EPL: BHA trending toward 1, CP up to 0.5, BURN taking a little bit of money and I want to be sure I don’t miss 0.25, SHU not looking like it’ll hit 0.25 which I want, what is new doing at 1.25, similar lei catching half at 2 is hard to say no, villa looks like they will close a favorite so I think I can skip that, arsenal catching a full goal when we know they can draw LIV
Bundesliga: Arminia Bielefeld was feisty in the opener and while they may not be a blue blood and everybody expects newly promoted teams to be relegated, they get a Koln team who can't win and fought all the way back to tie Hoffenheim before blowing it late to a Kramaric hat trick. This shouldn't suddenly stop since they get a 2019 Bundesliga 2 side
Schalke is a shell of itself, except selling that shell to anybody who has any money to give them as they're in big trouble financially and it was reflected in the opening embarrassment at the hands of Bayern. Bayern may have embarrassed anybody, but Sevilla played them close and a proud club like Schalke gave up. They get Werder Bremen, who has its own problems, but they've won since the pandemic unlike Schalke and survived a relegation playoff. If Schalke gives a fraction it will be hard for me to resist, more like impossible, but i've got some interest if the juiced pick price i'm seeing at the time of typing (Thursday night CT) starts to tick up and give some odds on a Werder pick (draw returns the risk)
HOFF catching two at home is interesting considering a Bayern team with questionable depth just played a mid-week game in Budapest that went 120', but I've tried to promise myself that I would only fade very good teams with other good ones and I'm not sure HOFF qualifies. Letting Koln score like it did in its comeback is concerning, would likely need to see some big names rotated for me to want to step in front of the Bayern train as I was unable to do it on a Sevilla team I really like
FREIBURG is the team i follow closest in the league and I held off a lean on them in the first match since they sold their stud GK to DFL rival Hertha, an attacker to Benfica and their biggest prospect CB to Leeds thinking they were going to be bad this year. Boy was I wrong as they put 3 consecutive on the board on the road at big club and
@VirginiaCavs favorite Stuttgart, who is another one of the newly promoted teams who don't plan on going back down. Stuttgart spends a lot more than the others from what I understand, but had to claw their way back to 2-3 before the final whistle finally went. Maybe it was first game back in the big time jitters, or maybe they weren't used to a higher level of play, but they got smacked around by a FREI side who seems to have a ton of veterans who know what they're doing. Now GK is still a concern as Schwolow probably put them in the race for Europe last season by his lonesome, but they lost his replacement to injury and had to get someone on loan from Mainz just to find a player. That's a scary thing, along with the biggest transfer in being a defensive mid from Angers in Ligue 1. Ho-hum, they don't seem to fret and they'll be giving everyone a tough go of it and that's probably what will turn me even further in the fan direction, but Wolfsburg enters giving a fraction on the road and that makes little sense to me. Unsure about allowed capacity in the Black Forest of SW Germany, but after seeing fans in most stadiums in the country last weekend there may be a bit more HFA here than the ghost games that allowed none. Wolfsburg is great at set pieces, but that's probably because they don't score otherwise so laying a fraction on the road in the late Sunday game seems steep. They had no offense in the opener besides American Jon Brooks launching an uncontested header into the patrons from three yards out with no pressure, color me a doubter on that team who also got bossed by Ukraine's Shakhtar Donesk in the Europa League Round of 16 on a neutral site in the last competitive game they played before the boring opener