November 2016

*Will add the OKC team total (looking like 109.5) and Portland ATS (should be around 4.5) once they get lined. Also some interest in the over in Sacramento, but we'll see how the first three play out...

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Adding:

11/18/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 508 Oklahoma City Thunder* Over 114 -110 vs Brooklyn Nets
11/18/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 511 Portland Trail Blazers* -130 vs New Orleans Pelicans

*My math skills are obviously not what they used to be if I thought (219.5 + 9.5)/2=109.5...

smileys-beer-129300.gif
Thanks Metallica.
 
Last edited:
Good Luck hugh and were riding the Over on OKC together. I don't think it's your math skills I actually make it a tad lower. If I can get an +8 Boston is worth a shot and I played the Over 214 in the Toronto/Denver and it's still dropping. I could be on the wrong side and then again maybe not.
Season starting to turn around for me. The thing is people like us when going bad we don't get to far down and it's easy to get up and over.
Just stay the course. Always the best.
 
Adding:

11/18/2016 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 517 Los Angeles Clippers/Sacramento Kings* Over 202½ -110

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*Thanks Paulie. I was referring to how badly I butchered the math when I was guess-timating OKC's team total this morning (I divided 219 by 2 when it should have been 229 by 2 - (219.5+9.5)/2). Yet another reason why North America's falling behind the Chinese... And the other thing I got wrong was the spread on the Portland game as I could have swore I read yesterday that Anthony Davis was ruled out tonight. So much for that...

Good to hear you've gotten yourself on a good run - keep running and don't look back.

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Far from a good run but it looks better then it did a week ago. IDK is me or has the NBA changed from a year ago? It's like teams scored 70 point half's and 40 in one quarter like it was nothing. The Nets tonight got 40 in the first I don't remember scoring like this last year. My half time numbers were solid last year and this year there one game over 500 without nearly the same amount of plays. I guess it sells tickets so moving the 3 point line back is just a dream from an Old Timer. Always good talking to you hugh and the best.
 
Far from a good run but it looks better then it did a week ago. IDK is me or has the NBA changed from a year ago? It's like teams scored 70 point half's and 40 in one quarter like it was nothing. The Nets tonight got 40 in the first I don't remember scoring like this last year. My half time numbers were solid last year and this year there one game over 500 without nearly the same amount of plays. I guess it sells tickets so moving the 3 point line back is just a dream from an Old Timer. Always good talking to you hugh and the best.
It's all about 'pace and space' now thanks to the Warriors and, I for one, don't like it one bit as fundamentals seem to have been thrown out the window... Still having a hard time adjusting to it from a gambling perspective as my old tools like pace and efficiency get tossed out the window when teams are jacking up 40 3's a night and every Tom, Dick and Harry thinks they're Steph Curry instead of just settling for a good old fashioned lay up.

Guess that makes me an 'old timer' now as well... : )

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
*Just looking ahead a bit to tomorrow night, not much jumping off the page at first glance. In the words of dilaudid8, looks like the wrong team's favoured in Washington as the Heat should have Winslow and Dragic back. Might be the rare exception I take the points as the current line of WSH -4 seems a little generous. Minnesota 1H ATS and 1H team total is almost automatic at this point (says the guy who's played it like twice...) Phoenix/Philadelphia Over (think it opens in the 213-218 range). 183 between Dallas and Orlando looks like a gift from an over bettor's perspective, but both these teams are so inept on offense, the final could easily end up in the 160's.

C'mon OT in Denver!

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Wilson Chandler, FTW!

[TABLE="class: plays-region"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TH]
[/TH]
[TH]PLAY
[/TH]
[TH]SCORE
[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:00[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]End of the 4th Quarter[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score no-change"]102 - 102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:00[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]Raptors offensive team rebound[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score no-change"]102 - 102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:00[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]DeMar DeRozan misses 18-foot turnaround fadeaway jumper[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score no-change"]102 - 102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:10[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score no-change"]102 - 102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:12[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]Wilson Chandler misses free throw 2 of 2[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score no-change"]102 - 102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:12[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]Wilson Chandler makes free throw 1 of 2[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score"]102 - 102[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: time-stamp"]0:12[/TD]
[TD="class: game-details"]Norman Powell personal foul (Wilson Chandler draws the foul)[/TD]
[TD="class: combined-score no-change"]102 - 101[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
YTD: 47-42-1, -0.80

Saturday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Zhs0JD6XJyQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

11/19/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 707 Miami Heat* +4½ -110 vs Washington Wizards
11/19/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 705 Dallas Mavericks/Orlando Magic* Under 180½ -120

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
*The number already dropped on me a full point (and just dropped again) in Orlando while I was dicking around (literally and figuratively... : ) so best to jump on now. And yeah, it's a scary number but... Dallas No.29 ORtg at 95.8, Orlando No.27 ORtg at 96.4, Dallas No.29 in Pace at 94.1, Orlando No. 25 in Pace at 96.1, and neither side gets to the line much. Only worrisome part is that we're not exactly dealing with shut down defenses here, but they won't be running up and down the court bombing 3's either (or, more to the point, hitting 3's), so clench up and hope for the best.

