Wednesday July 31st MLB Discussion

[scarf31]

 

[mrpickem]

Let the trades commence

Hopefully no starter scratches due to trades

 

[austinhous]

o damn there's baseball again today?

 

[austinhous]

Lyles was traded to the Brewers. I can hardly contain my excitement.

who is driving the line on Lyles tonight.. down to even money basically

 

[austinhous]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1156615661499666434

starter = Miles Mikolas and 74<=temperature<=87 and team=Cardinals

Mikolas 25-3 when it's between 74 and 87 degrees outside..

 

[VirginiaCavs]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1156615661499666434

View attachment 41353
starter = Miles Mikolas and 74<=temperature<=87 and team=Cardinals

Mikolas 25-3 when it's between 74 and 87 degrees outside..

So specific lol

 

[austinhous]

So specific lol

the word you're looking for is esoteric and potentially contrived (if u wanted 2b a d*ck about it) couldn't argue w/ you either way lol

 

[VirginiaCavs]

the word you're looking for is esoteric and potentially contrived (if u wanted 2b a d*ck about it) couldn't argue w/ you either way lol

I don‘t think esoteric is the right word. If your query involved some higher-end physics then sure. But we all get temperature so its not esoteric.

I would go with arbitrary because the numbers are so specific. Contrived sure. The colloquial word would be forced.

 

[austinhous]

Kyle Hendricks' last July start of the season. Hendricks' career has established a clear demarcation as far as profitability is concerned:

Fading him March thru July: 49-46 +$1,917
Backing him August thru November: 46-18 +$2,016

 

[austinhous]

arbitrary

Agreed. As an SDQL whore I 100% agree w/ you.

 

[tuck321]

Need to look at it. Adding Seattle plus 52

 

[austinhous]

Rox most-profitable team to fade in G2 this season 23-11 +$1,152

Rangers most-profitable team to back in G2 this season 21-13 +$1,290

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Rangers most-profitable team to back in G2 this season 21-13 +$1,290

This is surely as arbitrary as day of the week

 

[austinhous]

maybe, but I been making money on it

 

[tuck321]

Mikolas on 5 1-4 6.48 ERA
What now

 

[austinhous]

Holy crap. Good catch.
Mikolas on 4 days 6-14-1 O/U -$930
Mikolas on 5 days 15-6-0 O/U +853

Cards scored a lot of runs in those games on 5 days: went same as the over: 15-6 straight up +$800

Might look at the over..

 

[tuck321]

Lousy ump short sample 1.80 with Hendricks but nothing makes sense
Lets try it

 

[Inspekdah]

Lousy ump short sample 1.80 with Hendricks but nothing makes sense
Lets try it

Cubs?

 

[austinhous]

3-run homer bottom 2nd in Cleveland.. Indians lead 3-1

 

[tuck321]

Ump likes road teams and the CUB pitcher I bet it
Very relaxing this morning no involvement

 

[tuck321]

I tend to think It will be very hard to stop the Astros from winning this close to first place

 

[austinhous]

Mikolas sub-1 ERA L4 home starts he overdue

 

[tuck321]

Minor 27 pitches or moor first inning 2 walks 1 hit 1 run. Not really what you might expect

 

[tuck321]

I actually had to think about Minn RL which was a terrible bet since they are up by 6

 

[austinhous]

Jordan Lyles will be pitching at PNC park next week

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Jordan Lyles will be pitching at PNC park next week

Fade! Old teammates will know him best

 

[austinhous]

Cards slugging 3 for last 36 gross

 

[tuck321]

Looks like the 5 day trend is either gone or beaten by really bad hitting

 

[austinhous]

base running gaffes as well

 

[tuck321]

I am religious. I will bet on the best team a decent pitcher and probably the strongest homer ump in baseball

 

[tuck321]

Fyi tomorrow we bet against Miami because The Miami pitcher stinks in the day,
the ump is Lance Barrett and with Pineda he is 2-0 11.2 innings ,77 ERA

 

[GWarner27]

This is surely as arbitrary as day of the week

Disagree, more meaningful as you get a game in with an opponent and then make adjustments to beat them rather than Tuesday which could be an opener or g2 of a series

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Disagree, more meaningful as you get a game in with an opponent and then make adjustments to beat them rather than Tuesday which could be an opener or g2 of a series

I don‘t see how that‘s a coherent point when the opponent undergoes essential change (starting pitcher and maybe bullpen) every game. Its not like an nba series

I could see a team doing poorly in game 3 if it has the tendency to use the same reliever every game of every series although thats obv unlikely

 

[GWarner27]

I don‘t see how that‘s a coherent point when the opponent undergoes essential change (starting pitcher and maybe bullpen) every game. Its not like an nba series

I could see a team doing poorly in game 3 if it has the tendency to use the same reliever every game of every series although thats obv unlikely

Don’t feel too strongly but you get a better idea of when the opponent is running the bases, how they’re pitching your guys, bullpen use etc