Satyr
Paster of Muppets
It's safe to say my NBA capping needs to be looked at. After 3 consecutive seasons with 111% ROI or more, I am now facing a losing season. I've been sitting out the action for a week, tried, wanted to pick my spots, ended up on two rather dumb bets in the end (HOU -11, ORL -11,5), both ended up winning by 9 but in all reality those two favs never should have covered. So I am doing it in NHL, but can't find consistency as far as hoops are concerned. Just wanted to stress that out in case someone wants to tail, even though I don't see why, lol.
Too many public plays? Maybe. Too many favs? Maybe right as well. Not sure what I do differently compared to previous seasons, I've always been a situational capper, not a system capper, so I tend to adapt, it just seems this season I'm doing wrong things. Still hoping to get this baby to green, but I won't force anything, as far as stakes or the number of plays are concerned.
Ok the Rockets are laying 3.5 here, the Lakers are deep, talented, well coached, but I still like Houston a lot. The Lakers will have to rely on their outside shooting more than ever as Gasol is out, Bynum still can't play. Turiaf can't substitute Gasol, Odom isn't that kind of player. The Rockets already got used to playing without Yao, while the Lakers without Gasol (or Bynum) have played a limited number of games, so it remains to be seen how they respond. There are no doubts Phil knows his job, he is a proven winner and fading him on the long run with a talented team will lead you to the poor house. However, they're on a road trip, they have been regressing a bit as it is, now lost Gasol, situationally this adds up in favor of the Rockets.
Also, they're still riding a streak, isn't there a rule not to fade a team on such a huge streak? (ok I broke that rule in NHL today so it could backfire one way or another tonight, but I still like this play). I also think defensively, the Lakers will be challenged without Pau, not solely production wise. I won't overthink this one, I capped it in and out and I like it.
Rockets -3,5 (1.97 @ Pinnacle) 6 units
Cavs/Cats UNDER 194 (1.94 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
see BC's thread, like his reasoning on that one.
Best of luck. :cheers:
Too many public plays? Maybe. Too many favs? Maybe right as well. Not sure what I do differently compared to previous seasons, I've always been a situational capper, not a system capper, so I tend to adapt, it just seems this season I'm doing wrong things. Still hoping to get this baby to green, but I won't force anything, as far as stakes or the number of plays are concerned.
Ok the Rockets are laying 3.5 here, the Lakers are deep, talented, well coached, but I still like Houston a lot. The Lakers will have to rely on their outside shooting more than ever as Gasol is out, Bynum still can't play. Turiaf can't substitute Gasol, Odom isn't that kind of player. The Rockets already got used to playing without Yao, while the Lakers without Gasol (or Bynum) have played a limited number of games, so it remains to be seen how they respond. There are no doubts Phil knows his job, he is a proven winner and fading him on the long run with a talented team will lead you to the poor house. However, they're on a road trip, they have been regressing a bit as it is, now lost Gasol, situationally this adds up in favor of the Rockets.
Also, they're still riding a streak, isn't there a rule not to fade a team on such a huge streak? (ok I broke that rule in NHL today so it could backfire one way or another tonight, but I still like this play). I also think defensively, the Lakers will be challenged without Pau, not solely production wise. I won't overthink this one, I capped it in and out and I like it.
Rockets -3,5 (1.97 @ Pinnacle) 6 units
Cavs/Cats UNDER 194 (1.94 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
see BC's thread, like his reasoning on that one.
Best of luck. :cheers:
:cheers:
