Hulu's NBA 2016/17 Debacle
- Thread starter Hulu
- Start date
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 15-6 +10.22*
Totals 13-11 +2.84*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 29-19 +11.72*
2-0 last night. Fuck yeah.
Football day today but I did spy this total. My models have it falling somewhere between 191 and 194.5 with one outlier even suggesting it could get to 200. I was hoping for it to open at 191 and drop a couple of points, instead it opened at 187 and dropped. I think both these teams hit at least 90 and I'll take it. Good luck everyone.
1* UTH / MEM over 185 -110
Totals 13-11 +2.84*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 29-19 +11.72*
2-0 last night. Fuck yeah.
Football day today but I did spy this total. My models have it falling somewhere between 191 and 194.5 with one outlier even suggesting it could get to 200. I was hoping for it to open at 191 and drop a couple of points, instead it opened at 187 and dropped. I think both these teams hit at least 90 and I'll take it. Good luck everyone.
1* UTH / MEM over 185 -110
hugh613
Pretty much a regular
:cheers3:
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 15-7 +9.13*
Totals 13-12-1 +1.74*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 29-21-1 +9.53*
Right play but bad line and lucky to end up with a push in the end considering the Pistons played no defense whatsoever.
On to tonight...
1* MIL / CLE under 208.5 -105
1.5* Utah -7 -107
Still capping...may have a few more later.
Totals 13-12-1 +1.74*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 29-21-1 +9.53*
Right play but bad line and lucky to end up with a push in the end considering the Pistons played no defense whatsoever.
On to tonight...
1* MIL / CLE under 208.5 -105
1.5* Utah -7 -107
Still capping...may have a few more later.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 15-8 +7.56*
Totals 14-13-1 +1.69*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 30-23-1 +7.91*
Fell asleep and the Jazz were handling shit. What the hell man?
1* ORL / NYK over 211 -105
1* LAC / SAN over 204.5 -105
I liked the under in Brooktown but feel like I missed the number. If it gets up over 230 again towards tip, I may jump on it.
Totals 14-13-1 +1.69*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 30-23-1 +7.91*
Fell asleep and the Jazz were handling shit. What the hell man?
1* ORL / NYK over 211 -105
1* LAC / SAN over 204.5 -105
I liked the under in Brooktown but feel like I missed the number. If it gets up over 230 again towards tip, I may jump on it.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 15-8 +7.56*
Totals 17-14-1 +3.64*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 33-24-1 +9.86*
I almost made that last under a large play and now wish I had.
Here's a couple of unders for under your tree. Capping sides next. I like Golden State to win SU but I don't know if there is value in the current line. I will wait that one out to see if any Cavs money pushed it into a play.
1* GSW / CLE under 221 -106
1* CHI / SAN under 197.5 -110
Totals 17-14-1 +3.64*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 33-24-1 +9.86*
I almost made that last under a large play and now wish I had.
Here's a couple of unders for under your tree. Capping sides next. I like Golden State to win SU but I don't know if there is value in the current line. I will wait that one out to see if any Cavs money pushed it into a play.
1* GSW / CLE under 221 -106
1* CHI / SAN under 197.5 -110
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 16-9 +6.90*
Totals 21-15-1 +6.54*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 38-26-1 +12.10*
3-1 last night and hit all three totals which I like to see.
Locking this one in for tonight. A lot to like about this spot as Dallas had to play to the end last night against the Pels whereas the Rockets had the Suns wrapped up by the 4th and the bench got a workout. I believe it fits into one of BARs semi-super situations or close to it so thats another plus. Line should be at least 8 or 9 if not more IMO.
2* Houston -6.5 -105
Possibly one total tonight too.
Totals 21-15-1 +6.54*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 38-26-1 +12.10*
3-1 last night and hit all three totals which I like to see.
Locking this one in for tonight. A lot to like about this spot as Dallas had to play to the end last night against the Pels whereas the Rockets had the Suns wrapped up by the 4th and the bench got a workout. I believe it fits into one of BARs semi-super situations or close to it so thats another plus. Line should be at least 8 or 9 if not more IMO.
