PaintCrew 2023 Golf
- Thread starter PaintCrew
- Start date
Maybe more than a couple....give me a pile of dogs and contrarian goodness
0.5* Kiz +147 vs Deki
0.5* Hadwin +102 vs Burns
0.5* Taylor +185 vs Cantlay
0.5* Perez +175 vs Collin
0.5* Svensson +148 vs Day
0.5* Riley +201 vs Scottie
0.5* Noren EV vs Kim
0.5* Kiz +147 vs Deki
0.5* Hadwin +102 vs Burns
0.5* Taylor +185 vs Cantlay
0.5* Perez +175 vs Collin
0.5* Svensson +148 vs Day
0.5* Riley +201 vs Scottie
0.5* Noren EV vs Kim
Last edited:
Read a pretty good write-up somewhere the other night regarding Kis having a good event.
That's the only way I could've done it that's for sure but yeah could go either way on the equipment swapping....obviously they think they have something though for Augusta with it
WGC Matchplay brutality: -7.22
Overall: -34.735
Record keeping is all up to date. Approaching shut down type point so hopefully Masters week flips that around a bit
To add insult to injury i grabbed CYoung at 22-1 after R1 in Vegas....oh well.
It's Masters week:
I carry forward one big future of 1.5* of Rahmbo at 10-1 but obviously will have adds
Overall: -34.735
Record keeping is all up to date. Approaching shut down type point so hopefully Masters week flips that around a bit
To add insult to injury i grabbed CYoung at 22-1 after R1 in Vegas....oh well.
It's Masters week:
I carry forward one big future of 1.5* of Rahmbo at 10-1 but obviously will have adds
The Masters:
1.5* Rahm 10-1 (played a couple months back)
0.1* Rahm Wire to Wire 66-1
0.5* Finau 20-1
0.4* IM 35-1
0.2* Lowry 66-1 (E/W 1/4 3 Places)
0.15* Reed 66-1 (E/W 1/7 10 Places)
FRL
0.25* Reed 45-1
0.25* Rose 45-1
Exotics and matchups still incoming
1.5* Rahm 10-1 (played a couple months back)
0.1* Rahm Wire to Wire 66-1
0.5* Finau 20-1
0.4* IM 35-1
0.2* Lowry 66-1 (E/W 1/4 3 Places)
0.15* Reed 66-1 (E/W 1/7 10 Places)
FRL
0.25* Reed 45-1
0.25* Rose 45-1
Exotics and matchups still incoming
T10
2* Rahm -130
1* Finau +180
1* Im +250
0.5* Lowry +325
0.5* Reed +425
0.125* Sargant +2600
T20
1.5* Finau -150
1.5* IM -120
1* Lowry +115
1* Reed +150
0.25* Sargant +800
H2H
2* Spieth -110 vs JT
1.5* Lowry -110 vs Fleetwood
1* Smith +106 vs DJ
1* Hovland -1.5 -135 vs Koepka
1* Connors -1.5 +107 vs Hatton
1.5* IM +108 vs Young
1* Homa +120 vs Young
1* WillyZ -105 vs Fitzy
Probably enough but we'll see what else i find. Can't wait
2* Rahm -130
1* Finau +180
1* Im +250
0.5* Lowry +325
0.5* Reed +425
0.125* Sargant +2600
T20
1.5* Finau -150
1.5* IM -120
1* Lowry +115
1* Reed +150
0.25* Sargant +800
H2H
2* Spieth -110 vs JT
1.5* Lowry -110 vs Fleetwood
1* Smith +106 vs DJ
1* Hovland -1.5 -135 vs Koepka
1* Connors -1.5 +107 vs Hatton
1.5* IM +108 vs Young
1* Homa +120 vs Young
1* WillyZ -105 vs Fitzy
Probably enough but we'll see what else i find. Can't wait
Last edited:
laopadak
Pretty much a regular
GL this week @PaintCrew
Always appreciate you checking in @laopadak . Have yourself a week!
Joined Rahm with one of the best driving rounds of the golf ball you could have at Augusta (Gained 2.6 OTT to Rahm's 2.59) and was 5th overall ball striking but somehow lost 8.77 around and on the greens.....
Welcome to Augusta kid...lol
Masters:
Outrights: +14.4 - On the greedy side I think the draw prevented a nice 66-1 wire to wire from Rahm but nice to see water come to it's level in all regards by Sunday. 3 putt from 2 feet on the 1st hole and the worst of the draw by 2 and a half shots.... Basically spotted the field 5 and still lapped the field by 4. Quite impressive. At least the Reed place helped salvage the outright adds outside the initial Rahm future.
Exotics: +1.25 - Includes clearly the worst idea of the weekend hopping on the Sargant train. Not that he didn't have potential to T20 or so but Bennett always should've been the the amateur favorite after what he did in the US Open last year and prep he'd done for this. Was really impressed all weekend. Everything else I was pretty pleased with but really disappointed that Finau didn't crack T20....he should do that in his sleep at this place.
H2Hs: +1.715 - Big miss obviously fading Young but somehow at one point on Sunday both of the plays vs Young were coin flips (IM/Homa)
Masters Overall: +17.365 - Needed it....badly
Season Overall: -17.37
Outrights: +14.4 - On the greedy side I think the draw prevented a nice 66-1 wire to wire from Rahm but nice to see water come to it's level in all regards by Sunday. 3 putt from 2 feet on the 1st hole and the worst of the draw by 2 and a half shots.... Basically spotted the field 5 and still lapped the field by 4. Quite impressive. At least the Reed place helped salvage the outright adds outside the initial Rahm future.
