Sunday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Sep 4 Sun 2022

11:05 AM
929Toronto Blue JaysR. Stripling -R-1½
-125		-191O 8
-110
930Pittsburgh PiratesJ. Brubaker -R+1 Markets+1½
+105		+175U 8
-110
12:35 PM
901Miami MarlinsP. Lopez -R+1½
-105		+224O 7
-115
902Atlanta BravesM. Fried -L+1 Markets-1½
-115		-250U 7
-105
12:35 PM
915Texas RangersD. Dunning -R+1½
-175		+110O 9½
-110
916Boston Red SoxK. Crawford -R+1 Markets-1½
+155		-120U 9½
-110
12:35 PM
917Oakland AthleticsA. Martinez -R+1½
-135		+155O 8½
-105
918Baltimore OriolesS. Watkins -R+1 Markets-1½
+115		-168U 8½
-115
12:40 PM
903Washington NationalsE. Fedde -R+1½
+115		+253O 8½
+100
904New York MetsC. Carrasco -R+1 Markets-1½
-135		-285U 8½
-120
12:40 PM
921Kansas City RoyalsM. Castillo -R+1½
-195		+100O 8
-115
922Detroit TigersM. Manning -R+1 Markets-1½
+170		-110U 8
-105
01:10 PM
923Minnesota TwinsD. Bundy -R+1½
-190		+108O 8½
+100
924Chicago White SoxL. Giolito -R+1 Markets-1½
+165		-118U 8½
-120
01:15 PM
907Chicago CubsM. Stroman -R+1½
-130		+161O 7½
+100
908St. Louis CardinalsM. Mikolas -R+1 Markets-1½
+110		-175U 7½
-120
01:40 PM
925Seattle MarinersG. Kirby -R-1½
+135		-120O 7½
-120
926Cleveland GuardiansC. Quantrill -R+1 Markets+1½
-155		+110U 7½
+100
03:05 PM
909Philadelphia PhilliesR. Suarez -L+1½
-190		+110O 7½
-110
910San Francisco GiantsC. Rodon -L+1 Markets-1½
+165		-120U 7½
-110
03:07 PM
927Houston AstrosJ. Urquidy -R-1½
-105		-148O 9
-125
928Los Angeles AngelsT. Davidson -L+1 Markets+1½
-115		+137U 9
+105
03:10 PM
911Milwaukee BrewersJ. Alexander -R+1½
-160		+137O 8
+105
912Arizona DiamondbacksZ. Gallen -R+1 Markets-1½
+140		-148U 8
-125
 
Not a very exciting card, they prob only have bout half the pitcher props up, I see 2-3 worth playing.

Was expecting/hoping to see a 2.5 for seattle Ff tt but dirty fucks were smart and came with a 1.5. Quantril been fantastic at home but he not a guy I’m trusting to only give up 1, if it happens to get bet up we would certainly jump on it but don’t see that happening. I suppose we could go the Ff un4, that would kinda be the same if we trust Kirby to be good, he should be, kid has 50k’s and 3 walks in 7 day starts, with a ops allows jn the .500s and a 2.16 eta!! He been mostly fantastic since they stopped randomly pulling him early in some stupid attempt to manage his innings!!

Ses/cle Ff u4 feels like the play, I think both teams ceilings bout 2 runs and either one could pitch a shutout thru 5.
 
Last edited:
I liked quite a few of the morning numbers, probably too many. Hit Stripling o3.5, Zac Gallen o5.5, George Kirby o3.5, Cal Quantrill o3.5 and Lucas Giolito o4.5.
 
Some of these juicy and there even more juice after I bet them but do what you will (2team parlays work for me!)

Stripling ov3.5 k’s
Bundy ov 2.5 k’s
Max Castillo ov 2.5 k’s
Montas ov 4.5 k’s
Fried ov 5.5 k’s
 
askias said:
I liked quite a few of the morning numbers, probably too many. Hit Stripling o3.5, Zac Gallen o5.5, George Kirby o3.5, Cal Quantrill o3.5 and Lucas Giolito o4.5.
Click to expand...

Lol. I played a bunch also, with you on Stripling again! I’ve come around! He even better vs lefties than righties so pit a great matchup for him!!
 
I got some tesm tofals and stuff to but not home yet just wanted to get k props out asap cause they moving
 
Cws Ff tt un2.5
Pirates Ff tt un1.5
Sea/cle Ff u4


Thought I had a over but guess not? I didn’t bet one but sure feel like I had one in mind last night while doing card, of course i was in total sleep deprivation mode at that point so maybe not! Lol,

Forgot one k prop above, not as strong as some the others but I do like


Brubaker ov 4.5 k’s
 
Only concern w pirates under is even tho their offense anemic both of last 2 series they did manage to score some runs In 1 the games. That not a big concern, maybe I should be worried after all these years of bashing Stripling (and losing plenty of bets fading him) now that I’m on board he turns into the pumpkin I been sayin he is!!? Lol. I don’t think so tho, cashed w him last start and im man enough to admit when I’m wrong (it just doesn’t happen a lot!) and I was wrong on him.