2* Houston -6.5 -105
Possibly one total tonight too.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Ok last one for today. I hate plays like this that are right on the edge of play/no-play. Add in the fact that I already missed the best number by a point and maybe I shouldn't be betting it. But I still think its solid. I would've lined this total between 207.5 and 211.5.
1* OKC / MIA over 207 -110
Thats it. BOL to everyone today.
1* OKC / MIA over 207 -110
Thats it. BOL to everyone today.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Ok change of plans. I am going back to the well with the Grizzlies tonight. They let me down but I think they will make ammends and keep the game with Boston close. 6.5 is just a few points too many to be giving away here. One thing I love about the Grizz is they have some pride and will try to bounce back from a stinker. Add in the fact that the last time these two played it was a battle that went to OT. Also add in the fact that Memphis is 6-1-1 on B2Bs this season and I like this play.
1.5* Memphis +6.5 -110
Hate having 3 plays on four games but I think my card is solid. Good luck everyone.
1.5* Memphis +6.5 -110
Hate having 3 plays on four games but I think my card is solid. Good luck everyone.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 17-10 +7.25*
Totals 21-16-1 +5.44*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 39-28-1 +11.35*
Really blew that Memphis game. When Conley sits, this team has nothing left. Harrison doesn't look like an NBA caliber player, Z-Bo can shoot but he's too slow to defend and I think Vince Carter has gone senile since he spent the 2nd quarter launching nonsense from behind the arc. Perhaps one of VCs teammates should be assigned to remind him that he's in a pro basketball game and not on the playground.
Totals 21-16-1 +5.44*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 39-28-1 +11.35*
Really blew that Memphis game. When Conley sits, this team has nothing left. Harrison doesn't look like an NBA caliber player, Z-Bo can shoot but he's too slow to defend and I think Vince Carter has gone senile since he spent the 2nd quarter launching nonsense from behind the arc. Perhaps one of VCs teammates should be assigned to remind him that he's in a pro basketball game and not on the playground.
hugh613
Pretty much a regular
That or tell him it's time to retire already - it's sad to think I was just a young man when Vinsanity hit, and now I'm old and... : )
Keep up the great work Hulu.
p.s. You going to the Winter Classic?
Hulu
#3DownNation
Nah hockey is pretty much non-existent for me these days. I used to love it as a kid but somewhere along the way the NHL just got boring.
It might be of interest as a nostalgic thing but since winter in southern ontario looks more like winter in southern england nowadays its hard to get excited about watching hockey in the rain.
It might be of interest as a nostalgic thing but since winter in southern ontario looks more like winter in southern england nowadays its hard to get excited about watching hockey in the rain.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Food for thought...
Overs were cashing at about a 53% clip as of early December. The market has now caught up and things are much more even. Its been 56% to the under since Christmas.
Leans that I'll be looking into today...
MIA/CHA under
BOS/CLE under
OKC/MEM over
PHI +13
TOR/PHX under
Overs were cashing at about a 53% clip as of early December. The market has now caught up and things are much more even. Its been 56% to the under since Christmas.
Leans that I'll be looking into today...
MIA/CHA under
BOS/CLE under
OKC/MEM over
PHI +13
TOR/PHX under
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 18-10 +8.25*
Totals 21-18-1 +3.31*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 40-30-1 +10.22*
Ok two losing days in a row. Trying not to make it three. Really don't want to fall under the 10 unit mark tonight but if that happens, I will take a couple of days for a reset.
Here's what I have locked in so far...
1* MIA / CHA under 204.5 -107
1* OKC / MEM over 198.5 -110
Totals 21-18-1 +3.31*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 40-30-1 +10.22*
Ok two losing days in a row. Trying not to make it three. Really don't want to fall under the 10 unit mark tonight but if that happens, I will take a couple of days for a reset.
Here's what I have locked in so far...
