Monday Discussion Thread

[VirginiaCavs]

Jun 26 Mon 2023

07:05 PM
957	Cincinnati RedsB. Williamson -L	+1½ -157	+131	O 9½ -110
958	Baltimore OriolesC. Irvin -L+1 Markets	-1½ +137	-142	U 9½ -110

07:10 PM
951	Milwaukee BrewersC. Rea -R	+1½ -125	+161	O 8 -126
952	New York MetsJ. Verlander -R+1 Markets	-1½ +105	-175	U 8 +106

07:20 PM
959	Minnesota TwinsS. Gray -R	+1½ -125	+165	O 8½ -105
960	Atlanta BravesS. Strider -R+1 Markets	-1½ +105	-179	U 8½ -115

08:05 PM
953	Detroit TigersM. Boyd -L	+1½ -115	+171	O 9½ +101
954	Texas RangersA. Heaney -L+1 Markets	-1½ -105	-186	U 9½ -121

09:38 PM
955	Chicago White SoxD. Cease -R	+1½ -160	+124	O 8½ -110
956	Los Angeles AngelsR. Detmers -L+1 Markets	-1½ +140	-134	U 8½ -110

 

[VirginiaCavs]

I saw the Reds drop to as low as +115 at BOL while i was writing my article

 

[KJ]

RR x2 and x3, feel pretty good about all three today

Orioles -125
Angels -125
Trevor Williams o4.5 ks -105

Also Colin Rea o3.5 ks -128 with a boost is a stand alone play

Would love to back Castillo tonight o18.5 outs and might still do it. Hard to back the Mariners at these kinds of lines when they simply suck at basic baseball at the plate.

 

[GWarner27]

@KJ what's the thinking behind the short home MLs RR-ed

 

[KJ]

@KJ what's the thinking behind the short home MLs RR-ed

Strictly playing against public dogs

I don't have the juice to cap bases like other sports, just too many things that pull in different directions

I'll look at splits with the props, that's about it. These plays are strictly against heavily bet dogs and occasionally heavily bet unders that get RLM. Wash/Seattle falls into that last category tonight but I'm in no rush to bet over in that game.

 

[GWarner27]

Strictly playing against public dogs

I don't have the juice to cap bases like other sports, just too many things that pull in different directions

I'll look at splits with the props, that's about it. These plays are strictly against heavily bet dogs and occasionally heavily bet unders that get RLM. Wash/Seattle falls into that last category tonight but I'm in no rush to bet over in that game.

Chicago is a public dog?

LAA feels very cheap to me priced like an inferior team on a neutral so i'm curious what makes you say that when Detmers can probably match Cease

 

[KJ]

Chicago is a public dog?

LAA feels very cheap to me priced like an inferior team on a neutral so i'm curious what makes you say that when Detmers can probably match Cease

What makes me say it is the site I've trusted for a couple years now shows 56/44 White Sox

There is zero reading into anything other than props for me, I'm usually way out of baseball by this time of the season so just throwing darts really

 

[KJ]

Welp Trevor Williams just got replaced to start the 5th with 3ER and 83 pitches. Needed one more k, just hard to cap that kind of logic

 

[GWarner27]

hard when half the league is trying to lose