Monday Discussion/Thoughts

reNew Orleans

Clubbin' with Rasual Butler
<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="7" class="blk-title">MLB Baseball - Mon 6/18</td> </tr> <tr class="wht-title" bgcolor="#16177c"> <td colspan="3">Game</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Run Line</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Money Line</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Total Runs</td> <td>More </td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">901</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">San Francisco Giants
N. Lowry</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -177 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+120 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 8.5 -112 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 05:05 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">902</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Milwaukee Brewers
Y. Gallardo</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +167 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-128 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 8.5 +102 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">903</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Boston Red Sox
C. Schilling</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +121 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-130 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 8.5 -112 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 04:05 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">904</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Atlanta Braves
C. James</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -131 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+122 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 8.5 +102 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">905</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Detroit Tigers
M. Maroth</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +105 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-150 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 9.5 -105 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 04:05 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">906</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Washington Nationals
M. Chico</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -115 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+142 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 9.5 -105 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">907</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Philadelphia Phillies
C. Hamels</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +127 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-125 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 9 -113 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 04:05 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">908</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Cleveland Indians
C. Lee</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -137 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+117 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 9 +103 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">909</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Minnesota Twins
C. Silva</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -151 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+148 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 8.5 -105 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 04:10 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">910</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">New York Mets
J. Maine</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +141 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-156 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 8.5 -105 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">911</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Florida Marlins
J. Johnson</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -191 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+108 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 9 -112 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 05:10 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">912</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Chicago White Sox
J. Contreras</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +178 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-116 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 9 +102 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">913</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Kansas City Royals
O. Perez</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -145 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+147 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 9.5 -102 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 05:10 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">914</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">St Louis Cardinals
A. Wainwright</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +135 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-155 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 9.5 -108 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">915</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Tampa Bay Devil Rays
E. Jackson</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -121 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+172 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 10.5 -105 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 06:40 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">916</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Arizona D-Backs
L. Hernandez</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +111 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-180 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 10.5 -105 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">917</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Cincinnati Reds
K. Lohse</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -151 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+148 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 8.5 -103 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#d0d0d0"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 07:05 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">918</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Oakland Athletics
J. Blanton</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +141 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-156 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 8.5 -107 </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Mon 6/18</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">919</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">Houston Astros
C. Sampson</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> +1.5 -120 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">+185 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> OVER 7.5 -105 </td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 07:05 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">920</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">LAA Angels
J. Lackey</td><td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> -1.5 +110 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap">-201 </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> UNDER 7.5 -105 </td></tr></tbody></table>
For anyone who wants an early start, here you go.
 
Far too early for me to bet but just to start things going the 9 total in Cleveland looks fishy. Hamels last 10 has been getting over 7 runs in support a game. Will be back later hopefully with something with more meat.
 
Far too early for me to bet but just to start things going the 9 total in Cleveland looks fishy. Hamels last 10 has been getting over 7 runs in support a game. Will be back later hopefully with something with more meat.

My guess is that it is since the Phils don't hit LHP particularly well. Still, with Lee reeling, couldn't blame you for taking the over here.

At first glance, I like the over 9.5 in Detroit/Washington. Detroit hammers lefties, and Chico should be no exception. Maroth certainly isn't a candidate to go 7 shutout innings either.

Also, I really don't play run lines, but Arizona -1.5 looks pretty good. Poor Edwin Jackson, he just can't find his niche.
 
I must say the Wash/Det Total @ 9.5 looks fishy as well. Maroth's totals are usuall set up at what... 10.5/11/11.5? And against Chico? I guess he's improved through the year but he hasn't faced an hard hitting team like Det in a long time. It looks like a solid play Dmoney, just wondering why it's set so low.
 
i saw the cleveland game which lee pitched last time out and it looked like he found his form of last season which he was successful with but then again it is only 1 game. Anyone can have a good game every now and again. So, i will probally lay off.

Angels at home against a houston team that is still struggling.
 
if you like paying juice, i guess thats a good play.

Also if you don't mind Josh Johnson coming off an injury the Marlins are worth a look.
 
Random News:

Josh Johnson returns tomorrow (obviously)

Kenny Rogers may start this Friday

Torii Hunter bruised his hand today, appears to be minor and should play tomorrow or Tuesday

Mike Piazza will return later than expected in order to start getting some playing time as a part-time catcher.

A.J. Burnett appears to be headed to the DL with his right shoulder bothering him. John Thomson, Victor Zambrano, or Jesse Litsch will start for him on Saturday.

Ian Snell will miss his next start on Tuesday after burning his finger on the grill. Tom Gorzelanny will start on Tuesday instead.
 
Rich Harden is supposed to return this week as the setup man to Alan Embree. The plans is he returns to the starting rotation in July.

Tyler Clippard has been sent back to Triple A, while Kei Igawa should start this Saturday vs. the Giants

Garrett Olsen may be gaining a starters role in the O's rotation because Brian Burres is dealing with some shoulder tightness.
 
I'm leaning K.C./StL over 9.5. That line seems low for two pitchers that going against the same hitter that have already seem them less that 2 weeks ago. Also the Redbirds bats are fully awake. Factor in that Royals pen, I see a 7-5 type game.
 
some line movement:

Boston -130/Atlanta +122 to Boston -131/Atlanta +123
Philly -125/Cle +117 to Philly -119/Cle +111
Minny +148/NY Mets -156 to Minny +143/NY Mets -151
Florida +108/ChiSox -116 to Florida +118/ChiSox -126
KC +147/STL -155 to KC +152/STL -160
TB +172/ARZ -180 to TB +167/ARZ -175
Cincy +148/Oak -156 to Cincy +160/Oak -168
Hou +185/LAA -201 to Hou +180/LAA -191
 
some more injury news:

Jason Schmidt returns to the DL with his bum right shoulder. Mark Hendrickson, Brett Tomko, or Chad Billingsley will fill the void.
 
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