Will add the T-Wolves 1H bets and the Sixers over (provided the number's reasonable) later on...

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
Adding:

11/19/2016 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 711 Phoenix Suns/Philadelphia 76ers* Over 210½ -110
11/19/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 713 Minnesota Timberwolves* -135 vs Memphis Grizzlies for 1st Half
11/19/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 713 Minnesota Timberwolves* Over 51 -110 vs Memphis Grizzlies for 1st Half

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
I already know what's going to happen the second I mention this, but for those who haven't been following the T-Wolves closely...


<tbody>
[TD="class: xl66"]
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 75"] Date [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 128"] Home
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 71"] Score [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 40"] HT [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 128"] Away [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 34"] W/L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 31"] Diff [/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, width: 60"] Handicap [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 40"] Odds [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 38"] Total [/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, width: 46"] O/U [/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 38"] Odds [/TD]

[TD="class: xl68"] 11 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl69"] 11/17/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 110 - 86 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 61-33 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Philadelphia 76ers [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] W [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 24 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 11.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 196 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 214.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] U [/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 10 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl73"] 11/15/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 108 - 115 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 58-46 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Charlotte Hornets [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] -7 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] -2.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 223 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 205.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] O [/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 9 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl69"] 11/13/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 125 - 99 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 69-46 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Los Angeles Lakers [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] W [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 26 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 4.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 224 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 216.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] O [/TD]

[TD="class: xl68"] 8 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl73"] 11/12/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 105 - 119 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 51-60 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Los Angeles Clippers [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] -14 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] -5.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 224 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 207.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] O
[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 7 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl69"] 11/9/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Orlando Magic [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 107 - 123 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 47-74 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] W [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] -16 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 2.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] W [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 230 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 201.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] O [/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 6 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl73"] 11/8/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Brooklyn Nets [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 119 - 110 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 66-65 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 9 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] -4.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 229 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 205.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] O [/TD]

[TD="class: xl68"] 5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl69"] 11/5/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Oklahoma City Thunder [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 112 - 92 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 59-53 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 20 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 5.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 204 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 206.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] U [/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 4 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl73"] 11/3/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 99 - 102 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 61-55 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Denver Nuggets [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] -3 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 3.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 201 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 209.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] U [/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 3 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl69"] 11/1/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 116 - 80 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 62-36 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Memphis Grizzlies [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] W [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 36 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 5.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 196 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 199.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] U
[/TD]

[TD="class: xl68"] 2 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl73"] 10/29/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Sacramento Kings [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 106 - 103 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 54-65 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl74"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 3 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 1.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] 209 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl75"] 205.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl68"] O [/TD]

[TD="class: xl71"] 1
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69"] 10/26/2016 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Memphis Grizzlies [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 102 - 98 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 50-59 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl70"] Minnesota Timberwolves [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] L [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 4 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 2.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] W [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] 200 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl72"] 199.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: xl71"] O [/TD]

</tbody>
For those interested, those stats are from NowGoal, which is more a soccer site, but they do basketball as well. And the big thing, it's one of the few sites I know where you can see the HT score without having to click all the boxscores.

smileys-beer-129300.gif
Thanks BJ.
 
YTD: 49-45-1, -2.45

Sunday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/JTMVOzPPtiw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

11/20/2016 12:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Atlanta Hawks/New York Knicks* Under 103½ -110 for 1st Half

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
YTD: 50-45-1, -1.45

Adding:

11/20/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 506 Oklahoma City Thunder* -9½ -120 vs Indiana Pacers
11/20/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 506 Oklahoma City Thunder* Over 109 -110 vs Indiana Pacers
11/20/2016 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 507 Utah Jazz/Denver Nuggets* Under 199½ -120

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
*I can already hear Paulie groaning at the sight of me buying points, LOL...

Thunder in good position to roll in this one as the Pacers will be without both Paul George and CJ Miles, not just two of Indiana's leading scorers, but two of their leading defenders as well. OKC with B2B wins after a tough stretch last week, and Indiana coming off a loss to the Suns and a quick turnaround back to Indianapolis to face the Warriors tomorrow night. I capped the Thunder at 115 with the Pacers fluctuating around 93 to 98, so let's see how it goes.

