January 2017

[hugh613]

YTD: 107-109-1, -12.46

Sunday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/EfK-WX2pa8c" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

1/1/2017 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 708 Minnesota Timberwolves* -5½ -110 vs Portland Trail Blazers *2 UNITS*

*80's month. Happy New Year everyone!

 

[hugh613]

October: 10-9-1, +0.10
November: 56-62, -14.42
December: 41-38, +1.86

 

[Pauliethevig]

Happy New Year hugh and to all the gang at CTG. Good Luck this New Year:cheers3:

 

[hugh613]

80's Month

YTD: 107-110-1, -14.66

Monday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Lo2qQmj0_h4" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

1/2/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Utah Jazz* -6½ -110 vs Brooklyn Nets
1/2/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Utah Jazz* Over 105 -110 vs Brooklyn Nets
1/2/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 511 Charlotte Hornets* +1½ -110 vs Chicago Bulls

 

[hugh613]

*I could've sworn the T-Wolves were up by 12 at the half last night... Anyways, according to my math, I'm only 0.66 off where I should be given my record (presuming 10 cent juice), so 1 unit plays from here on in. And if I can't make it back to even before the end of the season, well, too bad for me...

Thanks Paulie - Happy New Year to you and yours as well my friend.

 

[Metallica]

Really like the Jazz pick tonight. BOL Hugh.

 

[Tito]

opp you in Chicago...happy new year bud

 

[tipyerbartender1]

Don't ruin 80's month with Tears for Fears, or the like. GL Hugh.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 108-112-1, -15.86

Tuesday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/aENX1Sf3fgQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/3/2017 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 707 Toronto Raptors/San Antonio Spurs* Over 206½ -110
1/3/2017 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 710 Dallas Mavericks* -117 vs Washington Wizards
1/3/2017 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 711 Miami Heat/Phoenix Suns* Over 212½ -120

 

[hugh613]

*Sorry for the delay - had to scramble for alternate musical selections after tip's profanity laced tirade...

Thanks Metallica, Tito and tip.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 109-114-1, -17.16

Wednesday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/_6FBfAQ-NDE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/4/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Milwaukee Bucks* -135 vs New York Knicks
1/4/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Milwaukee Bucks* Over 107 -110 vs New York Knicks
1/4/2017 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 511 Portland Trail Blazers/Golden State Warriors* Over 223½ -110

*Settling nicely into mediocrity...

 

[Hulu]

I hope we get some Devo this month. Good luck tonight.

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/4/2017 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 509 Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Clippers* Under 100 -110 for 1st Half
1/4/2017 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 513 Miami Heat/Sacramento Kings* Under 104 -110 for 1st Half

Thanks Hulu - at the rate I'm tanking, January might not last that much longer...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 111-117-1, -18.46

Thursday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/r3kQlzOi27M" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/5/2017 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 702 Indiana Pacers* Over 114½ -110 vs Brooklyn Nets
1/5/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 707 Oklahoma City Thunder/Houston Rockets* Over 227½ -120
1/5/2017 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 711 Phoenix Suns/Dallas Mavericks* Over 205½ -120

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 113-118-1, -17.66

Friday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/cNEdxZURTaI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/6/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 508 Boston Celtics* Over 112½ -110 vs Philadelphia 76ers
1/6/2017 10:35 PM NBA Basketball 514 Golden State Warriors* -12½ -120 vs Memphis Grizzlies

*Will add the Bucks once it gets lined (-6?)...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 113-120-1, -19.96

Sunday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Vt2Y78VgfNQ" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

1/8/2017 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 507 Houston Rockets/Toronto Raptors* Over 225½ -120 *2 UNITS*

*Just about time to pack it in...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 114-120-1, -17.96

Adding:

1/8/2017 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 511 Cleveland Cavaliers* -3 -115 vs Phoenix Suns for 1st Quarter *2 UNITS*

*Thing that drew me to this one is that it's the only quarter where the Cavs have the edge over the Suns the L5 (CLE +3.6, PHX -1.4). Suns offense has disappeared a bit as well in the last week, so hopefully the Big Three can jump out to the early lead. Will probably be on either the 1H or FG over in Sacramento as well.

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/8/2017 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 513 Golden State Warriors/Sacramento Kings* Over 116 -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

*Well, hopefully the Cavs can start playing some defense and pull away here. And as I have no interest in staying up to watch the entire game, 1H it is in Sacramento (hopefully the Warriors come out with a little fire in their bellies after that meltdown against the Grizzlies the other night).

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/8/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Utah Jazz/Memphis Grizzlies* Under 97½ -110 for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*

*Not a whole lot of pace (or scoring) to this one. Sure it won't be as low scoring as the 1H, but don't think 98+ is really in the cards either unless it comes down to FT's (and there's only been 9 between them so far, so looks like the refs are letting them play).

