Saratoga 2017
- Thread starter Play2win
- Start date
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Wide open race, thought #6 would be a bomb 30-1 ml but 10-1 could be a positive (live?)...look at names that pop up in three career races...Inflexibility, Proctor's Ledge (see R8), Durable Goods...could run best race yet today 2nd b's
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
Money pouring in on Arrogate, I guess they are believing in the Dubai bounce. Bridge jumpers out in the show pool.
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
:shake: Thanks my man. Don't know if he was going to catch Voodoo Song under any circumstances but the horse apparently bled. Saez said he thought he was going to win coming around the turn and then the horse just had nothing.
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Sorry to hear he bled and agree that nobody was catching Voodoo Song, Linda has him razor sharp right now. Are you going on Saturday?
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
I've been waiting for Smokin Platinum to run back, #4 in today's 5th race... $130k yearling ($7,500 stud fee) seems like a hefty tag for a state bred and this outfit...took serious money in debut in a big ten horse field, opened up 3-1...looked like he was home free in that race before being caught by Aveenu Malcainu (#3) and has posted two solid works since then...maiden is ambitiously spotted in stakes today, very encouraging.
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
The favorite (#2) in today's opener could win but I'll take a small chance against as she's had trouble coming out of the gate in her last two, using two 2nd time starters that are both stretching from turf sprints to turf route, both trainers capable with move (Cox and Mott) #1,#5
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Lively bunch....going to track 5am so let's get this done
R1: obvious ones are Chad's and Pletcher #2,5,8...but I'll be different #4 for me, working great at Monmouth and love Breen in 2yo races, this is his top owner
R2: one of toughest races on the card, my five contenders are #1,2,3,5,8....#5 likely biggest price of the five and I like him the best, 15-1 ML and in great form, has run well on Spa lawn...I'm against #9 at short price 1st time vs winners
R3: #7,8,9...#2 is ?....needed #9 in debut and looked like winner after big middle move, #7 is the live bomb at 20-1 ml, great turf breeding
R1: obvious ones are Chad's and Pletcher #2,5,8...but I'll be different #4 for me, working great at Monmouth and love Breen in 2yo races, this is his top owner
R2: one of toughest races on the card, my five contenders are #1,2,3,5,8....#5 likely biggest price of the five and I like him the best, 15-1 ML and in great form, has run well on Spa lawn...I'm against #9 at short price 1st time vs winners
R3: #7,8,9...#2 is ?....needed #9 in debut and looked like winner after big middle move, #7 is the live bomb at 20-1 ml, great turf breeding
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
R8:
I'm betting off the pace runners #1,3,9
R9:
I want to be against #10 but looks to be controlling speed
I want to use #6 but can't because of negative projected pace setup
Besides #10, also using #4 who is in great form and should be decent value...two best races have been since blinkers added, only beaten head vs Connect two back
I'm betting off the pace runners #1,3,9
R9:
I want to be against #10 but looks to be controlling speed
I want to use #6 but can't because of negative projected pace setup
Besides #10, also using #4 who is in great form and should be decent value...two best races have been since blinkers added, only beaten head vs Connect two back
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
R10:
Using #3,#5
Maybe #7 who is the class here but Aidan O'Brien N.A. shippers have not done well lately
R11:
Using #1,2,10 and maybe a little #11 due to expected price, feel like I'm guessing here as I could make a case for all
R12:
Using #5,1,6 in that order
#5 had no shot in last, broke through gate pre start then never in clear
#2 is in this race to be sent early to set it up for #1 or #5 but #6 could benefit from this by sitting right behind #2 and getting first run ahead of #1 and #5
Using #3,#5
Maybe #7 who is the class here but Aidan O'Brien N.A. shippers have not done well lately
R11:
Using #1,2,10 and maybe a little #11 due to expected price, feel like I'm guessing here as I could make a case for all
R12:
Using #5,1,6 in that order
#5 had no shot in last, broke through gate pre start then never in clear
#2 is in this race to be sent early to set it up for #1 or #5 but #6 could benefit from this by sitting right behind #2 and getting first run ahead of #1 and #5
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
R13:
Reminds me of R2 where many can win so have to use prices
#9 (20-1 ml) had no chance on dirt in last, two back ran best Beyer at 109-1 vs Rocketry who was most impressive turf winner at meet imo...1st time for tag on turf
#3 (20-1 ml) also 1st tag, also 1st turf race with Lasix and blinkers so could see best race yet
Also using #2,6
Reminds me of R2 where many can win so have to use prices
#9 (20-1 ml) had no chance on dirt in last, two back ran best Beyer at 109-1 vs Rocketry who was most impressive turf winner at meet imo...1st time for tag on turf
#3 (20-1 ml) also 1st tag, also 1st turf race with Lasix and blinkers so could see best race yet
Also using #2,6
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
Excellent stuff Play, thanks for the write ups and best of luck today :cheers3:
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
Race 2: Decent amount of speed signed on here fr this turf route, I'll be looking for horses coming from off the pace, #5 Kabang steps up in class but seems to be in really good form right now and Lezcano riding as good as anyone on the turf here. #7 don't know what happened in last but willing to toss it here, cuts back in distance and has some tactical speed to sit behind the early speed and get the jump on the deep closers.
Race 3: #2 Chirping stretches out off the debut which he ran like he wanted more ground, #9 Another, just missed in debut for a barn not known for having them up first out, hasn't missed a beat in the morning since.
Race 4: #9 Sticksstatelydude is the class of the race but off a long layoff and cutting back. Pace scenario may be beneficial here though as there is some speed for him to run into and even off layoff should be rolling in the lane late. You can just read Play's notes on my 2nd choice and price play #7
Race 3: #2 Chirping stretches out off the debut which he ran like he wanted more ground, #9 Another, just missed in debut for a barn not known for having them up first out, hasn't missed a beat in the morning since.
Race 4: #9 Sticksstatelydude is the class of the race but off a long layoff and cutting back. Pace scenario may be beneficial here though as there is some speed for him to run into and even off layoff should be rolling in the lane late. You can just read Play's notes on my 2nd choice and price play #7
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
Race 5: #2 off a 2 year layoff is a concern but is also the class in the race. #8 Rays the Bar tired in last off the long layoff and has been gelded since and with the one race under him and the slight cutback should have plenty of fitness to finish strong here.
Race 6: Songbird is an all timer, 14-13-1-0 lifetime and should win here with a lack of other speed she should be able to go as fast as she wants out front but will be 2-5, #4 Forever Unbridled only one I give a shot to pull the upset.
Race 6: Songbird is an all timer, 14-13-1-0 lifetime and should win here with a lack of other speed she should be able to go as fast as she wants out front but will be 2-5, #4 Forever Unbridled only one I give a shot to pull the upset.
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
Race 2 Pick 4: 3,5,7,8/2,8,9/7,9/2,8,10
Lloyd Braun
Pretty much a regular
Great call by a great horse player, 25-1 :cheers3:
