Wednesday 8/30
Opener is a rough looking group. #6 dropping to this level, has races that will win here, but is also 0 for 12. #2 also has run at a speed that can win here, but is 0 for 2 at level. Only firster is from Pletcher which makes her a must play, but TAP is much better with regular maidens than the maiden claimers. #9 is the other class dropper and coming over from turf, is the mystery/wise guy horse at the square price. A - 2,9 B - 3,6
Race 2 comes down to #4 and #8 coming from stalking positions. #7 has a new trainer, a win at the distance, and a sharp recent work, so he's the price play. A - 4,8 B - 7
Race 3 is a wide open group going 9 panels. #1 and #5 should prompt the pace. #1 has a win at this level, and #5 is dropping in class, but neither is coming in with good form. #2 made a nice bid last time out before flattening out, and #4 has a win at the distance and won last out. Will go with their form over the early front runners. A - 2,4 B - 1,5 Whiffed
Race 4 is a tough race. You have one from Chad (#3) and one from Todd (#1A) that need to be respected, both coming in from better races. #4, #5 and #6 all have two turn efforts that fit in here. #2 is the wise guy price horse stretching out from 7 furlongs. A - 1,2,3 B - 4,5,6
Race #5 is even tougher than the previous two. The favorite makes little sense with a pair of sprints that don't measure up against this group. Price horses #2, #3, #4, #8 and #10 all can win, so I'm tossing the #5 and #9 outright. A - 2,3,10 B - 4.8