Tuesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Aug 10 Tue 2021

7:05 PM
951St. Louis CardinalsJ. Happ -L-1½
+113
-136O 9½
+105
952Pittsburgh PiratesS. Brault -L+1½
-133
+126U 9½
-125
7:05 PM
967Detroit TigersC. Mize -R-1½
+135
-103O 10½
-108
968Baltimore OriolesK. Akin -L+1½
-155
-107U 10½
-112
7:10 PM
955Washington NationalsP. Espino -R+1½
-115
+189O 8½
-125
956New York MetsC. Carrasco -R-1½
-105
-207U 8½
+105
7:10 PM
969Tampa Bay RaysL. Patino -R+1½
-160
+120O 9½
-105
970Boston Red SoxE. Rodriguez -L-1½
+140
-130U 9½
-115
7:20 PM
957Cincinnati RedsS. Gray -R+1½
-205
-105O 9½
-105
958Atlanta BravesD. Smyly -L-1½
+175
-105U 9½
-115
8:10 PM
973Chicago White SoxD. Keuchel -L-1½
-105
-145O 10½
-110
974Minnesota TwinsG. Jax -R+1½
-115
+134U 10½
-110
8:10 PM
975New York YankeesN. Cortes -L-1½
-105
-153O 10½
-115
976Kansas City RoyalsD. Lynch -L+1½
-115
+141U 10½
-105
 
Not gotten to dig in too much so far but Tigers/O’s over is the first thing to jump out at me
 
so many leans after a nothing day with only 5 games and a rainout, surely this will go well

leans:
NOLA hard to trust with his poor season, but supposedly metrics aren't bad and it just seems like he's been in a rut and it's been hard to escape. Fading max on an all-star team probably just means don't do it even if 4% variance from my number likely to close even higher

espino price is insane as he's been serviceable and Finnegan can close. Getting the ball to him with a lead without a large gap to allow for WSH bullpen giving up many runs is a question, but Carrasco can't be going too deep in the game and NYM can't hit (especially fastballs). Don't believe in the NYM pen either, this number is crazy

mize hits +100 and i don't know how i can avoid it even though i think i'm done with DET until i clearly am not

patino a little short for me right now, but i'm not gonna pretend EROD is fixed after striking out all DET batters for five innings. BOS pen looks gassed, day off today helps but Barnes clearly needs to be fresh and he can't be anywhere near it. Ottavino not either, Sawamura hurt. TB just imports power arms like cheap vodka

LYNCH has somehow stabilized after a joke debut and then going down to the minors and showing nothing. Been great since coming back to the bigs, NYY very overrated and as evidenced by 3 BS tonight their bullpen is in shambles without Chapman (didn't expect to be typing that as we entered the AS break). Great fight shown by KC the L2, but their pen will likely be quite limited and that may be enough to keep me away

grayjon on a piping hot COL team visiting a HOU team we all question and should even more after an awful series vs MIN. Odorizzi has been pretty poor for all but maybe a couple starts and Gray has been good. He has some issues away from Coors inexplicably, but Estevez to Bard is working and we know the Rox didn't trade people like they should have
 
Just absolutely impossible to bet unders anymore. The Yankees one was just absolutely brutal - shocked I wasn’t on that one. But Padres felt just as bad. 4-1 top 8 2 outs and cruising along. 2 out walk and HR and then Padres just go nuclear in the bottom half - double, ground out, single, error, triple
 
Just absolutely impossible to bet unders anymore. The Yankees one was just absolutely brutal - shocked I wasn’t on that one. But Padres felt just as bad. 4-1 top 8 2 outs and cruising along. 2 out walk and HR and then Padres just go nuclear in the bottom half - double, ground out, single, error, triple
SF/Mil 2.0
 
my leans are dropping like flies. If i was having a better year i think i'd play PHI wsh tb but don't think any of them can make my card today
 
Jon Gray is the last remaining and i don't think i can do that even with questions about HOU and Odorizzi
 
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