Happy New Year boys...... :cheers3:
Tomorrow strong lean Huskies .....
>> line seems to be going up - already 5' at Circa and other spots. I'll wait for a juiced 6 probably - will post more stuff in the morning.
On paper, what (should) happen:
* Michigan just grounds and pounds them into submission. Huskies can't make stops on early downs / get them off schedule - their D wears down. With Husky RB Johnson limited - Michigan drops everybody back in coverage, giving up everything underneath - then just knocking the dogshit out of the receiver after the catch. A frustrated Penix throws a few picks, JJ will protect the ball. TOP is like 40-20 Michigan. The ACC officiating crew (throw a ton of flags) heavily penalizes the undisciplined Huskies (#128 penalties).........
For me just a hunch Washington stays close somehow. I don't think either side (or total) warrants a solid one unit play. I think I would need 2' for Michigan, and at least 6 for Washington. Note : I'll probably play the 6 small, then bet live/2H.
For now all small
Michigan -2' 1H
M Penix OVER rushing (if it pops up)
B Corum OVER 2TD's (+120)
Polk OVER 53' receiving
Westover OVER 28' receiving
JJ over 201' passing
Penix TD (+350)
With props it's best to not lean to any certain side just too much - meaning if your favored side loses you also lose all your props. Takes work but look for ones that work whatever way things go- if you can.
Here I kinda think Michigan (eventually) will find they need to throw to keep up. Their running game is not explosive at all - plus Huskies are weaker vs explosive pass plays - JJ is really underrated in what he can do.
>> great vs the eye test, but vs a weak ass schedule - UM rush O ranks #72 at 4.3/rush (UW #55) - in the 2nd and 4th Q they run for less than 4 yds/rush. Efficient as hell but no juggernaut. That Washington O might just be too good here, regardless of their D. Haven't looked closely but with Penix, NFL players at both tackles, RB, all 3 WR, maybe their C and a few more.