Monday po' up Discussion

[GWarner27]

Drink ten for me while i waste my life studying...

Closest play on the open was TB/TOR u9.5 -115, but BOL moved it quick enough when BOL came out 9o20

post-open leans:
TB u9
SF -115
PHI -101
TEX -103
BAL +123

on the radar:
OAK -124
KC u7.5

 

[austinhous]

[TABLE="class: sr_share"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]I[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc show_partial_when_sorting, bgcolor: #ddd, align: left"]Year[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]W[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]L[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]<nobr>W-L%</nobr>[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]ERA[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]G[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]GS[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]GF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]CG[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]SHO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]SV[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]IP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]H[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]R[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]ER[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]HR[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]BB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]IBB[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]SO[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]HBP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]BK[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]WP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]BF[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip sort_default_asc hide_non_quals, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]WHIP[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]SO9[/TH]
[TH="class: tooltip hide_non_quals, bgcolor: #ddd, align: center"]SO/W[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]2013[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].556[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.26[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]88.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]78[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]32[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]32[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]26[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]72[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]359[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.177[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.77[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]2014[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"].000[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]26[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]72[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.385[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.60[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: left"][/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: left"]Career Total[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"].455[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]4.00[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]17[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]17[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]101.1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]104[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]48[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]45[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]11[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]31[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]80[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"][/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]431[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]1.332[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]7.1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #ddd, align: right"]2.58[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

Ryu on four days of rest is 0-6 SU L6.

 

[gsro]

under in atlanta? Ervin pitches well @ home sox losing napoli and a DH, does Ortiz play first?

 

[gsro]

like Shark @ that price, over in detroit, under in KC, CWS @ home

 

[gsro]

Expecting the tigers bats to come alive against Milone after the shit show

 

[austinhous]

Detroit play at Oakland but yeah. They are 10-2 SU versus LHP this season (4-0 away) and 7-0 SU versus LHP away going back to last season.

 

[austinhous]

Tigers 7-0 to the over L7.

 

[austinhous]

Until today the Tigers were 9-0 L9 after losing by 5 or more runs in the previous game.

 

[2daBank]

1st gm I looked at was chc/sf,, I prob sound square as hell but I feel like it more likely shark has a poor outing vs a really hot hitting sf club, maybe he gets a little support but he not as good as those numbers (who is) and lets face it without trying to discredit how well he pitching he has seen some lineups at times they were slumping or little beat up..just dont feel like the starting pitching adv is big enough to outweigh sf superiority in every other area at that price I really like sf..

 

[GWarner27]

under in atlanta? Ervin pitches well @ home sox losing napoli and a DH, does Ortiz play first?

Sox need to end the 10-gamer so there's no chance Ortiz isn't in the lineup if I'm Farrell. Can't trust Buchholz, in that game would probably play in this order: ATL, under, over, BOS (but not touching)

 

[GWarner27]

like Shark @ that price, over in detroit, under in KC, CWS @ home

also like under in KC, don't think CHW is very good and I hope they keep winning so I can play their RSW under at the break. Disagree on Shark as I will be playing SF if his lovers keep driving the price down

Expecting the tigers bats to come alive against Milone after the shit show

he's built for that park, DET slumping and has to make a long trip yet again and game starts early considering the trip

 

[austinhous]

like Shark @ that price

Cubs have won 1 of his last 14 starts.

 

[GWarner27]

1st gm I looked at was chc/sf,, I prob sound square as hell but I feel like it more likely shark has a poor outing vs a really hot hitting sf club, maybe he gets a little support but he not as good as those numbers (who is) and lets face it without trying to discredit how well he pitching he has seen some lineups at times they were slumping or little beat up..just dont feel like the starting pitching adv is big enough to outweigh sf superiority in every other area at that price I really like sf..

my thoughts exactly, plus if he's not winning now with those numbers then how will he when his numbers revert to the mean? I certainly don't trust his hitters to win games for him because it's a whole lotta average (not even sure Starlin or Rizzo are that good)

 

[austinhous]

If you are talking about travel, the A's have to make the trip from Canada. My database is too small and only goes back to 2004, so I can not find a game that the A's have won at home after playing their previous game in Toronto (0-4 SU).

 

[GWarner27]

leans:
TOR u9
PHI -104 (need a decent move for me to make this tolerable)
TEX -107
BAL +129

on the radar:
OAK -133
KC u7.5
SF -125

...barring some shifts the only ones I'm really considering are TEX and the KC/TOR unders

 

[2daBank]

The tex line another 1 that makes little sense, sure correia had few really good starts vs tex last yr but he a freakin gas can, tepech no stud but no worse and rangers obviously the hotter lineup..

 

[austinhous]

Tepesch was lined -110 last season at Minnesota when he pitched against Vance Worley. Rangers won 2-1.

 

[austinhous]

Yeah Correia shut them out last time they were there. They are 0-3 SU versus Correia lifetime with 5 total runs scored.

 

[2daBank]

Tepesch was lined -110 last season at Minnesota when he pitched against Vance Worley. Rangers won 2-1.

Correia 2 gms 15 innings 1 run in 2 wins at plus money vs tex last yr, but still he a gascan.

 

[gsro]

the trip from toronto to detroit isn't very far

 

[cogenman]

They play in Oakland.

Miggy was pulled yesterday also, hopefully he plays today.

 

[gsro]

They play in Oakland.

Miggy was pulled yesterday also, hopefully he plays today.

ah yes, my bad read the schedule incorrectly.

 

[gsro]

under in atlanta? Ervin pitches well @ home sox losing napoli and a DH, does Ortiz play first?

Sox need to end the 10-gamer so there's no chance Ortiz isn't in the lineup if I'm Farrell. Can't trust Buchholz, in that game would probably play in this order: ATL, under, over, BOS (but not touching)

double checking some thing regarding the the total in Atlanta..Clay hasn't been seen by alot of these atlanta bats, but it's not like he's in great form...Last 3 games he gave up 9,10,10 in hits. Ervin not treading any better the last 3 either in terms of hits... with a shorter total number it may be harder to back the under even with the early start.

 

[Play2win]

COLORADO is 16-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Phi 4-11 home/night games this season

 

[Play2win]

MCCARTHY is 1-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record

 

[Play2win]

E SANTANA is 1-8 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

 

[Play2win]

BALTIMORE is 17-12 (+10.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

Tillman 6-0 as road/dog +125 to +150 L2 seasons

 

[CASH]

P2W - love these stats - where do you get them?

 

[nbafan88]

Tillmans first start at miller park. Should give up some home runs if the roof is open

 

[ManchesterUk]

Aussie,some of the stuff you post in these daily threads is great :shake:

How about,home team coming off of a Sunday night baseball on the road.. O/U total ?

 

[nbafan88]

Milwaukee coming off the long roady though. That's concerning

 

[2daBank]

The total drop in mil makes me think roof closed/ tillman should be ok. Loshe a qs machine but I liked the price on balty.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

The AZ line opened high. McCarthy is better than record. Im sure lots backing Ross. 1st game of 5 run fade of SD. This has hit at 83% clip this year

 

[austinhous]

Opposing starters making their first career start at Miller Park are 18-12 SU (team's record) since 2013 against an average line of 109 with an average of 0.63 home runs allowed.

 

[2daBank]

Was trying to talk myself into sea but young a freaking regression waiting to happen, his stellar numbers at home came courtesy of kc, hou, and early vs oak, not exactly a murderers row of offense. This 3rd lefty in a row sea has seen and they have better numbers vs lefties (of coarse were shut down yesterday but I like kucheul better than skaggs), think sea can plate some runs so playing over..

 

[Gyno]

Market is telling you Milwaukee is the play..

Baltimore very square play..

 

[GWarner27]

Market is telling you Milwaukee is the play..

Baltimore very square play..

Disagree and crush sitting, but Tillman at this price is very hard to pass up

 

[2daBank]

Very rarely am I accoused of being sharp so guess balty suites me....

 

[GWarner27]

Very rarely am I accoused of being sharp so guess balty suites me....

Playing a SP off 1 ip 54.00 era on the road against a first place team with its best power hitter sitting is not square

 

[nbafan88]

Went over 7.5 in Milwaukee. Everyone on the over scares me but the ump complies and the roof open in a game. Two fly ball pitchers.


Yankees facing wacha for the first time. Doubt they score the first two times around

 

[tuck321]

Seattle just lost with one of their stars and the team hates Anaheim.
Anaheim starter seems to have a problem in the day.

 

[tuck321]

The AZ line opened high. McCarthy is better than record. Im sure lots backing Ross. 1st game of 5 run fade of SD. This has hit at 83% clip this year

Has not hit often on Monday. Still Arizona double header and the fact that the team is 0-6 on Monday just trival

 

[GWarner27]

O's +144

 

[tuck321]

Need to look at that one. Have locked in Seattle and WS so far
Unfortunately no time. Game went off a few moments later

 

[CASH]

Market is telling you Milwaukee is the play..

Baltimore very square play..

What is the market doing that is telling you to take Milwaukee??

 

[tuck321]

Drew career
In the day 1-4 6.29 ERA
on 4 days rest 3-4 5.18 ERA
this year
4 days rest 2-2 4.03 ERA
In the day 0-2 10.57 ERA based on 7.2 innings
Tampa first half?

 

[tuck321]

Washington really bad vs right handers. Bad mistake passing

 

[tuck321]

Bedard on 4 2.66 ERA This is a night game
In the night 2.10 ERA
This is a night game which helps Drew

 

[nbafan88]

Market is telling you Milwaukee is the play..

Baltimore very square play..

The vast majority of the wagers are on Milwaukee

 

[2daBank]

Need to look at that one. Have locked in Seattle and WS so far

I wanted to play sea but more I looked at young the more he looked like a walking time bomb, over just made more sense, which prob means sea wins a pitching duel, lol..