Week #5

Yanks27Sox9

CTG Partner
Made a couple mistakes last Saturday, but still a solid outcome in the end. 19-11, +5.80 after 4 weeks. Early start to this one, with more to come later.

Nevada/Air Force over 68.5 for 1
Boise St (-17) for 1
USC (-3) for 1
Cal (+3) for 1
Mississippi St (-7) -125 for 1


Toledo/Fresno St over 59.5 for 1
USC/Arizona over 61 for 1
Stanford/Notre Dame under 54 for 1
BYU/Washington under 46.5 for 1
WVU/Texas Tech over 73 for 1
Georgia TT over 43 for 1


Sorry I missed the lower number on this one, but Wolf Pack/Flyboy totals typically seem to reach the 80s. Usually not a good spot for Boise on the road, but time for them to get healthy after the bye week with a large step down in competition. USC taking steps forward, and typically beats Arizona regardless of venue. (May add the over here as well, as both defenses can be had.) Demoralized Ducks are gonna be a huge public play, coming off the Stanford collapse on national TV. Cal off a bye, where Oregon is in the middle of a Stanford/bye/Washington (semi)sandwich. Home team typically does well ATS in this match-up too. And finally, the Bulldogs messed themselves in Kentucky last week, creating value here with the Gators coming to town off a big win in Tenny...thanks to a shit ton of turnovers. Nice spot for a Messy St rebound.

Be back throughout the week. :tiphat:
 
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Two more totals to add...

Toledo/Fresno St over 59.5 for 1
USC/Arizona over 61 for 1


Already mentioned the Trojan over above. USC owns Zona SU, but neither plays much defense nowadays, so hitting this game both ways. Expect a shootout between Toledo and Fresno, and the line dropped a few points today. Gracias, I'll bite. Bulldogs off a bye, and the Rockets off a 100+ pt affair with Nevada. Heading west for a late night, so might have to look at taking Fresno too if that line keeps dropping as well.

:tiphat:
 
Adding another total...

Stanford/Notre Dame under 54 for 1

Old fashioned game, 21-17 type final, at night in South Bend.


Also sitting on a couple leans. Will most likely be playing the UGA TT, as they'll run it up against the Vols. And haven't decided between the WVU TT going over, or the game with Texas Tech going over 75.

:tiphat:
 
oh, and whoever moved that Nevada/Air Force total...well, it's not fun being 5 points worse than the current line...so :flipbird4:
 
Also sitting on a couple leans. Will most likely be playing the UGA TT, as they'll run it up against the Vols. And haven't decided between the WVU TT going over, or the game with Texas Tech going over 75.

Leans:
UGA TT over
WVU/TT over 73
+
Arizona St (would really like it to come back -21)
UW/BYU under 45.5

Will probably hit these to some extent before Saturday. Have a few other leans as well, but they're not as close at the moment.
 
Thanks, Grind...to you as well.


Dropped the ASU lean. Played the other 3 leans though...

BYU/Washington under 46.5 for 1
WVU/Texas Tech over 73 for 1
Georgia TT over 43 for 1


Feel like I've played too many totals this week. Also feels like I might've fell for the WVU/TT over, but still hoping we see a total shootout there. Anyhow, sitting on one more play. Will add it sometime tonight/tomorrow.

:tiphat:
 
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