ESPN Handicapper Picks--Week 10

[2daBank]

Damn, better days ahead. Glad you're okay (relatively).

Story of my life man, either bad luck like the fucking detached retina that made this summer a real drag (other than having lots of extra time to cap Mlb props and crushing them! Lol). Things finally getting back to normal and going good so what do I do? Total self sabotage, I’ve only done that to myself 10ish times in my life! Lol, you think I would learn but I don’t; I can do well for long stretches but inevitably a major Fuck up is coming. Obviously I’d prefer not to but what can I say, I got freaking issues! Lol. Little ticked off I just saw friend of mine and when we started talking bout what happened when I told him Saturday he was like “I saw you at casino Saturday afternoon and you seemed all kinds of fucked up, making all kinds of bets then going and playing roulette (playing roulette wad vaguely last thing I remember), Mfer coulda like pulled me aside and been like “dude, you sure you good? You don’t plan on driving or anything do you? You know stuck with me when he saw how out of character I was being and have my damn back! I mean he ain’t like some great friend but fuck, now I’d put him in category of no type of friend at all! I clearly mixed some wrong things and I was total blackout mode. I won close to 2 grand in morning thru 2:30 time slots, when I finally made it home I had like 400 worth of winning tickets on bets I don’t remember making a like mo cash! I guess the only bright side is even when im
Out my mind im well versed in getting out of dodge and not going to jail (which I no doubt deserved, I just thank god I didn’t hit or hurt anyone else), Im pretty sure I had few more winning tickets in car that didn’t make it home, I dunno if the police plucked them or I cashed and lost at tables cause the only losing tickets I had where wheeler props, now that I think bout didn’t have those either just remember making those cause wasn’t showing up on kiosk to had to go to window, or maybe it was my ticket I was cashing was over 500 which the limit at kiosk, I forget, lol, I guess small trade off for them knocking on
My door at whatever time it was asking bout my wreck and at that point I still didn’t have any good answers, I had big knot on my head so maybe he bought that for resdom I didn’t remember, or maybe I got lucky and he was just cool, or he took some winning tickets as a trade off for writing me tickets or arresting me, lol, either way I’ll take it: Anyways as always being a long time professional fuvk up
I know there no sense dwelling; what done is done, other than the fact this week been miserable as im pretty confident Seat belt cracked some my ribs it coulda been worse. Nothing that can’t be bounced back from, I certainly deserved worse.

 

[2daBank]

Don't really trust them til much closer to game time but LSU is showing 83%, moved from 14 to 13 so would put zero into that. Better to check in with Caesars/MGM on twitter, Dave Mason at BOL usually posts within a couple hours of bigger games on there too.

Tennessee showing 64% which seems about like what I'd expect with opinions out there, same time it's also ticked down some. Old days movement between 7.5 and 9.5 meant nothing to me but w/so many missed XPs and going for 2 these days those moves are more significant.

Wow. 83% on lsu, that worries me but surely bama money comes later in week.

There only few numbers left I don’t think matter, 5 still feels pretty useless to me, 9 maybe but moving under 8 seems significant. Not shocking cause I’ve heard vols are taking massive amounts of money but the power ratings still don’t support them so the same ppl who played bama will surely be going back on Uga, why wouldn’t they? They not good at this if they not: Not saying they right but if you a sharp you absolutely have to play Uga if you played bsma imo:

 

[TahoeLegend]

Added Kansas +8 to my open teaser with Ohio State.

I've got to get to work. I keep hearing major bad weather and even after I found the site that lists weather for all games I haven't taken the time to check all the games I'm interested in

I'm like you, 2daBank, I'm really tempted by LSU and that many points. I keep remembering how Bama has played on the road this year and how great a coach Kelly is and how the Tennessee game was not a close as it looked because Bama got that gift TD on the fumble. Maybe I'll come to my senses, but right now I'm leaning Bama

Took Memphis off the list. Still looks good to me, but those AAC games are tricky to handicap. I think I can find better bets

 

[2daBank]

