Friday new series new money Discussion

GWarner27

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
leans from the BOL open:
CIN +133
StL -122
PIT +110
ATL +158
TEX o9 -115
TOR +108
OAK u7 -105
LAA -115
CLE -103

on the radar:
NYM u6.5 -120
PIT u6 -105
 
Wish the Nats were playing just about any other team but may still take a stab on DeSclafani.

Twins pound lefties and Hunter, Mauer, Suzuki have plenty of experience/knowledge to share about Buehrle. Jays should score on May. Looks like an over to me.
 
At first glance, would not blame one who wanted to fade: Stras, Capuano, Sanchez and Hudson

Tons of work to do, initial leans: kc, bal, cin, mia, min, lad, oak, laa, cle, atl
 
usually don't do this but can't help but like this prop tomorrow.

marlins/mets no score first inning. Anything under -140 is good to me.
 
like me some Cubs tomorrow. KC faltering, Volquez on road. Seems like a good spot for the Cubs.
 
Lean KC. Discussions should start with facts I think.
Arrieta for example is better at night and on 4 days rest this year. Not a decision yet but betting against Volquez trying to stop the losing streak would not occur to me. Looks like lots of good bets.
 
Stephen is a problem but the Reds have 1 win this year vs a over 500 team. Tasty
 
No study let but Minn really does look good,
Great night team that kills lefties
Toronto 2-5 on Friday
Minn 5-2
 
Volquez 8-4 last 12 away with a GREAT history vs Cubs
Not sure that 8-4 is right but that is what the data bank says
 
Blind eye

cubs - 145
houst - 135
under 8.5 houst / wsoxcinci + 120
okland - 140
under 7 oak / nyy

??? Seattle - 100
?? Minny
 
Houston will probably be a play.
Volquez on 5 2.84 ERA
Volquez in the day this year 1.90 ERA
I can give angles for the Cubs but as a team they are 4-6 last 10 and Arrieta is 2-3 starting at home.
 
Last edited:
Hamels on 5
.69
Reds pitcher with the difficult name on 5 1.80 ERA based on 25 innings
 
Hudson on 4 again
0-4 ERA of 8.87 based on 22.1 innings
May 3.38 on 5 sort of average
 
The Giants are 11-0 SU in Hudson's home starts when they score more than 2 runs. They are 1-9 SU in Hudson's home starts when they score 2 or less.
 
Royals bats are ice cold right now....they could turn it around but I wouldn't bet them until I see it happen. Volquez has looked very good lately.
 
Balt 1-7 L8 Fri games

Hudson facing Braves for first time since leaving. Motivation?

Would love to take Oak but they cannot hit LHP.
 
aplous said:
Royals bats are ice cold right now....they could turn it around but I wouldn't bet them until I see it happen. Volquez has looked very good lately.
Click to expand...

Volquez's team is 10-0 SU versus the Cubs. That's crazy. But he hasn't pitched an actual game at Wrigley since 2013. He allowed 8 runs in 10.2 IP in his L2 starts there.
 
No man, just wondering what you thought of the A's last night. For me - I thought it was promising - especially coming off the last game v LHP in which they went 0-11 with RISP versus Price.
 
Last night was a late night for the Yankees, too. I'm thinking of fading all the teams who traveled east to west again tonight.
 
Doesn't pertain to MLB but thought this article from blankets was worthwhile to post

Nevada sportsbooks break basketball betting record in April



Nevada sportsbooks took in a state record $123.1 million in basketball bets this April, according to the Nevada State Gaming Control Board, but earned just $2.1 million on hoops with a 1.71 percent hold for the month.

That was a 58.63 percent decrease in basketball winnings from April 2014 when Nevada sportsbooks won a record $5.08 million on hoops, with a hold of 5.31 percent on $95.8 million wagered across the state.

Basketball betting in April included regular season NBA action, a few other college postseason tournaments, two NCAA Final Four games and the National Championship. However, those basketball winnings may have been tempered by the Duke Blue Devils, one of the most publicly bet teams in college basketball, and their run to the national title. Duke was perfect against the pointspread in the NCAA tournament, including covering the spread in both the national semifinal and final.

“Duke winning probably didn’t help but I didn’t reach out on this one for definitive answers,” Michael Lawton, senior research analyst for the Nevada State Gaming Control Board, tells Covers, pointing out that bet volume (handle) was up 30.4 percent from last April.

Nevada books took in a record-breaking $375.5 million on NCAA and NBA action in March 2015, with approximately 70 percent of that handle on NCAA basketball. That led to a $27.9 million win off basketball betting in March on a win percentage (hold) of 7.44 percent – another state record for basketball win.


Overall, sportsbooks won $7.9 million on sports betting in April 2015. That’s a decrease from April 2014’s overall win of $9.2 million but more than the $5.7 million earned in April 2013. April 2015’s overall win was also slimmed by the more than $4.6 million in outstanding football wagers being cashed in during the month. Since the start of 2015 (January to April), Nevada-based sportsbooks have won almost $61 million.

