Satyr
Paster of Muppets
What a fantastic construction there Mimir. :smiley_acbe: That's what I am really, an enlightened square. A sucker bettor that wins. Yep. I'm serious here 
.
First of, I can only regret for last night. Not taking Miami was a serious mistake, even though I capped it as Miami DD. Oh well, won't repeat the same mistake tonight, square or no square I'm on this one. And yes, despite line movement.
Two bets, one game:
First of, I agree with everyone who says that the Clipps are a team on a mission, they got their act together and picked up their game in recent weeks, I would say they're mentally definitely in the playoff race. Unlike teams like Minnesota, Sacramento, Seattle or even Portland, who are either injury riddled (Randolph, Shuttlesworth out for the season) or they're just clueless. I remember a guy on another board saying that the Kings are cohesively wise one of the poorest teams in the league, and I agree. Minnesota are a joke.
The hottest team right now, fighting for the playoffs, are the Warriors naturally, but the Clipps are flying under the radar and winning games in the process, making their actions as a playoff team higher day by day. They're showing all round team effort each time, not building their game around one player, which leads me to believe that even if Maggette is out they can compensate for that. On both ends of the floor.
Portland had to deal with some tough absences lately (apart from Randolph they were missing Roy as well, previously lost Miles and Przybilla), but some of the scrubs and youngsters jumped in quite nicely, as they connected 3 straight wins, against Washington, NY and Atlanta.
After that it was all downhill (3 straight losses, @CHI @MIN, vs MEM) and frankly, I don't see a different scenario here. The Clippers are going to step up big tonight once again, as their upcoming schedule can't be described as appetizing for the Clipper fans, some tough games coming up.
Corey Maggette is questionable for tonight, but so is Ime Udoka for the hosts. Cassel's status is unkown as always. Road chalk or no road chalk, I don't think they're dragging this one into one of those down the wire contests.
The line is 4,5 points too low if you ask me. Look at these teams and how they play, then tell me they're surely not reaching high 90s or even century marks tonight.
Blazers:
vs WAS 100-98 W
@ NYK 92-86 W
@ ATL 102-100 W (ROAD BTB)
@ MIN 93-94 L
@ CHI 89-100 L (ROAD BTB)
vs MEM 92-96 L
over (180) is 5-1 in last 6 Blazers games.
Clippers:
Going a bit further into the past with the Clipps analysis: Look at how they played against a defensive powerhouse Houston on BTB, coming off a loss in SA the previous night:
@ HOU 105-109 L
@ CHA 102-93 W
@ NJ 95-101 L
@ CHI 103-89 W
@ MIL 104-103 W (ROAD BTB. fitting tonight's situation: Almost squandered a big lead in that one, but it went well over)
vs UTA 104-72 W
vs WAS 111-105 W
vs HOU 87-92 L
@ SAC 105-101 W
the over (180) is 7-2 in last 9 LAC matches.
So you would say: But these are the depleted Blazers we're talking about, some hard nosed D there by coach McMillan, against a team on road back-to-back. But the line already reflects all that.
Also, as seen in the above rant, the Clippers have shown they can not only compete but score in road b2b situations, and I don't think this one will go under. As IC said in his thread, the Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games with 0 days.
Clippers (-2) (1.97 @ Pinnacle) 6 units
over 180 (1.95 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
no other leans or plays for tonight. Good luck guys. :cheers:
.First of, I can only regret for last night. Not taking Miami was a serious mistake, even though I capped it as Miami DD. Oh well, won't repeat the same mistake tonight, square or no square I'm on this one. And yes, despite line movement.
Two bets, one game:
First of, I agree with everyone who says that the Clipps are a team on a mission, they got their act together and picked up their game in recent weeks, I would say they're mentally definitely in the playoff race. Unlike teams like Minnesota, Sacramento, Seattle or even Portland, who are either injury riddled (Randolph, Shuttlesworth out for the season) or they're just clueless. I remember a guy on another board saying that the Kings are cohesively wise one of the poorest teams in the league, and I agree. Minnesota are a joke.
The hottest team right now, fighting for the playoffs, are the Warriors naturally, but the Clipps are flying under the radar and winning games in the process, making their actions as a playoff team higher day by day. They're showing all round team effort each time, not building their game around one player, which leads me to believe that even if Maggette is out they can compensate for that. On both ends of the floor.
Portland had to deal with some tough absences lately (apart from Randolph they were missing Roy as well, previously lost Miles and Przybilla), but some of the scrubs and youngsters jumped in quite nicely, as they connected 3 straight wins, against Washington, NY and Atlanta.
After that it was all downhill (3 straight losses, @CHI @MIN, vs MEM) and frankly, I don't see a different scenario here. The Clippers are going to step up big tonight once again, as their upcoming schedule can't be described as appetizing for the Clipper fans, some tough games coming up.
Corey Maggette is questionable for tonight, but so is Ime Udoka for the hosts. Cassel's status is unkown as always. Road chalk or no road chalk, I don't think they're dragging this one into one of those down the wire contests.
The line is 4,5 points too low if you ask me. Look at these teams and how they play, then tell me they're surely not reaching high 90s or even century marks tonight.
Blazers:
vs WAS 100-98 W
@ NYK 92-86 W
@ ATL 102-100 W (ROAD BTB)
@ MIN 93-94 L
@ CHI 89-100 L (ROAD BTB)
vs MEM 92-96 L
over (180) is 5-1 in last 6 Blazers games.
Clippers:
Going a bit further into the past with the Clipps analysis: Look at how they played against a defensive powerhouse Houston on BTB, coming off a loss in SA the previous night:
@ HOU 105-109 L
@ CHA 102-93 W
@ NJ 95-101 L
@ CHI 103-89 W
@ MIL 104-103 W (ROAD BTB. fitting tonight's situation: Almost squandered a big lead in that one, but it went well over)
vs UTA 104-72 W
vs WAS 111-105 W
vs HOU 87-92 L
@ SAC 105-101 W
the over (180) is 7-2 in last 9 LAC matches.
So you would say: But these are the depleted Blazers we're talking about, some hard nosed D there by coach McMillan, against a team on road back-to-back. But the line already reflects all that.
Also, as seen in the above rant, the Clippers have shown they can not only compete but score in road b2b situations, and I don't think this one will go under. As IC said in his thread, the Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games with 0 days.
Clippers (-2) (1.97 @ Pinnacle) 6 units
over 180 (1.95 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
no other leans or plays for tonight. Good luck guys. :cheers:
:shake:
