Sunday and Monday ALDS/NLDS Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

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Staff member
 
My Rangers came through for me last night.
I also have Philly +135 to close a two teamer.
What y’all thinking there? I don’t follow the National league as closely, open to suggestions

What about Gallen tonight? He made me some cash last go…
 
In these pitchers I trust, I can’t believe how low these out totals are!

Wheeler ov 15.5 outs -105,, I actually passed on 14.5 -180 last night hoping this would happen, 1x in his 8 playoff starts has wheeler only went 5 innings! (He has went 5 in them all). He has pitched incredibly well vs Braves and in this park the last few years: now all the pressure is on a home run hitting reliant team, you think that will make it tougher for wheeler? I don’t. If atl loses this gane stick a fork cause I don’t care who pitches in Philly, ain’t nobody taking 2 in row From them at home. I think fried be good as well so I dunno if I’m playing Philly but I’ll trust wheeler to go 5.1 all day every day In any situation. Prob could play his k’s also since I think he gonna be able to get these dudes to expand the zone.

Fried ov 14.5 outs -115, this shit crazy to me, I know these are good offenses but hitting a baseball is hard and these some the best pitchers in the game, maybe not in the rangers/o’s matchup but give me these dudes to go 5 innings when their team needs them all day every day!!

Gallen ov 15.5 outs -105.. I made a mistake looking at how well dodgers hit kelly and he shit on them, dodgers have some good numbers vs Gallen also but whatever, you don’t trust him to go 5.1?? It not like snakes love their pen, long as he not getting smashed like keeshaw they leaving him out there, dodgers bats I know gonna be pressing as they always fold. If I lose any these bets so be it, I know long term im making a killing playing these dudes at these numbers!
 
2daBank said:
In these pitchers I trust, I can’t believe how low these out totals are!

Wheeler ov 15.5 outs -105,, I actually passed on 14.5 -180 last night hoping this would happen, 1x in his 8 playoff starts has wheeler only went 5 innings! (He has went 5 in them all). He has pitched incredibly well vs Braves and in this park the last few years: now all the pressure is on a home run hitting reliant team, you think that will make it tougher for wheeler? I don’t. If atl loses this gane stick a fork cause I don’t care who pitches in Philly, ain’t nobody taking 2 in row From them at home. I think fried be good as well so I dunno if I’m playing Philly but I’ll trust wheeler to go 5.1 all day every day In any situation. Prob could play his k’s also since I think he gonna be able to get these dudes to expand the zone.

Fried ov 14.5 outs -115, this shit crazy to me, I know these are good offenses but hitting a baseball is hard and these some the best pitchers in the game, maybe not in the rangers/o’s matchup but give me these dudes to go 5 innings when their team needs them all day every day!!

Gallen ov 15.5 outs -105.. I made a mistake looking at how well dodgers hit kelly and he shit on them, dodgers have some good numbers vs Gallen also but whatever, you don’t trust him to go 5.1?? It not like snakes love their pen, long as he not getting smashed like keeshaw they leaving him out there, dodgers bats I know gonna be pressing as they always fold. If I lose any these bets so be it, I know long term im making a killing playing these dudes at these numbers!
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Might have to ride this wave with you again brotha!!!
 
MikeU said:
Might have to ride this wave with you again brotha!!!
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I find it so crazy they putting these guys out totals here! In the regular season you be lucky to get 17.5 (6 innings to cash) without a bunch of juice, often times guys like gallen and wheeler be 18.5 which 18 is obviously the biggest number as 6 innings is mostly the standard these days even for the better pitchers. I know these are some the best lineups in baseball but if you been watching baseball for as long as me you know more often than not great pitching beats even the best hitting!! These are bets that win 75% the time and they priced like coin flips?!?!? Obviously any give day they could lose but if you taking the right guys every postseason at these numbers you making money!!!!

Honestly I was tempted to play Miller ov 14.5 also with the plus money attached, just not as sure what to expect from him, he has the stuff but he not battle tested like the other guys, I dunno if he was even gonna be in bigs this season if wasn’t for all the lad pitching injuries or other crap that seems to happen w their pitchers? My 2 concerns w Miller (other than the inexperience pitching in basically a must win in the playoffs!) would be 1st his innings I think are above anything he has pitched, sept might have been his best moth tho so not super worried bout that, the more pressing issue I see for him is he better keep snakes off the bases, it appears he is quite terrible at holding baserunners on as 14 of 15 attempts been successful against him this year, I havnt seen his minor league stats 1st hand but I heard somewhere he gave up a lot of them at a high clip in the minors as well. One thing we know bout the snakes is they love to run and have a lineup full of dudes ready and willing to take a base!

These games tonight for the home teams feel very do or die to me (I believe Lance lynn pitching game 3 and Kershaw again gm 4 so dodgers damn well better win this game!) so not sure how long they can stick w Miller if snakes turning a walk into a run without a hit!! If dodgers don’t just smash Gallen early then the hook will have to come quicker here on Miller than I believe any the others.

