2025 Golf Handicapping Thread....
- Thread starter B.A.R.
- Start date
laopadak
Pretty much a regular
Just started watching and books already adjusting to a tougher track than yesterday. Rd.2 adds:
Knapp line moved, under 69.5 -120 5u (FD)
Highsmith -115 v. J. Svensson 4u (FD)
Valimaki under 70.5 -125 3.5u (FD)
Adding more and crossing fingers for late wave..
Knapp line moved, under 69.5 -120 5u (FD)
Highsmith -115 v. J. Svensson 4u (FD)
Valimaki under 70.5 -125 3.5u (FD)
Adding more and crossing fingers for late wave..
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laopadak
Pretty much a regular
0-4 rd.2 -17.5u. Untimely doubles by Knapp and JJ did me in. High smith was just a bad play. Did hit make cut play bringing Cognizant total to -6.1u.
Did hit Knapp live ERL. Not posted and not counting towards Talley. Going off the positives into the weekend and starting to look at rd.3. GL the rest of way.
Did hit Knapp live ERL. Not posted and not counting towards Talley. Going off the positives into the weekend and starting to look at rd.3. GL the rest of way.
RBTrojan
A Child of Aliens
Cognizant round 3 only:
Fowler -115 vs Ghim: Rickie is slowly turning things around this year from what I’ve seen. I’m curious to see how he plays being in contention. Ghim hit all 18 gir and has been incredible on approach shots this week. I think a reversion to the mean is in the cards Saturday.
1-1 full tourney bets. Nailed the two guys I bet against with mc’s, but Schenk mc’ed as well and lost.
Almost took the bait and played Tosti at plus money vs Kooch. I don’t see why he should be favored -150… swing it easy fellas good luck this weekend
Fowler -115 vs Ghim: Rickie is slowly turning things around this year from what I’ve seen. I’m curious to see how he plays being in contention. Ghim hit all 18 gir and has been incredible on approach shots this week. I think a reversion to the mean is in the cards Saturday.
1-1 full tourney bets. Nailed the two guys I bet against with mc’s, but Schenk mc’ed as well and lost.
Almost took the bait and played Tosti at plus money vs Kooch. I don’t see why he should be favored -150… swing it easy fellas good luck this weekend
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
My one bet this tournament was Knapp u69.5 yesterday and after he hooked it into the drink on 6 when that was exactly the only thing that could go wrong at that point...was a sign to stay away. Hope you guys do the deed, this tournament has never been kind to me and now I don't even know if it has an identity.
Seems like a scoring day so far.
RBTrojan
A Child of Aliens
He has been playing really well lately
GL Lao!
laopadak
Pretty much a regular
eyeing Berger all morning, think he can make a run today, after a subpar round yesterday. Gonna have a closer. GL
Paul Patrol
Pretty much a regular
I officially have Keith Mitchell and Ben Griffin in the running. Should Griffin (T3 - 2 strokes back) win it all, I would like to donate some fun money to any March madness contests that CTG runs. Go Ben!!
I blame the sunglasses.
He was right there.
Let's get a winner next week, win or lose appreciate the generosity!
laopadak
Pretty much a regular
0-2 Rd.4 Cognizant, -8u. Feast or famine days for me, perfect Thursday & Saturday, Swung and miss completely Friday and Sunday. Lucky to get out on the positive
+8.1u final tally.
YTD:
January: -38u (6 tourneys counted)
February: +14.75u (3 tourneys)
Still very much down on the year but headed in the right direction. Onto Arnie's..
+8.1u final tally.
YTD:
January: -38u (6 tourneys counted)
February: +14.75u (3 tourneys)
Still very much down on the year but headed in the right direction. Onto Arnie's..
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Looks like we may have some weather concerns in Orlando. Cool and breezy on Thursday, then pretty nice on Fri/Sat, but Sunday could be a little nasty. It's already a tough course, ball striking and short game will be at a premium. Hard not to like Scheffler. I was all set to back Rory, but the weather kind of worries me. Pretty sure I will fade Xander in his first tournament back. My book has him matched up with JT. Can't see TGL getting X ready to compete against a stacked field on a hard course. I've got some interest in Shane Lowry. He seems to elevate on tough tracks, has some solid history there, and has been playing pretty well. Any time it becomes a ball striking expo, I consider Hideki, JT, Morikawa, Willy Z and Ludvig. Maybe Fleetwood too.
Very nice.
Did some solid work tonight for fantasy will get some plays tomorrow...
One for Puerto Rico
Hayden Springer outright 3300
CHSGTMD
Pretty much a regular
Gonna ride along
RBTrojan
A Child of Aliens
API full tourney match ups:
Greyserman -115 vs Young
Salinda -115 vs Hughes
I am very tempted to fade Rory round 1 with Cantlay at plus money. But he’s had too much good course history to take a swing against. That said, I think he struggles to commit to shots in windier conditions. The two I did bet are more of my standard type plays. Two guys who are playing decently vs two guys who are really struggling so far this season. Golf is hard…
Good luck this week
Greyserman -115 vs Young
Salinda -115 vs Hughes
I am very tempted to fade Rory round 1 with Cantlay at plus money. But he’s had too much good course history to take a swing against. That said, I think he struggles to commit to shots in windier conditions. The two I did bet are more of my standard type plays. Two guys who are playing decently vs two guys who are really struggling so far this season. Golf is hard…
Good luck this week
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
I was thinking the same thing on Rory, but then I saw a tweet from the data golf guys that said that Rory is actually the best wind player in the field. So I stayed away
Forgot to post yesterday, but I've got:
JT (-110) over Xander
Henley (-130) over Mav
Lowry (-125) over Big Bob MacIntyre
JT to win +2500
Lowry to win +4500
Zalatoris top 20 +175
Berger top 20 +175
Lowry top 20 +150
JT top 10 +185
Lowry top 10 +325
laopadak
Pretty much a regular
C. Davis up 2 on SW Kim going into the 18th. Davis 2nd shot is on edge of green. Kim's 2nd shot bounces off rocks, gets relief from production equipment and chips in for birdie. Davis 3 putts for the push. Can't make this stuff up, golf betting can be a bitch and laughable at times.
laopadak
Pretty much a regular
0-0-2 even for Rd.1. There were a few live opportunities today, caught one, missed one, specifically Clark ERL when he was down 1 to Lowry with 3 to play. It was +230 but I chickened out, thinking it wasn't worth it due to dead heat. Still think dead heat is a rip off BTW.
Can't expect putts to keep going in for Clark. Excellent round one but I think he doubled the feet of putts made vs. the field.
JT really had a good round, after a poor start. Liked
Warmer temps and less wind tomorrow should mean better scoring, to some degree but we shall see
Rd.2 plays- Not very careful but rolling the dice.
Aberg under 71.5 -125 5u (FD)
Henley under 71.5 +110 4u (FD)
GL
Can't expect putts to keep going in for Clark. Excellent round one but I think he doubled the feet of putts made vs. the field.
JT really had a good round, after a poor start. Liked
Warmer temps and less wind tomorrow should mean better scoring, to some degree but we shall see
Rd.2 plays- Not very careful but rolling the dice.
Aberg under 71.5 -125 5u (FD)
Henley under 71.5 +110 4u (FD)
GL
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
Homa is in a bad place right now. He's gotta be in danger of losing all of his exemptions soon. Same for Cam Young
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Seems like a great hole by hole chase tomorrow if he polishes this round off
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