1* MIA / CHA under 204.5 -107
1* OKC / MEM over 198.5 -110
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 18-11 +7.15*
Totals 22-19-1 +3.21*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 41-32-1 +9.02*
Had to take a day off after that Philly implosion. Wow, what a shit team. They were ahead going into the 4th Q and then as soon as they got down by 4 or 5 points, they just completely gave up. No passing, no gameplan, just run and shoot a three. I get that you're not going to the playoffs but for jeebus sake play with some pride. What a joke of a team.
And then they waltz in and beat denver the next day. Unbettable team.
On to tonight...
1* CLE / CHA under 212.5 -108
1* MIL / CHI under 204.5 -105
Totals 22-19-1 +3.21*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 41-32-1 +9.02*
Had to take a day off after that Philly implosion. Wow, what a shit team. They were ahead going into the 4th Q and then as soon as they got down by 4 or 5 points, they just completely gave up. No passing, no gameplan, just run and shoot a three. I get that you're not going to the playoffs but for jeebus sake play with some pride. What a joke of a team.
And then they waltz in and beat denver the next day. Unbettable team.
On to tonight...
1* CLE / CHA under 212.5 -108
1* MIL / CHI under 204.5 -105
Last edited:
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 19-11 +8.65*
Totals 22-21-1 +1.08*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 42-34-1 +8.39*
Finally got a win but not a comfy one by any means. I also had two totals that I liked but backed out due to my record lately and of course they both cash. Anyway...on to tonight. I'll post plays later.
Totals 22-21-1 +1.08*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 42-34-1 +8.39*
Finally got a win but not a comfy one by any means. I also had two totals that I liked but backed out due to my record lately and of course they both cash. Anyway...on to tonight. I'll post plays later.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 20-12 +8.83*
Totals 22-22-1 -0.01*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 43-36-1 +7.48*
Still tough going. Now that bowl season has passed, I'm going to be focusing on fewer pre-game bets and more Live and 2H betting.
Having said that...
1* ATL / ORL over 207 -102
Totals 22-22-1 -0.01*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 43-36-1 +7.48*
Still tough going. Now that bowl season has passed, I'm going to be focusing on fewer pre-game bets and more Live and 2H betting.
Having said that...
1* ATL / ORL over 207 -102
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 20-12 +8.83*
Totals 23-23-1 -0.03*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 44-37-1 +7.46*
Totals are getting very tight these days. Hard to find anything worth the risk.
For Friday...
1.25* New York +5.5 -110
0.25* New York ML +189
1* LA Lakers -2.5 -105
1* MEM / GSW over 214.5 -107
Totals 23-23-1 -0.03*
2H Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Overall 44-37-1 +7.46*
Totals are getting very tight these days. Hard to find anything worth the risk.
For Friday...
1.25* New York +5.5 -110
0.25* New York ML +189
1* LA Lakers -2.5 -105
1* MEM / GSW over 214.5 -107
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 22-12 +11.55*
Totals 24-23-1 +0.97*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 47-40-1 +8.87*
Won some money but would've been an even better day had I not misread the Knicks in game so badly. I really saw them starting to tank and thought this would turn into a 2nd half walkabout and trend under. Credit to them to not give up and pull it out.
Trying to cap basketball and football together today. More plays possible later.
1* NOP / BOS over 213.5 -104
Totals 24-23-1 +0.97*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 47-40-1 +8.87*
Won some money but would've been an even better day had I not misread the Knicks in game so badly. I really saw them starting to tank and thought this would turn into a 2nd half walkabout and trend under. Credit to them to not give up and pull it out.
Trying to cap basketball and football together today. More plays possible later.
1* NOP / BOS over 213.5 -104
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 22-12 +11.55*
Totals 25-24-1 +0.34*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 48-41-1 +8.24*
1* LA Clippers -8.5 -111
1* Houston -2.5 -107
1* Parlay LAC ML / HOU ML +106
1* Portland -3.5 -106
Also liked Milwaukee but not sure what to do with lineup changes. Washington still useless on the road.