As for Utah/Denver, the series trends under with eight of the last nine coming in under the number, and with Gordon Hayward in a major shooting slump, don't see how the Jazz manage to put up big numbers in this one (the fact that the Nuggets are favoured in this one despite most PR numbers having the Jazz at 3 suggests the same). As for Denver, interesting note I read on NBA.com about the Jazz only allowing their opponents to take shots within the first six seconds of the shot clock 11.4% of the time (second best in the league), so that should be problematic as I noticed the Nuggets offense was a lot more fluid when running in transition against the Raptors the other night. I capped it in the 192 to 197 range, but a lot's going to depend on Hayward and which team ends up dictating the tempo in this one.

As for tomorrow night, not a whole lot to choose from at first glance. Hornets look like an obvious choice, as do the Spurs, and undoubtedly the 1H Over in Minneapolis. I don't know why it is, but the second I open up my big mouth with regards to a trend, it always falls flat on its face (there could be a trend that's 99-1, and somehow I'll have managed to bet it the one time it lost, then I'll never bet it again, and it'll keep on hitting...)

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
90's Month Continues...

YTD: 52-46-1, -0.65

Monday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/W3q8Od5qJio" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

11/21/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 703 Golden State Warriors* -7½ -110 vs Indiana Pacers for 1st Half
11/21/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 707 Memphis Grizzlies/Charlotte Hornets* Under 98 -110 for 1st Half
11/21/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 713 Boston Celtics/Minnesota Timberwolves* Over 101 -110 for 1st Half

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
*Not much time to write these up, but I'll try anyways... Anyways, after getting super lucky with two of my bets last night (OKC Team Total and the under in Denver), going to switch to 1H bets tonight based on a few factors: a) Indiana should start out a bit sluggish between the high of winning in OKC, travelling overnight, and the reduced likelihood of being able to put together strong B2B performances on offense without Paul George and CJ Miles. And based on what I watched (in disgust) last night, the Warriors aren't likely to leave shooting lanes wide open like the Thunder did last night (I swear, there was one play where Jeff Teague drove to the basket and Enes Kanter barely did anything but turn his head...) An eight point lead at HT seems like a more palatable proposition than laying sixteen on the road, b) the 1H/2H splits for both Memphis and Charlotte over the past five games make betting the 1H under a little more logical than the full game (1H v. 2H: MEM Off -2.4 1H, Def -5.4, CHA Off -10.2, Def -1.0), and c) same applies to Boston/Minnesota, although to a lesser extent, as the T-Wolves have dominated on offense in the 1H all season (especially at Target), and coming off their first sub 50 point 1H effort of the season (because I bet their team total, of course). Celtics playing a little better defensively to start games as of late, but that's offset by them playing a little better offensively as well. Plus, this will be the second game in a row (barring a lineup change) with all their starters back in the lineup, so things should run even smoother tonight.

And, oh yeah, fuck you PrimeTime.

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
Good luck Hugh. C's better defensively by a lot with Crowder and Horford back. When they are on the floor with Smart and Avery. Isiah is really the only liability. Good to see you win a couple close ones.
 
*Thanks BJ. Was looking to bet the Mavs team total under later on, but screw that. 82?!? Pretty sure I've never seen a team total that low before. Will be looking at a possible 1H play on the Clippers though (bad situational spot for the Raptors, plus they're still likely to be distracted by the way the Kings game ended last night...)

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/zVkL0nCErKs" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Even with the tip by Cousins, still think Ross gets it off in time once you factor it those extra milliseconds. Reminds me of the time a few of us at Covers all tailed along and bet a First 6 Minutes total, and 5Dimes told us we lost because even though the ball went through the cylinder at 6:00, the ball didn't hit the ground until 5:59 (
"The ball must be completely through the cylinder and net before 5:59 remaining for a basket to be official in the first 6 minutes of a half.")

:idk:
 
Going to back track a trend that I've played for years and to tell the truth I think it's + money long term. I don't isolate trends and now would be a good time to back track just this year and although the sample size will small will see how it goes.

I bet against teams that shot 53% or more in there last game. I have a buddy who uses the 55% rule. If anyone here knows how to use the SDQL query and if you find the time I would be interested in a larger sample size. It always seems to do well.

