*Impressive feat being twenty two bets into the season and be exactly dead even, SMH... And, as per usual, my first bet comes through, my leans come through, but the add on falls flat on its face. Not even sure what to call this anymore, because "the season of poor judgment" doesn't really have any cache to it...
Anyways, Sixers off a demoralizing loss to the Magic up against a well rested Hornets team that went 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS against them last season, with wins by counts of 25, 20, 15 and 9. Plus, Joel Embiid's supposed to have the night off tonight, so there goes their most dynamic weapon on offense. Seems like a surefire loss for their first game on the road this season. As for Mavs/Jazz, Utah pretty much blew their offensive load last night, so the odds of one of the poorest shooting teams in the league managing to pull that off two nights in a row seem fairly minimal. Also, the Jazz at home typically play at the slowest pace in the league, while the Mavs themselves are usually in no hurry to get it up court either (their pace numbers so far a bit out of whack having played Indiana once into OT and Houston twice). Have a few leans as well, but meh... I'm in no mood to watch them go 5-0 while my actual bets go up in flames, so...
Also, I completely forgot about it yesterday, but I made a spreadsheet detailing days rest for those that are interested. Nothing fancy, but it's the full schedule with each team's days rest heading into their respective matches (B2B, 3 in 4, 4 in 5, etc...) Thought about adding in time zone changes as well, but that seemed a little too elaborate. And again, as much as I tried to avoid it, I can't guarantee 100% there aren't a few mistakes along the way (I picked out games at random to back test it, but you never know), so I'd say use it more as a guide than as gospel.
![]()
Thanks BJ. Apparently a Tom Thibodeau defense doesn't look as good when you don't have a Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah or Luol Deng on your team. And, of course, 8-14 from the FT line to lose the 1H by a point...
*Just looking ahead to tomorrow night, a few games to think about: pretty good bounce back spot for the Pistons after the thrashing at Staples. Detroit dominates the H2H trends (20-8 ATS), and if Tyson Chandler sits out again, that could be huge for Andre Drummond. Based on what I saw tonight, MIN/ORL seems an obvious over (watch the T-Wolves dominate the 1H. Fuckers...) ATL in a good spot with the big win against Cleveland, and Chicago looking ahead to Miami the next night. Jazz/Hornets seems like an under, although that'll depend on the number (I'm thinking 191-194). Spurs in a big bounce back spot. And Warriors, maybe (Mavs in a B2B/3 IN 4, so line should be around -14,-15.5 I would think). Better option might be Warriors 1H (-9.5?)
Hopefully turns out better than the way tonight's looking (Suns/Blazers limping to the finish line...)