The opening month of the MLB season was a home run for Nevada books, winning $6.7 million on baseball betting in April. Baseball bettors wagered nearly $93.8 million in April with Nevada sportsbooks celebrating a hold (win percentage) of 7.16 percent. Sportsbooks won $4.5 million on baseball in April of last year and $6.4 million in April 2013.

The category of “Other Sports” – which includes NHL, golf, racing, soccer, tennis, boxing and MMA - was also a money maker for Nevada books in April, putting more than $3.7 million into the books’ pockets. The 2015 Masters golf tournament was held between April 9-12 and is one of the biggest “Other Sport” events of the betting calendar. Last year, the category won $3.4 million for Silver State bookmakers.

The Gaming Control Board reports that Nevada casinos won $897,925,088 overall in April 2015, a 5.39 percent increase from April 2014’s earnings of $851,977,865.
 
Looking at Jays over, Minnesota does well against lefties, May can be had, jays getting healthier with the return of Reyes and have Reyes, Donaldson, Jose, Edwin as top 4 again
 
tuck321 said:
Volquez 8-4 last 12 away with a GREAT history vs Cubs
Not sure that 8-4 is right but that is what the data bank says
Click to expand...

This is great history?

[TABLE="class: tablehead"]
<tbody>[TR="class: stathead"]
[TD="colspan: 13"]Chicago Cubs Career statistics vs. Edinson Volquez[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: colhead"]
[TD]BATTER[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]AB[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]H[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2B[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3B[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]HR[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]RBI[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]BB[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SO[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]AVG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OBP[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SLG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OPS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-32823"]
[TD]Arismendy Alcantara[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-32127"]
[TD]Javier Baez[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].667[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1.167[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-29723"]
[TD]Mike Baxter[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].429[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1.000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1.429[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-30450"]
[TD]Starlin Castro[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]21[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].238[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].238[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].429[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].667[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-29772"]
[TD]Chris Coghlan[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].200[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].444[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].400[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].844[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-6431"]
[TD]Chris Denorfia[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-29252"]
[TD]Dexter Fowler[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]25[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].320[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].414[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].560[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].974[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-29119"]
[TD]Jonathan Herrera[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].600[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].714[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].600[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1.314[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-30718"]
[TD]Junior Lake[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].400[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].400[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].400[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].800[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-28586"]
[TD]Miguel Montero[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]24[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].208[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].345[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].292[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].636[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-31218"]
[TD]Mike Olt[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-30782"]
[TD]Anthony Rizzo[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].429[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].714[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1.214[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-5206"]
[TD]David Ross[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].500[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-31337"]
[TD]Matt Szczur[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].667[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow bi"]
[TD]Totals[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]113[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]31[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]12[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]19[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]24[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].274[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].381[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].442[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"].823[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
tuck321 said:
Lean KC. Discussions should start with facts I think.
Arrieta for example is better at night and on 4 days rest this year. Not a decision yet but betting against Volquez trying to stop the losing streak would not occur to me. Looks like lots of good bets.
Click to expand...

couldn't agree more.
 
austinhous said:
Volquez's team is 10-0 SU versus the Cubs. That's crazy. But he hasn't pitched an actual game at Wrigley since 2013. He allowed 8 runs in 10.2 IP in his L2 starts there.
Click to expand...

Much better Cubs team now then is 2013 and 2014
 
austinhous said:
No man, just wondering what you thought of the A's last night. For me - I thought it was promising - especially coming off the last game v LHP in which they went 0-11 with RISP versus Price.
Click to expand...

Seeing Capuano's name makes it more promising as well. He is no Price. Reddick and Canha have been the worst...over 85 AB for around .130 avg, although Canha is one of the guys who looked better last night getting on base a couple times.
 
[TABLE="class: tableOdds, width: 1180"]
<tbody id="oddsBody">[TR="class: row-odd"]
[TD="class: team"] 5/29

4:05 PM


979 KC-E Volquez
980 CHC-J Arrieta
​
[/TD]
[TD="class: bets"] 12366
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 66%
34%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 65%
35%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 32%
68%
[/TD]
[TD="class: pct"] 67%
33%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
austinhous said:
Hamels has started 94 games in his career on 5 days rest. Interested as to why you are basing his 5-days ERA on a two game sample?
Click to expand...
Obviously there are big changes year to year on players and days rest and I want to stay current.
Just got up and Killersports has 2 different trends that support him today.
Also a 10-0 for the Twins and a 11-0 for the Astros
 
come on cubbies... blow this open


cant play the over in minny in any way with gooch... buehrle has very good numbers with him and at Target
 
Read some fairly silly things about Volquez in this thread.
Last 20 games
13-7
Last 20 games 13 quality starts of 6 innings or more only giving up 2 runs or less except for 1 game I list as a quality start where he went 7 and a third innings and gave up 3 runs. Total runs given up in those 13 games came to 14
 
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