Friday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
May 13 Fri 2022

05:35 PM
951Cincinnati RedsT. Mahle -R+102O 8
-105
952Pittsburgh PiratesM. Keller -R-112U 8
-115
05:40 PM
953Milwaukee BrewersC. Burnes -R-1½
+130		-132O 6½
+105
954Miami MarlinsP. Lopez -R+1½
-150		+122U 6½
-125
06:05 PM
975Houston AstrosF. Valdez -L-1½
+105		-153O 8
-115
976Washington NationalsJ. Gray -R+1½
-125		+141U 8
-105
06:10 PM
963Baltimore OriolesJ. Lyles -R+1½
-170		+127O 8
+105
964Detroit TigersE. Rodriguez -L-1½
+150		-137U 8
-125
06:10 PM
965Toronto Blue JaysK. Gausman -R-1½
+145		-122O 6½
-120
966Tampa Bay RaysD. Rasmussen -R+1½
-165		+112U 6½
+100
06:10 PM
977Seattle MarinersM. Gonzales -L+1½
-115		+196O 7
-110
978New York MetsM. Scherzer -R-1½
-105		-215U 7
-110
06:20 PM
955San Diego PadresY. Darvish -R+1½
-170		+138O 7
-115
956Atlanta BravesM. Fried -L-1½
+150		-149U 7
-105
07:05 PM
967Boston Red SoxN. Pivetta -R+1½
-195		+102O 8½
-110
968Texas RangersD. Dunning -R-1½
+170		-112U 8½
-110
07:10 PM
969Cleveland GuardiansA. Civale -R+1½
-145		+144O 8
-120
970Minnesota TwinsS. Gray -R+1 Markets-1½
+125		-156U 8
+100
07:10 PM
971New York YankeesG. Cole -R-1½
+100		-165O 7½
-110
972Chicago White SoxV. Velasquez -R+1½
-120		+152U 7½
-110
07:15 PM
957San Francisco GiantsL. Webb -R-1½
+145		-114O 7½
-105
958St. Louis CardinalsJ. Hicks -R+1½
-165		+104U 7½
-115
07:40 PM
979Kansas City RoyalsZ. Greinke -R+1½
-150		+126O 10½
-110
980Colorado RockiesK. Freeland -L-1½
+130		-136U 10½
-110
08:40 PM
959Chicago CubsD. Smyly -L+1½
-180		+110O 8½
-125
960Arizona DiamondbacksZ. Davies -R-1½
+160		-120U 8½
+105
08:40 PM
973Los Angeles AngelsC. Silseth -R-1½
+115		-145O 7½
-120
974Oakland AthleticsD. Jefferies -R+1½
-135		+134U 7½
+100
09:10 PM
961Philadelphia PhilliesK. Gibson -R+1½
-110		+196O 7½
-105
962Los Angeles DodgersC. Kershaw -L-1½
-110		-215U 7½
-115
 
Looking at Webb, Lopez, Darvish & Mahle. Webb, I like a lot. Might be buying high on Lopez...will do research.
 
Think I want some of Lopez in one way or another, going to Miami against their pitching should be a rude awakening for milw who been feasting off reds minor league pitching in band boxes 6 of last 9 games. Look how Braves pitching shut them down w exception the open gm in series opener. I dunno that fish can score off Burnes tho? Prob be looking at Ff under or Lopez props.
 
That a really low total in oak for one pitcher I dunno anything about and another who ain’t that good!
 
For whatever reason kc can’t hit lhp at all. They just got owned by 2 average at best lefties in texas. Greinke has pitched plenty at coors w fairly decent success but I dunno bout this version of him? Think I’m looking more at Freeland over outs prop even tho that a scary bet to make in that park. 5.2 innings against royals should be doable.
 
Ryno14 said:
Reds
Click to expand...

They been on fire! Last week we were talking bout them as being all time bad, now they almost have same record at tigers! Lol., another one these fuvkinb games I hate where pitcher facing same team in b2b starts. So hard to cap those imo.
 
Fucksrs are asking for -130 for the privilege of playing FF u3 in Miami! I dunno how else to bet it tho? Kinda a bummer this the only marquee pitching matchup we getting in Miami this weekend, there was a chance wr could have gotten several great pitching duels but the stars didn’t line up so this is basically the 1.
 
2daBank said:
Fucksrs are asking for -130 for the privilege of playing FF u3 in Miami! I dunno how else to bet it tho? Kinda a bummer this the only marquee pitching matchup we getting in Miami this weekend, there was a chance wr could have gotten several great pitching duels but the stars didn’t line up so this is basically the 1.
Click to expand...
Both pitchers match up so well with the opposing offenses though.
 
Looking at Lopez ov 5.5 k’s and/or over 17.5 outs. Barnes numbers are too high for my blood considering fish better hitting righties than lefties and don’t strike out as much vs rhp.
 
I was hoping to get a better price w fish Ff + the half run also but no such luck. -130 same as the Ff under.
 
Maybe this a spot to take advantage of them now allowing us to parlay the RL with total? Fish +1.5 and under 6.5 has a decent feel to it!
 
