February Discussion Thread...

Good spot for the Raps tonight, both they and Hawks on g2 of b2b but they stay home, Hawks beat Phx last night then had to fly, go through customs, etc. ATL could look awfully sluggish in this one.
 
askias said:
Pelicans current 1Q Road Streak:

31-33 @ Det (W) O

19-17 @ Cle (W) U
24-20 @ Phi (W) U
27-17 @ NY (W) U
29-18 @ Bos (W) U
22-32 @ Bkn (L) U
26-27 @ Tor (W) U
24-27 @ Mil (W) U
18-32 @ OKC (L) U
32-17 @ Orl (W) U
24-28 @ OKC (L) U
26-28 @ SA (L) U
26-28 @ Hou (L) U
14-19 @ Dal (L) U
Click to expand...
Man hard to not play this tonight, Denver has over a 10 pt edge in the 1Q as well according to the chart that cryptocapper posted in the Jan thread. Also looks like Jazz have a significant 1Q edge over the Nets
 
Anyone else watching this Philly/Dallas game? It started with a crooked rim, then they broke the backboard trying to fix the rim, and now they are just going to replace the whole thing. Been 15 minutes and counting while they try and get this fixed.
 
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askias said:
Anyone else watching this Philly/Dallas game? It started with a crooked rim, then they broke the backboard trying to fix the rim, and now they are just going to replace the whole thing. Been 15 minutes and counting while they try and get this fixed.
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Shattered backboards were easy fixes compared to this
 
The Mavs have gone 0 for 10 since they went to the backup post. Game still in the 1Q an hour later lol.
 
1st thing that jumped out to me for Sunday was last game on card, bucks -4.5 at clippers? Bucks on the B2B but game at Portland was easy breezy, Holiday played most minutes and still only played 27, everyone else was under 25. That kinda defeats purpose of my next thought but gotta look at milw 1st qrtr or maybe half with their penchant for jumping out quick and clippers being slow starters. Maybe bucks 1st qrtr, if they get behind early grab them live for game at better number. Thoughts?
 
2daBank said:
1st thing that jumped out to me for Sunday was last game on card, bucks -4.5 at clippers? Bucks on the B2B but game at Portland was easy breezy, Holiday played most minutes and still only played 27, everyone else was under 25. That kinda defeats purpose of my next thought but gotta look at milw 1st qrtr or maybe half with their penchant for jumping out quick and clippers being slow starters. Maybe bucks 1st qrtr, if they get behind early grab them live for game at better number. Thoughts?
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Bucks are well rested. Like you said the port game was over by half, their guys didn’t log heavy minutes. Will clippers have Covington and Powell or are they not available yet?
 
Big daddy naught said:
Bucks are well rested. Like you said the port game was over by half, their guys didn’t log heavy minutes. Will clippers have Covington and Powell or are they not available yet?
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Not sure. Honestly I hadn’t paid enough attention around what even happened w that trade or what they gave blazers? Between the snowstorm and having other crap going on this week I ain’t been 100% dug in. Lol.

Them playing might make 1st qrtr less appealing? Sounds like we agree tired legs not a issue for milw, the 1st qrtr idea is just bucks being really strong early in games (even most the games they lose they tend to have 1st qrtr leads!) and clippers propensity for falling behind. I could def work it out where I bet some early stuff (assuming I find some plays) then going back to casino, stick with the milw 1st qrtr play and like I said if they don’t cash/fall behind can grab Bucks live for game at a good price. They win 1st qrtr cash my tickets and go home. If not take them for game and go home.

You seeing anything you like yet? That was really 1st thing that caught my eye, pretty sure I’ll be interested in hawks also, they have turned into my honorary fav team last few weeks as I have had pretty good read during win streak and when to stay off. Need to look closer at matchup vs Mavs But def lean to taking the points or ml.
 
2daBank said:
Not sure. Honestly I hadn’t paid enough attention around what even happened w that trade or what they gave blazers? Between the snowstorm and having other crap going on this week I ain’t been 100% dug in. Lol.

