Hulu's NBA 2016/17 Debacle

Stupid live bets. I should just give up on that because it never works out for me.

Also, let me just say that Pinnacle's live betting interface is shady as fuck. They hang lines but you can't ever hit one without it changing on the conf screen. Its complete bullshit and just one of a number of shady tactics they have adopted. Can't believe how badly that book has gone downhill over the past few years.

Anyway, my numbers on this game call for a total of 206-211 so at 206.5 it falls right within my range. However, after watching the first international game of the day and seeing how it played out almost like an all star game with virtually no defense and the players just putting on a show, I think this game could end up that way also. Dallas tends to force a slow pace but against teams that play little defense they can turn that into a decent output. And Phoenix plays little D.

1* DAL / PHX over 206.5 -109
 
Sides 28-13 +16.49*
Totals 29-25-1 +3.74*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 1-2 -0.93*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-3 -2.52*


Overall 59-45-1 +15.89*


Hit both totals yesterday but lost a unit on stupid live bets. Can't believe how lame Indiana looked against the Nuggets.

A number of favs I just don't see losing for various reasons today so starting with a small parlay of them all. Otherwise, I have a few things I'm working on.

0.75* ML Parlay TOR/MIL/UTH/CLE +115
 
Sides 29-13 +17.99*
Totals 29-26-1 +2.09*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 2-2 -0.07*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 61-47-1 +15.79*


Juiced out on Friday and found nothing to play on the weekend. On to today. Happy MLK day to my 'murican friends.

I like the over in the early game but being the early game is keeping me off that play.

1* Washington -3.5 -106 Nothing special here, this line is just a bit too low. I made it 6.
0.3* ML Parlay WAS/IND/BOS/GSW +357 Another group of home favs I don't see losing today although not sure if I would trust 3/4 to cover the spread.

Should be some more plays later.
 
Sides 30-13 +18.99*
Totals 30-28-1 +1.01*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 3-2+1.00*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 64-49-1 +16.78*


3-2 yesterday for a profit and a new season high in units. On we go.

Like everyone else I am on the Spurs tonight but don't see a whole lot else to like. Wish I hadn't missed the 10.5 earlier.

1* San Antonio -12 -105
 
Sides 30-14 +17.94*
Totals 30-28-1 +1.01*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 3-2+1.00*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 64-50-1 +15.73*


Not even going to talk a bout that game last night. Suffice to say I don't think anyone saw that officiating performance coming.

Only one play I like so far. Maybe something else later but nothing I like as of now.

1* MEM / WAS over 206.5 -110
 
Sides 30-14 +17.94*
Totals 30-29-1 -0.09*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 3-2+1.00*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 64-51-1 +14.63*


2 losing days in a row. Need to arrest that trend tonight or take a break. Here's what I have so far...

0.5* Dallas +2.5 -104
0.5* Dallas ML +123

1* DEN / SAN over 219 -105

1* LA Clippers ML +102
 
Sides 30-16 +15.92*
Totals 31-29-1 +0.91*
2H Totals 1-3 -1.68*
Parlays 3-3 +0.85*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 65-55-1 +12.67*


Awful day on Thursday so I took Friday off to reset. So many games to look at today but I have at least one play that I absolutely love and have had circled for a while.

1*/1* Memphis +1.5/ML -106/+103

Also a number of home favs I expect to win but don't necessarily trust to cever the spread. ie I think the spread is about where it should be on these games. I will probably eat my bankroll with these moneyline parlays but over the past few years, if I play them carefully, I have been able to profit.

0.5* Parlay BOS/CHA/ATL/CHI/UTH ML +214

I will probably have some more plays later.
 
Sides 30-17 +13.86*
Totals 33-29-1 +2.91*
2H Totals 2-3 -1.18*
Parlays 3-4 +0.35*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 68-57-1 +12.61*


Shouldn't have made Memphis a 2 unit play. I think I was too focused on Houstons spot and not paying enough attention to the Grizz. They play a hard defensive style many nights and that, combined with their age and limited depth hurts them more than others on a B2B like they were.

Anyway, locking this in for tomorrow as I feel like it may be higher tomorrow.

1* Utah -5.5 -108
 
Upping Utah to a 2* bet...

1* Utah -5.5 -103

Also adding...

