Well gentlemen, its time for another season of college football. Nothing really beats the anticipation we go through each spring/summer awaiting the return of our sport. Its been a great summer so far of capping here at CTG. I want to thank everyone who has been involved in the forum in the dog days. The list is too long but guys like lindetrain, garfather, vegaskyle, yessir, jump, hunt, etg, dmoney, signalcaller, RJ....the list goes on. Great job. Preperation is what will make us winners by season end. I cannot stress that enough. There is still lots of work to do but fortunately we have the time and talent to get it done.
About myself, I basically play straight plays. I do not do dips/teasers and the only parlays I will look at are very small ML paralys early in the year. I usually just tail Hunt on those and don't even post them. I am not a huge fan of totals but will do present some here and there. The landscape has changed again this season with the clock rules back like 2005. We will have to readjust our capping again but it is for the best. My strengths are my big plays. In the regular season last year I did not lose a single big play of 5 units. I am pretty proud of that fact and intend to keep on it again this year. My goal this year is to eliminate the needless plays. Its tough with big boards but I think I have a pretty good gameplan for this fall. Plays will range from 1-5 units in college football. I will also readjust how much each unit is worth after each 4 weeks that way the units are not on a sliding scale. I don't recommend my style of betting for everyone. It works for me. Flat betting works for others. Thats life. Thats about it..lets go win some money.
(Please note that I will update this thread up to opening day with any additional plays. I have several on my radar but at same time have some prep still to do)
UAB @ Michigan State
First, let me preface this by saying I genrally do not like to touch a game with a first year coach in a new system. There are a few reasons why though I have branched out on this game.
Lets look at MSU first. This has been generally an underachieveing program for most of my adult life. The coaching carousel from Peles to Saban to Bobby to John L. hasn't led to enough stability. I think the Spartan brass feels they finally have their man to lead them for an extended period. I have a lot of respect for Coach Dantoni and think he wil be just the guy to get the job done. Last year MSU collapsed against ND and basically gave up afterwards. A hurt Stanton and general chaos summed up the rest of the season. They had all the talent to be a top offensive team but really underachieved. What I like this year is the offense is going to play to its strengths. This system of Dantoni's is a perfect fit for the personal at MSU. First of all Hoyer got experience last year and IMo performed pretty solid against a great defense in Happy Valley. He had to chuck the ball up a lot but made some plays. He has a big, strong arm and in this offense I think he will succeed. The strength of the Spartan club though is the backfield. I honstly think that by years end you will talk about MSU as one of the best rush offenses in the country. Javon Ringer i healthy and he is an absolute stud. Counterpart Caulcrick(me and Hunt call him 'Crick') is a beast as well and they are gonna be a great duo. A.J. Jimmerson is good in as well and will be a factor. This Spartan team is going to pound it down opponents throats all year. The receiving corps may be less talented and younger but last years group was such underachievers I xpect better production this season. The defense was nothing special last year but at the same time got ZERO help from the offense. Bad field position and bad T.O.P. killed them in the last few years. Six of the top seven return and I think they will improve greatly in overall. They won't be a great defense but will be adequete.
UAB-ummm..they suck pretty bad. This could be one of the worst ballclubs in America. Eight starters return to a 3-9 club from last year. They scored under 19 ppg last year. The defense was okay lst year but with all the losses should take a step-back as well. On defense that front 7 lost so much. This doesn't bode well against a strong MSU running attack.
I know thre are concerns about MSU because of past non-conference games and new coach/qb/system. Those questions are warranted. I had this line valued at 21. I was suprised at the opener(17) and what I was able to get. Remember how MSU just pounded Pitt on the ground last year. I see something similar. I know many are leery of the game being shortened with Dantoni's conservative style but we also have old clock rules back. I think MSU will be extremely efficeint and excited with a new era of Spartan football. MSU controls the trenches, the clock and the game and should rout the Blazers. lets say something like 31-7 Sparty!
