CrimsonK
Sid Bream Supporter
Gonna tail you on all props today. My guy is offering a little better juice options though.
A Rice O4.5 at better juice would be another I'd consider but didn't want to pay 150/60. GL to us
Gonna tail you on all props today. My guy is offering a little better juice options though.
I'm going to pen a letter to the UNC chancellor and athletic director recommending the entire staff resign. That's gotta be right up there with one of the most embarrassing performances I can remember given the circumstances.
I couldn't find a prop to make this game interesting.
great writeup!
I'll throw $50 on it to find out haha....
Also have Oregon -1...
Was driving to work at 5:30am when ESPN radio broke the news of Boykin. I pulled over and threw 4 units on Ducks, 30 minutes before coming off the board!
This is the, "I'm going long on a successful trick play or KO return" prop.
What you think about Hunter Henry O3.5 in the next game? I'm considering him, Morgan and Allen all over on props but I'm a little concerned about the potential of game getting out of balance and they just lean on Collins to pound. Henry at 3.5 and Allen at 262.5 are hard for me to pass on..
There's only 2 TE in the whole Big 12 so I think Henry and Sprinkle could both go off. 3.5 is even less than Henry's avg, which is rare in prop market.
Mayfield 20/27 282 5 TD (55-0)
Rudolph 34/55 437 3/1 (36-34)
Boykin 20/30 301 2/2 (52-45)
Mahomme 33/42 384 3TD (59-44)
Stidham 23/33 419 3TD (31-24)
Alamo Bowl:
Bralon Addison OVER 72.5 receiving yards -115
Since Adams came back healthy: 5 for 78, 6 for 88, 5 for 79, 3 for 32, 5 for 105, 8 for 106. That's an avg of 5.33 and 82 YPG and cashes in 5 of last 6 at this number against 5 bowl teams. He is trending upward and I like the matchup against a TCU defense that takes lots of risks and in turn gives up huge plays. Addison has twice as many targets as their #2. TCU ranks highly in pass defense from an efficiency standpoint but when they break, the really break. 1 of every 8 completions TCU gives up result in a 30+ yard gain. Oregon has plenty of options and bowl season has at times proved that the extra practice times somehow lends itself to that ball getting spread around a bit more and guys stealing touches but I feel good about him ripping off some big plays here.
I like Oregon to win and a win will cash a P12 win bet for me but I think I like them even more in the 1H. There has been a trend I've seen this bowl season and I have attacked it differently, often times getting too cute and not just being direct, when a team is starting a new QB they just take time to get going. Oregon is an outstanding 1H team. According to S&P, they are 19th and 2nd nationally in 1 and 2Q and their defense ranks 62 and 66 compared to 107 and 100 in 3 and 4 Q to go with 28 and 23 on offense. TCU without two best players and maybe they just go Art Briles and pound Oregon into oblivion, I think it's less likely to happen in the 1H against a fresh defense. Statistically there is a major advantage for Oregon in the 2Q in particular and i think that's where they can really distance themselves once the dust settles. I thought about playing them in the 2Q but I prefer to halve the half to get things sorted out as they are the better team and I'm hoping the full 30 helps to show that. TCU seems to adjust well defensively after the half, a Gary Patterson staple, but I think the speed of the Ducks creates issues in the 1H.
278 Oregon -3.5 1H
Where are you getting your props at this point?