Marlo
Check out my DAD BOD
14-15-1 -5.56 units.
7-6 +2.66 with Dallas pending
New Orleans -7 1.75 units
Love this spot for NO, they come back into this game healthy. They come into this game off a road loss against Atlanta. Where there were really never in the game. Atlanta set the tone of the game from the get go, and despite a 3rd quarter push from NO they were down 6-8 the whole time.
New Orleans beat them last year 112-88 at New Orleans and 99-85 at Charlotte. Both games last year were played before NO was considered by the public as a power house.
Looking at Charlotte's losses this year
Lost by 3 @ NY. Lost by 20 @ home against Detroit and 13 to a Miami squad, and by 17 @ Cleveland.
Obviously this team has shown they have the ability to get blow out. After seeing NO lose on Wednesday night I had a feeling NO was going to beat them by DD. I made this line right where its at, and wouldnt be surprised to see -9 or -9.5 at some point in time. I'm thinking I will have a play on NO 1st quarter or 1st half as well as I expect them to bounce back after the loss in quick fashion
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS the last 8.
Toronto +3 2.5 units
IMHO Atlanta has over performed to start the season. Yes this is the same team that took Boston to 7 games last year, and yes this is the same team that has beat ORL, PHIlly, and NO this year. Toronto is off a home loss to Detroit, who right now looks as good as Boston and Cleveland as the best team's in the EAST, but there comes a time when a team has to stop performing at the level it is, and this game is it. Atlanta plays at home before going on a road trip on Sunday. They have there next game against OKC, so this game could easily be a let down, they snatch up another win @ OKC to start the year 4-1 and quite possibly 5-1 before they face BOS next week. I know BAR said O'neal is not performing as well as some would consider, but I think this Toronto team offers match up problems for Atlanta and the combo of Bosh/Oneal/Calderon provide problems for ATL. Will be playing Tor ML as well. Would lean strongly to the over as well, Strong Trends support this as only 1 of the last 9 games between these two teams have gone over the total.
Cleveland -9 .50 units
After watching Cleveland for the 2nd time last night for a significant amount of time, I realized 1 thing. This team is finally healthy, and they finally have the horses to go with Bron to make a run for the Title. They are playing great, and it seems Bron has discovered that he can absolutely PWN anyone off the dribble when he drives. This team seems they are out to prove something. At first glance this line seems ultra high, but you also have to figure in the scheduling spots for both teams. Cleveland plays a home game, and has a road game tomorrow night against Chicago in which I believe they will lose SU, because they come back home again for a nice home stretch. Indiana has Cleveland OTR then the go home for two games against New Jersey, and OKC, both winnable games. They can easily take the night off here knowing they can go home and win both games, and then go back on the road and lose to NJ. I would expect alot of love to come in on Indiana thinking this line a little to high and possible drive this line down. Thats why I'm only playing it where its at, will add more if it goes to 8 thats my key number because I made the game -7.5.
1st quarter under 47.5 2 units
Trends strongly point to a under here. San Antonio is also offer a long game on Wednesday night against Minnesota where they played 2OT. All of the starters and key bench players for San Antonio played a ton of minutes, add in the factor they have to travel from cold Minnesota to Miami. I think San Antonio has tired legs. Also Miami for the exception of there first game against NYK have started out extremely slow.
Miami 1st quarter
41
42
36
55
San Antonio 1st quarter
36
39
43
35
Looking at a few more, but want to see what happens over night.
Chicago ML +165 1unit
I have had a gut feeling for 2 days that Chicago wins SU either against PHO, or against Clev. Both games they will be dogs. Were seeing 4 here and I expect -5 on Saturday. All this team has to do is find some kind togetherness, and they will start to win, but like Tuck said all they are now is a Middle of the road team in the EAST at best, but with all that talent if they can shoot well they will beat some teams they shouldnt. I tend to thinkt they beat PHX tomorrow night, but I'm not 100% sure.
Minnesota ML +130 1 units
Minnesota is playing really well right now. This team will rarely ever beat a team there not supposed to i.e. Dal/San An this year. Both games this year they had there opps. to beat these teams and couldnt close. I think against teams like SAC/Mem/OKC/Char they stand a fair chance and should be considered a pk or +1 or +2 against these squads. I think if Minny beats OKC earlier this week as small chalk this game is a pk.