I think I’ve spent too much time worrying bout this uk/mizzou total. Obviously if you sharper than me and actually get lines early when they come out and we’re part the group who pounded the under down from 44 which imo was stupid high good job, I don’t think it make sense to worry bout now at 40, I’d still lean under but lost too much value. And now that I’ve gotten over that I’m kinda thinking the play here is resoundingly uk. Yes mizzou d has been pretty dang good, amazing turn around from how awful they were last year, no doubt, think it totally fair to say they a top 20ish d. Even with that said it not like they facing bunch of great offenses! Obviously uk isn’t a great offense either, their oline seems to remain a total disaster which is a slight issue with this bet, the biggest and only issue imo. Lucky for uk and the seemingly vastly overrated will Levis mizzou d hasn’t gotten much pressure, they only 49th in sack rate so maybe Levis will actually have some time this week! Feel like he needs to show us what all the nfl scouts are drooling over, im willing to give him a bit a pass, his oline it terrible, he getting sacked on over 12% his drop backs which is 128th in country and he gets pressured a whole bunch more times, but this a week he should have a little time so he needs to show us why he projected as 2nd best qb coming out in a fantastic qb class!! I sure don’t buy it, I’d take hooker over him all day (5th on Kiper board), young small bit I’d still take him over Levis. Here his chance to have some time and make some plays!! The only half way decent passing attack mizzou has seen all year was Uga and while they kept the scoring down Bennett threw for over 300 on them! Candy 2 qbs threw for bout 250, sorry but limiting Ratter who I have dogged since the 1st time I saw him in Okla and shutting down AR15 inconsistent Ass doesn’t impress me. Coming into this season I woulda laughed so hard if you told me UK was basically a pick at mizzou! Oline problems amd all uk is still better than this tiger team getting a lot of respect for beating a couple crappy teams, sorry scary isn’t goid and I know they best uk but I don’t care, that never works saying tesm a beat team b who lost to team C so obviously we should play tigers. If we want to play that game uk also beat gators; messy st, and shoooda beat ol piss, teams mizzou either has or would lose to:

Mizzou has no freaking offensive identity! Isn’t that coach drink side the ball? I hate this offense, it laughable the f carrying them. Uk d is certainly good enough to hold mizzou well under 20 and if Levis has time he should score at least that. Problems and all uk is just better and this a great buy low sell high spot imo,

 

[TahoeLegend]

Wow. 83% on lsu, that worries me but surely bama money comes later in week.

There only few numbers left I don’t think matter, 5 still feels pretty useless to me, 9 maybe but moving under 8 seems significant. Not shocking cause I’ve heard vols are taking massive amounts of money but the power ratings still don’t support them so the same ppl who played bama will surely be going back on Uga, why wouldn’t they? They not good at this if they not: Not saying they right but if you a sharp you absolutely have to play Uga if you played bsma imo:

You're right. I have a hunch that everyone who bet Tennessee against Bama will bet them against Georgia and all the Bama bettors will be on Georgia

 

[KJ]

I think I’ve spent too much time worrying bout this uk/mizzou total. Obviously if you sharper than me and actually get lines early when they come out and we’re part the group who pounded the under down from 44 which imo was stupid high good job, I don’t think it make sense to worry bout now at 40, I’d still lean under but lost too much value. And now that I’ve gotten over that I’m kinda thinking the play here is resoundingly uk. Yes mizzou d has been pretty dang good, amazing turn around from how awful they were last year, no doubt, think it totally fair to say they a top 20ish d. Even with that said it not like they facing bunch of great offenses! Obviously uk isn’t a great offense either, their oline seems to remain a total disaster which is a slight issue with this bet, the biggest and only issue imo. Lucky for uk and the seemingly vastly overrated will Levis mizzou d hasn’t gotten much pressure, they only 49th in sack rate so maybe Levis will actually have some time this week! Feel like he needs to show us what all the nfl scouts are drooling over, im willing to give him a bit a pass, his oline it terrible, he getting sacked on over 12% his drop backs which is 128th in country and he gets pressured a whole bunch more times, but this a week he should have a little time so he needs to show us why he projected as 2nd best qb coming out in a fantastic qb class!! I sure don’t buy it, I’d take hooker over him all day (5th on Kiper board), young small bit I’d still take him over Levis. Here his chance to have some time and make some plays!! The only half way decent passing attack mizzou has seen all year was Uga and while they kept the scoring down Bennett threw for over 300 on them! Candy 2 qbs threw for bout 250, sorry but limiting Ratter who I have dogged since the 1st time I saw him in Okla and shutting down AR15 inconsistent Ass doesn’t impress me. Coming into this season I woulda laughed so hard if you told me UK was basically a pick at mizzou! Oline problems amd all uk is still better than this tiger team getting a lot of respect for beating a couple crappy teams, sorry scary isn’t goid and I know they best uk but I don’t care, that never works saying tesm a beat team b who lost to team C so obviously we should play tigers. If we want to play that game uk also beat gators; messy st, and shoooda beat ol piss, teams mizzou either has or would lose to:

Mizzou has no freaking offensive identity! Isn’t that coach drink side the ball? I hate this offense, it laughable the f carrying them. Uk d is certainly good enough to hold mizzou well under 20 and if Levis has time he should score at least that. Problems and all uk is just better and this a great buy low sell high spot imo,

Big time wind in Columbia should mean very few Tiger pts, think entire game is dictated by Wildcats run game and it should be a pretty quick one. 20 mph winds and 30= gusts means no passing success.

 

[2daBank]

You're right. I have a hunch that everyone who bet Tennessee against Bama will bet them against Georgia and all the Bama bettors will be on Georgia

The vols side just human nature, I mean it us alleged squares that like vols so much? Of course those types gonna keep riding them: the power number “sharp” types don’t waiver, they believe in their numbers and they have Uga bigger than this number just like they had bama.