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 116-121-1, -16.16

Monday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/EYYdQB0mkEU" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/9/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 703 Dallas Mavericks/Minnesota Timberwolves* Under 195½ -120 *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

*Rare good night last night, so that obviously bodes poorly for tonight... Anyways, over the course of the last 5 games, both Dallas and Minnesota rank in the bottom 10 in terms of pace (DAL #25, MIN #29) and ORtg (DAL #23, MIN #20), and top 10 in terms of DRtg (DAL #7, MIN #8). Under 4-1-1 the last six H2H, which should be somewhat noteworthy considering how wretched the T-Wolves have been on defense the past few seasons.

Don't think it'll be quite the sh!tshow UTA/MEM was last night, but don't think it'll be HOU/TOR either

 

[Hulu]

I am taking the night off but a quick glance at my models put this one in the 187-194 range so can't disagree here.

Good luck tonight Hugh. Start of a run.

 

[hugh613]

Thanks Hulu - that's some stellar defense from Andrew Bogut to start the game...

:hang:

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 117-121-1, -14.16

Tuesday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/oOg5VxrRTi0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/10/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 505 Atlanta Hawks* -8½ -110 vs Brooklyn Nets *2 UNITS*
1/10/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 506 Brooklyn Nets* Under 103½ -110 vs Atlanta Hawks *2 UNITS*
1/10/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 508 Houston Rockets* -8½ -120 vs Charlotte Hornets *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

*The team with the best DRtg in the league over the course of the past 5 games? The Atlanta Hawks. The team with the worst ORtg in the league over the course of the past 5 games? The Brooklyn Nets. The team with the sixth best ORtg in the league over the course of the past 5 games? The Houston Rockets. The team with the 3rd worst DRtg in the league over the course of the past 5 games? The Charlotte Hornets.

Sounds simple enough (although I think we all know, it won't be)...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 119-122-1, -12.56

Wednesday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/CnVf1ZoCJSo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/11/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 703 Washington Wizards/Boston Celtics* Over 217½ -110 *2 UNITS*

 

[Hulu]

Keep it rollin Hugh

 

[Paulie The Vig]

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/qCRae5mRoRE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>



Keep it going hugh!!!

 

[hugh613]

Thanks Hulu and Paulie. Good luck to you guys tonight as well.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 120-122-1, -10.56

Thursday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/0RxBHRZpIdg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/12/2017 3:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Indiana Pacers* -3½ -120 vs Denver Nuggets *2 UNITS*
1/12/2017 3:05 PM NBA Basketball 501 Indiana Pacers* Over 114½ -110 vs Denver Nuggets *2 UNITS*
1/12/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 504 Brooklyn Nets* Under 105½ -110 vs New Orleans Pelicans *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

*Basic math would tell you that if one team has an offensive average of 118.6 PPG scored over their last 5, and one team has a defensive average of 123.8 PPG allowed over their last 5, than you're probably getting decent value with a team total of 114.5. Having said that, my only real concern isn't so much the impact of playing in London (they've been there since Monday, so not that big of a deal), it's the possibility of their rhythm being thrown out of whack by not having played since last Saturday. Either way, should be able to hit one or the other. As for the Nets team total, Brooklyn with the lowest ORtg in the league the last 5 games at 97.8, while the Pelicans have the third best DRtg over the same span at 102.4. Obviously the non stop bombing from 3 is going to make the total a little dicey at times but, at the same time, I think we're starting to see what we all suspected at the start of the season - a not so great shooting team coming back down to earth (admittedly, it took 2+ months, but still...)

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 121-124-1, -13.16

Adding:

1/12/2017 10:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Dallas Mavericks/Phoenix Suns* Over 51½ -110 for 1st Quarter *2 UNITS*

*Already locked in Boston/Atlanta Over 212.5 for tomorrow night, but I'll wait until the morning to post it up...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 122-124-1, -11.16

Friday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/LuN6gs0AJls" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/13/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 705 Boston Celtics/Atlanta Hawks* Over 212½ -110 *2 UNITS*
1/13/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 709 Memphis Grizzlies/Houston Rockets* Over 214½ -110 *2 UNITS*

*I'll also be on the Nets team total under once it gets lined (should be 103) and provided I get around to posting it from my phone.

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 123-125-1, -11.36

Saturday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ZxgMGk9JPVA" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

1/14/2017 3:35 PM NBA Basketball 502 Los Angeles Clippers* -10½ -120 vs Los Angeles Lakers *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 124-125-1, -9.36

Adding:

1/14/2017 6:05 PM NBA Basketball 506 Phoenix Suns* Under 100 -110 vs San Antonio Spurs *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 124-126-1, -11.56

Adding:

1/14/2017 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Orlando Magic/Utah Jazz* Under 195½ -110 *2 UNITS*

*Pretty sure I'd be up on the season if not for all my losing Spurs tickets...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 124-127-1, -13.76

Sunday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/JHYIGy1dyd8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/15/2017 9:05 PM NBA Basketball 859 Chicago Bulls/Memphis Grizzlies* Under 94½ -117 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 124-128-1, -16.10

Monday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/1F_1JTvG_Eg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

1/16/2017 2:05 PM NBA Basketball 504 Washington Wizards* -3½ -120 vs Portland Trail Blazers *2 UNITS*
1/16/2017 4:05 PM NBA Basketball 507 New Orleans Pelicans/Indiana Pacers* Over 213½ -120 *2 UNITS*

*I'll be on the overs in Denver and Boston later on once those get lined (both probably in the 212-215 range), unless I go 0-2 to start the day (which, after the way the 1H in Memphis closed out last night, wouldn't surprise me at all...)

