PaintCrew 2023 Golf
- Thread starter PaintCrew
- Start date
Thank you sir....definitely how i got there on both. Previous winner, major winner, if he's in the mix you're not worried about pedigree against all the studs and he's not really out of form at all ball striking. Maybe he gets comfy over the flat stick again on these greens and who knows?
You'd love your position with Cantlay if Rahm wasn't playing this week.
You never know though. I like how Patrick ended the round. Maybe he's got a 64 in him tomorrow.
Yeah got to think it’s likely over with how Rahm is playing but we will see if I get a sweat out of it. Hope a few long ones drop for Patrick and maybe Rahm gets a bad break or 2 vs bouncing balls off grandstands for short eagle putts
For a moment there Patrick was live when Rahm and Max were clanking balls off of trees on 13 but alas of course Rahm finds an opening and finishes it out. Dude is on one like only Tiger has put together and I personally have seen enough to do something I typically don't do and plunked down on him early for Augusta.
Genesis: -2.875 (includes the near miss on Tiger vs Donald...really thought that one was going to come home. I guess at least i salvaged some with the boost bets on Tiger to make the cut but won't include)
Overall: -21.755
Genesis: -2.875 (includes the near miss on Tiger vs Donald...really thought that one was going to come home. I guess at least i salvaged some with the boost bets on Tiger to make the cut but won't include)
Overall: -21.755
Masters Future (and I'm using up just about all of my normal outright bullets but will leave room for a couple other small nibbles):
1.5* Rahm 10-1 My local is a little slow on movement so grabbing this now as I see it move to 8-1 and below at most places. I'm comfortable removing last years masters from the equation as Rahmbo was a bit out of sorts in general and out side of that his track record and fit at Augusta is quite good (4 straight T10's before 2022). I wouldn't do this at this point and tie up funds at a normal out with hard funds but am comfortable using my local (credit) shop for something like this at a number that clearly won't get any better from here.
1.5* Rahm 10-1 My local is a little slow on movement so grabbing this now as I see it move to 8-1 and below at most places. I'm comfortable removing last years masters from the equation as Rahmbo was a bit out of sorts in general and out side of that his track record and fit at Augusta is quite good (4 straight T10's before 2022). I wouldn't do this at this point and tie up funds at a normal out with hard funds but am comfortable using my local (credit) shop for something like this at a number that clearly won't get any better from here.
Didn't get to the pre-tourney capping this week but watched a full round of my boy Riley and saw enough to give him a tiny go. Driver is working for the first time in quite a while and approach game was there. Speed with the putter was there but just didn't get any to fall...so i'm taking a small flyer that he gets in the mix
New caddie maybe having a bit of an immediate impact?
1.5* Riley -110 vs Griffin
0.05* Riley 200-1
.2* Riley T5 33-1
0.375 Riley T10 11-1
Other than that I also snagged Smith at 11-1 in the LIV exhibition event down in Mexico
New caddie maybe having a bit of an immediate impact?
1.5* Riley -110 vs Griffin
0.05* Riley 200-1
.2* Riley T5 33-1
0.375 Riley T10 11-1
Other than that I also snagged Smith at 11-1 in the LIV exhibition event down in Mexico
Routine
yes sir
once of those weird cards that took me about 10 minutes to put together...no overthinking anything
now watch Rahm win by 5
Yeah I pushed it way way too far last year for sure but was a couple breaks from getting one
Now that he’s back at these numbers (actually where he’s never been priced) and showed form last week off the tee which is where he typically goes wrong…
I have to nibble
Little bit of Burns loyalty and like you said value with that pedigree at that number anywhere IMO regardless of competition.
But he’s not in too bad of form IMO Yeah he missed at genesis but he was T6 at WM and 11th at the American Express before that.
And then add in the T10 here last year (only 4 shots off the winner) which is really something I had to see to play any of these guys (some sort of legit course history even if one tourney).
yeah definitely flipping coins in my top 2 up there vs Cam....but i settled on Hov over him (Hatton was always going to be played) and decided I'd rather have both Fleets and Burns down the board than just going with 3 in the 30's
worth a sprinkle IMO for sure...i just ran out of room
Got a few putts dropping finally these first 2 days....could I get a sweat please on Sunday
I've followed my boy for a long time and he does typically stack rounds together. Here's to hoping....
Keeping the pedal down given the matchup. Not really a numbers play since Kitayama has we elite ball striking but a simple play on Riley who I think keeps the driver going today and small fade on Kurt sitting atop this wire leaderboard…
1.5* Riley -125 vs Kitayama
1.5* Riley -125 vs Kitayama
0.125* Riley T20 +550
0.125* Riley T10 +1400
If Riley didn’t do moving day in the wrong direction (77 hurt)…. But an amazing weekend overall for him
Cashed a full place with the E/W and both the exotics with that T8 finish
Also Riley earned himself a spot at the Open as well with that
A nice screw you to hovland and Hatton who had every opportunity and then some (along with everyone else at the top) but atleast a fun sweat
API
Outrights and exotics: +1.75 (includes FRL losses)
H2Hs: -4.375
Overall API: -2.625
Season Overall: -24.155
Feels wrong to lose $ on this one but it was a hell of a ride…what could have been
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Well if humans only were allowed Hatton probably is a winner.....
At least the full place covered the out right investments. A painful split on the H2H's with Rahm dropping out of the tourney after R1 while Rory misses the cut..
Outrights: +0.04
Dumb Webb Bets: -2
H2Hs:
2-2 -0.15
Players: -2.11
Overall: -26.265
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Valspar -1.25
Overall: -27.515
Riley sniffed around all weekend atleast
Match play
0.7 Hatton 22-1
0.6 Finau 28-1
0.2 Hoge 66-1
0.2 Riley 80-1 1/4 1-4 E/W
Likely will be betting all sorts of stuff with this this week since I’ll be in Vegas and this will be the main event in the mornings (groups and head to heads) and will do what I can to post
Overall: -27.515
Riley sniffed around all weekend atleast
Match play
0.7 Hatton 22-1
0.6 Finau 28-1
0.2 Hoge 66-1
0.2 Riley 80-1 1/4 1-4 E/W
Likely will be betting all sorts of stuff with this this week since I’ll be in Vegas and this will be the main event in the mornings (groups and head to heads) and will do what I can to post
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