7-6 +2.66 with Dallas pending
New Orleans -7 1.75 units
Love this spot for NO, they come back into this game healthy. They come into this game off a road loss against Atlanta. Where there were really never in the game. Atlanta set the tone of the game from the get go, and despite a 3rd quarter push from NO they were down 6-8 the whole time.
New Orleans beat them last year 112-88 at New Orleans and 99-85 at Charlotte. Both games last year were played before NO was considered by the public as a power house.
Looking at Charlotte's losses this year
Lost by 3 @ NY. Lost by 20 @ home against Detroit and 13 to a Miami squad, and by 17 @ Cleveland.
Obviously this team has shown they have the ability to get blow out. After seeing NO lose on Wednesday night I had a feeling NO was going to beat them by DD. I made this line right where its at, and wouldnt be surprised to see -9 or -9.5 at some point in time. I'm thinking I will have a play on NO 1st quarter or 1st half as well as I expect them to bounce back after the loss in quick fashion
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS the last 8.
Toronto +3 2.5 units
IMHO Atlanta has over performed to start the season. Yes this is the same team that took Boston to 7 games last year, and yes this is the same team that has beat ORL, PHIlly, and NO this year. Toronto is off a home loss to Detroit, who right now looks as good as Boston and Cleveland as the best team's in the EAST, but there comes a time when a team has to stop performing at the level it is, and this game is it. Atlanta plays at home before going on a road trip on Sunday. They have there next game against OKC, so this game could easily be a let down, they snatch up another win @ OKC to start the year 4-1 and quite possibly 5-1 before they face BOS next week. I know BAR said O'neal is not performing as well as some would consider, but I think this Toronto team offers match up problems for Atlanta and the combo of Bosh/Oneal/Calderon provide problems for ATL. Will be playing Tor ML as well. Would lean strongly to the over as well, Strong Trends support this as only 1 of the last 9 games between these two teams have gone over the total.
Cleveland -9 .50 units
After watching Cleveland for the 2nd time last night for a significant amount of time, I realized 1 thing. This team is finally healthy, and they finally have the horses to go with Bron to make a run for the Title. They are playing great, and it seems Bron has discovered that he can absolutely PWN anyone off the dribble when he drives. This team seems they are out to prove something. At first glance this line seems ultra high, but you also have to figure in the scheduling spots for both teams. Cleveland plays a home game, and has a road game tomorrow night against Chicago in which I believe they will lose SU, because they come back home again for a nice home stretch. Indiana has Cleveland OTR then the go home for two games against New Jersey, and OKC, both winnable games. They can easily take the night off here knowing they can go home and win both games, and then go back on the road and lose to NJ. I would expect alot of love to come in on Indiana thinking this line a little to high and possible drive this line down. Thats why I'm only playing it where its at, will add more if it goes to 8 thats my key number because I made the game -7.5.
- Favorite is 13-3-2 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
- Home team is 10-3-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
- Cleveland is 10-1 ATS there last 11 games
1st quarter under 47.5 2 units
Trends strongly point to a under here. San Antonio is also offer a long game on Wednesday night against Minnesota where they played 2OT. All of the starters and key bench players for San Antonio played a ton of minutes, add in the factor they have to travel from cold Minnesota to Miami. I think San Antonio has tired legs. Also Miami for the exception of there first game against NYK have started out extremely slow.
Miami 1st quarter
41
42
36
55
San Antonio 1st quarter
36
39
43
35
Looking at a few more, but want to see what happens over night.
Chicago ML +165 1unit
I have had a gut feeling for 2 days that Chicago wins SU either against PHO, or against Clev. Both games they will be dogs. Were seeing 4 here and I expect -5 on Saturday. All this team has to do is find some kind togetherness, and they will start to win, but like Tuck said all they are now is a Middle of the road team in the EAST at best, but with all that talent if they can shoot well they will beat some teams they shouldnt. I tend to thinkt they beat PHX tomorrow night, but I'm not 100% sure.
Minnesota ML +130 1 units
Minnesota is playing really well right now. This team will rarely ever beat a team there not supposed to i.e. Dal/San An this year. Both games this year they had there opps. to beat these teams and couldnt close. I think against teams like SAC/Mem/OKC/Char they stand a fair chance and should be considered a pk or +1 or +2 against these squads. I think if Minny beats OKC earlier this week as small chalk this game is a pk.
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