 

[pressitup]

YTD: 124-128-1, -16.10

Monday:

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/1F_1JTvG_Eg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>

1/16/2017 2:05 PM NBA Basketball 504 Washington Wizards* -3½ -120 vs Portland Trail Blazers *2 UNITS*
1/16/2017 4:05 PM NBA Basketball 507 New Orleans Pelicans/Indiana Pacers* Over 213½ -120 *2 UNITS*

*I'll be on the overs in Denver and Boston later on once those get lined (both probably in the 212-215 range), unless I go 0-2 to start the day (which, after the way the 1H in Memphis closed out last night, wouldn't surprise me at all...)

Good luck , sir.
I saw an interview with Joe Elliot , probably 10 years ago, he said, "If I never sing that song again in life , it'll be too soon". He does realize he will have to sing it every night. Hard on an old man's throat.

 

[Metallica]

BOL today Hugh.

 

[Paulie The Vig]

Good Luck hugh

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/16/2017 5:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Orlando Magic/Denver Nuggets* Over 221½ -120 *2 UNITS*
1/16/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 511 Charlotte Hornets/Boston Celtics* Over 215½ -110 *2 UNITS*

*And, for the uninitiated, don't attach any significance to the fact they're for 2 units each - I've been doing that for a while now to try and dig myself out of the hole I dug for myself (with obviously no success).

:beer4: Thanks press, Metallica and Paulie.

 

[tipyerbartender1]

Second page needs a song for luck. How about the Violent Femmes?

 

[hugh613]

80's Month continues...

YTD: 126-130-1, -16.70

Tuesday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/VdphvuyaV_I" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

1/17/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 701 Toronto Raptors* -4 -115 vs Brooklyn Nets for 1st Quarter *2 UNITS*
1/17/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 701 Toronto Raptors* Over 31 -110 vs Brooklyn Nets for 1st Quarter *2 UNITS*
1/17/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 703 Houston Rockets* -2½ -110 vs Miami Heat for 1st Quarter *2 UNITS*

*Thanks tip - no can do on the Violent Femmes' front, unfortunately, as they don't seem to have much in the way of videos on YouTube (and, quite frankly, I never cared for them much other than Blister In the Sun, and even then...) Spitball some others, and I'll get to them eventually (provided I don't decide to shut down this disaster in the next few days)...

 

[hugh613]

*Well, like they say, if it ain't broke... Of course, if it is broke, time to try something new, so... Anyways, I'm taking inspiration from pressitup's appearance in the thread yesterday to give quarter bets a go for a bit (actually, I think I'm already 3-0 so far this season on 1Q bets, but regardless). Plus, I'm getting a little tired of seeing my games get off to good starts, only to watch them go up in flames once the benches take over. We'll see how it goes...

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/17/2017 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 708 San Antonio Spurs* Under 28 -110 vs Minnesota Timberwolves for 1st Quarter *2 UNITS*
1/17/2017 8:35 PM NBA Basketball 708 San Antonio Spurs* -3 -115 vs Minnesota Timberwolves for 2nd Quarter *2 UNITS*

*It's a good thing I don't have more of a volatile personality, otherwise the Raptors announcing Lowry out three minutes before tip would've really set me off... Anyways, these look like pure randomness (and, at this point, they probably are), but the stats actually back them up, so let's see if math can actually prevail over the power of small ball for a change...

 

[hugh613]

YTD: 127-134-1, -23.60

Wednesday:

<iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/DbiN9mdZRk0" allowfullscreen="" width="480" height="320" frameborder="0"></iframe>

1/18/2017 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 508 Boston Celtics* -5½ -110 vs New York Knicks for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 509 Orlando Magic/New Orleans Pelicans* Over 108½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 511 Atlanta Hawks/Detroit Pistons* Under 97½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 513 Milwaukee Bucks/Houston Rockets* Over 116½ -110 for 1st Half *2 UNITS*
1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 514 Houston Rockets* Over 60 -110 vs Milwaukee Bucks for 1st Half *2 UNITS*

*Took less than 24 hours to scrap the 1st quarter plan. Might take less than 2 hours to scrap the entire season (in reality, I'm only down about a dozen units once you factor in preseason profit as well as a handful of plays I was too embarrassed to post after starting the night 0-3, 0-4, etc..., but that's neither here or there). We'll see what happens...

 

[Tito]

gl buddy, hang in there...:cheers3:

 

[hugh613]

Adding:

1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 513 Milwaukee Bucks/Houston Rockets* Over 109½ -110 for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*
1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 513 Milwaukee Bucks* Over 55 -110 vs Houston Rockets for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*
1/18/2017 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 514 Houston Rockets* Over 54 -110 vs Milwaukee Bucks for 2nd Half *2 UNITS*

*Thanks Tito - pretty much end of days kind of stuff at this point.

 

[dudleysdad]

Good luck Hugh
High knee your way to wins