Michigan State -16.5 -110 1 unit
BTW...I set goals each year and will state them here. Last year I had a goal of 25 units won. I ended up at 43.23 units. My percentage was 56.25(117-91-5). This year my goal is upped 35 units. I would like to increase my percentage to 59%. Thats not a big deal because I don;t flat bet but just a goal. I think it can be done. I went undefeated on big plays in regular season last year and if I can leave out the dumb add-ons it should be a great season
About myself, I basically play straight plays. I do not do dips/teasers and the only parlays I will look at are very small ML paralys early in the year. I usually just tail Hunt on those and don't even post them. I am not a huge fan of totals but will do present some here and there. The landscape has changed again this season with the clock rules back like 2005. We will have to readjust our capping again but it is for the best. My strengths are my big plays. In the regular season last year I did not lose a single big play of 5 units. I am pretty proud of that fact and intend to keep on it again this year. My goal this year is to eliminate the needless plays. Its tough with big boards but I think I have a pretty good gameplan for this fall. Plays will range from 1-5 units in college football. I will also readjust how much each unit is worth after each 4 weeks that way the units are not on a sliding scale. I don't recommend my style of betting for everyone. It works for me. Flat betting works for others. Thats life. Thats about it..lets go win some money.
(Please note that I will update this thread up to opening day with any additional plays. I have several on my radar but at same time have some prep still to do)
UAB @ Michigan State
First, let me preface this by saying I genrally do not like to touch a game with a first year coach in a new system. There are a few reasons why though I have branched out on this game.
Lets look at MSU first. This has been generally an underachieveing program for most of my adult life. The coaching carousel from Peles to Saban to Bobby to John L. hasn't led to enough stability. I think the Spartan brass feels they finally have their man to lead them for an extended period. I have a lot of respect for Coach Dantoni and think he wil be just the guy to get the job done. Last year MSU collapsed against ND and basically gave up afterwards. A hurt Stanton and general chaos summed up the rest of the season. They had all the talent to be a top offensive team but really underachieved. What I like this year is the offense is going to play to its strengths. This system of Dantoni's is a perfect fit for the personal at MSU. First of all Hoyer got experience last year and IMo performed pretty solid against a great defense in Happy Valley. He had to chuck the ball up a lot but made some plays. He has a big, strong arm and in this offense I think he will succeed. The strength of the Spartan club though is the backfield. I honstly think that by years end you will talk about MSU as one of the best rush offenses in the country. Javon Ringer i healthy and he is an absolute stud. Counterpart Caulcrick(me and Hunt call him 'Crick') is a beast as well and they are gonna be a great duo. A.J. Jimmerson is good in as well and will be a factor. This Spartan team is going to pound it down opponents throats all year. The receiving corps may be less talented and younger but last years group was such underachievers I xpect better production this season. The defense was nothing special last year but at the same time got ZERO help from the offense. Bad field position and bad T.O.P. killed them in the last few years. Six of the top seven return and I think they will improve greatly in overall. They won't be a great defense but will be adequete.
UAB-ummm..they suck pretty bad. This could be one of the worst ballclubs in America. Eight starters return to a 3-9 club from last year. They scored under 19 ppg last year. The defense was okay lst year but with all the losses should take a step-back as well. On defense that front 7 lost so much. This doesn't bode well against a strong MSU running attack.
I know thre are concerns about MSU because of past non-conference games and new coach/qb/system. Those questions are warranted. I had this line valued at 21. I was suprised at the opener(17) and what I was able to get. Remember how MSU just pounded Pitt on the ground last year. I see something similar. I know many are leery of the game being shortened with Dantoni's conservative style but we also have old clock rules back. I think MSU will be extremely efficeint and excited with a new era of Spartan football. MSU controls the trenches, the clock and the game and should rout the Blazers. lets say something like 31-7 Sparty!
Michigan State -16.5 -110 1 unit
BTW...I set goals each year and will state them here. Last year I had a goal of 25 units won. I ended up at 43.23 units. My percentage was 56.25(117-91-5). This year my goal is upped 35 units. I would like to increase my percentage to 59%. Thats not a big deal because I don;t flat bet but just a goal. I think it can be done. I went undefeated on big plays in regular season last year and if I can leave out the dumb add-ons it should be a great season