Them playing might make 1st qrtr less appealing? Sounds like we agree tired legs not a issue for milw, the 1st qrtr idea is just bucks being really strong early in games (even most the games they lose they tend to have 1st qrtr leads!) and clippers propensity for falling behind. I could def work it out where I bet some early stuff (assuming I find some plays) then going back to casino, stick with the milw 1st qrtr play and like I said if they don’t cash/fall behind can grab Bucks live for game at a good price. They win 1st qrtr cash my tickets and go home. If not take them for game and go home.

You seeing anything you like yet? That was really 1st thing that caught my eye, pretty sure I’ll be interested in hawks also, they have turned into my honorary fav team last few weeks as I have had pretty good read during win streak and when to stay off. Need to look closer at matchup vs Mavs But def lean to taking the points or ml.
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Gotta see who is in/out but I’ll bite on sixers. They couldn’t beat a zone vs Dallas my guess is they play a lot better tomorrow against a short handed Chicago.

I’d like to fade Brooklyn if line is reasonable
 
Hawks have had a really favorable schedule far as not seeing the road all that much, this only their 3rd road game in last several weeks, dunno if that a big deal or not?
 
Big daddy naught said:
Gotta see who is in/out but I’ll bite on sixers. They couldn’t beat a zone vs Dallas my guess is they play a lot better tomorrow against a short handed Chicago.

I’d like to fade Brooklyn if line is reasonable
Click to expand...

Who all sitting for bulls other than Ball? Their last few starting lineups look like they got some dudes logging way more meaningful minutes than typical. Short line.
 
Big daddy naught said:
Gotta see who is in/out but I’ll bite on sixers. They couldn’t beat a zone vs Dallas my guess is they play a lot better tomorrow against a short handed Chicago.

I’d like to fade Brooklyn if line is reasonable
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I see nugs -5. I don’t play many Denver games, actually last one was playing them in Brooklyn fading nets. Lol. Top my head only objection is nets go home for a game after this. I been wanting to play on them or kyrie in these spots but that team turning into a bigger dumpster fire than I thought they were even few weeks ago when the news bout kyrie playing on road dropped! Is harden even playing? I saw after basically taking night off in sac town then he didn’t play at all last game! Like we were saying he seems annoyed and close to checking out!! Certainly wouldn’t play on them! Lol. If harden and clackston out -5 seems really short!!
 
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Maybe it wouldn’t be bad to look at Denver as a spot we can get 1 win in these next 2 home games vs the NY teams! Lol.

Is this bad spot for nugs? I been trying to follow that chart @BetCrimes1984 has stickied up top bout teams home off long road trips, seems like the 2nd home game back kinda the sweet fade spot if there is one. Just curious ya’ll thoughts on that?
 
Big daddy naught said:
I’d like to fade Brooklyn if line is reasonable
Click to expand...

What you think bout Jokic (par) ov 46.5? Don’t see nets having much chance to deal with him, he went 44ish in Brooklyn, he only got 10 boards that game, seems light against this team, he outta be more like 13-15 boards, 25 points, and what like 8 dimes?? I guess that not really a ton of “value” lol. Just feels like a game he should get whatever he wants.
 
2daBank said:
What you think bout Jokic (par) ov 46.5? Don’t see nets having much chance to deal with him, he went 44ish in Brooklyn, he only got 10 boards that game, seems light against this team, he outta be more like 13-15 boards, 25 points, and what like 8 dimes?? I guess that not really a ton of “value” lol. Just feels like a game he should get whatever he wants.
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I get nervous if it’s a blowout bc he will sit. But don’t see why he can’t have 30+, 10+, 8ish.

Is harden gonna play
 
2daBank said:
What you think bout Jokic (par) ov 46.5? Don’t see nets having much chance to deal with him, he went 44ish in Brooklyn, he only got 10 boards that game, seems light against this team, he outta be more like 13-15 boards, 25 points, and what like 8 dimes?? I guess that not really a ton of “value” lol. Just feels like a game he should get whatever he wants.
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what's his rebs at? That might be worth a look.

I lean pretty heavy Nuggets su/ats Nets are a hot mess rn.
 