 

[2daBank]

Big time wind in Columbia should mean very few Tiger pts, think entire game is dictated by Wildcats run game and it should be a pretty quick one. 20 mph winds and 30= gusts means no passing success.

God damn. I thought system ne thru there cause it supposed to be to us tonight in morning, I assumed it be nice in Columbia, I don’t like that, I think mizzou can prob stop uk run game to extent with the uk oline problems, I think this a great game where Levis have time amd think weakness of mizzou d is against pass, they just ain’t been tested much so numbers fugazi imo. Damn, if wind is really impossible to throw I’ll pass. Then again if Levis really this big time nfl prospect he should have the arm strength to throw in wind: cook most def does not!!

 

[KJ]

God damn. I thought system ne thru there cause it supposed to be to us tonight in morning, I assumed it be nice in Columbia, I don’t like that, I think mizzou can prob stop uk run game to extent with the uk oline problems, I think this a great game where Levis have time amd think weakness of mizzou d is against pass, they just ain’t been tested much so numbers fugazi imo. Damn, if wind is really impossible to throw I’ll pass. Then again if Levis really this big time nfl prospect he should have the arm strength to throw in wind: cook most def does not!!

 

[2daBank]

View attachment 70039

That not awful, especially if it post to post not a crosswind. I always feel crosswind much tougher than throwing into or with, if kid really is the prospect they say he should be big strong enough and have the arm to throw in little bit of wind!!! On other hand mizzou qb I think has a noodle type arm wind will effect. I love uk here: Beginning this season I woulda said this had to be uk-7, I dunno if there was a look ahead but my guess is I’m pretty close If so.


What bout the ND weather? If you don’t mind doing these for me to help me power thru this card without having to find that shit also! If passing conditions not bad DJ passing yards number way short imo,

 

[2daBank]

I wish these pussies would just post all the damn props in timely fashion, so many still not on board.

I can move all this to the discussion thread if you want @TahoeLegend, I know I’m posting a ton as im in zone but if you rather I stop putting it all in here just say the word, won’t hurt my feelings, I just like the feedback and discussion I get from all you guys in this thread!!

 

[KJ]

That not awful, especially if it post to post not a crosswind. I always feel crosswind much tougher than throwing into or with, if kid really is the prospect they say he should be big strong enough and have the arm to throw in little bit of wind!!! On other hand mizzou qb I think has a noodle type arm wind will effect. I love uk here: Beginning this season I woulda said this had to be uk-7, I dunno if there was a look ahead but my guess is I’m pretty close If so.


What bout the ND weather? If you don’t mind doing these for me to help me power thru this card without having to find that shit also! If passing conditions not bad DJ passing yards number way short imo,

Sustained winds at close to 20 and gusts of 30+ would keep me off the golf course

 

[TahoeLegend]

That not awful, especially if it post to post not a crosswind. I always feel crosswind much tougher than throwing into or with, if kid really is the prospect they say he should be big strong enough and have the arm to throw in little bit of wind!!! On other hand mizzou qb I think has a noodle type arm wind will effect. I love uk here: Beginning this season I woulda said this had to be uk-7, I dunno if there was a look ahead but my guess is I’m pretty close If so.


What bout the ND weather? If you don’t mind doing these for me to help me power thru this card without having to find that shit also! If passing conditions not bad DJ passing yards number way short imo,

Here's the link to the weather site that lists all games. And it has a feature I REALLY like. On the upper right of each game it has "matchup" and "hourly forecast." Click on hourly forecast and it shows the changes in weather for each hour. Saves a lot of time

College Football Weather Report

Daily college football weather forecasts for every field, including temperature, wind, and chance of rain or snow. See how the it will affect games this week.

www.covers.com

 

[2daBank]

Sustained winds at close to 20 and gusts of 30+ would keep me off the golf course

Might actually help my game. Think wind moves the golf ball way more than a tightly thrown spiral! Josh allen slings it in those kind of winds in Buffalo every other week. I sure wouldn’t be playing cook passing yards over but again, IF Levis really is what the scouts say he is the fact he shouldn’t be dealing with as much pressure this week id think given the choice he would take the wind and maybe actually having a pocket to throw in!

 

[2daBank]

Here's the link to the weather site that lists all games. And it has a feature I REALLY like. On the upper right of each game it has "matchup" and "hourly forecast." Click on hourly forecast and it shows the changes in weather for each hour. Saves a lot of time

College Football Weather Report

Daily college football weather forecasts for every field, including temperature, wind, and chance of rain or snow. See how the it will affect games this week.

www.covers.com

Awesome. Thanks. I love the hour by hour, even tho so hard to trust these Ass holes! I remember the hurricane week totals plummeted all week and they were way off with timing on pretty much all those games!!