I know Braves/fried in same spot, maybe even more so cause I don’t care what the pitching matchups game 3-4, imo no team going to Philly and winning b2b game, the difference being I’ve seen Fried pitch in big playoff games and come thru when they need him. My only concern for him and I assume why he 14.5 is the blister he been dealing with and he hasn’t pitched in awhile, long as the blister isn’t a issue i totally expect a better outing then 4.2 innings from him.
 
twinkie13 said:
They thinking Gallen gets mashed?
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I dunno, he don’t have fantastic numbers vs lad but they not as bad as Kelly’s were and look what he did!!! I mean they have wheeler at same out total and I’m not sure there a pitcher I rather have in the postseason right now? (Pablo looked pretty awesome the other day but wheeler has done it quite a few times now),,

I guess they just giving a bunch of respect to these lineups that won 100+ or however many games and didn’t hit shit the other day? I dunno, if wheeler doesn’t pitch more than 5 innings and allows more than a few runs I’d be shocked. If gallen has a 1st inning like in milw he prob won’t last more than 5, but how often does he struggle like that b2b? I’ll roll with him to get me 16 outs pretty much all night any night (not so much in early east coast time zone starts, that actually only time I recall him having b2b bad starts when he pitched at pitt and then Philly both early east coast day games). Then there the reality snakes can’t trust that many guys in their pen, certainly not more than him so he would have to really be getting creamed to get yanked, I don’t think he leaving just cause he gives up 3 or maybe even 4 runs until his pitch count up or he just can’t get out a inning! I know there another day off after this but I’m sure they would still love to save the pen as much as possible for gm3.

Speaking of the days off I really feel like this whole setup totally favors the WC teams, at the start of game 3s both atl and lad will have played exactly 2 days of baseball in 10 days! This ain’t football, rest isn’t a good thing, being hot and locked in at the plate id, which exactly what the teams who win the WC round are coming into these LDS series! I dunno how ya fix it but I’d rather be the WC than have to sit and wait being the team expected to win! Especially since these are only 5 games! They could at least make them 7 game series then it wouldn’t be so important that the other team came in hot and stole game 1..
 
Fired away on the outs props (parlayed Wheeler and Gallen), singled Fried then did a SGP Fried o3.5 ks/Wheeler o4.5 ks at +120 with a boost
 
KJ said:
Fired away on the outs props (parlayed Wheeler and Gallen), singled Fried then did a SGP Fried o3.5 ks/Wheeler o4.5 ks at +120 with a boost
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I parlayed them also, player wheeler w nfl prop or 2 also. Those fuckers at DK havnt totally limited me but like 3 weeks ago all those sweet boost I was making a killing on I now have $10 limits on! Before they were always between 25 and 100!! I guess they got sick of me hitting 2-3 teamers boosted 50%! Lol. Now I gotta do like 7/8 teams with them to pay shit, I still hit a 5 teamer on them w the boost last week in WC, then Saturday I tried a 9 or 10 and the only loss was fucking Irish ml, god I was pissed, I knew it was a horrible spot for them but still trusted them to pull it out, didht totally buy ville, I was so close to that last team being Wyoming but my dumb ass felt “safer” w ND believing they wouldn’t blow their playoff chance. Lol. Anyways, fuckers boost are pretty much worthless to me now, I didn’t even bother taking today cause how was I gonna find enough plays for it to matter w a $10 bet? Lol, fucksrs, I loved those boost when I could bet 50 on them!
 
2daBank said:
I parlayed them also, player wheeler w nfl prop or 2 also. Those fuckers at DK havnt totally limited me but like 3 weeks ago all those sweet boost I was making a killing on I now have $10 limits on! Before they were always between 25 and 100!! I guess they got sick of me hitting 2-3 teamers boosted 50%! Lol. Now I gotta do like 7/8 teams with them to pay shit, I still hit a 5 teamer on them w the boost last week in WC, then Saturday I tried a 9 or 10 and the only loss was fucking Irish ml, god I was pissed, I knew it was a horrible spot for them but still trusted them to pull it out, didht totally buy ville, I was so close to that last team being Wyoming but my dumb ass felt “safer” w ND believing they wouldn’t blow their playoff chance. Lol. Anyways, fuckers boost are pretty much worthless to me now, I didn’t even bother taking today cause how was I gonna find enough plays for it to matter w a $10 bet? Lol, fucksrs, I loved those boost when I could bet 50 on them!
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You can still do 10 with the boost and 40 without

I have some 10/25/50/100 all, every now and then they'll drop a 250 on me. All over the place. Anything to reduce even a low amount of juice is worth it to me
 
KJ said:
You can still do 10 with the boost and 40 without

I have some 10/25/50/100 all, every now and then they'll drop a 250 on me. All over the place. Anything to reduce even a low amount of juice is worth it to me
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It been weeks since they let me bet more than 10 on the boost. Even tho risk free bets that were like 20-25 back if you lose, now I get $5, lol. Guess they tired of me cashing out after every weekend :)
 
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2daBank said:
It been weeks since they let me bet more than 10 on the boost. Even tho risk free bets that were like 20-25 back if you lose, now I get $5, lol. Guess they tired of me cashing out after every weekend :)
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I forget to use them a ton, bunch end up going to waste because I'm trying to cram last minute wagers in

Use them quite a bit when they can be used live
 
Guess fried bluster or time off was a issue. That was def the one I was least confident in. Braves are toast, this was the team I was scared for them having to play.
 
