Wednesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Aug 10 Wed 2022

01:10 PM
951Cincinnati RedsT. Zeuch -R+1½
+125
+258O 9
-105
952New York MetsT. Walker -R-1½
-145
-290U 9
-115
02:10 PM
975Tampa Bay RaysJ. Springs -L+1½
-155
+147O 7½
+100
976Milwaukee BrewersB. Woodruff -R-1½
+135
-159U 7½
-120
04:10 PM
965New York YankeesN. Cortes -L-1½
+130
-125O 7½
-110
966Seattle MarinersR. Ray -L+1½
-150
+115U 7½
-110
07:10 PM
977Atlanta BravesK. Wright -R-1½
+115
-128O 9½
-105
978Boston Red SoxN. Pivetta -R+1½
-135
+118U 9½
-115
08:10 PM
971Texas RangersG. Otto -R+1½
+130
+266O 7½
-110
972Houston AstrosJ. Verlander -R-1½
-150
-300U 7½
-110
 
Rangers/Astros Under got away from me; 7.5 -30 at some spots and 7 +100 at most.

Rays/Brewers Over is coming along nicely; selling it to 8 +120

Pirates and Padres on the radar.
 
These prices on the cubs are goofy! Are they really any better than nats? Maybe a tad? They closed -215 yesterday! How the hell they make cubs this size vs anyone is beyond me!
 
These prices on the cubs are goofy! Are they really any better than nats? Maybe a tad? They closed -215 yesterday! How the hell they make cubs this size vs anyone is beyond me!
Especially with your man Josiah on the hill for the Expos. My greedy ass is on the RRL.
 
Especially with your man Josiah on the hill for the Expos. My greedy ass is on the RRL.

Lol. I played gray ov 5.5 k’s and nats. I really can’t say much bout greed, I do so many RR parlays in groups of 2s and sometimes 3s, that no less greedy! I just can’t stand laying that -1.5 with fav or dog, I’m much more into taking the +1.5 if it a decent price.
 
Thought my guy Alcantara was actually getting to pitch on 5 days rest which is by far best case scenario, he been microscopic on 5 days but fish have had couple off days this past week so he on 6, his 2 starts on 6+ this season ain’t been great. Still like him better on 6 than 4. I had to play him as a dog and played his ov 5.5 k’s also.
 
Lol. I played gray ov 5.5 k’s and nats. I really can’t say much bout greed, I do so many RR parlays in groups of 2s and sometimes 3s, that no less greedy! I just can’t stand laying that -1.5 with fav or dog, I’m much more into taking the +1.5 if it a decent price.
As Gecko says: greed is good.

Some fishy lines today, methinks. Looks too easy. I'm going to find out if some of these pups have some bite.
 
Phillies been super hot, got swept by cubs out of asb but since have been 12-2 including 6 straight, don’t care, Alcantara as a puppy I can’t pass up: really dunno why Phillies even wanted Thor? He a shell of what he once was, nats smacked him around in his 1st start, if fish can just muster 2-3 runs think that be enough!!
 
Cardinals are once again pretty big favs and throwing out another starter who doesn’t have a very good history at Coors! I warned of Mikolas yesterday and I’m not any more confident in Quintana as rox even better vs lhp! I’d expect Freeland be solid, think he goes bout 6 innings and holds cards to 3-4 runs tops, that feels like it be good enough for rox to beat them again.
 
Phillies been super hot, got swept by cubs out of asb but since have been 12-2 including 6 straight, don’t care, Alcantara as a puppy I can’t pass up: really dunno why Phillies even wanted Thor? He a shell of what he once was, nats smacked him around in his 1st start, if fish can just muster 2-3 runs think that be enough!!
Fighting Phils not just winning, but crushing opponents. I'm with ya today though...Phi FF TT Under 1.5 +100
 
Fighting Phils not just winning, but crushing opponents. I'm with ya today though...Phi FF TT Under 1.5 +100

Bout time they have shown some life. I been kicking myself all year for taking a stab at them 30-1 to win it all at beginning the year. Still don’t think they have much a chance but when I bet it I just did so cause 30-1 on a team I thought make playoffs a good price! Especially since they have the front line pitchers I think can go toe to toe with anyone. So if they get in I’ll feel better bout myself! Lol.
 