 

[TahoeLegend]

Posted Tyler's pics. A lot of handicappers love Florida State this week
TCU/Texas Tech o 69
Fla State -7x
San Jose State -24

 

[2daBank]

I’d love to hear your texas/k-st thoughts if you have time @TahoeLegend, I lean really strongly to texas, see if you can talk me off or point out some things I’m not seeing.

 

[2daBank]

Posted Tyler's pics. A lot of handicappers love Florida State this week
TCU/Texas Tech o 69
Fla State -7x
San Jose State -24

I was super high on noles but then they went and started having some head scratching performances, still dunno how the fuck their offense basically did nothing vs wake in the 2md and 3rd qrtr but looked great early and late? Been back over that game several times and still don’t get it, they shoulda scored at least 35 that game imo but they mentally checked out the entire middle the game, no idea wtf happened there? Then they follow that up losing a game to ncst they had won, knocked qb out, just needed a fg to win even tho shouldn’t have came to that and my guy Travis I raved about the 1sy month of year throws a pick so they don’t even get a chance at the fg! Actually thought they played clemson fairly well even tho it woulda been ugly without the 14 point 4th. Is van dyke back? Canes have no chance if garcia playing, he trash and not like cristibsl enhances qb’s, he holds back good ones (what a coach! Lmao).

 

[2daBank]

My thinking with texas is these fuckers could easily be undefeated or a 1 loss team at worst. 3 losses by 11 points total, if they don’t lose their qb they beat bama imo, they had dd leads in the other losses!! I certainly understand there obviously something very wrong w fact they lose those kinda games (not bama so much, that was qb got hurt, and 1 amazing play by young), the other 2 are the ones that make ya think something ain’t right but wtf is it? Surely it fixable? I’m still in the camp of thinking Sark a really good coach so I’d expect that shit to get cleaned up! Ewers was bad in his only road start at okie light, over 300 yards on 19 completions really good. But only 19 of 49 with couple picks really bad! I think the bye gives them a chance to reset, think he be better on road this time. Maybe im insane but I think texas is one the best 10-12 teams in the country, their run d has fantastic metrics and everything I read it sounds like Martinez not playing, I would worry if they had to stop his legs and Vaughn but without Martinez I think texas can limit Vaughn. Howard was fantastic before getting hurt at tcu but there enough a track record for me to say he isn’t a consistently good qb. I made texas -7. What im I not seeing or am I just taking their penchant to blow games they should win too lightly against a k-st team who kinda the opposite and wins games they should often lose?

 

[TahoeLegend]

I’d love to hear your texas/k-st thoughts if you have time @TahoeLegend, I lean really strongly to texas, see if you can talk me off or point out some things I’m not seeing.

I love to bet Kansas State, especially as a home dog. I've probably won more money on K State than any other team over the years. Texas has more talent. In fact, there is not a player on the K State roster that Texas even offered, but K State is the tougher team and that's the first thing I look at. Texas has a better D this year than they've had the past few years, but I still like the K State D more and that's the second thing I look at

Texas hasn't won a road game yet and seems to wear down--or maybe give up--when they play on the road against a bunch of physical guys with a chip on their shoulder like K State has.

Martinez is back for K State so they now have two good QBs ready to play. No one on the K State roster, including the coach, has ever beaten Texas so I think I'll get a super motivated team with the best coach, going against a team with TCU on deck.

I'm in the minority on this according to Daily Wager so I may be overlooking something they see in Texas, but I'll take tough guys over soft guys with big reps any day

 

[2daBank]

I love to bet Kansas State, especially as a home dog. I've probably won more money on K State than any other team over the years. Texas has more talent. In fact, there is not a player on the K State roster that Texas even offered, but K State is the tougher team and that's the first thing I look at. Texas has a better D this year than they've had the past few years, but I still like the K State D more and that's the second thing I look at

Texas hasn't won a road game yet and seems to wear down--or maybe give up--when they play on the road against a bunch of physical guys with a chip on their shoulder like K State has.

Martinez is back for K State so they now have two good QBs ready to play. No one on the K State roster, including the coach, has ever beaten Texas so I think I'll get a super motivated team with the best coach, going against a team with TCU on deck.

I'm in the minority on this according to Daily Wager so I may be overlooking something they see in Texas, but I'll take tough guys over soft guys with big reps any day

You prob more likely the one seeing it right if you In minority and against the daily wager Baffoons! TotAlly fair point bout k-st as dogs, they a team I bet a lot at dogs myself, another case of coaching matters, they thrive w less talented teams. Great coach! I like sark but he seems to go the opposite way so you def have the fact this game in k-dt wheelhouse to win and texas to lose, You sure on Martinez? Early in week I read Howard was by far the healthiest of the qbs. I trusted Martinez health w his rush yard prop vs tcu that woulda cashed easy had he played more than 5-6 plays! Lol, even if he does go I don’t think yoj can trust him to finish if he plays the style he has to be effective. He would def make stopping the run much tougher if he in there. The one thing that I thought kinda offset k-st performing in this role and texas blowing dd leads and no true road wins is the fact texas has dominated this series winning the last 5, blowing k-st doors off last game played on this field.

