PaintCrew 2023 Golf

US Open full card to get it in one place:

US Open
1* Homa 50-1
0.5* Saudi Aussie Mullet 25-1
0.5* Fitzy 28-1

0.25* Clark 60-1

Top Euro
0.25* Franke Mols 70-1

FRL
0.25* Smith 22-1

0.25* Rickie 40-1

T5
0.25* T5 Theegala 20-1

T10
0.5* Smith +300
0.5* Fitzy +275

T20
1.5* Smith +145
1.5* Fitzy +130


H2Hs
1.5* DJ -110 vs JT
1.5* Finau -138 vs JT
1.5* Scottie -1.5 -150 vs Brooks

1* Scottie -1.5 -125 vs Rory
1* X -1.5 +112 vs Hovland
1* Cantlay -1.5 +108 vs Hovland
1.5* Smith +110 vs Morikawa

1* Spieth -1.5 +112 vs Morikawa
1* Sergio +115 vs Davis
1* Kitayama -1.5 -148 vs Lefty
1* Frankie Mols +115 vs Padraig
1* Fatty Patty -105 vs Beefcake
R2
2* DJ -146 vs CYoung (push)

0.5* DJ 8-1 - Protecting myself a bit if he keeps up the elite ball striking and any putts start to fall....

R3 all1*

Fitz-110 vs Morikawa
Smith -115 vs Finau
Scottie -125 vs Rory
DJ +117 vs X


R4
1.5* Fitz +105 vs Morikawa
1.5* English +105 vs Kim
1* Smith -.5 -136 vs Lee


US Open tally

Outrights +12.25
FRL +4.75
T5/10/20 +4.875
H2Hs 11-8-1 +3.53


US Open Overall: 25.44

Season Overall: +14.605
 
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Travelers
0.5* JT 28-1 (Make fun of the USGA living rent free in JT's head one week....come right back to him the next week when he's pissed off)
0.5* Fitz 35-1 (The guy is becoming one of my problems i can't get away from)
0.3* English 45-1 (Honestly still might add more at a different out with a better price but for now locking this in....my favorite boring character seems to be back and he's going to hit here at some point)

T10
0.5* Fitz +300
0.5* English +550
 
Not sure what's going on w/JT, he hasn't shot a round in the 60s since R2 of the Wells Fargo, pushing on a couple months now. I can't see it just being the USGA, hopefully it's just a bit of burnout because he's so great for the tour. Didn't really expect him to fall out of the OWGR top 10 this soon, he's down to 18th and if he doesn't watch it he's going to fall off from the Ryder Cup team.
 
Not sure what's going on w/JT, he hasn't shot a round in the 60s since R2 of the Wells Fargo, pushing on a couple months now. I can't see it just being the USGA, hopefully it's just a bit of burnout because he's so great for the tour. Didn't really expect him to fall out of the OWGR top 10 this soon, he's down to 18th and if he doesn't watch it he's going to fall off from the Ryder Cup team.
Yeah there is some risk here for sure and rumors of his hip being hurt but this is the type of price and tourney he'll pop at IMO. It's either great value or a waste of $....nothing in between.
 
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JT is now 78th in the FedExCup standings and in danger of failing to qualify for the season-ending play-offs
Will be playing the Travelers Championship and Genesis Scottish Open before showing up at the Open next month at Royal Liverpool…
 
Don't do this but there is no chance i don't play my boy at 200-1 at the freaking Travelers.....

0.25* Riley 200-1 (1/9 1-12) E/W

Other than that taking a breather this weekend from day to day stuff. Good luck ya'll
 
Any thoughts on Cantlay -115 > X for R1? Got a long drive early in the morning and wouldn’t mind some round golf sweats
 
Short on time this week in the midst of chaos at the office on my current effort and potentially being conned into taking on a much bigger effort...

Travelers: -3.0 - Pretty much a big whiff and added to the small pain by not T10'ing JT along with the others. I did really like what I saw from JT after he struggled through most of R1. Riley had a couple big time putting rounds that normally would've led to him in the places but was way off on approach keeping him from cashing in on a big putting week.

Season Overall: +11.605
 
Wild week at work (job change reluctantly accepted) and didn’t get other plays in but threw a couple Saudi Valderamma darts

0.5* Louie 28-1
0.5* Munoz 33-1
 
Atleast I forgot to t10/t20 all those guys that sputtered on the weekend

Rocket -1.65
Saudi Valderamma -1

Overall +8.955
 
John Deere

I’m going back to my fellow Purdue alum here at the John Deere with his form and I think the most likely event for him to break thru. Hope it’s this week for him (and me)

1.25* Schenk 28-1
0.3* KH Lee 50-1
0.25* Chez 60-1
0.25* Glover 66-1

0.25* T5 Schenk +750
0.5* T10 Schenk +350
2* T20 Schenk +150

Good luck y’all and happy 4th!
 
John Deere

I’m going back to my fellow Purdue alum here at the John Deere with his form and I think the most likely event for him to break thru. Hope it’s this week for him (and me)

1.25* Schenk 28-1
0.3* KH Lee 50-1
0.25* Chez 60-1
0.25* Glover 66-1

0.25* T5 Schenk +750
0.5* T10 Schenk +350
2* T20 Schenk +150

Good luck y’all and happy 4th!
Good vibes all weekend but Schenk just got stuck in neutral on Sunday as Straka went on 59 watch. Glover at least sniffed around with T6 as well

Outrights: -2.05
Schenk Stack: +6.625

John Deere: +4.575
Overall: +13.53
 
Damn near took the week off and just prep for the Open in the lack of time I have with my new boss being a needy one but instead I'll bet both events....

Ended up down the board in both events for different reasons (if you bet the top of the board in what might not have more talent than a typical calcutta (Barbasol) then god speed to ya but I do think Hisatune and Murray in particular should be much higher up the board)

Genesis
0.5* JT 40-1 - (I know I know....I'm sure I'll bet the broken clown at 50-1 or so at Riverpool as well assuming he sucks here)
0.5* Conners 50-1
0.5* Scott 50-1

Barbasol
0.5* Hisatune 45-1
0.5* Murray 50-1
0.5* Z Dou 55-1
 
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Damn near took the week off and just prep for the Open in the lack of time I have with my new boss being a needy one but instead I'll bet both events....

Ended up down the board in both events for different reasons (if you bet the top of the board in what might not have more talent than a typical calcutta (Barbasol) then god speed to ya but I do think Hisatune and Murray in particular should be much higher up the board)

Genesis
0.5* JT 40-1 - (I know I know....I'm sure I'll bet the broken clown at 50-1 or so at Riverpool as well assuming he sucks here)
0.5* Conners 50-1
0.5* Scott 50-1

Barbasol
0.5* Hisatune 45-1
0.5* Murray 50-1
0.5* Z Dou 55-1
Let's do it!
 
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