Normally I’d love Webb vs cards but again another one these matchups with b2b starts against same team! One thing both pitchers could have going for them is storms are forecasted to come into the area around 9-10, so we could see a nice big k-zone in a attempt to get the game played before the rain hits!
 
Actually shocked line has ticked down a bit in stl, Webb been getting babip’ed to death this year which makes you think a certain group of ppl would be all over him! I’m not in the camp that says it is necessarily bad luck tho, I think there a reason the babip is so high, he missing in the middle the plate more often, you do that guys are gonna have a higher batting average against you, that isn’t bad luck!

That said his stuff still looks really good and he absolutely has the kind of arsenal that would typically give cards problems, I was kinda shocked they hit him as well they did in San Fran last week!! For some reason he hasn’t fared that great vs cards but it only been a few starts. They have Webb total outs at 17.5 but heavy juice to the over, he has reached at least 6 innings in 4 of his 6 starts and while he got pulled after 5 innings against cards he probably could have pitched one more inning, the issue he was getting hit. I expect he will make it 6 innings in this start but is it so strong it worth -175? Probably not. His strikeouts are a much more reasonable -130 to the over on 4.5, I think that more than doable as his k rate may be down thus far his swinging strikes in line with his other years so you would expect his k’s get back to his typical 8-9 per 9 innings. He did fan 7 cards in those 5 innings last week. I think he gets to 5 minimum here as cards have quite a few guys flailing at everything (I’m looking at you O’Neal! ). My best guess on him would be 6 innings 2 runs, 6 k’s. Imo most value on the over 4.5 k’s -130.

Hicks way tougher to pin down as his start in San Fran was cut short thanks to taking a liner off his wrist. He was on his way to completing 5 innings in that start but he still has yet To throw more than 70 pitches, I think he was on his way to throwing about 80 last game but since it was cut short I assume that would be about his limit here (give or take 5-10 depending how it going). I think it be helsly after him who been great and probably Cabrera also at some point. If I was confident in it being those 3 then I’d say giants not gonna score much. Im not certain tho. Think I’m just rolling with Webb strikeout total and will be watching to see the rest.
 
did dodgers change pitchers from kershaw to ferris buehler? that blows, i liked the over with gibson vs kershaw, couldnt convince myself to back gibson, he doesnt have the goods to be able to get this lad lineup out, he has never been great against left handed hitters which means predictably he has never fared well vs lad. i like phils lineup much better vs lefties even if that lefty was kershaw, not so much against buehler. with this matchup the way to go is probably lad-1.5 but that not even plus money.. every dodgers win been by at least 2 runs!
 
think that gonna bout wrap up my card.

lopex ov 5.5 k's
webb over 4.5 k's
dunning ov 16.5 outs
lad-1.5
fish+1.5/u6.5 parlay
 
Ryno14 said:
dunning over 16.5 outs..


Like this
Click to expand...

yea in that park it feels a out or 2 short. he just went 6 innings in the bronx, 7+ vs atl at home and 5.2 vs stros (which all we need). he has enough variety he should be able to put in a quality start vs a struggling sox lineup.

i just noticed davies is at 14.5 outs, anytime 5 innings cashes i gotta take a real close look. cubs were able to get to pads high octane pitchers (in between strike outs). Davies will be a big change from what they been seeing, it be interesting to see if he can induce those free swingers into a bunch of ground balls, that really tempting but the juice pretty high.
 
2daBank said:
yea in that park it feels a out or 2 short. he just went 6 innings in the bronx, 7+ vs atl at home and 5.2 vs stros (which all we need). he has enough variety he should be able to put in a quality start vs a struggling sox lineup.

i just noticed davies is at 14.5 outs, anytime 5 innings cashes i gotta take a real close look. cubs were able to get to pads high octane pitchers (in between strike outs). Davies will be a big change from what they been seeing, it be interesting to see if he can induce those free swingers into a bunch of ground balls, that really tempting but the juice pretty high.
Click to expand...
Roof open scares me here
 
Fucking Webb has had bout half cards hitters down 2 strikes and hasn’t punched out any of them. Hopefully that be only loss the night. Just skated by with dunning outs, got the fish +1.5/under parlay, just doyers-1.5 left!
 
I always said I would smash books if they let me play those +1.5 and unders, gonna start attacking those when I see pitching duels!
 
KJ said:
Was watching, guy has no put away pitch at all
Click to expand...
It was definitely weird to see him not have the stuff to strike anyone out, but pitch just fine. The result was great, but he had 7 K's last start. He must be hurt?
 
Smokeshow99 said:
It was definitely weird to see him not have the stuff to strike anyone out, but pitch just fine. The result was great, but he had 7 K's last start. He must be hurt?
Click to expand...
Did they just see him last weekend? Maybe they figured that part out, dunno but they pretty easily spoiled pitches w/2 strikes
 
KJ said:
Did they just see him last weekend? Maybe they figured that part out, dunno but they pretty easily spoiled pitches w/2 strikes
Click to expand...
Last start was the cards. 8H, 4ER, 7K, 2BB. He had multiple wild pitches in 1st & 2nd.
 
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