Week of Jan 5th to Jan 12th

Great news. Like when we agree obviously . Guess the chalk looks better then usual with the last few games because of travel , rest and injuries . Otherwise the lines are kinda high which I am assuming is to attract more dog action in the unfavorable spots ....saw in the other thread you liked the early Over @ Wash which is great but I did try and get cute ....GL tonight ..

Props:
Over 21.5 Pts Yao -150 (80)
Over 22.5 pts and rebounds Scola -115 (40)

:cheers:
 
Also as much as I like Minnesota and have rode this hot streak not sure I really like them anymore . With Bogut playing at best a PKem seems correct ...who knows just hoping for pts
 
Teaser and ML Parlay:
Portland -5.5 , Jazz -2 and Bulls -1.5 (320) -384
Wiz ML -170 , Jazz ML -475and Bulls ML -440 (160/218) -160
(-544)

Washington -3 -120 (240) -288
1st H Washington -2 (160) +160
1st H Under 90.5 (80) -88
Over 181 Game (160) Push
(-216)

Wolves ML -130 (160) Milw +3 -120 (80) MIDDLED +240
(like more if Bogut is OUT think he may play)
Over 199.5 Wolves (120) +120
(+360)

1st Half Bulls -4.5 (200) -220
Bulls -8 -120 (160) -192
(-412)

Knicks +6 (280) ML +230 (80) -388
1st Half NYK +3.5 (120) +120
2nd Quarter NYK +1.5 (40) +40
3rd Quarter NYK +1.5 (200) -220
4th Quarter NYK +1 (80) -88
Over 99 TT NYK (80) -88
Over 204-120 Houston (120) -144
(-768)


Jazz -8 (200) +200
TT Under 88.5 Det (80) +80
TT Over 97 Utah (120) +120
1st Half Utah -5 (80) +80
4th Quarter Utah -1.5 (160) +160 (nearly blew this!)
3rd Quarter Utah -2 (120) +120
+760

1st Half GSW +7 (120) +120
1st Quarter Under 54.5 (40)+40
1st Quarter GSW +3.5 +100 (80) +80
2nd Quarter Portland -3.5 (80) +80
3rd Q Portland -3.5 (240) +240
4th Q Portland -2 (80) -88
1st H Under 108 (80) +80
Under 98 TT GSW (80) -88
Under 210 Portland (40) -44
Port -12 (120) +120
+540

Props: -80
Over 21.5 Pts Yao -150 (80) -120
Over 22.5 pts and rebounds Scola -115 (40) +40

Second Half : -120
Washinton -1 (120) -132
Bulls -7 (280) -308
Under 103.5 Chi (80) +80
Knicks +3 -115 (80) -92
Over 99 NYK (80) -88
Utah -0.5 (160) , -1 (40) +200
Port -6 -105 (120) +120
Port -6.5 +105 (160) +168
Under 103.5 (80) -88



Good Luck , my update window:cheers:

Props and 2nd H plays -200
Game plays +264
Teaser and ML Parlay -544

Felt I did alot better then those numbers ...(-480) for the day ...

:shake:
 
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Knicks were a disaster ...had me fooled at halftime ...would be nice if CHI closed the deal rather then allow OKC back in it after every mini run...
 
Think the DET vs Utah score is wrong have 25-17 or 24-17 depending what Price's last jumper was a 2 or 3 ....gets messed up around 4:30 minutes when Milsap makes a shot then Det scores and he hits a jumper ...in the 3rd Q that it is
 
Only came now, pretty bad night for me. Relieved a little with Ot in Chi game now there is a chance albeit small. Okc should be pretty tired. Dissapointed I missed the 1st q and 1st half bet on Gs. dunno how u came up with them but very nice !
 
Well if u loose like that in OT at home rested before the b2b, to one of the worst teams playing b2b also and 4th in 5, and in OT u really really suck. Sorry Chicago, pathetic !
 
betman4ever said:
Well if u loose like that in OT at home rested before the b2b, to one of the worst teams playing b2b also and 4th in 5, and in OT u really really suck. Sorry Chicago, pathetic !
Click to expand...

BINGO!

