- Indy-Denver - hard to touch with both teams banged up and coming off losses. Not sure who wins although my fantasy teams are rooting hard for Denver.
- Giants-Green Bay (london) - You can move the ball on the ground against both these teams, and both will want to run the ball. Like the under 41 for that reason. Side is tight.
- Pitt-Buffalo - Revenge angle for the Bills. Pickett makes his first start. No Watt has meant defense is susceptible for Pitt. At +14 this is likely the biggest dog Tomlin has ever been. They were +12 against the Chiefs last year and were blown out of the building. Something along the lines of 33-17 covers. Steelers just blew a 10 point lead to Zach Wilson, who btw is a year younger than Pickett. Big number early in the year but 'm inclined to lay the 14.
- LAC-Cleveland - Browns coming off a bad loss to Atlanta, Chargers hung on to win at Houston. Browns were getting beat through the air until last week, when they got bludgeoned by the run. Meanwhile Chargers are getting run on, which is what the Browns want to do. Can see over the 47.5 in play.
- Chicago-Minny - Bears run and get run on. Vikings more balanced. Hard to back an over in any Bears/Giants/Falcons game. Probably a pass on this one.
- Detroit-NE - Not sure who the QB is in New England yet, but I'm not sure it matters. Healthy dose of 37 & 38 coming. Also not sure who's playing for the Lions yet. Teams are moving the ball on the Pats, but I think they try to take the air out of the ball and grind out a 40 min TOP win. I'll lay the 3.
- Seattle-NO - Geno and company off a thrilling shootout but the back to back trips to the east time zone have to be taking a toll. Saints at least get to come home. I think they welcome seeing a bottom five defense and cover the -5.5.
- Miami-NYJ - Teddy gets the start, and he just wins games. Jets off a win but a still pretty up and down. Miami -3 for me.
- Atlanta-Tampa - Falcons take their running circus to Tampa, who's getting a bit pissed off back to back home losses. Tom has his weapons back and is starting to look good again. They're also still good against the run. I like them to cover -8.5.
- Tenny-Wash - Both teams have been decent against the run but are getting thrown on. Both teams lost their up and coming rookie WR. I'm interested to see if Robinson plays for WFT and what he might add. Probably staying away from this one.
- Houston-Jax - Texans showed some life late last week and took both games from the Jags last year. This is a measuring stick game for Jacksonville, they gave a good account in Philly and are expected to take care of business this week. I just don't know if laying over a touchdown is worth the risk. Pass.
- San Fran-Carolina - Niners defense showed out but now they go across country on short rest. Panthers have been getting CMac going lately. This is their fourth home game in the first five weeks, so there's some urgency here for them. Niners have been funky on the road this year. I kinda like taking the +6.5.
- Dallas-LAR - Sounds like Dak is going to wait another week or two before returning. I think it puts them in a better position since defense has been the team's identity so far. Rams played OK on D against the Niners but their offense is just out of kilter and the OL just got dominated. Now Micah and DLaw come to town. I think +4.5 is the choice although Rams might win by 3.
- Philly-Ari - Wondering if the Cards turned a corner with their win at Carolina. Philly is just rolling along but its more in spurts than a continuous pounding. They've scored points in just 5 of the last 12 quarters, which is unusual. I'll pass on this one.
- Cincy-Baltimore - Bengals have gotten their act together and now go to Baltimore who they hung 41 on TWICE last year. Ravens do not appear to have fixed their pass D issues. Over 48.5 and Bengals +3 seem to be very hard to pass up.
- Las Vegas-KC - Much like the Bengals, the Chiefs just boat-raced the Raiders last year, winning by a combined 89-23. Has that much changed since last year? Chiefs only TD pass in the KC game last year was from Mahomes to JOSH GORDON. Over 51 and Chiefs -7 seem like the only way to go.