Exotics: +1.25 - Includes clearly the worst idea of the weekend hopping on the Sargant train. Not that he didn't have potential to T20 or so but Bennett always should've been the the amateur favorite after what he did in the US Open last year and prep he'd done for this. Was really impressed all weekend. Everything else I was pretty pleased with but really disappointed that Finau didn't crack T20....he should do that in his sleep at this place.
H2Hs: +1.715 - Big miss obviously fading Young but somehow at one point on Sunday both of the plays vs Young were coin flips (IM/Homa)
Masters Overall: +17.365 - Needed it....badly
Season Overall: -17.37
Not a normal thing I do but I feel obligated to get some down on Rahm at what I feel is his best remaining major fit this year and just have this view that he’s in a different tier than we’ve seen anyone not named Scottie (and even probably him) since tiger like dominance. This isn’t much short but I do think a fair price for Rahm come 4 weeks from now should be +600/650.
PGA @ Oak Hill
1* Rahm +800
PGA @ Oak Hill
1* Rahm +800
Zurich
0.4* Hoge/English 33-1 (Local and BetMGM)
0.4* Riley/Hardy 40-1 (Bet365)
0.25* Fitz/Fitz 50-1 (BetMGM)
0.25* Detry/Perez 66-1 (Local and BetMGM)
Might not do much other than that....i do kind of like this event but might only add another wild longshot or so
0.4* Hoge/English 33-1 (Local and BetMGM)
0.4* Riley/Hardy 40-1 (Bet365)
0.25* Fitz/Fitz 50-1 (BetMGM)
0.25* Detry/Perez 66-1 (Local and BetMGM)
Might not do much other than that....i do kind of like this event but might only add another wild longshot or so
Last edited:
Getting a little frisky on a matchup....just think it's way short even at big juice. I don't like Max and Collin really much at all compared to the rest of the top of the board. This at least hopefully gets me a couple units from the team that could just run away with this again while hoping one of my other darts are in the mix.
2* X/Cantlay -200 vs Collin/Max
also a couple FRL darts for no good reason
0.25* Riley/Hardy 30-1
0.25* Hoge/English 30-1
Good luck ya'll
2* X/Cantlay -200 vs Collin/Max
also a couple FRL darts for no good reason
0.25* Riley/Hardy 30-1
0.25* Hoge/English 30-1
Good luck ya'll
Golf betting is a wild ride. Ice cold for multiple months and then back to back to back. My boy finally gets home for me and thrilled I was on him when he did.
H2Hs: +3
Outrights and FRL: +14.6
Zurich: +17.6
Saudi Aussie: -0.5
Overall: +12.33
Last edited:
Mexico Open
0.4* Riley 33-1 (1/4 5 Places) E/W
I'll probably end up with a nibble on Rahm in some creative way. I do think he's a deserved +280/300 favorite and expect him to take defending this very seriously. Not sure what else I'll do other than probably stacking Riley with some T10 and T20. Last year Zurich sent Riley on a run of 6 straight T15's or better including a 5th here at the Mexico open where he honestly was probably one miss club away down the stretch from pushing Rahm for the outright W (one of his 3 near misses on the season). He started slow at Zurich for the first 6 holes on Thursday and after that he was basically a stripe show for 3 days (Yes I was probably the only one watching the Zurich from wire to wire while the rest of the world I'm sure was watching tape delayed exhibition golf on the CW). The positive thing here is I don't really feel like the books shifted him much (if at all) at 33-1 even after the team W (and I think they should have).
You've heard me too many times probably but once the guy gets it going he typically rides it for a stretch....no idea how he'll handle the first breakthru W (I've always been of the belief that when he got 1 it'll free him up to play loose) but with the perfect course fit, positive course history, and the weak field hard to not see him make a go of it here again but the problem is Rahm might win this by 5....
0.4* Riley 33-1 (1/4 5 Places) E/W
I'll probably end up with a nibble on Rahm in some creative way. I do think he's a deserved +280/300 favorite and expect him to take defending this very seriously. Not sure what else I'll do other than probably stacking Riley with some T10 and T20. Last year Zurich sent Riley on a run of 6 straight T15's or better including a 5th here at the Mexico open where he honestly was probably one miss club away down the stretch from pushing Rahm for the outright W (one of his 3 near misses on the season). He started slow at Zurich for the first 6 holes on Thursday and after that he was basically a stripe show for 3 days (Yes I was probably the only one watching the Zurich from wire to wire while the rest of the world I'm sure was watching tape delayed exhibition golf on the CW). The positive thing here is I don't really feel like the books shifted him much (if at all) at 33-1 even after the team W (and I think they should have).
You've heard me too many times probably but once the guy gets it going he typically rides it for a stretch....no idea how he'll handle the first breakthru W (I've always been of the belief that when he got 1 it'll free him up to play loose) but with the perfect course fit, positive course history, and the weak field hard to not see him make a go of it here again but the problem is Rahm might win this by 5....
Last edited:
Oh it was just the Riley tracker contradicting the Riley W/D and saying he was in the field. Evidently doesn’t track Riley’s whereabouts as well as he does shots…lol
One time my friend is all it takes…would be one of the best stories in golf history and I can’t accept not being with it if it happens
Some sort of slogan about trying the same thing over and over right? lol
Honestly thought with these joke fields and no one caring 25-1 if anything clicks for him.....he could easily Gooch this event by 5+
Last edited:
I understand this totally.