Only thing I am pissed about is how much risk I had floating out there today...couple tough losses killing me but way , way to much dough spread around ....back to basics after today ...:cheers:
 
Back to basics means less bets ? Now that i began applying your style of betting with almost every game and several bets ?:popcorn:
 
betman4ever said:
Back to basics means less bets ? Now that i began applying your style of betting with almost every game and several bets ?:popcorn:
Click to expand...

Nah , I cant bet simple . I dont want to sound egotistical but it just doesnt have the same type fun to it anymore . The more I learn the more I want to apply but evefryone has ups and downs . I had enough of these days were I pissed away retarded amounts on particular games . I guess thats where the creativity part comes in trying to beat the game the hardest way possible by quarters and halves is what keeps it fresh . More about the risk scaling back . If I do terrible today how do I bounce back tmrw pyschologically ? Do I get scared , do I overthink or under bet maybe overbet ?? I think all of us if we could somehow avg +300 bucks a day would be very happy I know I would be jumping off the ceiling . So to risk so much and win very little or lose just doesnt make sense thats whats going to handcuff me IMO. Just more simple plays the +40 's add up when you are right ...just to much on certain games ...which the ones I seemed to like the most so far have been the ones I did the best on . By most I guess i mean how I went after some games quarter by quarter and those seemed to play out best so far ...Every bet has a winner and a loser the amount of plays doesnt lower your chances its the fact with each play you make its another decision . Thats what gets harder to do act like you are unemotional when making those decisions. I can say one thing I think has been helping is have my decisions and most of plays lined up and placed by the time the 1st game of the night is going off. No chasing involved that way and easier to map out the whole night in my case ...

Okay I am rambling but you get the point . AMount of plays not the issue but risk vs reward as some plays your basically betting to split in some manner ..

:cheers:
 
Then their is the fact your doing so many things your missing certain obvious things ...like didnt realize Maggette was playing until 3 rd Quarter had scribbled down he was out and just never paid close attention because that game went so right in the 1st Half..:shake:
 
Sunday 1/11:

Passed on the early game leaned Boston and Under ..

Sixers +6 (200)
1st Quarter ATL -1.5 (40)
4th Quarter Philly +1.5 (40)
Over 197.5 (80)

Philly on a mini run since the 1st Quarter @ SA and ATL has not looked good since the collapse at NJN in the 2nd H ....

1st Quarter Over 51.5 (80)
1st Quarter Suns -2.5 (40)
2nd Quarter LAC +2.5 (80)
3rd Quarter Suns -2.5 (120)

Spurs ML -135 (120)
Spurs -2 -120 (120)

Heat +11 (80)

Have some more later ...GL:cheers:




 
Not surprised that you have no post on GS. Most interesting game on the board. What kind of shape are the Pacers in after the Laker game? Are they still trying for the playoffs or will they think about revenge on Utah. Very hard to figure out what is going on there.
 
tuck321 said:
Not surprised that you have no post on GS. Most interesting game on the board. What kind of shape are the Pacers in after the Laker game? Are they still trying for the playoffs or will they think about revenge on Utah. Very hard to figure out what is going on there.
Click to expand...

I dont think the LAL game should weigh that heavily but last 3 in general @ Denver then @ Pho then @ LAL now @ GSW...GSW only 14 home games vs 24 road games ...have to lean GSW but not sure I would do much more then them 1st Half ...I think because Indy doesnt play much defense they show up because every game is fun ..but they are also shorthanded as well at the guard spots . What does Maggs have on a B2b??

Definetly the most interesting game and guess I am just as stuck on it ...:36_11_6::cheers:
 
Sunday 1/11:

Sixers +6 (200) +200
1st Quarter ATL -1.5 -115 (40) -46
4th Quarter Philly +1.5 (40) +40
Over 197.5 (80) +80
+274

1st Quarter Over 51.5 (80) +80
1st Quarter Suns -2.5 (40) +40
2nd Quarter LAC +2.5 (80) +80
3rd Quarter Suns -2.5 (120) +120
+320

Spurs ML -135 (120)
Spurs -2 -120 (120)

Heat +11 (80)

1st Half Over 118.5 GSW (80)

Probably finish up after the NFL is finished :cheers:
 
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add...