Cardinals are once again pretty big favs and throwing out another starter who doesn’t have a very good history at Coors! I warned of Mikolas yesterday and I’m not any more confident in Quintana as rox even better vs lhp! I’d expect Freeland be solid, think he goes bout 6 innings and holds cards to 3-4 runs tops, that feels like it be good enough for rox to beat them again.

Freeland ov 16.5 outs is in one my RR’s also.
 
Cardinals are once again pretty big favs and throwing out another starter who doesn’t have a very good history at Coors! I warned of Mikolas yesterday and I’m not any more confident in Quintana as rox even better vs lhp! I’d expect Freeland be solid, think he goes bout 6 innings and holds cards to 3-4 runs tops, that feels like it be good enough for rox to beat them again.
Colorado an historic example of a home-cooking squad.

4 games over .500 at Coors; 18 games under on the road!
 
Coors and Arizona I feel like you really have to be careful and only back road pitchers who have proven they can pitch in either place. I’d like to back Mitch keller ov 4.5 k’s tonight but he has never pitched at zona so gotta pass. Years ago I remember several cardinals pitchers talking bout how tough it was for them to grip the ball in zona cause the dry air. That has always stuck w me and I think there have been many guys over the years you see do not pitch well there. Until I have evidence I tend to leave them alone.
 
Keller did have a fantastic start at coors earlier this year,, that gives me some hope he be fine in zona also. Assuming he doesn’t have grip issues he should fan 5+ easily.
 
Bout time they have shown some life. I been kicking myself all year for taking a stab at them 30-1 to win it all at beginning the year. Still don’t think they have much a chance but when I bet it I just did so cause 30-1 on a team I thought make playoffs a good price! Especially since they have the front line pitchers I think can go toe to toe with anyone. So if they get in I’ll feel better bout myself! Lol.
Does your casino have a line on 'most regular season wins'? Looking through the schedule to find us a couple value futures bets.
 
Not sure, I’ll look.
Obviously a 4 team race:

Yanks are 5 games below their expected record in pythagorean terms
Astros and Dodgers get some "easy" series against division opponents
Mets may be the best value, despite their relatively tougher schedule
 
Obviously a 4 team race:

Yanks are 5 games below their expected record in pythagorean terms
Astros and Dodgers get some "easy" series against division opponents
Mets may be the best value, despite their relatively tougher schedule

I worry more bout dodgers against weaker teams, they seem to step up when they face the better teams and occasionally have lulls vs crappy teams.
 
I worry more bout dodgers against weaker teams, they seem to step up when they face the better teams and occasionally have lulls vs crappy teams.
Exactly my point....the odds are down right now, but if memory serves, LA is the favorite at something like -200 with 76 wins, then the Mets with 72, then the Yankees and Stros with 71 each.
I'll jot them down when they come back on tomorrow
 
Exactly my point....the odds are down right now, but if memory serves, LA is the favorite at something like -200 with 76 wins, then the Mets with 72, then the Yankees and Stros with 71 each.
I'll jot them down when they come back on tomorrow

I didn’t even realize lad had the best record at moment, I woulda sworn it was the Yankees but they been sliding lately and dodgers have lost what 5 games total since start of freaking July?!???? They bound to hit a little skid sometime, ain’t they?? Mfers are 29-5 since start of July!
 
I didn’t even realize lad had the best record at moment, I woulda sworn it was the Yankees but they been sliding lately and dodgers have lost what 5 games total since start of freaking July?!???? They bound to hit a little skid sometime, ain’t they?? Mfers are 29-5 since start of July!
I'd think they have to suffer a lull sometime. They finish the regular season with a 6-game series against Colorado in LA, so I understand the books making them the heavy fave to have the biggest number in the W column at the end. But, the series sweep by the Pirates and the Nats series win stick out in my mind...like you say, they're guilty of taking a couple nights off when a JV squad rolls into town.
 
I'd think they have to suffer a lull sometime. They finish the regular season with a 6-game series against Colorado in LA, so I understand the books making them the heavy fave to have the biggest number in the W column at the end. But, the series sweep by the Pirates and the Nats series win stick out in my mind...like you say, they're guilty of taking a couple nights off when a JV squad rolls into town.

How many wins lad on pace for at moment?
 
Gray not fanning ppl but looks great far as helping nats get this win, need them to tack a couple runs on for him to work with!!
 
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