Lexington 125 said:
what's his rebs at? That might be worth a look.

I lean pretty heavy Nuggets su/ats Nets are a hot mess rn.
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Yea I’m with ya. Nugz or nothing. “Hot mess”, “dumpster fire”, “total joke”, all the above seem pretty accurate. It hilarious how they been the favs to win the title for basically 2 years straight now and they never gonna sniff a finals series let alone a ring!! How many games they all played together? 8-9 maybe in 2 years?? Lol
 
2daBank said:
Yea I’m with ya. Nugz or nothing. “Hot mess”, “dumpster fire”, “total joke”, all the above seem pretty accurate. It hilarious how they been the favs to win the title for basically 2 years straight now and they never gonna sniff a finals series let alone a ring!! How many games they all played together? 8-9 maybe in 2 years?? Lol
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Still a tough out IF KD, harden and Kyrie call all be on court but not without all 3
 
Did RR with Jokic o12.5 reb/Maxey o21.5 pts/asst/Edwards o2.5 3s/Luka double double by 2s/3s/4

11 bets total at +4242
 
Big daddy naught said:
Still a tough out IF KD, harden and Kyrie call all be on court but not without all 3
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Just KD a tough out! Not arguing that, dude a assassin! not sure how much better they are with all 3 since we really havnt seen it. Just don’t think they beating well constructed “teams”. That said I do find it kinda comical they been fairly big favs to win it all since they all got thrown together!! All the “ifs” in the world will ever have kyrie trustworthy, if it wasn’t the vax it be something else with him, always will be!!! Harden checking out., kd the only thing that makes them viable. Even harden at top his game a proven playoff bum with his flopping ass begging for foul game!!
 
I havnt looked at injury reports today but I’m assuming Denver up to -8 means Harden out? Maybe clackston also? Gonna use Nugs in another ml parlay ending with rams ml. Pays just bout even money,
 
Big daddy naught said:
I get nervous if it’s a blowout bc he will sit. But don’t see why he can’t have 30+, 10+, 8ish.

Is harden gonna play
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I would guess no now that line up to -8, lol. I don’t think clackston playing either which will hurt trying to defend jokic. I also read the new clippers still won’t play tonight but I dunno how reliable that was, forgot the site I even read it on. Lol
 
I want to have some Christian wood tonight but need ya’ll thoughts, I been pretty bad at just points prop (very limited sample) but not sure I want any part the rebounds against a real good Pels rebounding team? Think I like him to go over 18.5 points which is actually less juice than the -125 on points/reb over 27.5, rebound number is 9.5 -115. I didn’t sleep well last night so worried my simple math wrong? Lol. Don’t understand why the ov 18.5 points is -110, boards over 9.5 is -115, points/boards ov 27.5 is -125?? What am I missing?? Also even money on double double so why the hell play ov 9.5 boards -115 when scoring 10 should be a mortal lock? Seems like the better way to go about getting his rebounds involved,, I don’t like his rebound total all that much vs Pels, just a general pricing question.
 
Dunno why I keep spelling Claxton all wrong and more difficult!?!?!!?! Spelling wrong no surprise, making it far more difficult/more letters involved not like me! Lol. Anyways he out along with Harden and Aldridge!
 
Luka/Trae double/double parlay +275 2*
Tatum o34.5 pts/reb -120 2*
Luka/Sabonis/Valanciunas double double parlay +103 2*
Add Greek Freak to above +195
 
And of course 2 assists/1 rebound shy of a triple double Luka picks up his 5th a minute into the third quarter
 
Jokic crushed it, nugs smashed nets,, wood is 3 points away from hitting his points over. Hawks let me down. Bucks 1st qrtr -1.5 and game -4 would make for a good night!
 
Cavs traded for Chris Levert, think that a pretty good move for them with all their backcourt injuries!!
 
Bang. Cash wood over points in 3rd qrtr!! Who says I can’t hit a points prop?? (Well I did, lol).
 
Didn’t matter if ya went points, points/boards, or “par”, wood hit them all. So glad I took the time deciding which was “best”, lmao
 
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