1.25* / .25* New Orleans +7 / ML -111 / +241

1.25* / .25* Milwaukee +5 / ML -105 / +185

1* Parlay CHA/ATL/UTH ML +185
 
Sides 33-20 +13.81*
Totals 38-30-1 +6.86*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 3-5 -0.65*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 76-63-1 +14.69*


Record updated to include plays posted on proboards as well as Jan 29 & 30 plays posted on the ill-fated vb5 version of CTG.

Here's what we gots for tonight..

0.5* Parlay WAS/TOR/HOU/SAN ML +140

1.5* San Antonio -9 -110

0.8* New Orleans +7 -107
0.2* New Orleans ML +256
 
Sides 35-20 +15.91*
Totals 38-30-1 +6.86*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 4-5 +0.05*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 79-63-1 +17.49*


Almost perfect last night and a new season high in units. Let's keep it going.

Was waiting for this to open after watching last night. Derozen out and both Lowry and Powell got dinged at points last night.

1.5* Boston -5.5 -110
 
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0.5*/0.5* Brooklyn +2.5/ML -108/+121

0.75*/0.25* Chicago +3.5/ML -110/+140

0.5* Parlay DET/BOS/UTH/GSW ML +144
 
Might have to contact Diamond and Diamond to go after you with false advertising in your thread title if this keeps up.

:cheers3:
 
Sides 36-22 +14.32*
Totals 39-30-1 +7.86*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 5-5 +0.77*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 82-65-1 +17.62*


3-2 last night for a small profit and another season-high in units. Starting work on tonigh'ts action.
 
Sides 36-22 +14.32*
Totals 40-30-1 +8.86*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 5-5 +0.77*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 83-65-1 +18.62*


Glad I took the under instead of the side in that game. Less sweating involved.

Getting a head start on Friday...

1* IND / BKN under 220.5 -107
 
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Sides 37-22 +15.88*
Totals 42-31-1 +9.86*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 5-5 +0.77*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 86-66-1 +21.18*


3-1 last night but it could have been 4-0 if not for overtime in Houston. I capped that total perfectly...that's why I sold a point for the +105 because I was certain it wouldn't hit 220. And then that shit happens. Seriously, just eliminate overtime altogether in the reg season. Does it really matter all that much if you have a few ties? Fuck sakes.

By memory OT has aided me twice and cost me thrice this season.

Anyway, that's it...my 20 unit goal for the year. Thanks to all the awesome people here at CTG for helping make my NBA dreams come true.

:cheers3:
 
Well don't I feel silly. I planned to take a couple of days off to clear my head and get back to it on Monday after the Stuporbowl. Then I check out the model results for yesterday and the plays they 'recommended' would've gone 4-0. Of course there's no guarantee I would've selected any or all of them for actual bets but still, when the models are clicking the way they are right now, I really shouldn't be taking days off.

Only one play looking good for today. BOL to all...

1* TOR / BKN under 216.5 -106
 
Thanks Hugh. You nailed it...hard work. I am doing about 3-4 hours a day outside of watching games.

In the offseason I tried to figure out how much money I've made vs the hours I've put in over the past 5 years and it works out to about half minimum wage. Good thing I enjoy the ride.
 
Sides 37-22 +15.88*
Totals 43-31-1 +9.86*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 5-5 +0.77*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 87-66-1 +22.18*


Getting on this tonight in case the line inflates. Indiana rolling atm...

1* Indiana -4.5 -109
 
Sides 38-24 +14.79*
Totals 43-31-1 +9.86*
2H Sides 1-0 +0.75*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 5-5 +0.77*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 89-68-1 +20.84*


Went 2-2 with a small loss yesterday. Also realized that my total yesterday was one unit too high so corrected in the above numbers.

Only one bet on Tuesday...

1* ORL / HOU under 223.5 -110

My numbers say 210-217 is the correct total for this one. Good luck everyone.
 
Sides 38-24 +14.79*
Totals 43-32-1 +8.76*
2H Sides 2-0 +1.50*
2H Totals 2-4 -2.00*
Parlays 5-5 +0.77*
Ill-advised Live Plays 0-4 -3.33*


Overall 90-69-1 +20.49*


Took a few days off after a fight with the girlfriend. I need to have focus to win in this game.

I hit this first thing this morning. Wasn't going to post until later but I see its moved significantly already so I thought I'd better post before the line gets more stale than it already is.

Reasoning can be found elsewhere on the forum. Its the spot stupid!

1.5* Utah -6.5 -105

Will probably have a few more plays later.
 
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