That would put me on Dallas at +17 tonight and there's very little else that would put me on Dallas. Also like your play hugh on the Over Boston total and I like Boston - the small spot. Good luck Got a great number yesterday on the over in the Utah game and came away with a push it's just a struggle so far this year. But got lucky in the Clip game on Saturday BM had -6.5 -115 but that was as lucky as you can get.

Good Luck hugh I feel a run for you.
 
Good luck with Dallas Paulie. It's just really hard for me to back a team when I see names like Nicolas Brussino and Dorian Finney Smith (although that is a cool sounding name...), and seeing a guy like Seth Curry, who would be buried on the bench of just about every other team in the league, starting for the Mavs. The one thing I would say is that we've all seen the Spurs switch off, for whatever reason, at times this season, so if the Mavs legit NBA guys like Harrison Barnes, Andrew Bogut and Wes Matthews can have productive nights, the spread's doable. Still, I don't think I've ever seen a team total that low in the NBA before. I remember seeing a 6.5 in CFB with Alabama a few years ago, and a 35 in CBB with Wisconsin, but 82...

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
Adding:

11/21/2016 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 709 Houston Rockets/Detroit Pistons* Over 102½ -117 for 2nd Half

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
YTD: 53-49-1, -3.02

Adding:

11/21/2016 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 717 Toronto Raptors/Los Angeles Clippers* Under 207½ -120

*Went 1-2 by going 1H, but would've gone 2-1 FT. And Kentavious Caldwell Pope misses a FT that could've potentially sent the Pistons game to OT.

:idk:
 
YTD: 53-50-1, -4.22

Tuesday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/BJKpUH2kJQg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

11/22/2016 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 501 New Orleans Pelicans* Under 50½ -110 vs Atlanta Hawks for 1st Half
11/22/2016 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 503 Portland Trail Blazers/New York Knicks* Over 111 -110 for 1st Half

:idk:
 
*Thought about taking the night off, but meh... I know how much the forum needs it's 90's videos (*eye roll*), so I'll soldier on... Hawks have gone 5 straight without surrendering 50+ 1H points to an opponent, while the Pelicans have only hit that number once in six road games this season. Think Dwight Howard should be able to limit Anthony Davis, to an extent, so I'll take my chances against the likes of E-Twaun Moore and Tim Frazier. As for the Blazers, horrid doesn't even begin to describe their defense as of late, giving up 60+ 1H points in all three games to begin their road trip. New York hasn't seen the kind of wall to wall high scoring 1H's that Portland's become accustomed to but a) they haven't really been playing any high flying offenses as of late and b) they also haven't played a defense as bad as this in a while either.

Will be on the over at Pepsi Center later on, and maybe Staples. Just want to see how the first two go...

:idk:
 
YTD: 54-51-1, -4.32

Wednesday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/u7K72X4eo_s" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

11/23/2016 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 703 Portland Trail Blazers/Cleveland Cavaliers* Over 109½ -110 for 1st Half
11/23/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 715 Toronto Raptors/Houston Rockets* Over 110½ -110 for 1st Half

:idk:
 
*Will be on the Clippers and Mavs team total under later on (I'm thinking 9.5-10 on the spread, and maybe 87-88 on the team total) as I'm sure the Spurs game will serve as a cautionary tale for Los Angeles. And also the T-Wolves 1H ATS and 1H team total over (when I bet them, they lose, when I don't bet them, they win).

:idk:
 
Adding:

11/23/2016 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 717 Los Angeles Clippers* -10½ -110 vs Dallas Mavericks
11/23/2016 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 718 Dallas Mavericks* Under 91 -110 vs Los Angeles Clippers
11/23/2016 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 721 Minnesota Timberwolves* -1½ -115 vs New Orleans Pelicans for 1st Half
11/23/2016 9:35 PM NBA Basketball 721 Minnesota Timberwolves* Over 54 -110 vs New Orleans Pelicans for 1st Half

smileys-beer-129300.gif
Thanks Metallica, and as this is the last night of action before the holiday, a Happy Thanksgiving to all the members and guests south of the border (hopefully I don't get carved up like a turkey with these picks, but you never know...)
 
YTD: 56-55-1, -6.77

Friday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/_m0bI82Rz_k" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

11/25/2016 1:05 PM NBA Basketball 701 San Antonio Spurs/Boston Celtics* Under 202½ -120
11/25/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 713 Atlanta Hawks/Utah Jazz* Under 195½ -110

*Will also add the Over in Denver (213?) once it gets lined in the morning.

smileys-beer-129300.gif
 
Good Morning hugh, nice to see were on the same side on both. I got slightly different numbers 201 on Sas/Boston and 195 on Utah. Good Luck

If you bet any College these three should be solid. These are from a friend who's pretty good with college total's.