Your points certainly valid enough and I do have this concern that I still think too highly of texas, what parcels day “you are what your record is”, so maybe I should stop listing texas as a top 10-12 team! Could just be wishful thinking they learn to win games they dominate! Lol. Im starting to have a card of 6-10 plays I really like so you might have got me passing on this one, Appreciate the feedback brother,

 

[2daBank]

Posted Tyler's pics. A lot of handicappers love Florida State this week
TCU/Texas Tech o 69
Fla State -7x
San Jose State -24

Jesus. How you lay -24 w Sjst? They basically havd ti pitch a shutout don’t they? 27-0? I’m assuming 44.5 total makes csu team total bout 10? Look at their point totals vs awful d’s. Pretty sure team total under ne the play if I played that game. They prob make it 9.5, lol, Assholed!

 

[TahoeLegend]

Kansas State says Martinez has been a full participant all week in practice. This is not the media--although they are all saying the same thing--this is from Kansas State SID

Klieman says Martinez is full-go and has participated in all practices, but he won't decide on which QB to use till kickoff. I don't know whether he is saying Howard has played so well he deserves to start or maybe Martinez is too rusty.

 

[TahoeLegend]

Jesus. How you lay -24 w Sjst? They basically havd ti pitch a shutout don’t they? 27-0? I’m assuming 44.5 total makes csu team total bout 10? Look at their point totals vs awful d’s. Pretty sure team total under ne the play if I played that game. They prob make it 9.5, lol, Assholed!

Same thought I had. How can anyone lay 24 w/San Jose State. They are playing well and having a great season, but they've never been the type team I'd lay 24 with.

I think it's more that the Daily Wager guys are ALWAYS trying to win a bet by betting against some team they think is awful. Bad handicapping idea in my opinion. CSU is bad all right, but both Doug and Tyler have lost bets this year betting against them. They never seem to take into account that if a team is really, really bad the team playing them knows it and comes out flat.

 

[TahoeLegend]

Posted Doug's picks. He's last in the standings, but has been better the last couple of weeks. He says the sharp money does not want to lay so many points against Tennesse so if the bet the game they are betting the over.
Georgia/Tenn o 66x
TCU -9x
Clemson -3x

 

[2daBank]

Kansas State says Martinez has been a full participant all week in practice. This is not the media--although they are all saying the same thing--this is from Kansas State SID

Klieman says Martinez is full-go and has participated in all practices, but he won't decide on which QB to use till kickoff. I don't know whether he is saying Howard has played so well he deserves to start or maybe Martinez is too rusty.

It either mind games or they afraid Martinez runs gets hit and goes out yet again, klieman way too smart to actually fall for a few good games by Howard, there more than enough track record that tells me he sucks, if they announce him as starter sorry we butting heads! Lol. Assuming Martinez is truly healthy and not just out there but can do his run around thing I think it makes it a much more interesting game, texas pretty impressive run d metrics kinda go out the window for me cause not only is Martinez a incredible weapon as a runner (how crazy is it he was a turnover machine for 4 years under Frost and now he has like what, 1-2 all season? Wonder who fault that was?!? Coaching matters, lately my favorite saying, lol). But having to account for him should give Vaughn way more space, if Howard behind center I think horns will hold Vaughn to a fairly pedestrian day, Martinez starts I’ll pass and hope for your sake he don’t get hurt, the minute he does it live bet horns time! Lol. Howard starts and I gotta play texas I think.

 

[2daBank]

So I havnt bet anything yet, didn’t make casino today had crap to do besides trying to finish card. Plus putting a little group together 2marfo who all backing me and seeing what i can do, after feeling like I’m seeing really well hitting like 10 of 11 bets I remembered making last week! Lol, of course blew bunch of my winnings on table games and I think huge bets on wheeler props, I forget, lol. Anyways wont have my Ws money till either Saturday night or Sunday and I’ve passed a bit that away last few days. I freaking crushed the playoffs, only had like 2 losing days all way up to WS, have great Philly future with decent hedges after they won gm 1 and 3 but I have given away big chunks on 2 games of this series. List like 10 units playing all kinds of various overs last night, all those fucjing runners Philly stranded 1st 3 innings made me vomit. And dropped another 5-6 on Nola last start thanks to the 5th stinking inning. I’m usually more careful thinking my hot streak bout to end but really thought I was seeing it so well and have the big payout coming at end of series so thought it was good time to take a few shots: dunno what it is about me but my percentages dip like crazy when I put myself out there further! I always been jelly of guys who I can cap circles around but they can go big and hit, I can win 20 days straight but minute I raise my bets I lose! Lol. Anyways, dunno why im rambling bout all that. Just explaining why havnt made any these bets yet as im putting a group together to get more money down without having to dig further into my wallet! Lol

 

[2daBank]

Right now my card looks like this but nothing final

Lsu +13.5

Uk -1 (Levis pass yarfs over depending where number is, possible cook under)

Clem -3.5 ((potential DJ over pass yards, possible Shipley rush)

Pitt-3 or Abanikanda (can’t spell name) ov rush/td, still no number last I checked)
.
Unc -7 (this the acc team im worst with, gues which game I bet them this year? That right, only loss! Lol. Feels very squats and they have not won by margin on road, the question is their d so bad uva offense can score?).

