Monday 02/22/16 NBA discussion thread

divol

The Spurs can suck my manhood
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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL - MON 2/22[/h][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]501[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Detroit Pistons[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+9 1.884[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 4.580[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 205.5 1.934[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]502[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Cleveland Cavaliers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-9 2.020[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.240[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 205.5 1.970[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]503[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Indiana Pacers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+1 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 199 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]504[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Miami Heat[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-1 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 199 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]505[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Toronto Raptors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-4 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.598[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 199 1.934[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]506[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]New York Knicks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+4 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.510[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 199 1.970[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]507[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Boston Celtics[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.512[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 217 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]508[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Minnesota Timberwolves[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.750[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 217 1.925[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]509[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Los Angeles Lakers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+8 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 4.109[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 208 1.884[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]510[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-8 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.280[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 208 2.020[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]511[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Golden State Warriors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-7 1.925[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.333[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 223.5 1.970[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]512[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+7 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 3.640[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 223.5 1.934[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 2/22[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]513[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Phoenix Suns[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+16 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 21.550[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 211.5 1.934[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]07:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]514[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Los Angeles Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-16 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.022[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 211.5 1.970[/TD]
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Last edited:
First leans:

Detroit +9 - Been looking for a good spot to bet on them and this one may be it. Detroit needs to finally get a win, since Charlotte and Bulls did just that after ASG break and they proved they can battle Cleveland well. 9 points is a lot to lay here. Cleveland seemed really poised against the Thunder. Not sure they will come with the same set of mind today.
Also like TT Over on the Pistons.
Can add that this is kind of a sandwich spot for Cleveland, that play on Wednesday against Charlotte that won them in the last meeting between them not long ago.

Boston -5 - day of the week wise, you can't get better than today's set. Minny really struggled before ASG break and I expected them to turn the corner after ASG and was wrong. Maybe they decided to tank instead of battling for wins, since the playoffs spot is long gone.

Under in Phoenix - Always like to look for Under in Clippers games with CP3 playing and Blake sitting and so far, couldn't find a good spot. This one seems to be a decent one. Clippers can stop the Suns from getting to 100 points and Clippers should score 110+ as well.
Expect something like 107 - 95.

If Wade is out, will play Pacers for sure. They were in a tough spot in Orlando, playing a young team, after a win in Oklahoma and before playing in Miami and won. Tonight they meet a team that they don't like and will gladly beat them if they can.

Hawks look terrible. Just terrible lately. 3 straight home losses not many expected, given the identity of their rivals (Magic, absolutely depleted Heat and Bucks), but they lost. Now they play the Warriors, that been looking so and so after ASG break. Hawks have very nice rest after tonight's game. Feeling that there is a good bet hiding somewhere here, but still not able to find it. Would like to hear other opinions on this game.

Same for the game in MSG. Knicks are 7 - 1 ATS against the Raps the last 8 games and split wins in Toronto SU wise (covered both). Knicks were beaten by the Nets, but won easily against the Wolves. They are trying to play well, since they don't own their pick (actually belongs to Toronto or Denver). Toronto btw, on paper, have great motivation to beat both Denver and the Knicks, but they are somehow 1 - 3 SU and 0 - 4 ATS against them... Maybe an Over...
 
Btw, there been a lot of bad talks about Scott benching Russell and Randle. Don't get me wrong, he is the worst coach in the game in my opinion. Outdated coach that has nothing to do with the current NBA. But... Randle was -22 in +- last night. Russell -18 and Hibbert (why he still a Laker is beyond me) -18. The others? Actually were pretty decent in +-....
I honestly think that Russell is much better coming of the bench, instead of Kobe.
 
No problem mate, but after good December and January, been really struggling so far in the last week before ASG and so far, after the break as well...
 
Yes, thanks divol. Been reading your posts for 2 or 3 seasons now, and at first I got the impression you were wrong more often than you were right. But as time went on you seemed to learn and get better and now I get the impression you are right more often than you are wrong. You're a moving target, so it should be safe to assume that the rough patch you're in is either a random blip, or else you will figure out how to work your way through it...

Heat (playing Pacers today) playing Warriors in a couple days
Clippers (playing Suns today) played Warriors a couple days ago
 
It's actually the other way around... My hit percentage is dropping each season... The league is changing and I'm trying to do the same... Finished in plus all of my 12 seasons capping this league, but this run in serious risk this season...

Anyway, something interesting this season regarding the totals.

November - 41.3% of the games went Over
December - 50%
January - 54%
February - 59.1%

Wonder if this trend will continue or revert back to Under mode...
Right now, books doing a great job with 50.1% of games going Over overall this season...
 
It was a bad trade anyway for the Pistons... First draft pick??? They got Harris without giving up draft pick...
 
George Hill (right elbow sprain) is questionable to play vs. Miami on Monday.

It's not clear when or how Hill sustained the injury, but it sounds like he's truly iffy to give it a go on Monday. If he sits out, Monta Ellis would be a busy man in the backcourt with Rodney Stuckey (foot/ankle) out and C.J. Miles (calf) doubtful. Rookie Joe Young would also see an increase in his role, as well.
 
Suns are 6 - 0 in Over favor this season, when total is Over 210 points on the road (and 1 - 5 ATS), so skipping my Under lean in Staples Center.
 
note for next year.... bet tt overs for home teams the first two days after the asb...

and fade the team that hosts the asb festivities in the first game back...
 
indy is trying to avoid the season sweep... wade is a GTD and the heat have the warriors on deck... george hill questionable for indy


tough to see the wolves slow down the boston offense
 
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ba4ALRCb2TQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 
indy is trying to avoid the season sweep... wade is a GTD and the heat have the warriors on deck... george hill questionable for indy


tough to see the wolves slow down the boston offense
Indiana won in Miami already...
 
Indiana won in Miami already...

Whoops. We are both wrong lol. Indy lost last game in Miami but won both games at home.

I was reading something and got totally confused.

Great call on Detroit. The Cavs are completely flat defensively.
 
Wow spoelstra goes back to the same play the heat tied the game up with in regulation in the pacers last visit to Miami. Bold move.
 
Avoiding Meat games for the most part after that Wiz game, team is the unluckiest lucky team in the league.

Unlucky due to injuries but lucky when it comes to wins.
 
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