#734 Under 154 #762 Under 131 #792 Under 159 The 159 I know it's gone but the rest are still around as of 30 minutes ago. Big NBA card good luck today lots to look at.
 
Adding:

11/25/2016 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 723 Oklahoma City Thunder/Denver Nuggets* Over 214½ -120

*Doing pretty well guessing the lines. Guessing the winners, not so much...

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Thanks Paulie. The way things are going, might have to abandon ship and stick with NCAAB, LOL.
 
YTD: 58-56-1, -5.97

Saturday:

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11/26/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 505 Detroit Pistons/Oklahoma City Thunder* Under 206½ -120

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*Situational spot, which never seem to work out for me, but... DET in B2B / 3 In 4, while OKC in the dreaded B2B / 3 In 4 / 4 In 5 / 5 In 7 plus OT last night and travel from Denver. Last 5 H2H have gone under, and the Pistons have managed to hold both the Rockets and Clippers to under 100 points the last few nights, so hopefully their strong defensive play holds and bring this one under the number.

Will be on Memphis later on and maybe the Warriors (T-Wolves have been a pain in my side, so who knows...)

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hugh, thanks for utah under yesterday, i was looking for some action and had no time so i tailed you on that one....fwiw i like gsw also as their offense seems basically unstoppable currently
 
Adding:

11/26/2016 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 507 Memphis Grizzlies* pk -110 vs Miami Heat
11/26/2016 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 510 Golden State Warriors* -12½ -120 vs Minnesota Timberwolves

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*Thanks BJ. Just hope you haven't tailed anything else as of late... As for tonight, nice to see the steam working in my direction in OKC although, having said that, that's never much of an indicator of anything, especially not for me. I once bet a soccer total over that started around -115 and closed at near -250. Final score? 0-0... Anyways, had a slight lean towards the over in Miami after looking at last night's boxscore (both teams under 39% shooting), but I'll stick with my original lean towards Memphis, as it's hard to picture the Grizzlies dropping two in a row after playing so well the past few weeks. Not having Zach Randolph available is a bit of a burn but, at the same time, not having Goran Dragic or Justise Winslow should be a bigger issue for a team that can barely score at the best of times. As for the Warriors, they're pretty much unstoppable at the moment, so the most overhyped team in the league in the T-Wolves shouldn't pose much of a problem (only thing stopping the Warriors at this point are the Warriors themselves), especially with Andrew Wiggins having lost his shooting touch over the past week.

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Good luck tonight Hugh. I'm on the fence about Miami but I may add them to my card tonight.

By the way...I'll be watching your boys in the grey cup tomorrow. 40 yard line, row 2
 
Thanks Hulu. Hope you have yourself a good time. Not sure anyone can stop that Stampeders team right now, let alone us, considering we probably don't even deserve to be there. Be a nice way for Henry Burris to go out, but not holding my breath - just hope it's an entertaining game.

:shake2:
 
YTD: 61-56-1, -2.97

Sunday:

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11/27/2016 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 705 Sacramento Kings/Brooklyn Nets* Over 217½ -110
11/27/2016 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 713 Houston Rockets/Portland Trail Blazers* Over 222½ -110

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*Will be on the Suns later on (-2?) to round out the card. Anyways, not much time for a proper writeup, but both these totals are inter connected as Houston coming off an NBA record 50 3 Point Attempts against Sacramento (hitting an eye popping 42.0%) This should embolden the Nets to launch early and often (third in the league in attempts behind Houston and Cleveland, although only No.26 in made attempts). As for the Rockets, not quite playing '7 Seconds Or Less' as most had envisioned at the start of the season, but with them launching 3's like nobody's business and going up against that abysmal Portland defense, this could end up like that Syracuse/Pitt game yesterday afternoon. H2H trends support both these totals as well (4-0 last four between SAC and BRK; 8-2 last 10 in Portland and 20-7 last 27 overall). Sink or swim type totals as the score could change in the blink of an eye with the number of 3's likely to be attempted in both games, so let's hope we can come out on the right side of each.

As for DEN/PHX, I'm guessing the holdup is due to Danilo Gallinari and Will Barton (don't think either ends up playing, and Gary Harris is for sure out). Think there's a general rule of thumb to never bet a side between two bad teams (or two good teams for that matter), but the Suns playing a little better the last little bit (especially at the defensive end), while the Nuggets are a completely different team on the road.

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I like Phoenix today too. Most of my models have them from 0 to -2 so I'm leaving it alone but I'm with you in spirit. Good luck.
 
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