I maxed out Milwaukee ml late Sunday night.
NBA Playoffs 2019...
- Thread starter B.A.R.
- Start date
I'll get into that more when I get home.
So,
I played Toronto for Game 1 because I started seeing more and more reasons why they should be competitive in this series that I initially did. This is a defense that GSW hasn't seen and the HCA is solid up in AAC or whatever it is called now.
One thing too, seeing the line movement told me tonight's winner to be honest. I was thinking of maybe biting a small piece of GSW ML in the 2nd half but I never got that feeling that the game was totally turning. A little birdie told me late in the 2q to keep my initial bet anyways. He is one of the best Live bettors in the world, so I trusted that opinion quite a bit.
As far as the series, I still have a lot of questions but I think this one goes pretty deep now. I had to see it once to believe it. Toronto can win this series. That doesn't mean they are going to, but they can. Obviously, the KD situation is huge here.
I said no props ever again in the playoffs and I looked and found two I liked (I did not play it). You can guess one easily....Siakim over 17 and the other was Iggy under 9. I am still glad I didn't play.
I know a lot of people that wanted to say that Toronto easily could not be here, perhaps...
I remember a team near and dear to me that should have never been in the 2004 Finals after losing a triple-overtime affair in Game 5 of the EC Semis... lo and behold... that team won it all....
Just sayin...
---------------
Game 2 line is very surprising to me, although I just saw the Iggy news when I reviewed the game before this post.
I played Toronto for Game 1 because I started seeing more and more reasons why they should be competitive in this series that I initially did. This is a defense that GSW hasn't seen and the HCA is solid up in AAC or whatever it is called now.
One thing too, seeing the line movement told me tonight's winner to be honest. I was thinking of maybe biting a small piece of GSW ML in the 2nd half but I never got that feeling that the game was totally turning. A little birdie told me late in the 2q to keep my initial bet anyways. He is one of the best Live bettors in the world, so I trusted that opinion quite a bit.
As far as the series, I still have a lot of questions but I think this one goes pretty deep now. I had to see it once to believe it. Toronto can win this series. That doesn't mean they are going to, but they can. Obviously, the KD situation is huge here.
I said no props ever again in the playoffs and I looked and found two I liked (I did not play it). You can guess one easily....Siakim over 17 and the other was Iggy under 9. I am still glad I didn't play.
I know a lot of people that wanted to say that Toronto easily could not be here, perhaps...
I remember a team near and dear to me that should have never been in the 2004 Finals after losing a triple-overtime affair in Game 5 of the EC Semis... lo and behold... that team won it all....
Just sayin...
---------------
Game 2 line is very surprising to me, although I just saw the Iggy news when I reviewed the game before this post.
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
Nice job on the Raptors in Game 1!
Still... depending on KD's and Iggy's health, Dubs shouldn't struggle at all. Win Game 2 or Game 5, as long as they protect their home floor, this one not reaching Game 7 imo.
A lot of things that Raptors did should concern Warriors. Win in Game 1 should give Raptors confidence, Siakam's confidence to hit shots and the same for VanVleet. Both hit insane crazy shots and that can add a lot. The fact that Dubs took the lead and Raptors still didn't brake, also adds confidence as the fact that poor game by Kawhi still was enough for Raptors to win.
Still... there is the other side of the coin...
Toronto hit crazy shots, Dubs made some very dumb turnovers, Raptors Green made two crucial momentum three pointers and still Dubs came few times very close (they were twice in a position of making it a possession game and made stupid dumb turnovers).
Plan guarding Kawhi did work. They didn't hide their attacks as Boston against Giannis, suddenly surrounding him. They put two players on him and were clear about it. Someone else will beat us, but not Kawhi - very clear statement. Can Raptors repeat their performance for at least 2 - 3 games? Not sure. What will happen when Raptors players won't shoot as good?
Dubs also didn't shoot the ball too well, Green got in foul trouble, dumb turnovers - they can improve and a lot. I think that Kerr needs to use Boogie and Looney more and Bell shouldn't be on the floor - at least the way he played tonight.
Dubs bench outscored Raptors bench by 11 points and they got a lot of second chance points as well... It wasn't enough and that's great for the Raptors, but most of the games, it will be more than enough.
Dubs were very honest and said they didn't know Raptors well enough - I think Kerr will react and make the needed adjustments in Game 2...
Still... depending on KD's and Iggy's health, Dubs shouldn't struggle at all. Win Game 2 or Game 5, as long as they protect their home floor, this one not reaching Game 7 imo.
A lot of things that Raptors did should concern Warriors. Win in Game 1 should give Raptors confidence, Siakam's confidence to hit shots and the same for VanVleet. Both hit insane crazy shots and that can add a lot. The fact that Dubs took the lead and Raptors still didn't brake, also adds confidence as the fact that poor game by Kawhi still was enough for Raptors to win.
Still... there is the other side of the coin...