Kings +3.5 -120 (120)
1st Half Kings +1.5 +100 (80)

Mavs struggling and seem to remember DAL struggling as road chalk in these type games w/o Josh Howard in the past :cheers:

 
First half is ok. The situation is not good though. Dallas is off a loss and their neext games are at Denver and then playoff revenge vs Hornets b-b. They have to scratch the Denver game I think and the revenge vs Hornets may not get there. If they do not win this game they could easily be looking at a 4 game losing streak. They are fairly deep and the Kings simply have negative home field edge. Can easily see the Kings on top after the first half but not winning the game and 3.5 is not adequate margin to bet on in a loss. At least that is my assumption. GL
 
tuck321 said:
First half is ok. The situation is not good though. Dallas is off a loss and their neext games are at Denver and then playoff revenge vs Hornets b-b. They have to scratch the Denver game I think and the revenge vs Hornets may not get there. If they do not win this game they could easily be looking at a 4 game losing streak. They are fairly deep and the Kings simply have negative home field edge. Can easily see the Kings on top after the first half but not winning the game and 3.5 is not adequate margin to bet on in a loss. At least that is my assumption. GL
Click to expand...

I agree . The only thing I can count on is the fact the whole season has been nothing but streaks for Dallas maybe with the added twist of good teams more likely to take them lightily shorthanded and either way tough to get up for a bottomfeeder . Your point makes sense will reevaluate at halftime..:cheers:
 
Also as marginal as it sounds the Navs have a couple of 1 point road wins w/o Howard on the road . On Green and Wright to step up and whoever gets the lionshare of minutes of at the 3 spot. Also Terry was gimpy heading into last game finished 3/11 with 11 pts in 30 minutes...:cheers:
 
added:

1st Quarter LaL -3.5 (80)
4th Quarter Heat +2 (40)
Under 204 Heat (80)

Changed my mind on playing Heat +11 to (40) only ....

1st Q GSW +0.5 (120)
2nd Q Indiana -0.5 (40)
2ndQuarter Over 59 (80)
GSW +2 -120 (160)
made 1st H over for (160)
Over 234 game (80)

Under Dallas 202 -120 (80)
2nd Quarter Kings +0.5 (120)

GL ...burn out setting in:cheers:






 
Sunday 1/11:

Sixers +6 (200) +200
1st Quarter ATL -1.5 -115 (40) -46
4th Quarter Philly +1.5 (40) +40
Over 197.5 (80) +80
+274

1st Quarter Over 51.5 (80) +80
1st Quarter Suns -2.5 (40) +40
2nd Quarter LAC +2.5 (80) +80
3rd Quarter Suns -2.5 (120) +120
+320

Spurs ML -135 (120) -162
Spurs -2 -120 (120) -144
-306

1st Half Over 118.5 GSW, Over 119 (160) -176
1st Q GSW +0.5 (120) -132
2nd Q Indiana -0.5 (40) -44
2nd Quarter Over 59 (80) +80
GSW +2 -120 (160) +160
Over 234 game (80) +80
-32



Kings +3.5 -120 (120) +120
1st Half Kings +1.5 +100 (80) -80
Under Dallas 202 -120 (80) +80
2nd Quarter Kings +0.5 (120) -132
-12

1st Quarter LaL -3.5 (80) +80
4th Quarter Heat +2(40) +40
Under 204 Heat (80) -88
+32

Back at halftime(s)...GL:cheers:

+594early then -318 late so far
 
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Add..

2nd Half Spurs -3.5 -115 (160) -184
2nd Half Spurs -4 +105 (200) -200
-384

Boils down to the Magic 8/11 from three and SA 0/3 with ORL being somewhat shorthanded off the bench.....:cheers:
 
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I like the under for the 2nd half as well, with both teams the Magic and the spurs shooting over 50%, what do you like ?
 
GL ! :cheers:
I took it too a little to big for my liking. If SA isn't capable of covering anything in this game i'm getting very angry ...

On another note, a personal observation, almost every time two classical high scoring teams meet(at least this season), it goes under 1st q and u also get hugely high totals. Much better to look for a 1st q over in a indiana - nj match or likewise.
 
2nd H add

Kings -0.5 -105 (240) +240
Under 99 (40) +40
+280


GSW -0.5 (200) +200
Over 114.5 GSW (80) +80
+280

GL:cheers:

-384 SAS 2nd H and +560 here= +174
 
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