Joe Public
Gabibbo's Finest
The short version of where I'm at:
Teams I like to advance:
Costa Rica
Argentina
Brazil
Netherlands
Germany
France
Belgium
Columbia
And when you say that out loud you think, 'Well, shit, those are all favorites.' Somewhere in there you have to get an underdog, no? Problem is, from what I'm seeing, all these teams are significantly better than the team their facing.
There are underdogs who will score though, and I think that may be where I have to try to make some money. Team totals on teams like Algeria, Mexico, the Swiss. I feel like they'll get one, just not win.
Specific plays I'm looking at:
Les Dutch in regular time
I love this Mexico team, they're so much fun to watch and this game may be one of the most fun to watch of the whole tournament. But I feel like the Van Hollands are going to put like 65 shots on net in this thing. Ochoa's good enough that he'll probably stop 63 of 'em, but I don't think that's going to be enough. I may also look at the over in this game. I don't think the Netherlands care if Mexico scores, really, if it comes to it they should honestly be able to outscore them.
Costa Rica RT/to advance split
I'm splitting this bet between regular time and to advance. CR is arguably playing as well as any team in this tournament right now, no way you can go against that and the price is short. Also, I don't believe in Greece, so there's that.
Columbia in regular time
I swear this isn't because I'm an Italy fan and want to see Uruguay get pounded in the face repeatedly with a cockmeat sandwich. I mean, well, OK, that's true, but I still think Columbia's actually good and better than this shit team. Here's the thing, I think Costa Rica was really the only good team in that group, other than perhaps Italy on the right day. But Columbia would beat Italy here either 2-0 or 2-1 as well. Columbia's just solid and they score goals. Not sure how URU will be doing that in this one.
Brazil/Chile over 2.5
Yes, please. I may actually take some of the plus money on the over 3 here too as I expect this game to be loads of fun to watch as well. Chile never once seemed to me like a team that wasn't ready to run and give up chances. Maybe they're smart enough to realize that if you do that with Brazil you're going to give up 5, but I'd be surprised if Brazil can't get them to open up, that's what Chile wants to do naturally so it would be almost against the nature of this squad to do do otherwise.
Netherlands/Mexico over 2.5
Basically my take on this game is that the Dutch will be too much for Ochoa. If that happens, I think they get to this number—which you can have at plus money. But the way Mexico plays, I think they're going to be good for a goal here. I'm thinking 3-1 Hollish.
There may be more, probably will, but that's it for now. Good luck this round, gents.
Teams I like to advance:
Costa Rica
Argentina
Brazil
Netherlands
Germany
France
Belgium
Columbia
And when you say that out loud you think, 'Well, shit, those are all favorites.' Somewhere in there you have to get an underdog, no? Problem is, from what I'm seeing, all these teams are significantly better than the team their facing.
There are underdogs who will score though, and I think that may be where I have to try to make some money. Team totals on teams like Algeria, Mexico, the Swiss. I feel like they'll get one, just not win.
Specific plays I'm looking at:
Les Dutch in regular time
I love this Mexico team, they're so much fun to watch and this game may be one of the most fun to watch of the whole tournament. But I feel like the Van Hollands are going to put like 65 shots on net in this thing. Ochoa's good enough that he'll probably stop 63 of 'em, but I don't think that's going to be enough. I may also look at the over in this game. I don't think the Netherlands care if Mexico scores, really, if it comes to it they should honestly be able to outscore them.
Costa Rica RT/to advance split
I'm splitting this bet between regular time and to advance. CR is arguably playing as well as any team in this tournament right now, no way you can go against that and the price is short. Also, I don't believe in Greece, so there's that.
Columbia in regular time
I swear this isn't because I'm an Italy fan and want to see Uruguay get pounded in the face repeatedly with a cockmeat sandwich. I mean, well, OK, that's true, but I still think Columbia's actually good and better than this shit team. Here's the thing, I think Costa Rica was really the only good team in that group, other than perhaps Italy on the right day. But Columbia would beat Italy here either 2-0 or 2-1 as well. Columbia's just solid and they score goals. Not sure how URU will be doing that in this one.
Brazil/Chile over 2.5
Yes, please. I may actually take some of the plus money on the over 3 here too as I expect this game to be loads of fun to watch as well. Chile never once seemed to me like a team that wasn't ready to run and give up chances. Maybe they're smart enough to realize that if you do that with Brazil you're going to give up 5, but I'd be surprised if Brazil can't get them to open up, that's what Chile wants to do naturally so it would be almost against the nature of this squad to do do otherwise.
Netherlands/Mexico over 2.5
Basically my take on this game is that the Dutch will be too much for Ochoa. If that happens, I think they get to this number—which you can have at plus money. But the way Mexico plays, I think they're going to be good for a goal here. I'm thinking 3-1 Hollish.
There may be more, probably will, but that's it for now. Good luck this round, gents.