You just had to know Braves in a spot they prob press that wheeler was gonna take them apart, 8 k’s already!
 
MikeU said:
Took Wheeler over 17.5, someone hold the wheel lol pun intended
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Damn it went up to that huh? I can’t bekueve they put wheeler at 15.5 more than all the rest, he has been nails in practically all 8 his playoff starts, think Stros got him once in last year WS but that been it. I bout jizzed on myself when I saw 14.5 -180 last night but I figured someone would hit that up and I really didn’t see any sense laying -180 when I was perfectly fine with 15.5. I woulda played 17.5 if they came with that. I dunno wtf going thru their heads w that line??? Fried had the blister issue and hadn’t pitched in a little while, that one made more sense but I thought stlll worth a play. I don’t understand Gallen either, but I guess at least he has struggled sone w lad, wheeler has basically owned Braves the last few years.
 
To be clear I’d be pretty surprised if Gallen didn’t go 6 innings also. I doubt he will be as dominant as wheeler but him leaving in 5 innings or less of work seems incredibly unlikely
 
Gallen k’s was super tempting also 4.5 for him? Lad doesn’t extend the zone much tho so wheeler was only k prop I played
 
don’t Braves have elder pitching Game 3? Phillies are gonna abuse that dude in their park! This thing over in 3. I don’t even think Braves will hit nola much cause they will be pressing so much
 
Does MLB have the equivalent of the NBA's Dick Bavetta? They might want to strongly consider sending that guy to Arlington and Philly, and maybe Phoenix. I am sure Manfred would have bet his entire estate that the total number of games played prior to the championship series would be over 22.5, still might get there but the O's and Braves look dead.
 
Colin Wynner said:
Does MLB have the equivalent of the NBA's Dick Bavetta? They might want to strongly consider sending that guy to Arlington and Philly, and maybe Phoenix. I am sure Manfred would have bet his entire estate that the total number of games played prior to the championship series would be over 22.5, still might get there but the O's and Braves look dead.
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I actually kinda think o’s will still make it a series. Rangers go so hot and cold, o’s started hitting end of last game, tex has been away ftom home this whole time, I actually think be good for o’s to get away. I don’t think they got swept in a series all year. I would be pretty surprised if o’s didn’t win at least 1 game in texas, I think they might take both. Braves are easily done in 3 if they don’t get to Philly pen tonight.
 
That said Eovaldi prob thee last rangers pitchers I’d want to see in postseason. I do think o’s will get him out the game and get into the rangers pen
 
Dodger could very well be done in 3 if they don’t win tonight. Snakes will tee off on Lance Lynn in gm3!!
 
That was one the easiest bets I ever made and won for real. I’ll never understand them having so much disrespect for wheeler!!
 
twinkie13 said:
They better not blow this fuckin lead
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Wheeler outta give them one more inning. My only concern would be I have no clue why they trust that clown Kimbrel to be closer? They got 2 guys with way better stuff, I get scared anytime I’m on Phillies and Kimbrel comes in, his stuff isn’t that great these days.
 
askias said:
Have Dodgers first five, but may trade out depending on how the game starts.
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My concern for lad is if Miller walks guys, snakes are gonna turn singles or walks into doubles on him all night. I considered playing steal props on bunch of guys but decided not to get crazy, lol
 
2daBank said:
Damn it went up to that huh? I can’t bekueve they put wheeler at 15.5 more than all the rest, he has been nails in practically all 8 his playoff starts, think Stros got him once in last year WS but that been it. I bout jizzed on myself when I saw 14.5 -180 last night but I figured someone would hit that up and I really didn’t see any sense laying -180 when I was perfectly fine with 15.5. I woulda played 17.5 if they came with that. I dunno wtf going thru their heads w that line??? Fried had the blister issue and hadn’t pitched in a little while, that one made more sense but I thought stlll worth a play. I don’t understand Gallen either, but I guess at least he has struggled sone w lad, wheeler has basically owned Braves the last few years.
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I did that live and we taking it “2dabank”!!! I had 15.5 twice, 16.5 and 17.5!
 
Colin Wynner said:
Does MLB have the equivalent of the NBA's Dick Bavetta? They might want to strongly consider sending that guy to Arlington and Philly, and maybe Phoenix. I am sure Manfred would have bet his entire estate that the total number of games played prior to the championship series would be over 22.5, still might get there but the O's and Braves look dead.
Click to expand...

Nice reverse jinx!!
 
I really can’t believe this dude pulled gallen. This inning most likely over he let him stay in and finish it
 
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