently waiting for rd.3 lines to open.

Projected cut line moved 3 strokes, shows just how these guys killed the course yesterday. Unfortunately books will have adjusted. Hopefully can find a few gems rd.3

 

[chipnotized]

5-1 rd.2, +13.5u. +7.6u tourney. Catching live action now and patiently waiting for rd.3 lines to open.

Projected cut line moved 3 strokes, shows just how these guys killed the course yesterday. Unfortunately books will have adjusted. Hopefully can find a few gems rd.3

Beauty work yesterday...I'll be following along for moving day.
GL

 

[laopadak]

Rd.3 Houston

Mullinax under 68.5 -120 5u (DK)
Nico under 68.5 -145 5(DK)
Pendrith 4 or more birds -135 4u (MGM)

GL on your plays today

 

[B.A.R.]

Rd.3 Houston

Mullinax under 68.5 -120 5u (DK)
Nico under 68.5 -145 5(DK)
Pendrith 4 or more birds -135 4u (MGM)

GL on your plays today

Let's go!

 

[B.A.R.]

Have Greyserman in my lineup.

Fliers on Nicolai (again), MinWoo and Wyndbag

Like Rai but no value

C'mon MW let's have a Sunday!

 

[B.A.R.]

I'll start a separate Masters thread this week.

Fwiw, I'm grabbing a small piece of MW right now at 8000

 

[laopadak]

3-0 rd.3 +10.6, 9-3 +18.2u Houston.

Gonna pass on final round, great week so gonna enjoy. Suppose to golf this morning but got a lot of rain and snow mix, hoping for just a delay.

GL today

 

[laopadak]

GL on Min Woo @B.A.R. He should cruise to his maiden win.

If you throw a masters contest, count me in for $50 towards pot/winner.

 

[laopadak]

Can’t help myself- rd.4 Houston

Pendrith top 10, ties paid +100 5u (FD)

Poorer round yesterday and think he keeps pace with first page leaderboard

 

[RBTrojan]

Houston Open round 4 only:

Going with my gut on these. Wanting some action today….

Salinda -115 vs Nico Echavarria
Hadwin -115 vs Thorbjornsen

Good luck today guys

 

[RBTrojan]

Good week guys… looks like the board did well overall. Eleven days until Augusta…