Gotta do more digging on that vols:Uga total, really feel like under the right side but dunno if I got the stones, we see if I can find enough to have the courage of my convictions here! Lol

Prob pass texas unless Howard starts.

So far that where I’m at, after I make these fantastic red snapper mango amd pinspple fish tacos for dinner im gonna get high and get back after it, I know there more i like. I had only slept maybe 4 hours all week cause my ribs were in such pain but I finally got a solid 3 or so on recliner last night, then got myself propped with enough pillows to get another 4-5 this morning so im In pretty sound mind right now, shouod bs good for a 5-7 hour cram session tonight to finish it all amd be ready to go hit them at 8am!!

 

[2daBank]

Anyways that my plan. Hope some you guys up amd feel like chopping it up!!

 

[2daBank]

I think I like wake also but feel like need some dogs! Be hunting for some of those tonight, I do feel like something I’ve gotten better about this year is willing to play a card wit more favs and not forcing dogs just cause I prefer them!

 

[2daBank]

Anyone have thoughts on the byu/boise line? My instant thought was it felt high even tho I’ve loved the boise turn around after getting rid their biggest problem putting him
In teleportation portal! Getting him out of their was the biggest addition Ny subtraction maybe ever!! That said if byu wr are healthy I think they could be interesting, maybe a game some ths shime comes off the glow boise had ever since Bachmier left!

 

[TahoeLegend]

Anyone have thoughts on the byu/boise line? My instant thought was it felt high even tho I’ve loved the boise turn around after getting rid their biggest problem putting him
In teleportation portal! Getting him out of their was the biggest addition Ny subtraction maybe ever!! That said if byu wr are healthy I think they could be interesting, maybe a game some ths shime comes off the glow boise had ever since Bachmier left!

I find that game very interesting. I definitely like Boise here, but 7x seems high to me. I was leaning Boise all week because their D has really come around and is far better than BYU's at this point and I love having the best D and most motivated team at home, but I can't see giving that many points. I'm still pondering it, but probably won't pull the trigger

 

[2daBank]

I find that game very interesting. I definitely like Boise here, but 7x seems high to me. I was leaning Boise all week because their D has really come around and is far better than BYU's at this point and I love having the best D and most motivated team at home, but I can't see giving that many points. I'm still pondering it, but probably won't pull the trigger

Yea, I havnt dug at all just seemed interesting, I’ll def do a deep dive after dinner and see what I come up with and how confident I am in that score. Lol

 

[TahoeLegend]

Right now my card looks like this but nothing final

Lsu +13.5

Uk -1 (Levis pass yarfs over depending where number is, possible cook under)

Clem -3.5 ((potential DJ over pass yards, possible Shipley rush)

Pitt-3 or Abanikanda (can’t spell name) ov rush/td, still no number last I checked)
.
Unc -7 (this the acc team im worst with, gues which game I bet them this year? That right, only loss! Lol. Feels very squats and they have not won by margin on road, the question is their d so bad uva offense can score?).

Gotta do more digging on that vols:Uga total, really feel like under the right side but dunno if I got the stones, we see if I can find enough to have the courage of my convictions here! Lol

Prob pass texas unless Howard starts.

So far that where I’m at, after I make these fantastic red snapper mango amd pinspple fish tacos for dinner im gonna get high and get back after it, I know there more i like. I had only slept maybe 4 hours all week cause my ribs were in such pain but I finally got a solid 3 or so on recliner last night, then got myself propped with enough pillows to get another 4-5 this morning so im In pretty sound mind right now, shouod bs good for a 5-7 hour cram session tonight to finish it all amd be ready to go hit them at 8am!!

I like several of those. I like LSU and the points at home, but I'm thinking I'll play that on a teaser

This looks like a great spot for Kentucky to me. I always like Kentucky when they don't have to go up against one of the SEC monsters, but I have zero knowledge or understanding of Mizzou. I haven't seen them all year and just have no feel for them at all

I like Pitt too and taking that RB over makes sense. One of the reasons I bet Syracuse a couple of times earlier this year against NC St and Fla State was because they had a top five rush defense. Now after playing a couple of good teams they are 63rd and dropping fast. Weather in this game too so probably going to make both teams stay on the ground.