Today a great matchup for striplling as he has some really nice reverse splits going on! I can’t imagine pirates will be smart enough to know this and will most likely stack the lineup w lefties as they often do vs rhp. That will play right into our hands :) In fact I just saw lineups and every one of pirates hitters switch or lefty today!!! Lmfao, idiots!! For his career rhh have a .770 ops, lhh only .663!! This season he has much better numbers against both sides! Righties ops a very good .628, lefties a elite .592! Also important to us he has a 6.5-1 k/bb ratio vs lefties!
 
Truth be told I really didn’t know who Max Castillo was until last night, turns out he was part the package jays sent to kc for merrifield. He not as highly touted as the kid we played making his 1st start last week, the good news this isn’t he 1st start and he has some big league experience under his belt. His stuff doesn’t look as electric but he has 3 quality pitches and has held a swinging strike rate in the double digits at every level! The ask of 2.5 is crazy low imo, I think he capable of giving 4-5 innings today in which case 3k’s shouldn’t be a problem at all!
 
As I mentioned earlier the logic behind the Ff under 4 In cle is basically since they put both team totals at 1.5 i feel like going this route basically gives us a flat 2 with both pitchers, I don’t think either does worse than push on 2 and suspect at least 1 does better!!!
 
Bundy isn’t exactly a guy I’m looking to or have ever played his k prop with! Over 2.5 just seemed too good to pass up!! Over the years Bundy has been dominant vs the chisox, this all bout a low number w volume of batters faced. Both his starts vs cws this year he went 5 innings, he strikes out close to 7 per 9, by my math that outs him around 4, im shocked his number wasn’t 3.5, must play!
 
Montas Is just playing a number, I don’t really like him cause I don’t trust him, rays swinging hot bats and not fanning a lot lately but when you can get a guy w very good stuff and a swinging strike rate over 12% only needing 5 you take it!

Fried not much different, you could worry he hasn’t been fanning as many consistently lately but we have cashed with much less talented lhp vs fish with this number, I thought for sure this would be 6.5 so just playing the number.
 
I think that covers some kinda explanation for every play, the rest is up to you! I can’t imagine I’ll be playing anything else, I didn’t look much into the Sunday night game so I’ll give it a once over in a little bit.

Oh man, there this new show on Hulu called “the patient”, Steve Corral in it, not comedy tho. Me and the wife started watching it today, it is fantastic but every episode is short and there were only 2 available to watch, I hate that!! I much prefer a show is done so I can binge it like a long movie on a rainy day where me and old lady don’t have anything much to do other than grocery store at some point!! I was so bummed when we got to end the 2nd and realized we had to wait for more! We just did that same thing with “only murders in the building” but she liked that way more than me so I didn’t care we had to wait! Lol
 
That's how I do shows. Binge or nothing. Lose interest between seasons or even episodes. Did it with Breaking Bad, next up Better Call Saul now!
 
KJ said:
That's how I do shows. Binge or nothing. Lose interest between seasons or even episodes. Did it with Breaking Bad, next up Better Call Saul now!
Click to expand...

I wanna say I lucked out w breaking bad and it had started before or while I was in prison so when I heard bout it I got to watch quite a bit all at once but then I caught up with a season or 2 left, drove me nuts, I couldn’t wait for them all to end so I went week to week!

This is just a mini series so it super ignorant they split it up, only being like 22 min a episode and I believe I read 10 total that is a freaking movie! I long movie but still! I want it all at once! No way im waiting till rest have came out now tho cause can’t wait for next. That how they get you!!!!
 
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2daBank said:
I wanna say I lucked out w breaking bad and it had started before or while I was in prison so when I heard bout it I got to watch quite a bit all at once but then I caught up with a season or 2 left, drove me nuts, I couldn’t wait for them all to end so I went week to week!

This is just a mini series so it super ignorant they split it up, only being like 22 min a episode and I believe I read 10 total that is a freaking movie! I long movie but still! I want it all at once! No way im waiting till rest have came out now tho cause can’t wait for next. That how they get you!!!!
Click to expand...
Prison? Wait what??
 
2daBank said:
Castillo cashes already!! Lmfao. That line was stupid!!!!
Click to expand...
I hope we can keep the books on the ropes all month long with the young pitching debuts.

