March NBA Discussion Thread

Fact they did win by 30 last time they played in Nawlins is enough to keep me off the Jizz.

AD back would seem it means something to this team.

Utah should win though.
 
Miami is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games
Portland is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games

both playing very well as a unit

No Wade or Whiteside for Miami
 
Houston is a 12.5 fav.. OK the history is bad for them in that role but maybe. they are also 3-7 ATS last 10 on Monday
Memphis is 5-0 ATS this season on Monday and 4-1 over. Milwaukee on 2 days rest 7-3 over
Thunder 1-8 ATS on Mondays. I can sort of buy that as time is running out and they need wins but 12.5?
Bucks 0-6 last 6 in the fav role and various nasty secondary trends like 0-4 ATS last 4 on 2 days rest
You really should lean to Memphis taking a turn up today after that major slap at Dallas
It seems to me OKC has some potential injury problems today
Blazers 7-1 -1 ATS last 9 on Monday and playing great
Miami playing great in most roles but missing one of their best players.
Big urge to put Portland in some ML parlay
 
aldridge out for the spurs...can see hou rolling as their offense is very good currently

i have watched 2 of the grizzlies recent games....they are a very selfish bb team currently with zero team concept....just a bunch of guys trying to get theirs....wouldn't bet them with your money Tuck...for what it's worth
 
No doubt everything you saw was disgusting. Wait you obvious did not see their game at Spurs. They are playing on their Best day after a loss by over 30 points, I am a situational bettor and Yes I did bet them and 1 ref in that game that is 10-0 for home dogs in that range
 
Grizz are definitely a good situational play but just look at the grizzlies roster. Just no.

Don’t see the players wanting to play any better for any reason.....
 
i hear ya tuck and the number is big enough so i see your point....don't think i can pull the trigger though....good luck....you kept me off the bucks so thank you
 
celtics are banged up....theis probably out for the season with miniscus, kyrie with gimpy knee, smart sprained thumb, jaylen with concussion, al with undisclosed illness and if it's the bad flu he could be weak for 2 weeks....they have the 2 hole locked up and they have no reason to play these guys a lot of minutes and should let them heal up....when their starters like kyrie and al are out they have little offense and they make up for it with hustling d....they work hard but can't score....i'm thinking that we may have many upcoming under opportunities with them and i will be looking to play under in their remaining 15 games as well as looking at the opponents tt under
 
Day of the week vs. tank trends going right at it.

I watched that Grizz Spurs game. Spurs were awful and Gasol hit a bunch of lucky trash 3s. Not sure there’s anything to read there.
 
Well the over got there. Small bet. Kings got there and a rather large bet on Portland ML in 2 different parlays seems good. They did try but they are just not alive now
 
Cleveland on Tuesday
3-8 13-20 last 3 years
Suns 5-2 this year 14-9 last 3 years
This is ATS
 
Turn off the lights tomorrow it sounds like GS
FYImy largest bet on the Suns this year
 
I am playing Suns plus 2. first quarter
Suns plus 4 first half
Suns plus 7-5 if it does not go up and I might have tried ML except there is so much pressure to lose the game
Just looking at the center position it seems very 1 sided. Cleveland last 3 road games has been buried on rebounds because they are short on good big men
Lex Tyson.
I am not fond of coincidence and for everybody to be back on a Tuesday to play facing Cleveland. Now
Cleveland

Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
Current Last 3 Since 1996 Current Last 3 Since 1996 Current Last 3 Since 1996
Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in all games 21-44 117-145 897-932 33-32 143-124 906-921 38-28 175-94 943-918
when the total is greater than or equal to 220 9-22 18-34 20-34 16-15 29-23 31-23 16-16 27-26 29-26
when the total is greater than or equal to 230 0-2 3-2 3-2 0-2 2-3 2-3 0-2 1-4 1-4
as a favorite 11-39 90-122 465-469 25-25 123-95 474-468 29-22 155-64 680-275
in road games 14-19 60-73 443-472 17-16 70-65 457-453 16-17 74-62 368-563
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 5-11 8-20 9-20 8-8 14-14 15-14 6-10 10-18 11-18
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 0-0 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-2 0-2
in the second half of the season 7-9 43-50 405-414 7-9 53-42 394-420 8-8 58-37 419-422
in March games 2-4 16-22 154-171 2-4 19-20 152-174 2-4 20-19 162-172
on Tuesday nights 3-8 13-20 149-142 9-3 22-13 158-136 8-4 24-11 169-134
against Pacific division opponents 0-8 16-24 125-125 3-5 21-18 124-122 3-5 22-18 126-127
after a non-conference game 8-16 39-54 282-327 7-16 42-50 290-319 12-12 56-38 288-334
in non-conference games 7-18 40-55 303-310 14-11 52-44 314-295 11-14 54-43 303-324
off a upset loss as a favorite 7-13 27-35 133-136 12-8 35-26 136-127 12-9 40-23 144-128
after allowing 115 points or more 6-12 21-29 74-83 12-7 34-17 85-73 9-10 26-25 71-88
after a loss by 10 points or more 3-14 11-34 191-237 10-6 28-16 211-216 8-9 25-21 174-264
after playing 3 consecutive road games 2-5 14-14 84-91 4-3 16-13 91-85 3-4 17-12 88-91
when playing against a team with a losing record 7-22 37-70 386-418 1
 
t seems like a gamble that could work very easily. If I had to guess I would go over but most of the recent 2 day rests while very good went under but the Suns have taken a lot recently and that would dictate over
Essentially this is close to a 3 unit bet for me
Its plus 2.5 first quarter and I do expect them to be flying but this new kids is unknown to me and I just want to keep it simple
 
Also Clippers been playing great lately. Much better team without Griffin.
 
Knicks tank mode game strong. Burke easily their best PG doesn’t until late 3rd, and then scores 16 points in 15 min to almost bring them back. Pure comedy. Start up the fire Hornacek chants
 
The Rock came through for LAKERS. Lakers and Clippers playing exceptionally well lately.
 
Not sure what to say about the Game. Triano had an interesting strategy. The Suns had a huge big man edge. Triano never played Tyson and Lex lasted under 5 minutes. They made a lot of silly fouls and shot 6 of 32 on three. I had over 2 grand in this. I am not happy. By the way Triano could have mentioned passing the ball to Brooker.
I guess not. Too simple
 
It's KISS strategy right now. Throw SDQL and the majority of trends etc out the window.

The better teams won and covered for the most part tonight.
 
I cashed 2 of them
Orlando seems to be getting 8.5
They are 4-1 ATS last 5 on Wednesday and Milwaukee is 0-5. Orlando made zero effort last night. About 23 minutes a player
 
There’s no value in trying to guess when a tank team will try to play hard. Throw out days of the week with tank teams.
 
I disagree. The problem was Triano belongs in a institution, It is almost impossible to understand what he did. His big edge in that game was his big men. He did not play them. He apparently gave no directions on how his players should perform. Did he even watch the game???. They had plenty of people to play. He did not play threm.. Atlanta, Sacramento and Orlando all operate in a rational manner. The Suns with Triano have moved into another world
 
Today;s games?? I think even though Orlando is great on 0 rest they are over matched unless Gordon plays. GS is giving 7.5 and if Klay does not play or plays badly they could be in real trouble. Days where there are big problems based on injuries are very hard. Lakers are 0-6 ATS on Wednesdays but that is not a Law and GS stinks on Wednesdays. I need to think more about this
 
In the last 2 months, Phoenix has won 2 games.

Both were against other teams playing for draft position.

Stay FAR FAR away from teams like this till next season. Absolutely no need to even try and cap a team that is purposely losing games.
 
so the c's are without al, kyrie, marcus, jaylen and theis....and tatum is banged up and probable....i don't see how they score enough to win...i'm thinking wiz, under and c's tt under
 
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