 

[TahoeLegend]

Posted Adam Kramer picks. He's got the most wins and the best percentage of any of them so far. He's with you on Texas, 2daBank.
Iowa State -7
Texas -2x
Bama/LSU o 58
Wisconsin -5
Pitt -3x
N Dame +3x
UCLA/Arizona St o 66x
Tulsa +7x
Memphis +3x

 

[TahoeLegend]

Posted Pam Maldonado picks. I've seen a lot of pickers, especially if the based in Vegas, taking the under in AF/Army. They automatically take the under in all service academy games. Been working for them too
LSU +13x
Tenn +8x
Kansas St +2x
Texas/Kansas St u 54x
Air Force/Army u 40

 

[Frank Costanza]

Cowherd, all dogs
Colts 4.5
Falcons 3
Redskins 3
Seahawks 2
Saints 2.5

 

[2daBank]

I like several of those. I like LSU and the points at home, but I'm thinking I'll play that on a teaser

This looks like a great spot for Kentucky to me. I always like Kentucky when they don't have to go up against one of the SEC monsters, but I have zero knowledge or understanding of Mizzou. I haven't seen them all year and just have no feel for them at all

I like Pitt too and taking that RB over makes sense. One of the reasons I bet Syracuse a couple of times earlier this year against NC St and Fla State was because they had a top five rush defense. Now after playing a couple of good teams they are 63rd and dropping fast. Weather in this game too so probably going to make both teams stay on the ground.

I was cuse biggest fan early on but they did a decent job run blitzing to make up for how you can run on a undesired 3-3-5, I mean 3-3-5 in itself one these newer d’s designed to deal w spread passing attacks which all well and good but the 3 guys cuse has up front way undersized so that makes it even worse, they have done a great job of confusing qbs which doesn’t make me real thrilled to back Slovis but ideally he won’t throw much! Also Shrader got hurt, I dunno his status now but the offense totally screwed without him, the new OC did wonders for him but the run game with tucker hasn’t been nearly as good this season, we know cuse ain’t gonna have much success running on pitt front 7 especially if Shrader isn’t in there as he been the best rushing option, they have some really clever play designs w him running and throwing. Early in the clemson game they were moving it up and down the field on tigers but once the cuteness of the scepter stuff wore off they couldn’t do anything mono a mono in 2md half. I’d expect something similar here, maybe the trick pitt a few times early but longer game goes that pitt front 7 will take over as will pitt run game, luckily not much chance pitt coach will let Slovis throw much, that could be a disaster, he has totally regressed, cuse has good corners and disguises well, that asshole throwing picks in scoring range like he did vs ville my biggest concern.

I thought Babers said something very telling few weeks back before they lost and the hype train was building, asked about chances of a acc title and he seriously said “I’m just happy we bowl eligible”, like he saved his job so now if they did fall apart once schedule got real he still be in good shape and that exactly what has happened. 48 feels really high here also, both these defenses are fantastic at limiting teams points once they get into scoring range, long drives with bunch of fgs and prob several that walk away with nothing, I did not expect to see a 48 there, this has 23-17 written all over it, hell, I could see 17-10!

 

[2daBank]

Ya’ll know I got a bit a love affair w wvu even tho I’ve kinda lost interest in them. Getting +7 at Aims? That has some appeal to me: what you think of that game from the isu point of view @KJ

 

[2daBank]

Another think bout texas is I think they the bet the board guys play this week @bones should be able to confirm, I have a immense amount of respect for those guys, I don’t really tail their play often but love when we agree and they been firing off bunch of winners after the 0-3 start and morons roasting them online, ppl are so stupid! Win or lose those guys get their money in on strong plays and their info is the best of any pod imo. Those guys should throw me a small advertising fee, I been telling everyone to listen to that pod for last 4 years!

 

[bones]

Was looking at totals...the O/U in Navy/Cincy is 43.5. Weather is showers, temp 71 and some southerly wind 15-25 mph.

First instinct was Over the number...Cincy TT alone is 34.5. I know it is obscure game, but if anybody have any thoughts appreciated. If not, understood

 

[bones]

Another think bout texas is I think they the bet the board guys play this week @bones should be able to confirm, I have a immense amount of respect for those guys, I don’t really tail their play often but love when we agree and they been firing off bunch of winners after the 0-3 start and morons roasting them online, ppl are so stupid! Win or lose those guys get their money in on strong plays and their info is the best of any pod imo. Those guys should throw me a small advertising fee, I been telling everyone to listen to that pod for last 4 years!

Yes Texas -2.5 is play of the week

 

[2daBank]

I got Steve and bear on now, they ok, nothing like bet the board, klatt pods, or McElroy all better imo.