I sympathize with them...trying to line a proper number of punchouts for a guy that's never been in the bigs. I get over it pretty quick, but I still feel bad for them for a few seconds.
 
Ya’ll see what going on here?? God damn, I have hit like what 10-12 k props in a row?? Lol WOOT WOOT!

Or should I say LOOT LOOT!
 
KJ said:
Fried getting to 6 before the delay was massive
Click to expand...

Hopefully they don’t call it early, I doubt it pays if it don’t go 8.5? Shockingly I havnt run into that once, I’ve got fucjed w guys getting yanked after delay but those all got completed of course!!
 
2daBank said:
Hopefully they don’t call it early, I doubt it pays if it don’t go 8.5? Shockingly I havnt run into that once, I’ve got fucjed w guys getting yanked after delay but those all got completed of course!!
Click to expand...
DK pays once it hits and the game can be official. Found that odd but whatever. Account has been credited already
 
Giolito hits the 5th strikeout with his last pitch. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good!
 
Question in the Seattle game, they are in rain delay in the 4th. If the starters don’t come back, assume it’s a loss?
 
Wanted to talk myself into Urquidy over 5.5 k’s, he might get there but I couldn’t justify same number on him as Garcia yesterday, urquidy has too many games he doesn’t fan many, just pitches to contact and cruises. I think he be plenty good just dunno if the k’s will come with it?? If he goes long enough to see bottom half a 3rd time he will!! Anyways guy pitching for halo’s one my fav kinda pitchers to fade, one that walks more than he fans! Stros should make him pay!!
 
I can’t believe I hit every strikeout prop again! Those were just some incredibly attainable/soft ass numbers!!! Only bummer is I did actually put them all in 1 parlay today but I put the damn sea/cle Ff u4 w them. They had Quantril throwing in downpour so now 1st 2 guys on for seattle after delay!!! Hopefully they sit long enough the hitters lose focus!!
 
Need one more for Quantrill and he definitely would get there, just afraid he won’t come back…
 
2daBank said:
I thought it was common knowledge? Long time ago I got jammed up driving thru Mississippi with 100 lbs of weed. No biggie, they took it lot more serious than ya would think so ended up doing bout 3.5 years to usher out my late 20s and in my 30s! Lol
Click to expand...

Man that sucks.

What state and what was your original sentence?

Do you still smoke?
 
KJ said:
Think only after 4.5 innings and home team ahead. Can't be a rainout, official game regardless.
Click to expand...

I know but they don’t count totals, run lines, I didht think props unless the game goes 8.5/9. I’m just assuming props since never happened to me and 1dt year but makes sense they wouldn’t l count since it basically only the money line for gane and 1sy 5 bets that do
 
2daBank said:
I know but they don’t count totals, run lines, I didht think props unless the game goes 8.5/9. I’m just assuming props since never happened to me and 1dt year but makes sense they wouldn’t l count since it basically only the money line for gane and 1sy 5 bets that do
Click to expand...
Discuss it with them next time you're there just don't let them change the way they grade my stuff
 
KJ said:
Discuss it with them next time you're there just don't let them change the way they grade my stuff
Click to expand...

Im not sure on the props I just know totals and run lines get cancelled, stands to reason props would also. I think it ignorant when a game has already went over then get rained out in 8th and it a push, at that point under bettors lost anyways so casino still get their juice. I guess the argument is if I knew rain was in forecast and if it goes over before delay I win but they cancel bet if not then I could always try and Free roll for fast ovsrs on days looks like could rain before end of game, Knowing if they don’t get to the number if it gets rained out early I’ll get refund! K props the same thing, wouldn’t be fair to call it a loss if my pitcher still in game so even tho I already cashed they would have to call it loss in same situation I think.
 
inZane said:
Man that sucks.

What state and what was your original sentence?

Do you still smoke?
Click to expand...

It said right in the post, driving thru Mississippi. Lol. I got a 10 year freaking sentence but since it was my 1st felony I was eligible for parole after 25%, since I was out of state they took their sweet ass lousy time so ended up being there bout 3 years, plus I did 6 months in some country Ass county jail before my lawyer got me a bond, that was supposed to count to my time but like I said I ended up doing just about 3.5 total when it was all said and done. For fucking weed, 1st felony. I was always aware I might do some time since I did lot of stuff in my late teens and 20s but I sure was surprised I got that right out the gate! Pretty confident had I been up here i wooulda just got paper! But whatever, that shit been over for long time, since then I been off parole and caught another couple charges up here, got paper and back off it again! Lol
 
I’d prefer seattle/cle just gets rained out. Im
Sure my starters gone, there 2 damn guys on base w no outs cause they had pitcher trying yo pitch in downpour which some bs! Afraid those gonna score if they come back.
 
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