Toronto hit crazy shots, Dubs made some very dumb turnovers, Raptors Green made two crucial momentum three pointers and still Dubs came few times very close (they were twice in a position of making it a possession game and made stupid dumb turnovers).
Plan guarding Kawhi did work. They didn't hide their attacks as Boston against Giannis, suddenly surrounding him. They put two players on him and were clear about it. Someone else will beat us, but not Kawhi - very clear statement. Can Raptors repeat their performance for at least 2 - 3 games? Not sure. What will happen when Raptors players won't shoot as good?
Dubs also didn't shoot the ball too well, Green got in foul trouble, dumb turnovers - they can improve and a lot. I think that Kerr needs to use Boogie and Looney more and Bell shouldn't be on the floor - at least the way he played tonight.
Dubs bench outscored Raptors bench by 11 points and they got a lot of second chance points as well... It wasn't enough and that's great for the Raptors, but most of the games, it will be more than enough.
Dubs were very honest and said they didn't know Raptors well enough - I think Kerr will react and make the needed adjustments in Game 2...
survive&advance
Nothing but net MFer!
Thanks for the quality analysis. I’ve been in Europe for the past week so I haven’t been able to catch the games
Iggy had 9 days to recuperate and still needed to leave last night’s game early. How much can he recuperate in 2 days? My understanding is Durant is out on Sunday, and rumors swirling that he won’t come back at all. And even if Durant does come back he could well wind up in the same twilight boat as Iggy. Those are two top-notch players whose playing time must be filled by non-championship-level personnel. I think the Warriors have enough magic to absorb the loss of either Iggy or Durant, but not both. Unless Toronto pulls one of their famous collapses, the Warriors are in for a rough go of it...
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
I don't know what it has to do with FA, but agree about injury being much worse and that GSW knew it from the start. The only question is will we see him in this series and if GSW know the answer to that question...
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
Btw, as I wrote, expect very close game, so yeah, could easily be live bet heaven in this one...
Showtime
austinhous
Pretty much a regular
How was golf? What kinda sandwich?
Golf was solid. Very windy, shot 89. I'll take it. Sandwich was good. Peppered Turkey, swiss and some mustard.
You prefer mustard over mayo? How could you? I really don‘t know you at all
Like both
Covered my investment... Free rolling GSW ML +236 as of now.
kushBsmokin
Dr. Greenthumb
Big Al Reno! Feeling the same about the +6 considering both KD and Klay we’re likely not playing this game. I feel like winning this game is raps best chance to extend/possibly win this series. Their role players haven’t played well on the road in the playoffs. Cook, AI, and McKinnie will get a lot of open looks and likely to make more at home. Regardless, I’m on raps 1q +160/+2 -110 (grabbed these last night before the KD/Klay updates). GSW have been slow out the gates throughout the season. Expecting Kerr to use steph occasionally as a double screen if they go back to box and 1 to open things up as FVV has been facegaurding him in that role. Looking to play it live/2h. Good luck.
Retro kush in the house. Good thoughts man.
kushBsmokin
Dr. Greenthumb
What are your limits on live plays?
in what respect?
kushBsmokin
Dr. Greenthumb
What is max you’re allowed to play live on one game? Does that differ with max allowed on a single live play?
Between the two books I use I'm not positive to be honest. I'm sure one of them is much higher (well I know that). I'll have to look. I'm a 1-3 unit kinda guy...(5 a few times a year).
kushBsmokin
Dr. Greenthumb
I have 3 locals. Started the year with 3k, 2k, and 2k live limits. Killed it this season on live plays and they’ve all reduced it down to 1k max per play and per game since around AS break. So if I take raps live +170 for 1k, I wont be able to buy out on GSW live at +whatever at the same book. Just found another local that will give me 1k max per live play but up to my full game max. So I can play it at 1k up to 5x.
Curious if that’s par for the course in your experience. If they’re putting up -15 cent vig on a live spread, why do they care if i bet it to my full game max? Especially since I get -05 cent lines on everything except 1q and props.
Curious if that’s par for the course in your experience. If they’re putting up -15 cent vig on a live spread, why do they care if i bet it to my full game max? Especially since I get -05 cent lines on everything except 1q and props.
kushBsmokin
Dr. Greenthumb
Good stuff. Had the refs been somewhat competent, would have been more live opportunities.
I like your style...
This would qualify as a Max bet to start. Hopefully I get to keep it all or just free roll it.
I figure this might get slightly lower but the chance of waiting to long isn't worth it to me if line moves back up (if no KD)
You should be fine. At worst, play with it live and make it less juicy.
Perfect timing on your part, I think. The line should go back up to at least where I bought it as soon as they admit Durant isn’t playing tomorrow...
divol
The Spurs can suck my manhood
If it's for live betting purposes, it's the best position to start with.
I do think it is the correct side either way but I also hope to mess around with it.
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