Surprised SVP on mizzou, isn’t that a spot mizzou now getting some love and everyone down on uk? I’d think mizzou taking more bets but I don’t follow that stuff. Doesn’t mean a lot to me, there times I don’t wanna be on overwhelming popular dog but lately I feel like you cost yourself money worrying bout that shit. It funny cause Bear was all over bama taking bout how public eating up the dog but now on pod he saying exactly opposite and saying “don’t just bet Uga cause you think everyone on Vols”, could he contradict himself any freaking more? Every time I hear him talk I lose more respect got him! Lol

 

[2daBank]

Yes Texas -2.5 is play of the week

Have they lost one of those since the 0-3 start? I know they been doing really well with it and then the small school play that guy powers they brought on this year, I thought his was a good addition. They already had best pod but were more known for nfl so bring in a guy who focuses more on ncaa, he huge Irish fan and I know he loved clemson this week also.

 

[bones]

I got Steve and bear on now, they ok, nothing like bet the board, klatt pods, or McElroy all better imo.

Surprised SVP on mizzou, isn’t that a spot mizzou now getting some love and everyone down on uk? I’d think mizzou taking more bets but I don’t follow that stuff. Doesn’t mean a lot to me, there times I don’t wanna be on overwhelming popular dog but lately I feel like you cost yourself money worrying bout that shit. It funny cause Bear was all over bama taking bout how public eating up the dog but now on pod he saying exactly opposite and saying “don’t just bet Uga cause you think everyone on Vols”, could he contradict himself any freaking more? Every time I hear him talk I lose more respect got him! Lol

FWIW I was on KY -1.5 early and am sticking with it

What you think about OVER 61.5 in Liberty/Razorbacks? It was one selection of Clay Travis that I have interest in.

Also, I summarized Bet The Board in Post #12 on 1st page

 

[bones]

Have they lost one of those since the 0-3 start? I know they been doing really well with it and then the small school play that guy powers they brought on this year, I thought his was a good addition. They already had best pod but were more known for nfl so bring in a guy who focuses more on ncaa, he huge Irish fan and I know he loved clemson this week also.

They have not lost, as I recall, since the 0-3 start.

Insider & Fuhrman went to the Bama vs Tenny game and took the week off. Brad Powers made an unofficial pick that week and lost as I recall.

I do not have the memory you do, but I think I have taken their pick last 2 weeks and won. Took Texas this week also.

 

[TahoeLegend]

Posted Phil Steele's picks. Another one on A Force/Army under
N Dame +4
UAB +1
A Force/Army u 40
Tulsa +7x
Boise St -8
Louisville -7

 

[KJ]

Ya’ll know I got a bit a love affair w wvu even tho I’ve kinda lost interest in them. Getting +7 at Aims? That has some appeal to me: what you think of that game from the isu point of view @KJ

Nothing more than desperate for a conference win and it's gonna be cold and windy. Dekkers against Texas had his best game of the season in the loss, then a bye week and he reverted against OU. You'll notice that in virtually every game this season ISU has been fairly level or better in total yardage. Turnovers have and will continue to be the game changer. 0-5 in big 12 isn't acceptable, especially after finally beating Iowa regardless of their pedigree and starting 3-0.

You're basically predicting turnovers in this one, good luck with that. ISU will likely have more yards from scrimmage by a decent margin.

 

[2daBank]

FWIW I was on KY -1.5 early and am sticking with it

What you think about OVER 61.5 in Liberty/Razorbacks? It was one selection of Clay Travis that I have interest in.

Also, I summarized Bet The Board in Post #12 on 1st page

Sorry, hectic week I prob missed lot the early post in thread. I havnt looked into the arky/liberty game yet but i am getting ready to dive in on that one,

We totally agree on uk. I love it, Mizzou still has no offensive identity whatsoever. Wind gonna hurt cook way more than Levis. As I been saying mizzou don’t really get much pressure so Levis should actually have time for a change, mizzou pass d feel a bit fugazi to me, they have faced a bunch of crappy pass d’s. Uga struggled to score but Bennett threw all over them, vsndy had 250 pasting, rattler just sucks, I give mizzou d all the credit in the world cause that was one the worst run defenses in the power 5 last year and they solid now, I just don’t think the pass d been tested much and I’d think they more worried bout stopping Rodriguez. If Levis really is a top 5 pick wind or not he throws for 250 and a couple scores imo, if not whoever drafts him fuvking up! Lol

 

[2daBank]

Nothing more than desperate for a conference win and it's gonna be cold and windy. Dekkers against Texas had his best game of the season in the loss, then a bye week and he reverted against OU. You'll notice that in virtually every game this season ISU has been fairly level or better in total yardage. Turnovers have and will continue to be the game changer. 0-5 in big 12 isn't acceptable, especially after finally beating Iowa regardless of their pedigree and starting 3-0.

You're basically predicting turnovers in this one, good luck with that. ISU will likely have more yards from scrimmage by a decent margin.

Yea I do notice Deckers generally has pretty solid passing numbers for the general pack of point, I dunno, I like jt Daniel’s and wvu offense. I have a hard time thinking they can’t move the ball but I guess I don’t know isu d enough, they have clearly held some good offenses to low scores, other than wvu somehow only scoring 10 on a bad tech offense they mostly score, am I crazy too think 50 might be low?