Totals 25-24-1 +0.34*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 0-1 -1.24*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 48-41-1 +8.24*
1* LA Clippers -8.5 -111
1* Houston -2.5 -107
1* Parlay LAC ML / HOU ML +106
1* Portland -3.5 -106
Also liked Milwaukee but not sure what to do with lineup changes. Washington still useless on the road.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 25-13 +13.49*
Totals 25-24-1 +0.34*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 1-1 -0.18*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 52-42-1 +11.24*
Thanks Hugh. 4-1 on Sunday combined with a perfect 4-0 in football made for a great day in the Hulu household. Probably going to give some back tonight with these fine plays...
1* ATL / BKN u216 -108
1* Toronto -4.5 -110
1* Sacramento -2 -108
Totals 25-24-1 +0.34*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 1-1 -0.18*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 52-42-1 +11.24*
Thanks Hugh. 4-1 on Sunday combined with a perfect 4-0 in football made for a great day in the Hulu household. Probably going to give some back tonight with these fine plays...
1* ATL / BKN u216 -108
1* Toronto -4.5 -110
1* Sacramento -2 -108
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 27-13 +15.49*
Totals 26-24-1 +1.34*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 1-1 -0.18*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 55-42-1 +14.24*
Closing in on 100 bets and hitting just above 56% so pretty much right where I want to be.
Based on my recent history, I can expect to place some 250-350 bets in the NBA this season. So lets say 300 is an average season. On average about 5 of those will push. With an average vig of -108, I will have to hit 55% of the remaining 295 bets. That 163-132 record will yield just over 20 units which is my goal. To merely finish in the black, I need to hit 154-141 or 52%.
So the difference between hitting my 20 unit goal and breaking even is 9 bets. That's it, 9 out of 300 is the margin between winning and losing.
Anyway, speaking of losing...
1* Oklahoma City -4.5 -105
1* MEM / OKC over 203 -110
0.75* Parlay OKC -4.5 / over 203 +276
I really like this game and think I have a good handle on how it plays out with OKC and the over so added a little on what I see as a correlated parlay.
Will probably have another play or two.
Totals 26-24-1 +1.34*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
ML Parlays 1-1 -0.18*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 55-42-1 +14.24*
Closing in on 100 bets and hitting just above 56% so pretty much right where I want to be.
Based on my recent history, I can expect to place some 250-350 bets in the NBA this season. So lets say 300 is an average season. On average about 5 of those will push. With an average vig of -108, I will have to hit 55% of the remaining 295 bets. That 163-132 record will yield just over 20 units which is my goal. To merely finish in the black, I need to hit 154-141 or 52%.
So the difference between hitting my 20 unit goal and breaking even is 9 bets. That's it, 9 out of 300 is the margin between winning and losing.
Anyway, speaking of losing...
1* Oklahoma City -4.5 -105
1* MEM / OKC over 203 -110
0.75* Parlay OKC -4.5 / over 203 +276
I really like this game and think I have a good handle on how it plays out with OKC and the over so added a little on what I see as a correlated parlay.
Will probably have another play or two.
Hulu
#3DownNation
Sides 28-13 +16.49*
Totals 27-25-1 +1.74*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 1-2 -0.93*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 57-44-1 +14.89*
Split the card but came out with a small profit.
Only one bet I really like for today.
1* NOP / BKN under 218 -106
Girlfriend just has to go to the damn mall but I hope to be back to watch the early game from merry old england. I am working on a new in-game model that I am currently back testing but I may look to play something live in this one if it sets up right.
Totals 27-25-1 +1.74*
2H Totals 1-2 -0.89*
Parlays 1-2 -0.93*
Live Totals 0-2 -1.52*
Overall 57-44-1 +14.89*
Split the card but came out with a small profit.
Only one bet I really like for today.
1* NOP / BKN under 218 -106
Girlfriend just has to go to the damn mall but I hope to be back to watch the early game from merry old england. I am working on a new in-game model that I am currently back testing but I may look to play something live in this one if it sets up right.
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