Saturday 04/02/16 NBA discussion thread

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The Spurs can suck my manhood
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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL - SAT 4/2[/h][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 4/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]801[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Indiana Pacers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-11 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.142[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 203 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]802[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Philadelphia 76ers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+11 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 6.690[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 203 1.952[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 4/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]803[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Detroit Pistons[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+2.5 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.270[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 204.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]804[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Chicago Bulls[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-2.5 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.714[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 204.5 1.952[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 4/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]805[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Toronto Raptors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+11.5 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 7.380[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 194 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]806[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-11.5 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.125[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 194 1.952[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 4/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]807[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sacramento Kings[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+9.5 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 5.200[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 216.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]06:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]808[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Denver Nuggets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-9.5 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.202[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 216.5 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 4/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]809[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Miami Heat[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+5.5 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.929[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 209.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]07:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]810[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Portland Trail Blazers [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-5.5 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.462[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 209.5 1.952[/TD]
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By the way. Yesterday I mentioned it was a good spot for the Celtics which I bet and won on. I also took the Suns which I mentioned in length yesterday and gave reasons for betting. I took them plus 7.5 and they barely covered losing by after they lost their starting point guard before the game. No one had to guess what I liked or what I saw in the games to produce a bet. Its called handicapping and facts and reasoning are the name of the game
 
Portland is 2-6 in their last eight games against Miami. Need to know the status of Wade though.
 
The Kings have gone 19 games without 2 days off. The Kings are playing worst 5 in 7 today. I am not clear how much effort you will get from them today.
 
Portland is 2-6 in their last eight games against Miami. Need to know the status of Wade though.
We seem to be looking at different games.
I am not ready to bet but there is a very good chance I will be on Portland based on Logic and situation.
 
I believe this season Miami is 19-18 away. In the 18 games they have lost on the road they have covered 1 spread. that was at Golden State.
They are playing away on worst 4 in 6. Portland is 17-3 last 20 at home. Portland had the 29th and 30th off so this will be their second game in 5 days. They play away tomorrow at GS which I suspect may not be pleasant. They recently have not been a good cover team at home which concerns me but looking at the relative need of the 2 teams for this win where both are favorites to make the playoffs but Miami could reasonably be called a lock with only 3 teams ahead there are 5 ahead of Portland and 3 hovering in striking distance. Options to me at the moment are a ML parlay due to recent poor ATS by Portland in winning or laying the wood looking at Miami's knack for losing big
Actually under might be an option as well
 
I hate betting on Under in Miami road games. I know they started the season solid Under bet on the road, but 7 - 1 in Over favor the last 8 road games...
 
The Kings have gone 19 games without 2 days off. The Kings are playing worst 5 in 7 today. I am not clear how much effort you will get from them today.

But can you really trust Denver laying almost double digits????
 
By the way. Yesterday I mentioned it was a good spot for the Celtics which I bet and won on. I also took the Suns which I mentioned in length yesterday and gave reasons for betting. I took them plus 7.5 and they barely covered losing by after they lost their starting point guard before the game. No one had to guess what I liked or what I saw in the games to produce a bet. Its called handicapping and facts and reasoning are the name of the game

Completely agreed.... Posting random sides without reasoning helps nobody.

Good luck
 
It depends. I know the way of thinking of the regular posters here, so when one says what bets he likes, I pretty sure I know the reasoning already in 80% of the times...
 
But can you really trust Denver laying almost double digits????
Over at Covers 165 has posted Denver minus 9.5 and I started looking. After this game they play their last 3 home games
Portland 8-2 vs them including 5 straight
Minn 3 straight 5-5 last 10 6-4 ATS
OKC 8-2 vs them last game a 16 point win in Sacramento
Then they leave home for the road for the last 2 games of the season
I am still thinking but at 3-15 SU b-b it would not surprise me at all to see them just make no effort at all here against a team they are 6-4 vs last 10 who they have beaten 5 of the last 7.
 
Regarding the under. One really bad ref. Miami is mostly an over team now but Portland would simply love a low scoring game with the game tomorrow vs GS. No decision yet on actually betting it but there are real reasons for thinking about it
 
That is a fascinating fact.
Denver as an 8.5 fav is 5-2 last ATS
Denver remaining games[TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR="class: datahead"]
[TD="width: 25%"][/TD]
[TD="width: 28%"]Last Vs[/TD]
[TD="width: 20%"]Odds[/TD]
[TD="width: 9%"]Result[/TD]
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[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD] 04/02/16 Sat[/TD]
[TD] Sacramento [/TD]
[TD] 02/23/16 L 110-114[/TD]
[TD] -2.5/223[/TD]
[TD] L/O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD] 04/05/16 Tue[/TD]
[TD] Oklahoma City [/TD]
[TD] 01/19/16 L 104-110[/TD]
[TD] 9/212.5[/TD]
[TD] W/O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD] 04/08/16 Fri[/TD]
[TD] San Antonio [/TD]
[TD] 12/26/15 L 86-101[/TD]
[TD] 14.5/194[/TD]
[TD] L/U[/TD]
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[TD] 04/10/16 Sun[/TD]
[TD] Utah [/TD]
[TD] 02/03/16 L 81-85[/TD]
[TD] 8/195[/TD]
[TD] W/U[/TD]
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[TD] 04/13/16 Wed[/TD]
[TD] @ Portland [/TD]
[TD] 01/03/16 L 106-112[/TD]
[TD] 2/203.5[/TD]
[TD] L/O[/TD]
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Gee those last 4 look like a lot of fun. Crazy me, I think I lay
 
Too many plays to list but will add Detroit plus 3
Reasoning very simple
12-2 ATS after an upset loss as favorite and for some reason they really hate the Bulls.
 
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